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FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 25, 2017
Washington State vs. Washington
Washington
-10 -110
  at  5DIMES
in 1d

Free pick on Washington -

 Analysis will be posted shortly  

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 22, 2017
Mavs vs Grizzlies
UNDER 197½ -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Free

Free pick on Memphis UNDER

We are getting some good value here with the UNDER in Wednesday's NBA total between the Mavericks and Grizzlies. Both of these teams have come in struggling on the offensive side of the ball. Dallas is averaging just 98 ppg in their last 5 and Memphis is even worse at 97.4 ppg. 

One of the reasons these two teams don't score a ton, is they both play at a slow pace. The Mavericks rank 23rd in pace and the Grizzlies are 27th. Note that Memphis is also playing without starting point guard Mike Conley. 

Another key here is that these are two division rivals, so they are very familiar with what the other likes to do. This will already be the 3rd meeting between the two teams. The most recent meeting saw the two teams combine for just 187 points. I think that's right about where we see this one finish tonight. 

UNDER is 7-2 in the Grizzlies last 9 home games and 6-0-1 in their last 7 against a division opponent. UNDER is also 6-1 in the Mavs last 7 off a SU loss and 4-0-1 in their last 5 against a division opponent. Take the UNDER! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 22, 2017
Raptors vs Knicks
UNDER 212½ -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

3* NBA Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Knicks UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Wednesday's total between the Knicks and Raptors. These two teams just played last Friday and combined for just 191 points with a total of 217. While the books have adjusted the total for the rematch, I don't think it's near enough, as I think the two teams struggle to get to 200 points. 

Toronto is locked in right now on the defensive side of the ball, as they have held 4 of their last 5 opponents to 42% or worse shooting. They also don't mess around when facing a division opponent, as they have held their Atlantic rivals to just 91 ppg this season. New York isn't a great defensive team, but better than they get credit for and are clicking on that side of the ball right now, as they are giving up just 97.6 ppg over their last 5. 

UNDER is 7-3 in the Raptors last 10 division games and 5-1 in their last 6 when playing on 2 days of rest. UNDER is also 20-7-1 in New York's last 28 against a team from the Eastern Conference and 4-1 in their last 5 vs at team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take the UNDER! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 22, 2017
Spurs vs Pelicans
UNDER 208 -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Spurs UNDER

No team in the NBA plays at a slower pace than San Antonio and when you combine that with how efficient the Spurs are on the defensive side of the ball, you have a perfect recipe for low-scoring games.

The key here is we are getting value with this total due to the Pelicans struggles defensively, as they come in giving up 110.4 ppg. However, New Orleans has been much better defensively against division opponents, as they are only giving up 98.5 ppg. At the same time, the Spurs aren't a great offensive team right now, as they continue to play without Leonard and Parker and come in averaging a lousy 94.6 ppg on the road. 

UNDER is 8-2 in the Pelicans last 10 vs a division opponent and 8-3-1 in their last 12 vs a team with a winning record. UNDER is also 28-15 in the Spurs last 33 road games off a home win. Take the UNDER! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 22, 2017
Raptors vs Knicks
Raptors
-4 -105 at BMaker
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Top Premium

5* NBA Atlantic Division GAME OF THE MONTH on Toronto -

The Raptors are a team that I think is flying under the radar early on this season and they come into this game red-hot having won 4 straight and are 6-1 over their last 7 with the only loss a 1-point defeat to the Celtics. They have covered each of their last 4 games and I look for them to make it 5 in a row here tonight against a Knicks team they manhandled in a 107-84 win at home last Friday. 

New York is playing better than expected so far this season, as they are 9-7 through their first 16 games. However, none of their wins are all that impressive, as they have beat up on a lot of bad teams at home during this stretch. I still think this team has a long way to go to compete with the top tier teams like the Raptors. I just feel they are getting way too much respect right now and it's only a matter of time before they return to their losing ways. 

Toronto has been a covering machine on the road, going 6-3 ATS in their 9 road games this season. The Raptors also seem to save their best for division opponents, as they are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 vs teams from the Atlantic Division. NY on the other hand is just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs team that's won more than 60% of their games and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 division games. Take Toronto! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 22, 2017
Toledo vs Syracuse
Syracuse
-12 -105 at BMaker
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Syracuse -

I like the value here with the Orange laying what I feel is a favorable number against the Rockets. Toledo has opened up 3-0, but all 3 have come at home and against sub-par competition. This is a team that's expected to finish in the middle of the pack in the MAC and simply have no business here against Syracuse. 

