ACC Conference: Winning teams following a win of 21+ ATS, now on the road are 6-3 ATS. No leans this week Winning teams following a win of 21+ ATS, now at home are 6-3 ATS. No leans this week Winning teams following a loss of 7 + ATS, now back on the road are 15-4 ATS. There are two teams we would be looking to back given this situation. Louisville -25 – They just lost ATS by 25 or 25 points, now they go on the road to face Boston College as a 25 point favorite. They definitely need to show the committee why they deserve a shot at the college football playoff so I despite they show their greatest effort much like Clemson did in their weekday road game at Boston College. Losing teams following a win of 7+ ATS, now back on the road are 9-13 ATS Syracuse won ATS last time out and are now on the road against Clemson, I would actually lean towards taking Syracuse given that Clemson is off a huge game against Florida State. Clemson is going to have to score into the 50’s to cover this number. Virginia won ATS and is now on the […]
BIG TEN Conference Betting Value Week #10 -From a College football against the spread perspective the Big Ten betting value leans have been pretty accurate for what i have been tracking. If I simply followed the leans I wrote about back on October 4th. I would have gone 14-3 ATS. Oh well some things you simply can’t predict like Michigan State falling apart, and Penn State being a #12 ranked team, but we are towards the end of the season and things become easier to predict for me. The week #10 game of the week is Penn State vs. Iowa. WINNING TEAM SCENARIOS: Winning Teams following a win of 7+ ATS now at home were just 10-18 ATS since the beginning of the 2015 season. That includes a 6-8 ATS mark in 2016. Week #10 leans – Fade Penn State off a win ATS of 24 points now at home vs. Iowa as a 7.5 poitn favorite. Fade Minnesota who is a off a misleading win ATS, now at home as a 17 point favorite. Fade Northwestern who is off a win ATS against Ohio State now at home as a 7 poitn dog agaisnt Wisconsin. We have 3 games to look at this week based on this trend. Winning teams following a […]
SEC Betting Value Week 10 Update -Overall the college football odds for the SEC Conference have been pretty tight and it’s one of the more difficult conferences to handicap. You have Alabama continuing to just cover big road chalk no matter what and we will see that again this week against LSU! SEC Conference: Winning teams following a win of 7+ ATS, returning home are just 12-12 ATS overall, and 3-5 ATS following a 21+ point victory ATS. Week #10 Tracking – Kentucky won ATS by 21.5 ATS now at home vs. Georgia (fade Kentucky) – I have heard a few sharps already on Kentucky, but if Kentucky can’t run the ball they truly struggle to win games this is a step up even if Georgia is coming off a rivalry game. LSU won ATS now hosting Alabama as an 8 point dog – I like leaning towards LSU here with a teaser given that the total is in the low 40’s. Winning teams following a win of 7+ ATS, going back on the road are 15-5 ATS overall, including 4-0 ATS following a 21+ point victory ATS. No winning SEC teams are following a win and are back on the road this week. Winning teams following […]
PAC 12 Betting Value Week 10 Update -This article is an update from our previous posted PAC 12 Betting Value based on MOV posted in early October. WINNING TEAM SCENARIOS: Winning Teams following a win of 7+ ATS now at home – 17-19 ATS since 2015 2015 – These teams went 10-12 ATS including 4-6 ATS following a 21+ win ATS. 2016 – This year it’s been a bit different as these teams are 7-6 ATS and 1-3 ATS following a 21+ win ATS. Week #10 Tracking– Stanford -14.5 at home vs. Oregon STate Winning teams following a win of 7+ ATS now on the road – 10-10 college football against the spread since 2015 2015 – These teams went 6-7 ATS with a 1-0 record following a 21+ point ATS victory 2016 – These teams are 4-3 ATS with a 1-1 record following a 21+ point ATS victory Week #10 Tracking – Nothing Winning teams following a loss of 7+ ATS now at home – 8-4 ATS since 2015 2015 – These teams went 6-2 ATS with a 1-0 ATS record following a 21+ point ATS loss 2016 – These teams went 2-2 ATS so far with a 1-1 ATS record following 21+ Week #10 Tracking – Washington State -17 vs. Arizona Winning teams following a […]
AAC Conference Betting Value Update Week 10 -This article is an update on our previous podcast where we went over some betting value spots in the AAC WINNING TEAMS FOLLOWING A WIN ATS OF 10 OR MORE POINTS RETURNING HOME – 17-6 ATS since 2015 Back Tulsa -8 GOING ON THE ROAD – 15-10 ATS since 2014 (5-2 21+) Back Temple -10 at Uconn LOSING TEAMS FOLLOWING A WIN ATS OF 10 OR MORE POINTS RETURNING HOME – 3-7 ATS since 2015 GOING ON THE ROAD – 7-3 ATS since 2015 Back East Carolina +8 at Tulsa (We also have Tulsa as a lean so we will not be playing this one) However losing teams following a win or loss of 21+ ATS are now 3-8 ATS since 2015 so if anything we would fade East Carolina WINNING TEAMS FOLLOWING A LOSS ATS OF 10+ ATS RETURNING HOME – 7-4 ATS since 2015 GOING ON THE ROAD – 5-2 ATS since 2015 Back Memphis -3 at SMU LOSING TEAMS FOLLOWING A LOSS ATS OF 10+ RETURNING HOME – 5-9 ATS Fade Uconn vs. Temple after they L ATS by 30 Fade Cincinnati vs. BYU after they L ATS by double digits now at home vs […]
MAC Betting Odds Value Update Week 10 -Not a lot has changed since we did our MAC Conference Betting Value last week, but there are plenty of games in action to be tracking this week and this is the time of year where #MACTION takes over during the week and now we get football every day from now until after Thanksgiving! All trends we are tracking are since the 2015 season. The interesting thing about the MAC this year is that there are a lot of bad teams and then there is Western Michigan. Winning teams following a win 10+ ATS – NOW AT HOME Are 13-12 ATS but 4-7 ATS following 21+. We are tracking – Ohio who returns home against Buffalo as 20 point favorite following a win ATS of 20 points. Winning teams following a win 10+ ATS – NOW ON THE ROAD Are 7-2 ATS – including 3-0 ATS following a win of 21+. Nothing to track here. Winning teams following a loss 10+ – NOW AT HOME These teams are 3-3 ATS, and 1-2 following a 21+ loss. Tracking – Akron +9.5 following a 40.5 loss ATS vs. Buffalo as they host Toledo Wednesday. Winning Teams following a loss 10+ NOW ON THE ROAD Are […]
