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What Vegas doesn’t want you to know about from Week #4


September 25, 2017 | Posted By Freddy Wills

Promos – www.freddywills.com/week5 On today’s podcast we will talk about the biggest oddsmaker errors for week #4 and give you reasons to back 4 teams in our buy low sell high report which has gone 80% ATS the last two weeks. And if you are Just fading teams in week 4 that were able to cover by 14+ points against the spread in week 3 then you would have gone 11-5 ATS. You would have had to fade teams like Penn State, Clemson, Miss State, Oregon, Kentucky, North Carolina, Ake Forest, and more. If you did this in week 3 you would have gone 6-7 ATS with two teams carrying over this week because they had a bye in week 3 and those went 2-0 ATS. So overall the last two weeks 19-12 ATS fading teams that have are off a 14+ margin of victory over the spread. I’m not going to blindly back or fade these teams on today’s report. If anything this just teaches me discipline whenever I love a side and it just so happens to be a team that just covered the spread by a large margin. I’m going to think twice about it because I always […]

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Vegas Biggest Mistakes Week #3 & Week 4 Impacts – College Football Betting


September 19, 2017 | Posted By Freddy Wills

Visit www.freddywills.com/betonline for an exclusive bonus.  You get a $25 risk free bet for signing up along with a 50% sign up bonus up to $2500. Contact Me – fw@freddywills.com/ Twitter @freddywills / Subscribe on ITUNES / http://www.freddywills.com / Freddy’s College Football ROI Tool  Sportsbetcapping.com bring you 100+ professional handicappers: Sports Handicapper Leaderboard |  Free College Football Picks – From 100+ handicapper / Buy Premium Sports Picks Tonight / Check sports betting against the stock market VEGAS MISTAKES WEEK #3 Looking at games where Vegas missed by more than 2 TD’s and the total went over or under by 21+ points Arizona covered over UTEP by 21.5 points. UTEP had a ton of injuries I would look to fade Arizona if they get some inflated lines. Looks like they are 3 point under dogs against Utah for Friday night. UCLA vs. Memphis went over the total by 22 points. There could be some value on unders with both of these teams moving forward. Oklahoma State covered by 27.5 points over Pitt. This was a premium play of ours that we gave out and we were just flat out wrong as Oklahoma State averaged 9.39 yards per play. Pat Narduzzi’s defense had nothing left following the Penn State game. West Virginia […]

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Freddy Wills Released Picks • Monday Night Football Edge – Lions vs. Giants


September 18, 2017 | Posted By Sports Picks Bot

This is premium content that clients pay for.   Freddy Wills releases all of his premium content to the general public just minutes after a game starts.  All plays are documented in this way to ensure you of Freddy’s honesty and integrity.    Freddy Wills’s Comments Freddy Wills’s PickGiants -3 3.3% play Statistics: Posted by Pick Bot – Mon Sep 18, 2017 8:45 pm – Replies 0 – Views 0 Freddy’s recommended  sports picks are also released on his records table at freddywills.com as pending picks as soon as the game starts.  It’s another way we make sure the integrity of our handicappers is never questioned!  Why invest in Freddy Wills his honesty and integrity can not be questioned and the results don’t lie. Here are some other key links in case you want to Become an Affilliate or gain access to vegas insider college football information.  We can also recommend top handicappers to follow based on the sports handicapper leaderboard and history of success in sports betting.  You can also pay attention to our free sports picks section of the site to get a feeling on how our handicappers give out their recommendations.

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Freddy Wills Released Picks • RARE MAX NFL POD – 16-6 ATS LAST YEAR!


