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Alex Smart |
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| Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything. Testing long term $74000.00 plus dime player run! |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Apr 24, 2024 White Sox vs Twins |
Twins -185 at YouWager |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The White Sox have lost 11 of their 12 games on the road this season, in what has begun as an absolutely abysmal start to their campaign which gives me little credence to consider them as viable underdogs. White Sox expected starter Crochet goes to the hill in his sixth start of the season. He is 1-3 with a 5.61 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 25 2/3 innings pitched.The southpaws most recent appearance was on Friday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he threw three innings, surrendering seven earned runs while allowing five hits. In his current form he is fade material. Note: White Sox are averaging just 2.2 rpg scored. CHI WHITE SOX are 2-17 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 4-21 against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - very bad AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), after a loss by 2 runs or less are 38-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Apr 24, 2024 Marlins vs Braves |
Braves -1½ -115 at Mirage |
Lost $115.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Atlanta routed the Marlins 5-0 Tuesday while cashing as a -258 home favorite and Im betting on another top tier effort from the Braves again as the weak bats of the Marlins (2.16 BA) go head to head against expected starting pitcher Lopez (2-0, 0.50 ERA) who makes his 4th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 9.0 BB/9 and 3.0 K/9 in 18 innings. The starter is backed with a solid Bullpen that has garnered a 3.38 ERA. Advantage Braves MIAMI is 4-16 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at -2. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (MIAMI) - bad offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games. are 33-1 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff +3.6 which qualifies on this runline offering. ATLANTA is 2-0 against MIAMI this season with the victories coming by 5-0 and 3-0 scores. The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI) Play on Atlanta to win -1.5 runline |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Apr 24, 2024 Heat vs Celtics |
OVER 202½ -110 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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In game 1 of this series the Celtics outscored the Heat 31-14 in the third quarter and led 91-59 entering the fourth. Needless to say, the Heats defense first game plan did not work, and they now need to be more aggressive offensively or be blown off the court again. Tonight look for the Heat to try to speed their game up, and for more shots to drop and for a higher scoring game than the lines-makers expect.Mazzulla is 18-7 OVER after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half as the coach of BOSTON with a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored. MIAMI in 26 games as a road underdog this season have seen a combined average of 213.8 ppg scored.MIAMI is 5-13 ATS in 18 games revenging a road loss vs opponent this season have seen a combined average of 218.8 ppg scored. Play over |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Apr 24, 2024 Pelicans vs Thunder |
Pelicans +7½ -107 at linepros |
Lost $107.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The Pelicans played the Thunder tough in game 1 of this series losing by a 94-92 count and now Im betting on another very close physical playoff game. Note: The road team in this series has covered 8 straight meetings and number 9 Im betting is on tonights agenda. NEW ORLEANS is 21-12 ATS as an underdog this season with a +0.5 ppg diff. NEW ORLEANS is 14-6 ATS as a road underdog this season with average ppg diff of +2.4. Daigneault is 11-25 ATS in April games as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY. Home teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record L/43 games dating back 5 seasons have seen a average ppg diff of +3.8 ppg . NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 58-25 ATS L/27 seasons for 68% conversion rate. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |
