FREE PLAY - FROM TONY GEORGE SPORTS 

NY Mets @ Milwaukee

The Mets are on fire.  10-4 run, WOW.  This series is notorious for the Under, 7-1 the last 8 meetings, but remember that trends tend to reverse and even out more times than not and with the total at 7.5, oddsmakers look for this to be a low scoring affair tonight.  I like the Brew Crew at home here, and while their starting pitcher stats do not match the numbers of the Mets starter on the season, the Mets offense, no matter how hot they are will struggle again tonight and that will be doom.

Matt Garza takes the hill at home tonight with a solid 3.71 ERA his last 3 and considering that the Mets as a team are hitting a paltry .156 as a team against right handers their last 5 games, and .170 overall as a team, I consider Garza with run support which he will have, the winning pitcher here tonight as he squares off against Dillon Gee whose ERA on the season is 2.92 but in his last 3 his ERA has increased to 4.00.  It is Garza’s 0.96 WHIP that is impressive in his last 3 starts.  The Brew Crew have put up 18 runs in their last 4 games, including a sweep of the Cincy Reds who were hot, while the Mets have managed just 9 runs in their last 4 games.

It is about pitching and hitting folks, but in this game while I consider the pitching and bullpens almost dead even, it is the hitting and offense of Milwaukee that hold value, especially at home because the Mets are 7 games below 500 on the road.  A little chalky on the line here but worth the stretch for a half unit play in this contest tonight.

Free Pro Pick on Milwaukee -145

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