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Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports - Consistent Long term winning results. Get the info the books do not want you to have.
Alex Smart Sports- College Hoops Late Night Steam - Utah @ BYU

Tonight long time rivals go head to head in non conference college Hoops  action as the Utah Utes visit the BYU Cougars. Join me as I explain which side has the edge and more importantly which team covers the number. Get the info the books do not want you to have. Tests 9-1 90% CBB side run!

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There is a one possession favorite from Sundays NFL board that is ready to lay  a smack down  on an opponent that despite of what the pundits might think is completely over matched and in a bad spot this week. Join me as I explain why our chosen team will romp to a surprising and over powering BLOWOUT victory. Get this start to finish rocking chair winner and make the books pay for taking our action. Tests long term 1232-1066 all sports side run that has made my dime players more than $80000.00 in bankroll expanding profits!

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Alex Smart Sports- NFL Sunday Nighter ( Total)- Cowboys @ Raiders

The Dallas Cowboys visit the Oakland Raiders in Sunday night prime time action. Which side of the Total will the combined score fall on. Join me for your 100% Guaranteed winner and get the info the books do not want you to have. Kick off after 8:30 pm et

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 15, 2017
South Dakota State vs Colorado
South Dakota State
+5 -110 at betonline
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

Tonight on the one hand we have a loaded South Dakota State side, that has one of the top mid major players in the nation ( Mike Daum) leading the way for a solid core of offensive minded players. This team is always a solid underdog because they can light the scoreboard up in a hurry and are never really out of it vs a side still on a learning curve like their opponents the Buffalos.

Meanwhile, Tad Boyles young inexperienced Colorado Buffs are off two straight losses and showing their lack of cohesiveness. Don't get me wrong this is a talented group, but their still earning to play together, and against this type of never say die explosive  team they will have their hands full.

Jackrabbits are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.Buffaloes are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

CBB road team (S DAKOTA ST) - excellent free throw shooting team (73% or better) against a good free throw shooting team (69-73%), after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower are 27-7 ATS for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on South Dakota State to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Dec 15, 2017
Blazers vs Magic
Blazers
-3 -115 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Orlando enters this game  struggling to win games in the last month while dealing with a  growing list of  injuries with the walking wounded  scattered all over the place. the Magic are currently in a shambles,  after having lost 14 of their last 17 trips to the hardwood. Meanwhile visiting Portland when their getting wins, do it in part because of what I attribute to their solid conditioning. These guys just wear teams out. That's what happened as Portland seemed headed for a sixth straight loss Wednesday but rallied from 16 points down to win at Miami. It was Portland's fourth comeback from a double-digit deficit this season and third in the Eastern Time Zone, where they seem to be able to run and gun with positive results. Yes, I know the Blazers are streaky, which is a good thing as they look for their second consecutive strong effort vs a banged up team, that will find it difficult to keep up on the scoreboard because of their current personnel deficiencies.

 It must be note that  On Nov. 15, the Magic took a 14-point lead early into the second quarter, before Portland came back and grabbed a 99-94 home win.ORLANDO is 0-7 ATS   in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. average score: Orlando 96.7 Opposition 113.9

ORLANDO is 2-11 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season.PORTLAND is 11-2 ATS L/13  in road games off an upset win as an underdog.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) against another lower tier  defensive team (102 PPG or more ), after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game are 25-7 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 78% for bettors.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Dec 15, 2017
Pistons vs Pacers
Pistons
+4½ -110 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Detroit enters this game off ending a 7 straight game losing streak with a 105-91 victory vs Atlanta last night.. Previous to that the Pistons for the most part were competitive despite of the negative results with 4 of the 7 games decided by 5 points or less. QUOTE: "When you're coming off of seven losses, it's tough," guard Langston Galloway told reporters. "You're trying to find your rhythm, find anything you can salvage. When we finally got our rhythm and made stops, we just continued to make that a bulldozer effect." END QUOTE. I'm betting on the Pistons feeding off that momentum tonight. Meanwhile, the Pacers lost to the Oklahoma City Thunder last time out at home, and could easily be in an emotional letdown situation, after a grueling game, that featured the return of Paul George to town. There were a lot of fiery emotions from the crowd and the energy was sky high, so I won't be surprised if the Pacers come out flat here.

