When we look at the coaching changes in college football we are always looking towards what gives us betting value. In today’s article we look at the non-power 5 coaching moves and a deep dive into what coaches do ATS over their first 3 seasons. We have a total of 13 new head coaches across the group of 5 teams, and gives us a lot to look at first year one. 1st Year Head Coach – ATS Over the last 4 seasons first year head coaches have gone 273-281 ATS, but 160-139 as an underdog which equates to just 53.5% ATS. Not a significant advantage, but enough to use it as a lean. I thought this was interesting since first year coaches in the Power 5 have a losing record ATS As a dog. It does make logical sense, because at the G5 level there is less competition so you should be able to lift your program up a bit faster than you would if you were a Power 5 head coach. You always have to factor in other things going on around a program, but we will get to some situational spots for a few teams on the list […]
Season Total Wins O/U 7.5 TCU – Big 12 Conference -Check out this college football team total in the Big 12. I am coming off another winning season in college football making it 8 of 10, and when combined with NFL we had a +56% return on investment. Over the 10 seasons handicapping college football, clients have earned an average yearly ROI of 34.18%. Looking forward to another great year. Invest in one of my early bird season packages now @ freddywills.com TCU Over 7.5 Wins +110 1% Play Gary Patterson is in his 19th year at TCU, and is coming off a season that featured a ton of injuries to the offense and defense, and they still finished 7-6 despite struggles from the offense, which were due to QB issues, and injuries to the offensive line, top QB, and WR. I think this TCU offense will be among the most improved offenses this year. The QB situation right now is a competition between Alex Delton (transfer from Kansas State), and highly touted freshman Max Duggan. I don’t think Patterson makes the mistake starting a freshman again after last years’ experience. TCU will have elite speed on the field, and WR Jalen Reagor could be the best player in this conference. […]
2019 Power 5 Coaching Changes -Grab my season pass on the home page of freddywills.com. I have 8 of 10 winning seasons in college football with an average ROI in 10 seasons of 34.18. $1,000/unit bettors have profited $341K in 10 total seasons. Need a sportsbook this season? Take advantage of bonuses from Betonline, the sportsbook I use. They are currently offering a 100% crypto bonus. 2019 Power 5 Coaching Changes In 2018 we had big coaching changes in Power Five College Football with programs like Florida, Florida State, Texas A&M and Nebraska getting new coaches. All of those coaches return for year #2, and we will talk about what that means from a betting perspective later. In 2019 we have a lot of new coaches again with a total of 11 in the Power Five conferences including big programs like Miami and Ohio State. Let’s break down each of the new 11 coaches, and then we will talk about how first year head coaches do in their first year against the spread, as well as second year, and third year head coaches with some big opportunities to pick double digit dogs for outright upsets. Ryan Day – Day will have to replace Urban Meyer, […]
