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Freddy Wills Released Picks • Money line Dog of the week


November 18, 2017 | Posted By Sports Picks Bot

This is premium content that clients pay for.   Freddy Wills releases all of his premium content to the general public just minutes after a game starts.  All plays are documented in this way to ensure you of Freddy’s honesty and integrity.    Freddy Wills’s Comments Freddy Wills’s Pick Vanderbilt +280 2% play You may have remembered Vanderbilt needing 2 wins in their final 2 games to get to a bowl last year. They beat Ole Miss as 9.5 point dogs 38-17, and beat Tennessee 45-34 as a 7 point dog. This year they need the same thing and it starts this week against Missouri, and on the road against Tennessee. Two winnable games. Here they’ll host red hot Missouri. At some point this hot streak for Missouri has to end. They have been covering the spread by outrageous numbers of 25 points, 27.5, 26.5, and 33 points against the spread just over the last 4 weeks. That has led to Missouri getting a ton of credit from the bookmakers. This situation hey are in is a bit different than the last 4 weeks when they faced Idaho, Uconn, and two SEC teams at home who fired their HC’s this year. Now […]

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Freddy Wills Released Picks • College Football Free Play Saturday


November 18, 2017 | Posted By Sports Picks Bot

This is premium content that clients pay for.   Freddy Wills releases all of his premium content to the general public just minutes after a game starts.  All plays are documented in this way to ensure you of Freddy’s honesty and integrity.    Freddy Wills’s Comments Freddy Wills’s Pick Texas A&M +125 1% Free Play Texas A&M is a different offense with Nick Starkel back at QB and it really makes the entire team better. It will also help Starkel that his offense will be able to run the ball which hasn’t been the case of late. Here they’ll face Ole Miss who is 125th in rushing yards allowed. Ole Miss is 5-5 and can’t go to a bowl game so their motivation is beyond this game towards the Egg Bowl against Miss State. Clearly a look ahead spot and we are getting value because the offense has not missed a beat since Shea Patterson was lost for the season. However, QB Jordan Ta’amu has faced pass defenses ranked 110, 96, and 108. Here he faced A&M who ranks 75th, not good, but A&M is ranked 4th at getting to the QB, and Ole Miss 85th at protecting their QB. Ole Miss […]

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Freddy Wills Released Picks • RARE MAX NCAAF POD – Purdue @ Iowa Guaranteed


November 18, 2017 | Posted By Sports Picks Bot

This is premium content that clients pay for.   Freddy Wills releases all of his premium content to the general public just minutes after a game starts.  All plays are documented in this way to ensure you of Freddy’s honesty and integrity.    Freddy Wills’s Comments Freddy Wills’s Pick Purdue +8 5.5% POD / Purdue +250 1% play Iowa just came off two gigantic games against Ohio State and Wisconsin. I don’t know how they get up for this game to be honest and Purdue matches up well. Purdue also wants and needs this game more as they are 4-6 and need to win out to get into a bowl game. Jeff Brohm has Purdue competitive in just every game and I don’t see any reason to believe that won’t be the case here. I really don’t think the line is right for this one. Iowa is -84 yards per game in conference play, but they have that big win against OHio State that nobody will forget. Purdue is just -2 yards per game in conference play and have a very good run defense. Iowa when held under 135 yards average only 13.25 points per game. I really think this Purdue team […]

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Freddy Wills Released Picks • Texas vs. West Virginia – Guaranteed


