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Larry Ness Larry Ness
Larry was 4-3 overall on Saturday, a card which produced a modest profit, but which was highlighted by his dual 10* "GAME OF MONTH" victories (on Kansas City in the NFL and on Dayton in College hoops!) Any takers?!
Larry’s 10* CBB Las Vegas Insider (SOLID +$3,500 CBB YTD!)

Last year Larry posted better than +$9,000 units on the College hardwood and this season sees this 34 year handicapping legend also playing with the books money this year! After last night’s big 10* CBB “GAME OF MONTH” win on Dayton, Ness is now a SOLID 28-22 +$3,582 YTD on the College hardwood! DO NOT miss out on any more of the BIG TIME winning!

*This package includes 1 NCAA-B Spread pick

Larry’s 10* NBA Situational Stunner!

Larry's a fundamental handicapper at heart but he does pay attention to team and situational trends. When his fundamental handicapping and a strong trend or situation match up, he releases a Situational Stunner!

*This package includes 1 NBA Spread pick

Larry’s 10* CBB Las Vegas Insider (+$12K CBB RUN CONTINUES!)

34 year handicapping legend Larry Ness posted +$9,000 in profits on the College hardwood last season and he’s once again playing with the books money this year as well! Jump on board this top rated 10* pick and find out what “it pays to be on the inside with Larry!”

*This package includes 1 NCAA-B Spread pick

Larry’s 10* NFL SUPER TOTAL (THIS IS TRULY THE BIG ONE FOLKS!)

 If you are thinking about purchasing a top rated 10* NFL total this weekend, then you should SERIOUSLY consider making it this one! Seriously, they DO NOT get much bigger than this! Don’t make a move on this card without first checking in with this 34 year handicapping legend first - any takers?!

*This package includes 1 NFL Total pick

**100% LAST SEASON!** 10* X-Mas Eve Hawaii Bowl *LEGEND!* (12-5/71%!)

Ness’ exclusive “signature” Bowl “LEGEND” packages are a MAGNIFICENT 12-5 (71%) over the L9 years after hitting BOTH last season (Dec. 30th hit Florida State over Michigan 33-32 in the Orange Bowl as a 7-point underdog! Jan. 2nd hit Oklahoma over Auburn 35-19 as a 2-point fav in the Sugar Bowl!) More of the same expected this year - any takers?!

*This package includes 1 NCAA-F Spread pick

Larry’s 10* Boxing Day “34-Club Play” Signature Release!

It’s back-to-back signature releases sandwiched around X-Mas Day for Larry this year, with his LEGEND going on X-Mas Eve and his 34-Club Play going on Boxing Day! Don’t make a move on this card without first checking in with Ness first!

*This package includes 1 NCAA-F Spread pick

Larry’s 10* BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR (THIS IS THE BIG ONE!)

When Larry stamps a pick with top rated 10* status, clients KNOW to pay attention. And when this 34 year handicapping legend designates a release as one of his GAME OF MONTH/YEAR packages, then the rest of the industry stands up to take notice! Make the most of it gentlemen, it’s Larry’s ABSOLUTE BIGGEST Bowl play of the ENTIRE season! Any takers?!

*This package includes 1 NCAA-F Spread pick

EARLY 10* NEW YEARS DAY OUTBACK BOWL “LEGEND!” (100% LAST YEAR!)

Ness’ exclusive “signature” Bowl “LEGEND” packages are 12-5 (71%) over the L9 years after hitting BOTH last season (Dec. 30th hit FSU over Michigan 33-32 in Orange Bowl as 7-point dog! Jan. 2nd Oklahoma over Auburn 35-19 as 2-point fav in Sugar Bowl!) Start 2018 off with a BANG, as it’s South Carolina and Michigan in the Outback Bowl - any takers?!

*This package includes 1 NCAA-F Spread pick

Larry’s 10* JAN. CFB GAME OF MONTH (ROSE BOWL NCAAF PLAYOFF!)

When the lights are at their brightest is when 34 year handicapping legend Larry Ness is routinely at his best! Larry is ready to BLOW THE DOORS OFF VEGAS to open the New Year, stamping the Rose Bowl between Georgia and Oklahoma with top rated 10* BIG TICKET “GAME OF THE MONTH” status! Any takers?!

