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The NFL Play for Sunday is on the NYJ at 1:00 eastern. The Jets are taking 4-5 points here at home and are off a record-setting win coming back from 13 down with under 90 seconds left in a 31-30 road dog win in Cleveland. That win changes the whole mindset of this team now and puts them in a perfect system dating to 2006. We are playing on home dogs that scored 30 or more in a road dog win and were home in their prior game vs. an opponent like Cincy that is off a loss in week 10 or earlier games. There have been 5 home dogs that qualified, and each won outright.The Host in the series has covered 8 of 10, and the Jets are 5-0 to the spread in the series at home and pulled off a massive upset 34-31 last year as a 12-point dog here against the Bengals. The Bengals are now 0-2 after falling short in Dallas, and 0-2 road favorites have not done well historically. In fact, the Bengals are 1-14 to the spread in the first 4 games of a season off a loss with revenge against a .500 or better opponent. Look for the Jets at the very least to get the cover here. On Sunday Rob has another huge card up led by his Members only plays. . Rob Vinciletti- Golden Contender Sports

Sunday's NFL Free Pick: Cincinnati Bengals -6

I think this is the week to jump on the Bengals as a 6-point road favorite against the Jets. I played against Cincinnati in Week 1. I should have done the same in Week 2 at Dallas. This team was being way overpriced coming off last year's Super Bowl appearance. 

Thing is they should be 2-0 and I just don't see them leaving any doubt in this one trying to avoid the 0-3 start. The great news for them is they play a bad Jets team. One that is getting a lot of attention for their crazy 31-30 come from behind win over the Browns last week. 

The Jets had no business winning that game. Cleveland could have not scored and fell down at the 1 an ran the clock out. The Browns also missed an extra point while scoring that late TD to up 31-17. They then somehow aren't in prevent and give up a 66-yard TD pass, failed to recover an onside kick and gave up another TD in a span of like 90 seconds. 

I think it's created a great spot to fade the Jets, who I think will be a little flat off that crazy win. The biggest thing I think that gets overlooked with New York is that they have trailed 24-3 and 31-17 with less than 2 minutes to play in the 4th quarter in their two games. 

I also think it's a much easier matchup for the Cincinnati offense. Clearly the offensive line, mainly pass protection, is still a problem. Didn't help matters their first two games were against maybe the two best pass rushers in TJ Watt and Micah Parsons. Jets don't have an elite edge rusher. They got just 3 sacks in 2 games. 

With all that said, I think the Bengals could have a "B-" type of performance and still win this game by 7 or more points. I think we are going to get their "A" game after the 0-2 start. Give me the Bengals -6! 

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