Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Falcons/Seahawks OVER 42

I have been very impressed with this Atlanta Falcons offense.  They have averaged 26.5 points per game against two of the best defenses in the NFL in the Saints and Rams.  Their defense remains a liability this season after allowing 29.0 points per game in losing a pair of heartbreakers because of their defense.

Speaking of poor defenses, the Seahawks may have the worst stop unit in the NFL this season, especially with the injuries continuing to pile up on that side of the ball.  They are giving up 403.0 yards per game and 6.0 yards per play this season.  And that came against the rusty Broncos in Week 1 breaking in a new QB and new offense, and the 49ers in Week 2, who had to make a QB change midway through due to injury.

Seattle's offense isn't as bad as it has shown to this point.  The Seahawks have also been up against two of the best defenses in the NFL in the Broncos and 49ers.  Now they get a big step down in class here against the Falcons.  Geno Smith had a great game against the Broncos, and he is in line for a big game here against the Falcons.  He has one of the best duos at receiver at his disposal in Metcalf and Lockett.

I like the matchup for both offenses.  The Falcons are rushing for 146 yards per game this season and will have success against a Seattle defense that is allowing 146 rushing yards per game.  Smith is completing 81% of his passes thus far and should be able to dice up an Atlanta secondary that is allowing 71.4% completions.

The weather looks good for a shootout in Seattle on Sunday with temps in the 70's, only 7 MPH winds and zero chance of rain.  The books have set the bar too low in this matchup of two terrible defenses.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

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Mike Lundin's Falcons vs Seahawk Free Pick September 25

The Falcons are still in search for their first win of the season, but they have covered the spread in both losses. Their net yard average is just under break even despite facing two tough opponents in the Saints and the Rams. 

Seattle is 1-1 on the season, with its win coming against former Seahawk QB Russell Wilson's new team in the season opener. The Seahawks' net yard average is -170 and they've struggled to stop the run, and this could get ugly with the Falcons putting up 145 rushing yards per game (9th). 

FREE PICK ON ATLANTA FALCONS. 

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