September 17, 2017 | Posted By Sports Picks Bot

This is premium content that clients pay for.   Freddy Wills releases all of his premium content to the general public just minutes after a game starts.  All plays are documented in this way to ensure you of Freddy’s honesty and integrity.    Freddy Wills’s Comments Freddy Wills’s PickChiefs/Eagles U47.5 5.5% pod Statistics: Posted by Pick Bot – Sun Sep 17, 2017 1:06 pm – Replies 0 – Views 0 Freddy’s recommended  sports picks are also released on his records table at freddywills.com as pending picks as soon as the game starts.  It’s another way we make sure the integrity of our handicappers is never questioned!  Why invest in Freddy Wills his honesty and integrity can not be questioned and the results don’t lie. Here are some other key links in case you want to Become an Affilliate or gain access to vegas insider college football information.  We can also recommend top handicappers to follow based on the sports handicapper leaderboard and history of success in sports betting.  You can also pay attention to our free sports picks section of the site to get a feeling on how our handicappers give out their recommendations.

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Freddy Wills Released Picks • Freddy’s week #3 Free college pick – Clemson vs. Louisville


September 16, 2017 | Posted By Sports Picks Bot

This is premium content that clients pay for.   Freddy Wills releases all of his premium content to the general public just minutes after a game starts.  All plays are documented in this way to ensure you of Freddy’s honesty and integrity.    Freddy Wills’s Comments Freddy Wills’s Pick Clemson -3 1.1% Free Play – 14-3-1 ATS since last year on Free CFB Plays I like Clemson in this spot even after a big game. I still think this team is playing with a chip on their shoulder as defending champions. They sport the best defense in the country with the best defensive line. Who better to stop Lousiville’s Lamar Jackson? I expect Jackson to really struggle in this game, and I expect Clemson’s offense to look a lot better than they did against Auburn. I understand why a lot of sharps are liking Louisville here. Afterall they nearly beat Clemson on the road last year and if it wasn’t for WR James Quick (gone) running out of bounds short of the marker. If you forgot. Here is the play: Louisville is a different team than a season ago and so is Clemson. Obviously Clemson lost a ton on offense, but this […]

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Freddy Wills Released Picks • NFL Total of the Week


September 11, 2017 | Posted By Sports Picks Bot

This is premium content that clients pay for.   Freddy Wills releases all of his premium content to the general public just minutes after a game starts.  All plays are documented in this way to ensure you of Freddy’s honesty and integrity.    Freddy Wills’s Comments Freddy Wills’s Pick Saints/Vikings Under 47.5 2.2% play The Vikings offense made some improvements and Sam Bradford is now back for a full year, but I’m not sold on this offense improving. The Vikings signed mediocre free agents on the offensive line that is really young with 6 of their 9 lineman having 3 years or less experience. Last year they were dead last in yards per carry, rushing yards, bottom of the league in sack % allowed. On the flip side the Saints are not as good on the road offensively and I see this team transitioning on offense. They bring in Adrian Peterson to go along with Mark Ingram and I think that leads to them slowing it down a bit and they will have their hands full with a Vikings defense that is excellent. Vikings are 17-5 on the under in their last 22 home games. I feel like the total is a […]

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Freddy Wills Released Picks • NFL Play – EArly Bird Acitno


September 10, 2017 | Posted By Sports Picks Bot

This is premium content that clients pay for.   Freddy Wills releases all of his premium content to the general public just minutes after a game starts.  All plays are documented in this way to ensure you of Freddy’s honesty and integrity.    Freddy Wills’s Comments Freddy Wills’s Pick Bears +7 3.3% Play Super Bowl losers opening up week 1 on the road as a favorite are 2-15 ATS! Chicago was actually not that bad last year on the season they out gained their opponents. Chicago suffered from a -20 turnover margin ratio, but a bulk of that came to end the year when they had nothing to play for. I have always liked John Fox as a head coach and I could see the Falcons looking ahead to week #2 against the Packers already. Statistics: Posted by Pick Bot – Sun Sep 10, 2017 1:06 pm – Replies 0 – Views 0 Freddy’s recommended  sports picks are also released on his records table at freddywills.com as pending picks as soon as the game starts.  It’s another way we make sure the integrity of our handicappers is never questioned!  Why invest in Freddy Wills his honesty and integrity can not be questioned and the […]