November 18, 2017 | Posted By Sports Picks Bot

This is premium content that clients pay for.   Freddy Wills releases all of his premium content to the general public just minutes after a game starts.  All plays are documented in this way to ensure you of Freddy’s honesty and integrity.    Freddy Wills’s Comments Freddy Wills’s Pick Texas +3.5 3.3% play Texas has major defensive strengths in this one something West Virginia has struggled against. They have done well vs. the run and the pass. Texas weaknesses right now are the injuries they have had to withstand, but let’s be honest they need to win to get to a bowl game. This is another opportunity for Tom Herman to beat a ranked opponent as well and we know Herman’s success against ranked foes, and as a dog. The good thing is I think we see more of Sam Ehlinger finally. I gambled and thought he’d play against TCU, but he didn’t and I paid for it. He got a drive against Kansas, and I feel like it will only be a matter of time before he gets in this game and makes a difference. Texas defense though is the major reason I’m backing them here. They have held both Oklahoma […]

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Freddy Wills Released Picks • Mountain West Conference Game of the Week


November 18, 2017 | Posted By Sports Picks Bot

This is premium content that clients pay for.   Freddy Wills releases all of his premium content to the general public just minutes after a game starts.  All plays are documented in this way to ensure you of Freddy’s honesty and integrity.    Freddy Wills’s Comments Freddy Wills’s Pick Fresno State -2.5 3.3% Play Wyoming has covered 7 games in a row and are winning games based on their defense and ability to force turnovers. They are ranked #1 in the country in TO margin with +17. They have been fortunate because they haven’t faced many teams that have a good TO margin ratio. The teams that were above average in takeaways were also giving the ball away. Half of their opponents were ranked 100 or worse in either takeaways or giveaways. Boise State was the only team with a good TO margin ratio at +8 and Boise won 24-14. Fresno comes into this game at +8 and ranked 17th in the nation having turned the ball over only 9 times. Fresno State needs to win this game to get to the conference championship. A win and they are in with the tie breaker over San Diego State. Fresno has Boise on […]

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Vegas Mistakes – College Football Report Week 10


November 7, 2017 | Posted By Freddy Wills

Last week my favorite podcast leans went 6-2 ATS.  Unfortunately only 4 made it onto my card and I went 2-2 ATS for those.  We went 5-5 ATS and move to 48-52 ATS -36% ROI.  Still confident we will show a profit by the end of the year.  Last year from November 3rd on we had a 44.36% ROI to put things in perspective. Our Friday commute podcast was a dud again this week as we gave out Texas thinking Sam Ehlinger would play.  He did not.  However, we did pick a winner in our free play on Vanderbilt -10.5, and our premium pick newsletter play on West Virginia -3 was also a winner.  So plays available to you last week went 2-1 ATS at no cost I think that’s the third week in a row we went 2-1 or better.  So make sure you SUBSCRIBE at Freddywills.com. My end of year package has also been decreased down to $175and I’m guaranteeing 35% ROI or your $$ BACK! Also guaranteed 5% ROI package for week 11 only up on freddywills.com if you are interested in my NCAAF Predictions Iowa covered by 52 points ATS over Ohio State. What a crazy game […]

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Vegas Mistakes Week 8 College Football Season


October 26, 2017 | Posted By Freddy Wills

Vegas Mistakes Week #8 – 9 out of the 20 games were from the power 5.  Proving that there is line value in both power 5 and non-power 5 conference. 57% of the mistakes we have tracked this season through week’s 2-7 have been from the power 5 conference.   Missouri covered by 33 over Idaho.  This was our Friday commute podcast play.  Now 5-2 ATS on those plays this year!  4 of those wins have covered by 21+ points.  Missouri simply dominated this game holding Idaho to 278 yards and 3.76 yards per play while Missouri had 658 yards an over 10 yards per play.  Since Missouri’s bye they have looked awfully good in my opnion.  Although this does not prove, anything and I would still look to fade them in conference play.  They will face off against Uconn this week as 13 point road favorites.  Uconn beat them 9-6 in Missouri in 2015 and are playing better themselves.  Both teams won’t be looking ahead and are trying to get to a bowl game.   Arkansas State covered by 32 over Louisiana Lafayette as they outgained them by 300 yards and over 3 yards per play.  Arkansas State seems […]

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19 Games Vegas Made Mistakes on College Football Week 7


