Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Arizona Diamondbacks +108

The Arizona Diamondbacks are rolling right now.  They are 15-3 in their last 18 games overall and still lacking the respect they deserve from oddsmakers.  They should not be home dogs to the Cardinals today, especially considering they are 29-10 and scoring 6.3 runs per game at home this year.

Taijuan Walker has been solid in his first season in Arizona, going 6-3 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.333 WHIP in 11 starts.  He has gone 3-0 with a 2.12 ERA in his last three starts as well.  Walker will be facing the Cardinals for the first time, which will be to his advantage.

Carlos Martinez is pitching very well overall for the Cardinals, but he hasn't had much success away from home.  Martinez is 2-5 with a 4.29 ERA and 1.357 WHIP in seven road starts this year.  I don't foresee him having much success against one of the best lineups in baseball today.

The Cardinals are 1-5 in Martinez's last six road starts vs. a team with a winning record.  St. Louis is 3-11 in its last 14 road games overall.  The Diamondbacks are 26-6 in their last 32 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  Arizona is 7-2 in Walker's last nine starts.  Bet the Diamondbacks Tuesday.

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I'm recommending a play on the Cardinals with Martinez over Walker.  We know all about Paul Goldschmidt & the the high scoring Arizona Diamondbacks.  But Carlos Martinez has gotten the best of the D-backs in his career thus far and we expect more of the same tonight.  Martinez owns a 2.86 ERA in seven appearances, including four starts against Arizona.  And Martinez has been Goldschmidt's "cooler," holding him to a .200 batting average in 10 plate appearances.  The Cardinal righthander owns a 2.32 ERA in his last 11 starts, going six-plus innings in each of them. Taijuan Walker has found success, but he's fallen a little too much in love with his cutter of late and we expect the Redbirds to take advantage.  Combined with Martinez on the bump, we feel we have a solid spot to back the Cardinals on Tuesday.  Thanks & GL!  Scott Spreitzer.