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week2promo


September 8, 2017 | Posted By Freddy Wills

College Football Week 2 Guaranteed week 3 Free $49.99 USDWeek 2 Guaranteed or $$ BAck $64.99 USDWeek 2/3 Guaranteed or Week 4 Free $99.99 USD ***WHAT’S ON TAP FOR WEEK #2 W/ FREDDY WILLS – #1 CFB Career Profit Leader*** Freddy Wills heated up going 5-1 ATS on Saturday & Sunday.  Check out his records table for archived analysis! Big Ten – Backing a Team I have won 66.7% ATS in my 9 year career SEC Gow – Backing a Team I have won 64.7% ATS in my career  Total of the Week – 56.25% ATS in 9 Seasons Career on Totals!  MAX Rated POD – 80-55 ATS L135 College Football MAX Rated PODs!  Teaser of the Week – Career 60% ATS – **25-13 Since 2013!  30-15 ATS That’S 66.7% ATS! Career Saturday Week #2 Record!  How to get your picks?  After you make your purchase it is easy to receive your picks from Freddy Wills. 1. Login with your email, facebook, or twitter account 2. Set up your profile to receive picks by text/email (for all future pick releases) 3.  Any picks that are already released will be visible on www.freddywills.com

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College Football Betting Recap Week 1 Part 2


September 6, 2017 | Posted By Freddy Wills

Miami OH vs. Marshall We had Miami Ohio at +8.5 on a teaser with Alabama and were lucky enough to get a cover.  This was one of the biggest line moves after Miami Ohio was as much as a 3 point dog closed as a 4 point favorite in some places.  The sharp movement was spot on as Miami Ohio had +10 first downs, +162 total yards, but still managed to lose the game.  They allowed Kelon Davis to take two kickoff returns back for TD’s and a 72 yard interception return which was a 14 point swing in the 3rd quarter.  Betting Take:  Marshall is still on my list as one of the most improved teams for 2017, but they did not look very good against Miami Ohio and they have NC State this week.  I am surprised by the 24 point spread and would lean towards Marshall, but I will definitely pass.  Miami Ohio is still on my list of teams to bet on in the MAC.  Their defense clearly proved they are the best in the conference and we will continue to get value on them after they lost this game.  They’ll play Austin Peay this week […]

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College Football Week 1 Recap – Future Betting Advantages Part 1 of 2


September 6, 2017 | Posted By Freddy Wills

  Last week our premium newsletter gave out a premium College Football Picks Against The Spread play (info clients pay for) on Nevada +24 an easy cover over Northwestern.  Newsletter plays go out on Thursday’s so if you subscribed after you likely missed the play!  Nevada actually had a 17-7 lead at half time as we cruised to an easy cover! Along with my premium newsletter I have a week #2 promotion that you can find by going to freddywills.com/promo under recent articles.  I also have it linked in the show notes. It’s worth mentioning that I have a 30-15 ATS record over my career that’s 67% winners ATS on Saturday’s week2!  Ohio State vs. Indiana – 21 Ohio State covered I felt like our play on Indiana was on spot.  They clearly did not have the depth to stay with Ohio State.  The one thing I learned from this match up was the fact that teams that play fast and both of these teams picked up the tempo.  All that means is it’s easier for the favorite to cover the big spreads, because it’s like they are playing 5 quarters.  It’s something I should have looked into a little more.  […]

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Protected: week1picks


August 31, 2017 | Posted By Freddy Wills

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

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Turnover Luck 2016 Converts to 2017 Success!