The teams split the two previous meetings this season, with the home team winning on each occasion. But from a side perspective , these sides are matched up quite evenly so taking points here is a very viable wagering opportunity.

DETROIT is 8-1 ATS L/9 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Pistons are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Pistons are 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Dec 15, 2017
Spurs vs Rockets
Rockets
-8 -105 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

REVENGE is the name of the game here tonight. Last season, the Rockets were humiliated in Game 7 of their NBA Western Conference final matchup here in front of their own home town fans, losing by a 114-75 count. Now with redemption at hand, and the Spurs dealing with trying to integrate their top players the rusty Kawhi Leonard back into the lineup after a lengthy abscense because of injury, I'm betting the Rockets have the edge and get their revenge and also get us the cover as well.

Spurs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Dec 15, 2017
Jazz vs Celtics
OVER 198 -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The  Utah Jazz despite of owning one of the lower pace numbers in the league  and  strong D , are taking part in some fairly high scoring games of late, with combined scores of 213, 217, 203 combined points going on the board in their L/3 trips to the court. The Jazz themselves have scored 100 or more points in 9 of their L/10, and have allowed 100 or more points in 7 of their L/10. with that said, and this being the Jazz's third straight road game , fatigue will play a major part in more defensive breakdowns in this spot and a wider open game.  Meanwhile, the Boston Celtics despite of being a solid defensive team as well, are on tired legs after a high scoring run and gun affair vs the Denver Nuggets last time out taking, a 124-118 win, and won't have the energy to play hardcore physical hoops tonight, which I'm betting will make this a higher scoring game than many pundits might anticipate.

Over is 10-4 in Celtics last 14 overall.Over is 25-10-1 in Celtics last 36 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 7-2 in Celtics last 9 vs. NBA Northwest.

BOSTON in their L/20 games when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 204.3 ppg scored.

BOSTON is 19-6 OVER  L/25 in home games after a combined score of 235 points with a combined average of 212.8 ppg going on the board.

NBA Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (UTAH) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 32-5 OVER L/21 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play OVER

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Dec 15, 2017
Bulls vs Bucks
Bulls
+8 -107 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The rebuilding Bulls are playing a rare  type of blue collar basketball at the moment, something that is rarely seen in the NBA these days. The Bulls have won 4 straight games, and are in top form and playing with a lot of chemistry.   Tonight against their long time rivals the Bucks, they will not be an easy out , thus getting points is a viable wagering opportunity , when comparing both teams current form/systems and player personnel.

Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Bucks are 0-6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Central.Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Bulls are 17-2 vs the Bucks when playing off back to back SU wins.

NBA Road underdogs (CHICAGO) - lower tier  team - shooting 43%  or less with a defense of 46% or better on the season against opponent after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 8-27 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 77% for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Dec 15, 2017
Thunder vs 76ers
Thunder
+2 -108 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Oklahoma City enters this game against the Philadelphia 76ers, playing what I would call decent basketball (5-2 SU L/7). I don't think their still 100% acclimated to playing cohesive hoops behind the big three of George, Melo, and Westbrook, but they have made strides in a positive direction  and should continue to improve. As far as tonight's road tilt is concerned , my own numbers and power rankings  suggest that superior side in a head to head matchup is the Oklahoma City Thunder.  Yes, the Sixers are no longer bottom feeders  and have shown a great deal of improvement, but they are still young and from time to time  have provided questionable work ethic as was evident in a recent 4 game losing streak which they snapped last time out. Just to much weight is being placed on players like Embiid and Simmons which leads to fatigue late in games, where guys like the Thunders  Westbrook  thrive.  This I'm betting will be the difference maker here tonight. Note: Westbrook averaged 25 points, 11.5 rebounds and 11.5 assists in two wins over Philadelphia last season. Look for the Thunders veterans to be the difference maker as this contest progresses and for the Thunder to get their 17th consecutive win in this series.