The Orange have started out 4-0 and are fresh off an easy win and cover in a 74-50 win over Oakland as a mere 9-point favorite. Syracuse is really getting after it defensively, as they are holding their opponents nearly 16 points under their season average. That defensive intensity will simply be too much for Toledo to overcome, as the Rockets are a team that wants to try and outscore their opponents. Look for the big athletic guards of the Orange to be the difference in this one, as I see the home team winning here by 20+ points. Take Syracuse! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 22, 2017
SMU vs Northern Iowa
Northern Iowa
+8 -106 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

5* NCAAB Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Northern Iowa +

I think we are getting some great value here with UNI as a decently priced dog against SMU. The Mustangs have started out 4-0, but that's no surprise given the cupcake schedule they have had. Only one of their games even had a line and they were favored by 17.5 in that one. I believe SMU's strong start combined with the fact that they are coming off a 30-win season, has them overvalued here against a good Panthers team. Keep in mind that the Mustangs lost 3 players who were either drafted or signed by NBA teams, including last year's AAC Player of the Year in Semi Ojeleye. 

UNI isn't going to wow you with their roster, but Ben Jacobson knows how to get the best out of his team and the Panthers have plenty of talent coming back to finish in the top 4 of the Missouri Valley for a 10th straight season. They showed a lot of that potential in their opener, when they competed in a 17-point loss at UNC. I not only think they can cover the number here, but I wouldn't be surprised if they won this game outright. Take Northern Iowa! 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 23, 2017
Vanderbilt vs Virginia
Virginia
-6 -110 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

4* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Virginia -

I like the value here with the Cavaliers against the Commodores. Vanderbilt has already dropped two games in the early going and the most recent was a crushing 89-93 overtime loss at home. The Commodores are a team that relies a lot on the outside shot and that's just not a good recipe for success against Virginia, who plays as good a defense as any team in the country. The Cavaliers are holding teams nearly 20 points below their season average and teams are shooting just 37.5% against them overall and just 26.2% from behind the 3-point line. Vanderbilt doesn't provide near the threat defensively and that has this one likely turning into a blowout. Take Virginia! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 23, 2017
Vikings vs Lions
Lions
+3 -105 at Bovada
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Top Premium

5* NFC North (Thanksgiving) GAME OF THE MONTH on Lions +

I like the value here with Detroit catching a field goal at home against the Vikings on Thanksgiving Day. Minnesota had been flying under the radar up until last week's convincing 24-7 win over the Rams. Now I feel like the Vikings are overvalued here as a division road favorite against a good but not great Detroit team that knows a thing or to about playing on Thanksgiving.

Keep in mind these two teams played on Thanksgiving last year and the Lions were a 1.5-point favorite and won 16-13. On top of that, Minnesota was only a 3-point favorite at home earlier this season, which they lost 7-14. Based on that spread, this line should be closer to a pick'em and you could argue that Detroit should be favored. 

As good as Case Keenum has been playing, the Lions still have the edge in this one at quarterback with Matthew Stafford. The other key thing here is that while the Vikings have a great defense, it's going to be hard for them to play up to their true potential after laying it all on the line against the Rams and having just 3 days to prepare. Note that Detroit is averaging 27.6 ppg and just over 350 ypg at home this season. At the same time the Vikings are giving up 22.2 ppg on the road, well above their season average of 17.2 ppg. 

Lions have gone 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games and are an impressive 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games played in November. Minnesota is a mere 2-6 ATS in their last 8 division games and just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games. Take Detroit! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 23, 2017
Ole Miss vs Mississippi State
UNDER 65½ +105
Play Type: Premium

4* NCAAF Thanksgiving Total NO BRAINER on Ole Miss UNDER

We are getting great value here with the UNDER in Thursday's Thanksgiving showdown between these two SEC West and in-state rivals. This total is calling for these two teams to score close to 70 points and I just don't see it happening. 

Mississippi State's defense didn't play great last week and still managed to hold Arkansas to just 21 points. It continued a trend of dominance on defense against the lesser teams in the SEC and there's no question that Ole Miss falls into that category. Not to mention we just saw the Rebels struggle against a quality defense at home last week, scoring just 24 against Texas A&M and this Bulldog defense is a class above the Aggies. 

Another key factor here is that the defensive intensity is going to be turned up a notch for both sides with this being a rivalry game. I know Mississippi State put up 55 on the Rebels last year, but that should only add fuel to fire for the Rebels and I'm willing to bank they show up and keep the Bulldogs from putting up anywhere close to that many points. 

UNDER is 22-8 in the Rebels last 30 road games after winning 2 of their last 3. It's also 20-8 in Mississippi State's last 28 off a came where they won but failed to cover as a favorite and a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 as a home favorite of 14.5 to 21 points. Take the UNDER! 

SERVICE BIO

Boyd is a former collegiate golfer and University of Iowa Law grad that ensures you success in every sport he covers. Jimmy's quality sports selections with game-breaking analysis make him a major force in the handicapping industry for years to come.

Here are a few of his top plays:

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All of Jimmy’s picks get monitored around the web. Jimmy is one of the very few handicappers that have actually earned the stripes to be regarded as a top Industry player. There are not many handicappers in the industry that can match his long term success rates. Take a look at some of his prior accomplishments:

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