*This package includes 1 NCAA-F Spread pick

ALL SPORTS SUBSCRIPTIONS
1 Day All Sports GUARANTEED Subscription

Get all of Larry's plays for today for just $49.95! Ness is a 33-year handicapping veteran and he's ready to get the job done each and every day throughout the Calendar year. *EXTREME VALUE!*

*This subscription includes 2 Picks (1 NCAA-B, 1 NBA)

7 Days All Sports GUARANTEED Subscription

Get 7 days of plays from 32-year handicapping veteran Larry Ness! Ness is expecting a massive profit haul throughout the calendar year, make sure you're on board, get EVERY play, EVERY day for an entire week!

*This subscription includes 4 Picks (2 NCAA-B, 1 NBA & 1 NFL)

1 MONTH ALL PICKS FROM RED HOT LARRY NESS!

TAKE FULL ADVANTAGE! Larry had an EPIC overall 2016/17 wagering season. One of his BIGGEST highlights was his 5-0 showing on Christmas Day, a perfect sweep which featured a HUGE 10* NFL "GAME OF THE YEAR" winner! Another big season is expected! Get ALL picks for 30 days for one LOW price!

*This subscription includes 9 Picks (2 NCAA-B, 5 NCAA-F, 1 NBA & 1 NFL)

1 Year All Sports GUARANTEED LARRY NESS!

TAKE FULL ADVANTAGE! Larry had an EPIC overall 2016, one which was highlighted by a 5-0 (100%) PERFECT SWEEP on Christmas day, which featured his 10* NFL GAME OF THE YEAR victory! An even bigger 2017 and beyond is predicted! Make sure to take advantage with this LOW-LOW all inclusive price!

*This subscription includes 9 Picks (2 NCAA-B, 5 NCAA-F, 1 NBA & 1 NFL)

NCAA-B SUBSCRIPTIONS
Larry's 2017/18 EARLY BIRD CBB PACKAGE (WAS 131-109-10 +$8,638 ALL CBB L/Y)

Larry had an EPIC "hoops" campaign in 2016/17, finishing +$15,000 units in the NBA and +$8,638 in College Hoops! He's expecting an EVEN BIGGER 2017/18! Get in on the "ground floor" for one LOW price!

*This subscription includes 2 NCAA-B picks

NHL SUBSCRIPTIONS
Larry's EARLY BIRD 2017/18 NHL SEASON PACKAGE (GREAT VALUE!)

Get EVERY SINGLE NHL pick that Larry releases from the opening face off until the final horn in 2017/18!

No picks available.

NBA SUBSCRIPTIONS
Larry Ness' EARLY BIRD 2017/18 NBA Full Season (EPIC +$15K LAST YEAR!)

It was WIRE-TO-WIRE profits for Larry on the pro hardwood last season as he'd go on to finish a SPECTACULAR 164-135-7 +$15,240 NBA 2016/17! This 34 year handicapping legend has EVEN BIGGER plans for the 2017/18 campaign! Get EVERY pick from the Opening tip till the final shot in the Finals!

*This subscription includes 1 NBA pick

BASKETBALL [NBA+NCAAB] SUBSCRIPTIONS
NBA/CBB 2017/18 Early Bird Combo Super Special (FINISHED +$24K COMBINED!)

Larry absolutely DOMINATED the "hardwood" in 2016/17, finishing +$15,000 units in the NBA and +$9,000 units in College Hoops! 

In this INCREDIBLE offer you get his FULL NBA and College Hoops 2017/18 package! 

*This subscription includes 3 Picks (2 NCAA-B, 1 NBA)

FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 17, 2017
Titans vs. 49ers
Titans
+2 -110
  at  BOVADA
started

My 1* Free Play is on the Tennessee Titans (4:25 EST).

The 8-5 Tennessee Titans are in San Francisco to take on the 3-10 49ers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

The 49ers look poised for a letdown here in my opinion after winning three of their last four. 

The Titans on the other hand will be the more “desperate” team today as last week’s loss at Arizona dropped them a game behind Jacksonville for the AFC South lead. 

Tennessee’ QB Marcus Mariota bruised his knee in last week’s loss: “Frustration is an understatement,” Mariota assessed afterwards. “The defense played lights out, special teams did their job and I have been hurting our team and I have to find ways to get better and improve.”

San Fran QB Jimmy Garoppolo is 2-0 for his new team, last week he went 20 of 33 for 334 yards, one TD and one INT in the 26-16 victory over the Texans. 

