The NBA Late night bailout is on Houston. Game 549 at 10:10 eastern. We are fading Portland here tonight as they are in a nasty long term system that is 0-21 to the spread for  conference home dogs in game 4 through 74 of the season that have a 599 or less win percentage, have revenge, were up by 20 or more at the half in their last game, had 11 or more turnovers and are taking on a team that is .400 or better and had 13 or more turnovers in their last game. Since the year 2000 all 21 of these  home teams have failed to cover. The Blazers may bounce a bit here as they are off 3 wins and put up their 2nd highest amount of points on the season going for 137 in the win vs Utah. Huston has won 5 of the last 6 and 6 of the last 7 in this series including 2 blowout wins this season. Houston has covered 11 straight when they win as a road favorite. Look for the Rockets to get the cover.

SU: 0-21

ATS: 0-21 

Trailblazers    Rockets    home  1&1     6.5              221.5

The NBA Totals System Play is on the Over in the Toronto at Charlotte game. Rotation numbers 529/530 at 7:10 eastern. We have a solid 9-0 Over System in play here that pertains to home dogs that are off a road dog win at +8 or higher and won on the road prior to that upset win if they have rest and are taking on a team off a home win and the posted total tonight is 238 or lower.  The Hornets pulled one of the biggest upsets of the season winning by 27 as a 15 point dog in OKC. Now they take on a Toronto team that is off a pair of high scoring wins over Atlanta. The Raptors have 25 point home blowout loss revenge here tonight. Charlotte has flown over in 4 straight at home and we will move on the Over in this game as the line has plummetted to 230 in some spots. Play the over.

The Sun Belt totals System Play is on the OVER in the Arkansas St vs Troy game. Rotation numbers 721/722 at 8 eastern. Rob has Isolated a 100% Top level totals system pointing to the over. Home favorites of 6 or less with a total of 156 or higher have flown over every time with an average 171 points scored if out home team has 2+ days rest and is off  a home favored loss and are taking on a team off a home favored win and cover. All 14 of the games in the aforementioned conditions have soared over the total. In the 3 meetings last season these teams went over twice are evenly matched with 9 and 10 wins. Despite a win last out Troy scored a season low 59 points on 31% shooting so a scoring progression is likely tonight as is a defensive lapse after allowing just 49 in that win. Arkansas St likes to run and is a high out put offensive team scoring 85 or more in 6 of the last 7. Look for this game to play over the total tonight

OU: 14-0-0 

Team: 88.64

Opp:   83.14

01/07/2026  ARKST   TROY    home -3.5       158.5-

EXECUTIVE LEVEL TIER 1 Move on Oklahoma City. GAME 548 AT 8:10 EASTERN. The Thunder are a top product line play here tonight. Move on OKC

The College road warrior power system play is on  Tennessee ST. Game 801 at 8:30 Eastern. Solid line value here on  the drop as this one opened at 8.5. The Tigers are off back to back road wins and now travel to take on a Western Illinois team off to a slow start and a team they have beat by 18 and 20 last season. Tonight the Tigers fit a super 12-0 straight up and to the spread system that plays on road favorites between 2 and 11 that are off back to back road dog wins and have less than 19 days rest and are taking on a team with 7 or less days of rest that has a win percentage of .600 or less and is off a loss. Add in that the total must be more than 125. Western Illinois has failed to cover 8 of 10 as a home dog of more than 1. Look for Tennessee St to cover.

SU:12-0 

ATS: 12-0 

01/08/2026    Thu   2025    TENST    WILLI    away---4&4     -6.5    147.5

The NBA Road warrior is on Dallas. GAME 559 AT 8:10 Eastern. The Mavs have revenge here and  Catch Utah is a tough spot. The Jazz have no rest and are off a tough loss in overtime as a double digit dog vs OKC. Rob notes that when two teams both under .500 hook up and we have a road favorite with rest off a road favored win taking on a home dog with no rest that lost as a road dog last night. That road favorite has covered every time. With an average spread around 3.5 these road teams win by 15 points per game. The Jazz have failed to cover the last 5 at home with no rest off a road loss. Dallas has covered 5 of 6 as a road favorite vs an opponent with no rest. Move on the Mavericks tonight.

 The SERIE A Slammer is on AC Milan rotation number 210342 at 2:45 eastern at -1 goals on the Asian Handicap. AC Milan is likely to find the net multiple times here at home against a Genoa team that struggles in the back field particularly on the road. Long term Milan has 41 wins and 7 losses at home in the series with 18 draws. More recently Milan is undefeated in the series over the last 9 matches. AC has 11 wins in their last 16 matches since an opening game loss to Cremonese. With the Quality and depth of this AC Milan squad they will not slip up at home here any likely take the spoils in a multiple goal win.

The Fiesta Bowl Play is on Miami Florida. Game 273 at 7:30 eastern. The Canes have the better defense here and have played a tougher schedule overall. They took out a pair of 1 loss teams in back to back games in Texas A@M and Ohio St. Next up is an Ole Miss team that is off a big revenge win over Georgia. Going back to 1980 Rob see that neutral field favorites like the Canes that allowed less than 17 points and less than 7 points in their last 2 games and are taking on a team off a dog win  are a perfect 5-0 straight up and to the spread since 1980 and win by an average 33-12 score despite a low 6.5 point line, which sets up a massive 14 point Z-FACTOR. The Miami defense will be the toughest Trinidad Chambliss will have faced. Beck for the Canes has big game experience and Ole Miss wont be any tougher than Ohio St was. SEC Teams are under.500 in bowl action and 0-3 vs ACC Teams this bowl season. Make it Miami