Thunder are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Atlantic.76ers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Thunder are 16-0 SU L/16 vs the Sixers.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off an upset win as a road underdog, in December games are just 37-65 SU L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 64% for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma City Thunder to cover

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Dec 16, 2017
Middle Tennessee State vs Arkansas State
Arkansas State
-3 -115 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

CAMELLIA BOWL - Crampton Bowl - Montgomery, AL

Middle Tenn State enters this bowl game having failed to cover 4 straight bowl appearances and I'm betting on another loss here vs Arkansas State this week . I know a lot has been made of how Middle Tennessee State had to endure playing without injured QB Brent Stockstill the son of the Blue Raiders coach, but the truth is with or without him in the line this  MTSU is just plain over rated and according to my numbers in over their head vs Red Wolves team that out gained their final 7 opponents of the season. . Meanwhile, Arkansas State boasts an explosive QB Justice Hansen who averages 330 ypg, and has converted 34 TDs this season and the team as whole averages more than 2 TDs a game more than their opponents tonight. I waited to get -3 and a few books have made it available so, I have decided to pull the trigger.

MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-10 ATS L/11 after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins and is   9-22 ATS in road games after playing 3 straight conference games.

Play on Arkansas State to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 16, 2017
Troy State vs Arkansas
OVER 159 -111
Play Type: Premium

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play OVER

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 16, 2017
Middle Tennessee vs Auburn
Middle Tennessee
+3 -115 at BMaker
Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Middle Tenn State to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Dec 16, 2017
Blazers vs Hornets
Blazers
+3½ -103 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

Both teams will be playing the second half of a back-to-back, with the Trail Blazers having won 95-88 at Orlando on Friday night and the Hornets falling 104-98 at home to Miami. Also two of the leagues premier guards will go head to head, with Blazers Lillard and the Hornets Walker . In the past Lillard has gotten the better of Walker in their head-to-heads winning 7 off the L/10 matchups and I'm betting has the edge again tonight vs a side that has lost 9 of their L/11 games SU.

Charlotte is also on tired legs with a heavy schedule workload of late, which is not a good omen. CHARLOTTE is 10-23 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days

Note: Charlottes futility has been on display quite a bit this season, as they are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.

Whether this is an anomaly or note its still interesting that CHARLOTTE is 2-11 ATS L/13 in home games on Saturday games.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 24-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover  

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Dec 16, 2017
Blazers vs Hornets
OVER 204½ -108
Play Type: Premium

Charlotte enters this game having seen a combined average of 212.5 ppg go on the board in their home games this season. Meanwhile, the Blazers a have seen a combined average of 205 ppg get scored in their road tilts. My own numbers and matchup stats and projections put this total closer to 207, after considering both sides usual pace numbers, which gives us value to the over with this number we are betting into.

PORTLAND is 11-1 OVER in road games after a combined score of 185 points or less which happened in their 95-88 win vs the Magic yesterday. the combined average score of those tilts was 220.3 ppg.
 

CHARLOTTE  in 7 games  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing  14 or less turnovers/game this season, have seen a combined average of 217.9 ppg go on the board.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (CHARLOTTE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, a lower tier team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 40-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Dec 16, 2017
Jets vs Blues
Jets
+115 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

The Blues will play the Winnipeg Jets in a home-and-home series beginning Saturday night in St. Louis.

The Blues are banged up with numerous injuries and having problems scoring goals which is never a good recipe for positive results. The Blues are under .500, 6-7, in their last 13 home games and have been shut out three times and scored just 10 goals in its last six home games. Meanwhile, Winnipeg their opponents are off a 5-1 loss to the Blackhawks last time out, but that was just their  first regulation loss at home in 11 games and they will be primed for a bounce back here vs a struggling side.

Jets are 7-1 in their last 8 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Blues are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Jets are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.

Play on the Winnipeg Jets to win on the moneyline

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Dec 16, 2017
Jazz vs Cavs
UNDER 210 -110
Play Type: Premium

The Jazz  played a physical game last night in the middle of a 6 game road trip and will now be exhausted  after beating the  Boston Celtics 107-95 on Friday. After last nights game they went out to the airport and  had to fly two hours to play a well  rested Cavaliers team  that has been home for almost a week. Needless to say their game plan tonight will be to survive via a slow paced effort which will effect the overall offensive output for both these teams.  It must also be noted that they Jazz  top big men got banged up last night as Favors (stitches above his eye)  and Gobert (left knee injury) if they play will be less than 100% which will also effect the Jazz offensive output in this spot. With that said, I'm betting on the Jazz third ranked D, and 24th ranked pace to be key elements in a stagnated combined offensive output vs an explosive opponent which will directly effect the combined score to fall below the posted Total.