I’ll point out though that Tennessee is still 6-4 ATS in its last ten non-conference games, while San Francisco is only 2-7 ATS in its last nine in the same position. 

The book is out on Garoppolo now, who I think will struggle against the Titans aggressive defense. Mariota is under a great deal of pressure to step up and perform this week and I think he’ll be up to the task. 

For all the reasons listed above, consider a play on Tennessee in this matchup.

Good luck…Larry

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Dec 16, 2017
Clippers vs Heat
UNDER 205 -105 Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

My 10* O/U PERFECT STORM is on the under Clippers/Heat (8:05 EST).

LA comes in off a 100-91 road loss to Washington Friday, while Miami enters off a 104-98 road win over the Hornets last night. 

LA averages 105 PPG and concedes 106.7. Leading scorer Blake Griffin is out with injury, meaning that Lou Williams (20 points, 4.8 assists) will be leaned upon heavily until his return.

The Heat average just 100.3 PPG and concede just 102.7. Guard Goran Dragic averages 17.1 points, 4.1 boards and 4.4 assists per game. 

I’ll point out that LA has already seen the total go under the number in six of nine non-conference games this year and in eight of 13 on the road, while Miami has seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of 11 non-conference games and in six of seven against teams with losing records (also in six of 11 home games.) 

No need to overthink this one. LA has done well without Griffin in the line-up, but his absence will be felt in the second game of the back-to-back. The Heat can defend and have troubles scoring and will also be “gassed” in the second game of hte back-to-back scenario. When you add it all up, this number is indeed a little high. Play the under.

Good luck…Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Dec 16, 2017
Predators vs Flames
Flames
-105 at betonline
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Top Premium

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Calgary Flames (10:05 EST).

Calgary has struggled over its last ten games, winning just four of them. The Flames come in having lost two straight, most recently a tough 3-2 setback to the Sharks.

With a game tomorrow night on the road in Vancouver, the Flames look to break their string of shoddy play with a big victory in front of the home town crowd.

Nashville comes in on the other end of the spectrum, having won seven of its last ten, including back-to-back games, most recently a 4-0 win in Edmonton on Thursday (after hammering the Canucks 7-2.) 

With two whole nights off before a home game against the Jets, I think the visitors finally come in a bit complacent here and get caught looking ahead.

Additionally I’ll point out that the Predators are already 0-2 (-2.1 units) after shutting out their opponent in their previous game, while Calgary is 3-1 (+1.7 units) in its last four after losing in OT and failing to register three or more goals in its previous outing.

For all the reasons listed above, play on the Flames.

Good luck…Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 16, 2017
Georgia State vs Dayton
Dayton
-3½ -105 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on Dayton (7:00 EST).

The 7-3 Georgia State Panthers get ready to battle the 4-5 Dayton Flyers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the Flyers.

The Panthers looked poised for a letdown in my opinion after winning four of their last five. Conversely, Dayton is going to be risking life and limb here as it comes in having lost three of its last four, most recently falling at Penn last weekend.

Georgia State is led by guard D’Marcus Simonds, who had 33 points in his team’s 90-70 victory over lowly Point University in their latest action. 

In Dayton’s 78-70 home loss to Penn last Saturday, junior forward Xeyrius Williams sat out with a minor injury, but he’s expected back for this one. Williams averages 8.8 points, 5.3 boards and 4.3 assists per game. 

I’ll point out as well that the Panthers are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven on the road against teams with winning home records and just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games following three or more consecutive home contests, while the Flyers are 5-0 ATS in their last five following a loss and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 following an ATS setback.

Dayton is the deeper and hungrier team. Beyond Simonds the Panthers are pretty thin and they now face some real competition that’s focused on the task at hand. I believe Georgia State stumbles down the stretch and the under-acheiving Flyers find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Dec 16, 2017
Middle Tennessee State vs Arkansas State
Arkansas State
-3½ -110 at GTBets
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Free

This is a 1* Free Play on Arkansas State (8:00 EST).

The 6-6 MTSU Blue Raiders get ready to battle 7-4 Arkansas State in the Camellia Bowl this weekend and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the Red Wolves.

MTSU comes in having won three of its last four, while Arkansas State will be eager to get back with one more victory here after falling to Troy in its regular season finale.