October 17, 2017 | Posted By Freddy Wills

Recapping the season so far as I mentioned on twitter it has not been a good year for me, I have gone 33-37 ATS on the year -23.395% luckily NFL has been good as 12-9 ATS +8.691% and we have done well on our commute podcast going 5-1 ATS. Make sure you tune into that again on Friday as we have been giving some really easy winners. Last Frida we gave out Cal +15 and of course they won outright and covered the spread by 50 points! So let’s recap and give you out some value betting options for week #8. This week is as crazy as I can remember. 4 Top 10 teams go down and many other favorites.  South Alabama +800 (road)  Syracuse +1400  California +639  Boston College +720 (road)  LSU +215 (Over #10 Auburn)  Tulsa +470  FIU +435  Arizona State +750 Just for fun – $100 parlay would have cashed – $668 million dollars to put things in perspective. The same amount of games as week 5. We had 19 games where the oddsmaker’s were off by more than a TD on the spread. The most we have had was 22 in week #3. Let’s go over […]

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College Football Week 5 Vegas Oddsmaker Mistakes


October 2, 2017 | Posted By Freddy Wills

  Miami covered the spread by 19.5 points against the spread over Duke. This was a 17-6 game for a long time and it looked like Duke was just one play away, but it never happened despire being just -60 total yards and having 24-19 in the first down advantage. This was a clearly misleading final and the two turnovers had something to do with it as well. Miami, definitely still has a lot to prove to me but they were +3.73 yards per play in this game. Duke was fortunate to run +27 plays in this game, but managed just 1.5 points per trip in Miami territory. Betting Take: Duke still has value moving forward and are going to be a tough opponent. They go on the road to face Virginia (off a bye and Boise win) in what should be a game many sharps fight over. Duke is a 2.5 point favorite and I suspect that line will move closer to a pk. Miami is making up their game against Florida State who did not look good last week at all. We gave it out as our Friday commute play and I hope many of you pushed. I had it […]

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What Vegas doesn’t want you to know about from Week #4


September 25, 2017 | Posted By Freddy Wills

Promos – www.freddywills.com/week5 On today’s podcast we will talk about the biggest oddsmaker errors for week #4 and give you reasons to back 4 teams in our buy low sell high report which has gone 80% ATS the last two weeks. And if you are Just fading teams in week 4 that were able to cover by 14+ points against the spread in week 3 then you would have gone 11-5 ATS. You would have had to fade teams like Penn State, Clemson, Miss State, Oregon, Kentucky, North Carolina, Ake Forest, and more. If you did this in week 3 you would have gone 6-7 ATS with two teams carrying over this week because they had a bye in week 3 and those went 2-0 ATS. So overall the last two weeks 19-12 ATS fading teams that have are off a 14+ margin of victory over the spread. I’m not going to blindly back or fade these teams on today’s report. If anything this just teaches me discipline whenever I love a side and it just so happens to be a team that just covered the spread by a large margin. I’m going to think twice about it because I always […]

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Vegas Biggest Mistakes Week #3 & Week 4 Impacts – College Football Betting


September 19, 2017 | Posted By Freddy Wills

Visit www.freddywills.com/betonline for an exclusive bonus.  You get a $25 risk free bet for signing up along with a 50% sign up bonus up to $2500. Contact Me – fw@freddywills.com/ Twitter @freddywills / Subscribe on ITUNES / http://www.freddywills.com / Freddy’s College Football ROI Tool  Sportsbetcapping.com bring you 100+ professional handicappers: Sports Handicapper Leaderboard |  Free College Football Picks – From 100+ handicapper / Buy Premium Sports Picks Tonight / Check sports betting against the stock market VEGAS MISTAKES WEEK #3 Looking at games where Vegas missed by more than 2 TD’s and the total went over or under by 21+ points Arizona covered over UTEP by 21.5 points. UTEP had a ton of injuries I would look to fade Arizona if they get some inflated lines. Looks like they are 3 point under dogs against Utah for Friday night. UCLA vs. Memphis went over the total by 22 points. There could be some value on unders with both of these teams moving forward. Oklahoma State covered by 27.5 points over Pitt. This was a premium play of ours that we gave out and we were just flat out wrong as Oklahoma State averaged 9.39 yards per play. Pat Narduzzi’s defense had nothing left following the Penn State game. West Virginia […]