August 18, 2017 | Posted By Freddy Wills

  Turnovers are certainly something you can handicap.  Everyone knows that certain teams are more prone to turning the ball over based on a variety of factors such as poor offensive line play or poor QB decision making, poor receiver hands or even a lack of hustle or just luck.  Sometimes the ball does not bounce your way and that was the case after six weeks last year we bet on teams that had a 30% fumble recovery rate.  To put that in perspective on how unlucky we were handicapping games.  The 128th team in the nation last year was Purdue with a 28% recovery rate and #126 was Charlotte at 32%.  What does it all mean?  It’s hard to see the same thing happening in back to back years.  At minimum we should revert back to the mean of 50%.  Teams on my radar this year that had poor fumble recovery rates are, Oklahoma State, Texas, Arkansas, Kentucky, Connecticut and Notre Dame all were under 40%. Phil Steele has a great article in his magazine that breaks this down even further and even takes a look at the luckiest teams in the nation from a year ago and hypothesizes […]

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Toughest College Football Conference For 2017


August 14, 2017 | Posted By Freddy Wills

Last year I spoke about this and claimed ACC to be the best of the Power 5 and the Big Ten to be trending backward at least for one year based on experience.  I used that all year to back ACC teams and Clemson on the way to a National Championship.  This strategy won me a lot of big games last season, but lets take a look at how the ACC did against each Power 5 conference in detail: vs. Big Ten – 6-2, 5-3 ATS (including 3-1 in bowl games) vs. Big 12 – 1-1 SU & ATS vs. Pac 12 – 0-2, but 2-0 ATS (Stanford by 2 over UNC, and Oregon over Virginia) vs. SEC – 10-4 , 9-5 ATS Overall the ACC went 17-9 straight up and ATS against the POWER 5 Conferences. Last year I leaned on quality of coaches and the fact that the ACC had the most experienced conference from a lettermen perspective.  Obviously there is not an exact science for picking the toughest conference and honestly it’s not something I’m really passionate about getting into.  I lean on Phil Steele and if you don’t have his magazine you should.  On page 33 […]

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Top 5 Non Power Five Coaching Moves – 2017


August 10, 2017 | Posted By Freddy Wills

South Florida – Charlie Strong  I saw a title out there from SBnation stating that “If Charlie Strong had this USF roster at Texas, he’d still be there.”   Come on I mean really?  USF plays in the American Athletic Conference not the Big 12.  Even though I am not high on the Big 12 there is still a big jump in consistent competition between the two conference.  Since 2013 when the conference started the AAC is 4-10 vs. the Big 12 getting outscored by an average of 17 points. Charlie Strong did a great job when he was playing in a conference where he was not overwhelmed.  I think Strong was a bit out of his league in Texas.  Strong has 16 starters back (9 on defense), and will have one of the best offenses in the country led by his senior QB Quinton Flowers, a dark horse for the Heisman.  This team broke all kinds of school records last year on their way to averaging 43.8 ppg.  I expect the same this year and I had them listed in my surprise teams as the schedule sets up really nicely for a possible 12-0 season! If Strong can get […]

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Top 5 College Football Power Five Head Coach Moves 2017


August 10, 2017 | Posted By Freddy Wills

Here is last year’s article – Top 10 College Football Head Coach Moves 2016 This year is in no particular order, but I am going to talk about the power 5 big coaching moves first. Baylor – Matt Rhule, coming over from Temple replaced Jim Grobe who stepped in just to settle the ship after the Baylor scandal.  This team lost their entire recruiting class a year ago, and Rhule definitely gets a pass this year, but I’m not so sure he’s going to need it.  This is a team that started 6-0 and went 0-6 to close the year out once their schedule got tougher, but lets talk about Rhule. Rhule is clearly a different style head coach compared to Art Briles.  Actually there couldn’t be a more different style in comparison.  Baylor was reliant on offense to win games. Rhule was not. Baylor operated with extreme tempo. Rhule did not.  Temple was 86th, in pass % last year and I definitely think we will see a similar style in play from Rhule at Baylor.  Betting Take –  That means we won’t see as many high scoring games from Baylor.  I think Baylor also because of the limit they […]

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