The Blue Raiders have a balanced rushing and passing offense. QB Brent Stockskill took over half way through the year and sports a 14/5 TD/INT. This team is used to outscoring its competition, so its defense is the weak point.

Arkansas State is another team with an explosive offense. QB Justice Hansen averages 330 passing yards, to go along with 35 rushing yards per game. In the end Hansen posted a total of 34 TD’s combined through the air and on the ground this season. Like their counterpart today, the Red Wolves weakness is on the defensive side of the ball, but the unit is a step up, having forced 10 fumbles and 11 INT’s this year. 

I’ll point out as well that MTSU is 0-4 ATS in its last four bowl games, while Arkansas State is 5-2 ATS in its last seven as a favorite. 

Hansen has only been sacked 27 times this year and the Blue Raiders don’t have much of a pass rush. Simply put, I think the Red Wolves have a distinct advantage in at least two of the three phases and because of that, I’ll indeed recommend a second look at Arkansas State in the Camellia Bowl this year.

Good luck…Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 16, 2017
Chargers vs Chiefs
Chiefs
+2 -115 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Kansas City Chiefs (8:25 EST).

The winner of this contest will take first place in the division. LA enters off a 30-13 home win over Washington, while KC enters off a 26-15 win over Oakland.

If recent history is any precedence, then the Chiefs have to be loving their chances today, because when these teams met earlier in the year, it was KC that pulled away for the comfortable 24-10 victory.

The Chargers come into this one ranked fourth in the league in total offense with 372.7 per game, while ranked 12th in total yards allowed with 325.1 YPG conceded.

Chargers’ QB Philip Rivers was 18 of 31 last week for 319 yards and two TD’s. 

KC averages 371.3 YPG and concedes 373.4 per contest. Last week QB Alex Smith was 20 of 34 for 268 yards. 

I’ll point out though that LA is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten after posting more than 350 total yards in its previous game, while KC is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 after psoting more than 150 rushing yards in its previous outing.

The Chiefs won’t be taking anything for granted here after breaking a four-game slide in their last outing. 

The Chargers have been on a roll, but this is a tough environment at this time of year and I think Rivers and company finally have a letdown.

Play on Kansas City.

Good luck…Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Dec 16, 2017
Marshall vs Colorado State
Marshall
+5½ -110 at GTBets
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Marshall (4:30 EST).

The 7-5 Marshall Thundering Herd get ready to battle the 7-8 Colorado State Rams in the New Mexico Bowl on Saturday and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors Marshall.

Marshall QB Chase Litton finished with a 23/12 TD/INT and threw at least one TD strike in all but two games this year. The Herd feature two capable backs in Tyler King and Keion Davis. 

Marshall’s strength is on the defensive side, especially against the run.

The Rams weakness is on the defensive side, especially against pass heavy offenses. QB Nick Stevens had a 27/10 TD/INT. Colorado State also features a strong run game led by Dalyn Dawkins, who had 1,349 rushing yards on the year. 

I’ll point out though that the Herd are 5-1 ATS in their last six folliowing an ATS loss and 5-0 ATS in their last five neutral site affairs, while the Rams are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six neutral site contests. 

Marshall has the better overall defense, allowing an average of just 125 rushing yards per game. Colorado State allows an average of 243 passing yards per game. 

I like Litton to light up this suspect Rams secondary and for Marshall to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Dec 16, 2017
Oregon vs Boise State
Oregon
-7½ -110 at BMaker
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Oregon (3:30 EST).

Boise State enters off a 17-14 win in the Mountain West title game back on December 2nd, while Oregon won its final two of the regular season (which included an impressive 69-10 win over Oregon State in “The Civil War.”)

The Broncos finished 39th in scoring this year with an average of 32.1 PPG. Boise State was decent defensively as well, allowing 22.5 PPG. QB Montell Cozart had 747 yards, ten TD’s and one INT. He’d go on to finish third on the team in rushing with 361 yards and four scores. QB Brett Rypien had 2,515 yards, 14 TD’s and four INT’s. 

Oregon averaged 36.7 PPG and allowed 28.3. QB Justin Herbert had 1,750 yards, 13 TD’s and three INT’s. RB Royce Freeman has 1,475 rushing yards and 16 major scores on the ground. 