UTAH is 38-19 UNDER  L/57  in road games versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game.  Under is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-3 in Jazz last 10 games playing on 0 days rest.Under is 7-2-1 in Cavaliers last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (UTAH) - in a game involving two excellent free throw shooting teams (79% or better), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) are 28-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play on UNDER

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Dec 16, 2017
Clippers vs Heat
Clippers
+6 -102 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

Tonight two teams the visiting LA Clippers and their hosts the Miami Heat are  missing key players and suffering through an array of injuries prepare to play each other after both sides played last night. The Clippers are without Blake Griffin and Austin Rivers, while the Heat are playing without key defensive cog Hassan Whiteside and Justice Winslow. Both have struggled at times, and both are desperate and working hard for wins/losses. Both sides have however, still found ways to win and both have collected victories in 3 of their L/4 outings. From a power rankings perspective and considering my own  margin deficit projections based on correlated  data, suggest we have value with the underdog visitor in this spot. It must also be noted that the Heat have struggled at home this season, and are just  2-13-2 ATS in their last 17 home games and are 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record like the Clippers.

Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Heat are 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Play on the LA Clippers

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Dec 16, 2017
Bucks vs Rockets
Bucks
+11 -110 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

Houston last night got the revenge they wanted for a Game 7 Western Conference semi final loss  they suffered last season vs the San Antonio  Spurs. It was a start to finish physical and  emotionally charged grueling  win for the Rockets that will now have them on tired legs and in an let  down situation.  Meanwhile, the Bucks are viable side, in this spot despite of them also playing on short rest after last nights sleepy looking loss to long time rivals the Bulls. Note:  Bucks are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 0 days rest and one of the better conditioned teams in  the NBA. The Rockets are just  1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Also the  Rockets are also just  1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.

MILWAUKEE is 36-17 ATS L/53  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game .HOUSTON is 6-16 ATS  L/22 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots.HOUSTON is 5-16 ATS  L/21 in home games in non-conference games.Underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

NBA Home favorites (HOUSTON) - good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (5.5 or less reb/game are 15-51 ATS L/21 seasons for a 77% go against conversion rate for bettors. Also NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (HOUSTON) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (5.5 or less reb/game) 8-30 ATS L/21 seasons  for a 79% go against conversion rate.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 16, 2017
Cincinnati vs UCLA
Cincinnati
-2½ -110 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium
REVENGE is the key word here today for the Bearcats, as this talented team looks for some semblance of redemption for last seasons, loss to the Bruins in 2nd round of the NCAA tourney. I know Pauley Pavilion is not an easy place to play in but what must be mentioned is that UCLA has failed to cover 13 of their 18 at home vs a foe looking for revenge, With that said, look for a Bearcats side that is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 away vs PAC 12 teams to get their payback and get us a cover as well.

Play on Cincinnati to cover
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 16, 2017
Seton Hall vs Rutgers
Seton Hall
-7 -115 at betonline
Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium

HC Kevin Willards /Seton Hall and his 4 returning starters from last season are a fine side, and ranked in the AP top 15 , and deservedly so , after starting this season, with a  9-1 record. Meanwhile, their opponents Rutgers have also compiled a decent 8-3 record, but 6 of those 8 victories have come against non line conference opposition. According to my own numbers /data and systems power rankings there is a larger divergence than 7.5 points here, and with that said I recommending we lay the lumber with the Pirates and their explosive front court.  Note: Seton Hall is  4-0 SU/ATS L/4 in this series and 8-0 ATS L/8 as visitors here.

Play on Seton Hall to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 16, 2017
Butler vs Purdue
Butler
+7½ -105 at betonline
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

The 17th ranked Boilermakers are a fine team, but Butler has had this game circled for a while, and know the importance of this Indiana basketball matchup classic. It must noted that Butler has won 5 straight in this series, and have performed very well vs Big 10 competition in the past as is evident by a 21-11 SU record. Look for Butler and three key returning starters be the catalyst behind their cover this afternoon.

Butler to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 16, 2017
Chargers vs Chiefs
UNDER 46 -110
Play Type: Premium

It's chilly this time of year in KC, and the warm weather Chargers I'm betting will be slowed down by the cool weather . It must be noted that the Chiefs have gone under in 14 of their L/16 home games in December/January. Considering the Chargers are 1-7 UNDER L/8 overall , and own the 2nd ranking scoring D in the NFL  I will not be surprised with a low scoring affair here this week.  When these teams played back in Sept the Chiefs took a physical 24-10 win and a similar type of score is not out of the question and according to my numbers a high probability outcome.