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week2promo


September 8, 2017 | Posted By Freddy Wills

College Football Week 2 Guaranteed week 3 Free $49.99 USDWeek 2 Guaranteed or $$ BAck $64.99 USDWeek 2/3 Guaranteed or Week 4 Free $99.99 USD ***WHAT’S ON TAP FOR WEEK #2 W/ FREDDY WILLS – #1 CFB Career Profit Leader*** Freddy Wills heated up going 5-1 ATS on Saturday & Sunday.  Check out his records table for archived analysis! Big Ten – Backing a Team I have won 66.7% ATS in my 9 year career SEC Gow – Backing a Team I have won 64.7% ATS in my career  Total of the Week – 56.25% ATS in 9 Seasons Career on Totals!  MAX Rated POD – 80-55 ATS L135 College Football MAX Rated PODs!  Teaser of the Week – Career 60% ATS – **25-13 Since 2013!  30-15 ATS That’S 66.7% ATS! Career Saturday Week #2 Record!  How to get your picks?  After you make your purchase it is easy to receive your picks from Freddy Wills. 1. Login with your email, facebook, or twitter account 2. Set up your profile to receive picks by text/email (for all future pick releases) 3.  Any picks that are already released will be visible on www.freddywills.com

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College Football Betting Recap Week 1 Part 2


September 6, 2017 | Posted By Freddy Wills

Miami OH vs. Marshall We had Miami Ohio at +8.5 on a teaser with Alabama and were lucky enough to get a cover.  This was one of the biggest line moves after Miami Ohio was as much as a 3 point dog closed as a 4 point favorite in some places.  The sharp movement was spot on as Miami Ohio had +10 first downs, +162 total yards, but still managed to lose the game.  They allowed Kelon Davis to take two kickoff returns back for TD’s and a 72 yard interception return which was a 14 point swing in the 3rd quarter.  Betting Take:  Marshall is still on my list as one of the most improved teams for 2017, but they did not look very good against Miami Ohio and they have NC State this week.  I am surprised by the 24 point spread and would lean towards Marshall, but I will definitely pass.  Miami Ohio is still on my list of teams to bet on in the MAC.  Their defense clearly proved they are the best in the conference and we will continue to get value on them after they lost this game.  They’ll play Austin Peay this week […]

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College Football Week 1 Recap – Future Betting Advantages Part 1 of 2


September 6, 2017 | Posted By Freddy Wills

  Last week our premium newsletter gave out a premium College Football Picks Against The Spread play (info clients pay for) on Nevada +24 an easy cover over Northwestern.  Newsletter plays go out on Thursday’s so if you subscribed after you likely missed the play!  Nevada actually had a 17-7 lead at half time as we cruised to an easy cover! Along with my premium newsletter I have a week #2 promotion that you can find by going to freddywills.com/promo under recent articles.  I also have it linked in the show notes. It’s worth mentioning that I have a 30-15 ATS record over my career that’s 67% winners ATS on Saturday’s week2!  Ohio State vs. Indiana – 21 Ohio State covered I felt like our play on Indiana was on spot.  They clearly did not have the depth to stay with Ohio State.  The one thing I learned from this match up was the fact that teams that play fast and both of these teams picked up the tempo.  All that means is it’s easier for the favorite to cover the big spreads, because it’s like they are playing 5 quarters.  It’s something I should have looked into a little more.  […]

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Protected: week1picks


August 31, 2017 | Posted By Freddy Wills

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

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