I’ll point out as well that Oregon is already 1-0 ATS this year when playing with two or more weeks of rest and also 6-3 ATS in its last nine games played on “turf,” while Boise State is just 13-19 ATS in its last 32 non-conference games and just 3-10 ATS in its last 13 against teams with winning records.

I think the Ducks carry over the momentum that they found in the final two regular season games and I have a hard time seeing the Broncos keeping pace down the stretch. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Dec 16, 2017
North Texas vs Troy
North Texas
+7 -115 at Bovada
Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium

The first 8* pick in my Superstar Triple Play is on North Texas (1:00 EST).

North Texas comes off a 41-17 loss to Florida Atlantic in the A-10 Championship Game, while Troy tied Appalachian State for the Sun Belt title. 

The Mean Green had little chance against high-powered FAU, which would wind up going undefeated in conference action. QB Mason Fine threw two INT’s in the loss. In three games previous though Fine had posted a 9/2 TD/INT. 

Troy has the better overall record than App State at 10-2, but both teams went 7-1 in conference action. The Trojans beat Arkansas State 32-25, but gave up over more than 300 yards then they themselves registered. 

I’ll point out that UNT is 7-1 ATS in its last eight non-conference games, while Troy is 2-5 ATS in its last seven following an ATS victory and just 1-5 ATS in its last six non-conference games. 

Florida Atlantic was a team of destiny this season. UNT though excelled down the stretch of the regular season and I like the Mean Green bounce back and to keep this one competitive down the stretch.

Grab the points, play on North Texas.

Good luck…Larry

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 17, 2017
Rams vs Seahawks
Seahawks
-1½ -110 at Bovada
Play Type: Premium

My 9* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Seattle Seahawks (4:05 EST).

Divisional games are always the most important and they almost always mean more to the home side. 

LA had its two game win streak snapped in a 43-35 defeat to Philadelphia at home last Sunday, while Seattle also had its two game win streak broken in a 30-24 setback at Jacksonville. 

If recent history is any precedence though, then the Hawks have to be liking their chances this afternoon, because when these teams met back on October 7th in LA, it was Seattle that pulled away for the 16-10 victory. 

LA ranks second in the league in scoring with 30.5 PPG, while ranked 12th on the defensive side by conceding 20.4. QB Jared Goff has 3,383 yards, 22 TD’s and six INT’s. RB Todd Gurley has 1,035 rushing yards and ten TD’s. 

Seattle averages 24.2 PPG, while conceding 19.4. QB Russell Wilson has 3,537 yards, 29 TD’s and 11 INT’s. He also has a team high 482 rushing yards, plus three more scores on the ground. WR Doug Baldwin has 860 receiving yards and five TD’s. 

I’ll point out though that LA is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after allowing 40 points or more in its previous contest, while Seattle is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 following a straight up loss.

Seattle’s defense isn’t what it used to be, but it’s still very formidable, among the league leaders in almost every category on that side of the ball. The Rams have struggled to move the ball against the league’s better defenses and this will ceratinly be a difficult atmosphere to play in as well.

When you add it all up, all signs point to a crucial victory for the hungry Seahawks. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 17, 2017
Ravens vs Browns
Browns
+7 -105 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

My 8* Situational Stunner is on the Cleveland Browns (1:00 EST).

The 7-6 Baltimore Ravens are at Cleveland to take on the 0-13 Browns and for a number of different reasons, i think this one favors the home side.

The pressure is on Baltimore this weekend after a crushing 39-38 loss at Pittsburgh on Sunday. Cleveland can empathize, as it blew a late two-touchdown lead late in the fourth quarter to Green Bay last week, falling 27-21 in OT. Note that this is a revenge game for the Browns after the Ravens took the first one 24-10 back on September 17th. 

Last week Baltimore gave up 438 passing yards to the Steelers. RB Alex Collins was a bright spot with 120 rushing yards. QB Joe Flacco was 20 of 35 for 269 yards, two TD’s and a pick. The Ravens average just 298.1 YPG (27th), while conceding 329.2.

Browns’ QB DeShone Kizer had 214 yards, three TD’s and two INT’s in last week’s loss to the Packers. RB Isaiah Crowell has been solid this year with 716 yards and four TD’s. WR Josh Gordon has created quite the stir since his return and in two games he so far has 154 yards on seven catches with one TD.

Cleveland averages 311.4 YPG and concedes 328.3. 