The Chargers road games this season average just 38.7 combined points per game.

KANSAS CITY is 7-0 UNDER  L/7 after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games with a combined average of 36.6 ppg scored. Reid is 19-6 UNDER  in a home game with KC where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points with a combined average of 39.4 ppg scored   LA CHARGERS is 6-0 UNDER  L/6 after 1 or more consecutive wins this season with a combined average of 32.3 ppg scored.LA CHARGERS is 14-4 UNDER L/18 in games where the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average of 40.1 ppg scored.

NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (LA CHARGERS) - revenging a home loss against opponent, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% in the second half of the season are 25-7 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 16, 2017
Chargers vs Chiefs
Chiefs
+1 -105 at GTBets
Play Type: Premium

All teams go through slumps, including the KC chiefs, who ended a 4 game losing streak with a win last week vs the Oakland Raiders. Now with a little momentum on their sides I'm betting they take out a LA chargers side, that has won 4 straight games. I know Andy Reid's squad may not inspire bettors , but remember this is the NFL, and teams can go form zero to hero very quickly and vice versa. With that said, when using my player to player matchup systems and styles of play, my own analysis likes the way the Chiefs matchup vs the Chargers as was evident on Sept 24 in LA when the Chiefs beat the Chargers 24-10.

KC is 7-0 SU L/7 in this series.

Chargers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.Chargers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Chiefs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC West.Chiefs are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CHARGERS) - revenging a loss against opponent by 14 points or more, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are just 12-35 ATS dating back 34 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 75% for bettors.

Play on KC Chiefs to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Dec 16, 2017
Marshall vs Colorado State
Marshall
+5½ -110 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

GILDAN NEW MEXICO BOWL - Dreamstyle Stadium - Albuquerque, NM


The Marshall Thundering herd enter Bowl action with an established college football pedigree that must be respected. Marshall is 10-1 SU ATS in their L/11 Bowl games, and are a perfect 8-0 SU/ATS vs .580 or better opposition like Colorado State. Meanwhile, Colorado State since beating up on Oregon State have been a disappointment this season, and are currently on a 0-6 ATS run.

CUSA Bowl teams are very successful of late winning 22 of their L/33 SU since 2011.

Holliday is 9-1 ATS L/10  when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest .

Play on Marshall to cover
 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Dec 16, 2017
North Texas vs Troy
North Texas
+7 -115 at Bovada
Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium

R+L CARRIERS NEW ORLEANS BOWL - Superdome - New Orleans, LA

North Texas enters this game as TD underdog vs the Sun Belt champion Troy. However, it must be noted that UNT is 9-0 SU all time vs Sun Belt sides when they own a .500 record or better , and Troy is just 2-7 ATS /0-4 ATS L/4 as favs vs CUSA opposition and have failed to cover 3 of 4 as Bowl favorites. I know the Mean Green looked horrid in their championship tilt vs Florida Atlantic , but the good news is that CUSA Bowl teams are 13-2 ATS off a loss. Note: Conference USA sides  like N.Texas in Bowl Games over the L/6 seasons are 22-11 SU. I also noticed Troy looked wiped at the end of the season and despite of beating Arkansas State in their last game were actually out gained by more than 300 yards.

NORTH TEXAS is 10-2 ATS  L/12 in road games after trailing in their previous game by 24 or more points.

Play on North Texas to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Dec 16, 2017
Georgia State vs Western Kentucky
UNDER 52 -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

AUTONATION CURE BOWL - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FL

Both these teams struggled to put points on the board this season, with W.Kentucky averaging only 19 ppg away from home, and Georgia State 19.7 ppg overall on offense. I'm betting on points to once again be hard to by for both sides, and for the combined total score to end up on the low side of the number.

GEORGIA ST is 12-4 UNDER  L/16 when the total is between 49.5 and 56 with a combined average of 44.7 ppg scored.

CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (GEORGIA ST/W.KENTUCKY) - in a game involving two average teams (within +/- 50 YPG of their opponents) are 36-8 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 18 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 17 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.