Free pick on Browns OVER

I just don't think the mark here is high enough for Sunday's AFC North clash between the Ravens and Browns. I'm not expecting a 38-31 shootout or anything like that, but I don't think it's asking a lot for these two to eclipse 40 points. 

Cleveland's offense has shown some flashes since they added in Josh Gordon. He's caught 7 passes for 154 yards and score in two starts since returning from his suspension. I think he's starting to find his rhythm with DeShone Kizer and could be in store for a big day. Keep in mind the Ravens recently lost their best corner in Jimmy Smith and without him in their last game, Pittsburgh's Antonio Brown had 11 catches for 213 yards. Roethlisberger also connected 10 times with Jesse James and 9 times with Le'Veon Bell, as he threw for 506 yards. 

As for the Ravens offense, I think they were so bad early on that people are overlooking their strong showings of late. Baltimore's 38 points were definitely aided by the Steelers missing star linebacker Ryan Shazier, but they also had 44 the week before against Detroit and are averaging 31.3 ppg over their last 6. Cleveland's defense is better than it gets credit for, but it's also allowed 27 or more in 4 of their last 6 games. 

It's also worth noting that Baltimore has trended towards playing in high-scoring games than expected when coming off a heartbreaking division loss. The OVER is 16-6 in their last 22 games when they are coming off a loss by 3-points or less to a division rival. OVER is also 5-1 in their last 6 road games and 6-0 in their last 6 games played in December. Take the OVER! 

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DMack's Free NFL Play for Sunday, December 17, 2017, is on the Baltimore Ravens

Cleveland just keeps finding ways to lose and are running out of time to avoid a 0-16 bagel. That said, despite losing their last two home game in overtime, they may want to leave it all on the field in Chicago next week. The Ravens are 17-2 over the L9 in the series and easily dispatched Cleveland 24-10 in Week Two as the Browns turned the ball over five times. Baltimore is still in the thick of the wildcard race and needs a win here so they won't overlook the brownies here. Flacco has the offense humming now producing 82 points the last two games and rolling to nine touchdowns in the teams L22 drives. Cleveland has a penchant for giving it up late, outscored 90-37 in the second half of their L6 games and that seals the deal for us.

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL Game #322 Sunday Free Pick Cleveland Browns (+) vs Baltimore Ravens @ 1 ET - The Ravens are off of a tough 1-point loss at Pittsburgh where they allowed 545 yards. The Browns are also off of a tough loss (in OT) versus Green Bay last week but at least Cleveland gets the benefit of being at home again this week. Baltimore is traveling for the 2nd straight week while the Browns are hosting for a 2nd straight week. Cleveland is going to continue to fight hard as they battle for that elusive first win of the season and this is their final chance to do it for the home fans as their last two games of the season are on the road. The Ravens are 3-8 ATS as a favorite between 3.5 and 9.5 points. Baltimore is also an ugly 4-10 ATS in games against teams with a losing record. As a road fave of 3.5 to 7 points, the Ravens are 8-15 ATS. Free Pick CLEVELAND