It’s interesting to note though that Baltimore is just 2-3 ATS in its last five after allowing 38 points or more in its previous contest, while Cleveland is 2-1 ATS in its last three trying to revenge a loss against an opponent.

While I do indeed feel that the conditions are right for an outright upset, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on Cleveland.

Good luck…Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 17, 2017
Eagles vs Giants
Giants
+7½ -110 at BMaker
Play Type: Top Premium

My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the New York Giants (1:00 EST).

Philadelphia comes to The Big Apple off a big 43-35 win over the Rams, while New York enters off a 30-10 loss to the Cowboys. Note that when these teams played earlier in the year, it was the Eagles that hung on for the hard-fought 27-24 victory.

The Eagles are ranked third in the league in total offense with 390.5 YPG, but No. 1 in scoring offense with 31.1 PPG. Defensively Philadelphia has also been sharp, ranked fourth overall by allowing 294.2 YPG.

This is a prime letdown spot for Philadlephia if I’ve ever seen it. Last week’s epic win over the Rams clinched the team the NFC East title. But the victory came at a massive cost, as starting QB Carson Wentz was lost to injury for the rest of the season. Backup Nick Foles has plenty of weapons to work with, but he hasn’t seen any serious action since 2013/14. Jay Ajayi looked decent last week, but the defense looked horrible.

New York averages just 15.3 PPG, while conceding 24.7, ranked 26th. In last weeks loss QB Eli Manning was 31 of 46 for 227 yards, a TD and three INT’s. 

Manning was playing from behind from the get-go and with nothing to lose this weekend either, we can expect the veteran to once again “air it out.” 

Manning is playing for pride this weekend after his recent benching. Certainly he can’t be happy with his performance last weekend. 

The Eagles are an awesome team, but all of the above external factors working against them here will be too much for Foles to overcome in my opinion.

While I’ll stop short in calling for an outright upset, I do definitely feel that the desperate Giants can keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 17, 2017
Patriots vs Steelers
Patriots
-2 -116 at betonline
Play Type: Premium

My 8* NFL Week 15 Las Vegas Insider is on the NE Patriots at 4:25 ET.

The 10-3 New England Patriots are in Pittsburgh to take on the 11-2 Steelers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the defending champs.

After a loss to Miami last week, New England sits at 10-3 and one game back in the AFC, while Pittsburgh comes in having won eight straight, most recently coming from behind to knock off the Ravens at home in a thriller.

I think it’s important to point out though that the Pats haven’t lost back-to-back games since Week 12 and 13 of the 2015 campaign.

Clearly New England was collectively caught “looking ahead” to this much more important game last week: “It was a bad night,” Brady assessed. “We’ve had a lot of good nights this year. This was a bad night.”

I simply feel that Pittsburgh runs out of gas here. It’s win streak is extremely impressive and it does have the benefit of playing at home, but last week’s 39-38 Sunday night victory over Baltimore was an emotionally draining one and I believe the team comes in “hung over” still from that monumental win.

Remember, in January of 2017, New England throttled the Steelers 36-17 in the AFC title game. 

In conclusion, I guess we shouldn't have been too surprised by the Dolphins' win last Sunday. Sure, the Pats won 35-14 last season in Miami but the Dolphins had won iin New England' s three previous visits, including 2015 when the loss cost the Pats the AFC's No. 1 seed. What was shocking about last Sunday's result was Brady completing just 24 of 43 for 223 with one TD and two INTs (note: he entered the game with just four INTs on 438 attempts). What's more, the Pats were 0 of 11 on third down tries! 

Really think Brady will play that poorly again? Especially with so much on the line vs. Pittsburgh and Big Ben?

A check of the record book reveals that New England is 10-3 against the Steelers during the Belichick era, including 3-0 in the playoffs. 

What's more, the Pats are 54-18 SU and 48-24 ATS off a loss since 2000!

I’m jumping on the defending champs in this matchup.

Good luck…Larry

SERVICE BIO

Age: 63 (turns 64 in November).

Years in handicapping: Larry entered his 34th year in the industry in August of 2017.

Achievements in handicapping: 1985 Castaway’s Pro Football Challenge Champion, then the most prestigious handicapping contest in Las Vegas; 1999 Stardust Invitational semi-finalist.

A member of the original cast of Proline, the nation’s longest running pre-game handicapping show on the USA-TV network (also hosted Sports Desk on the same network). Although well-known on TV for his expert game analysis and no-nonsense handicapping style, Larry may be best known for his radio work. He hosted his own syndicated call-in radio show, Sports Central. It aired live from Bally's Casino in Las Vegas in the early to mid-90s and at one time was heard in more than 100 markets.

Systems used for handicapping a game: Fundamental and statistical analysis. "I'm not typically a trend and system kind of guy," Ness says. "I look at team strengths and weaknesses and compare them. It’s an all-encompassing thing and over 30-plus years, you get good at it."

34-Club Play: It represents Larry's 34 years in the business and gets his highest star rating (10*s). Expect no more than one of these plays per month, per sport during the regular season.

LEGEND Play: Larry's often been referred to as a Las Vegas legend and he's 'borrowed' the title for his other "signature play.". Larry's LEGEND Plays were previously available to only a select group of private clients but they are now available to all, through the internet. Like his 34-Club plays, expect no more than one play per month, per sport (rated 10*s).

PERFECT STORM: Larry just added these plays the last few years and his accompanying expert analysis makes these popular plays self-explanatory (rated 9 or 10*s).

Situational Stunners: Larry's a fundamental handicapper at heart but he does pay attention to team and situational trends (especially in MLB). When his fundamental handicapping and a strong trend or situation match up, he releases a Situational Stunner. He just started releasing these plays in MLB '09 and he's expanded them since, to all sports (rated 8, 9 or 10*s).

Las Vegas Insider: Throughout his 34 years, Larry has become known as "the ultimate Las Vegas insider." The contacts he's developed over more than two decades (on both sides of the 'counter'), are arguably "unmatched!" He confers daily with 'his friends' and when "all the stars align on the same game," Larry releases an exclusive Las Vegas Insider (rated between 8 and 10*s).

Oddsmaker's Error Plays: Larry uses this term with "great respect" (and not very often), as he counts among his very closest friends many of Las Vegas' most famous and respected Sport Book directors (past and present). However, when Larry feels "the line is significantly off," he'll release one of these "not to be missed" plays (rated between 8 and 10*s).

Weekly and Weekend Wipeout Winners: Larry added this self-explanatory moniker just a few years ago. They've become immensely popular and why not? Who wouldn't want a game that has "blowout written all over it," supported by Larry's expert analysis (rated between 8 and 10*s).

Late-Breaking Plays: Larry will always go back and take a "second look" at each day's card, after posting all his games. When he finds something he missed the first time around, he'll release a Late-Breaking Play. These plays are more prevalent in sports like baseball and basketball than football (typically rated at 8 or 9*s).

Superstar Triple Play: Over the years, many of Larry's regular clients have clamored for more three-game reports. You asked for it and Larry's responded. Back in the late 1980s and into the mid 1990s, 900-numbers became "the rage." While a panel member of Proline (see above), Larry created the Superstar Triple Play. One call got you three Superstar Triple Plays (in a particular sport). For almost a decade, anywhere from 1,500 to 3,500 callers responded each weekend, when Larry offered his famous "Superstar Triple Play" pitch on Proline. Starting in 2009, Larry began going "Back to the Future!" Almost every Saturday (college) and Sunday (NFL) this football season, get three plays on a single report from Larry (many will be TV games), the originator of the "Superstar Triple Play!"

Release Times: Larry likes to release his picks early so that clients have as much time as possible to shop around. NFL and College Football plays are posted very early in the week (sometimes almost up to a week in advance.) NBA, College hoops and NHL are all posted the day before the game goes off. And the same goes for MLB, with selections posted the night before the game. Sometimes life gets in the way and Ness won't release until the morning of the game, but for the majority of the year Larry likes to say: "The earlier the better!" 

Sports and conferences he excels at handicapping: MLB is Larry's favorite sports to handicap, saying the money is in the statistics. He 'loves' the daily action and the long season. "If I had to pick one sport, I would chose baseball because you’re playing pitchers, streaks, teams that are hot and cold," Ness says. "I also love the NBA and NFL playoffs, the college bowl games plus the college basketball tourneys, which are seasons unto themselves."

Quote: "No one works any harder and my work-product speaks for itself," Ness says. "I have a no-nonsense style and my logic is easy to follow. Anyone buying my plays will know exactly what I was thinking when I made the selection. After 34 years, the Larry Ness brand is instantly recognizable and my analysis ranks with the best in the industry."