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FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 23, 2017
Wizards vs. Nuggets
Total
223 -110
  at  BMAKER
in 11h

Free pick on Nuggets UNDER 

Analysis will be posted shortly  

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 22, 2017
Pelicans vs Lakers
OVER 221 -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

4* LATE INFO INSIDER on Lakers OVER

No Analysis on late releases

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Seahawks vs Giants
UNDER 40 -115 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

4* NFL Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Seahawks UNDER

Don't be fooled by the Giants putting up 23 points last week against Denver. It was the Broncos mistakes on offense that got them to that mark. Denver turned it over 3 times, including an interception that the Giants defense returned for a score. They also had drives of 30 yards or less for two of their three field goals. Broncos basically handed them 13 points and they only scored 23. They finished the game with just 266 total yards and 12 first downs. 

I don't see them getting so fortunate with the turnovers against Russell Wilson and the Seahawks offense, which I think is going to have this one finishing well below the mark here. While the offense will struggle to do much of anything against a Seattle stop unit that is well rested and prepared coming off a bye, their defense should be able to hold their own against a Seahawks offense that has scored fewer than 17 points in 3 of their 5 games so far this season.

Last time out Seattle was +3 in the turnover margin with the Rams and that's worth noting, as the Seahawks are 16-5 under Pete Carroll when playing on the road after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. UNDER is also 5-1 in the Giants last 6 at home and 6-1 in their last 7 vs a team with a winning record. Take the UNDER! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 22, 2017
Hawks vs Nets
OVER 221 -115 Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium

3* NBA Over/Under Total NO BRAINER  on Hawks OVER

The fact that Atlanta scored just 91 in their last game at Charlotte has this total lower than it should be. Brooklyn has decided that defense isn't something they are all that interested in playing and I don't see it changing here. The Nets gave up 140 at Indiana in their opener and 121 last time out at home against the Magic.

Each of their first two games have had a combined score of at least 147 points. They also let both of those teams shoot better than 50% from the field, which speaks volumes to their effort on that side of the ball. The Hawks scored 117 at Dallas in their opener and I think they easily hit that mark, which should be more than enough to push this one over the number set by the books. Take the OVER! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Bucs vs Bills
UNDER 45 -112 Lost
$112.0
Play Type: Top Premium

5* NFL Over/Under TOTAL OF THE MONTH  on Bills/Bucs UNDER

The books have set the total for this one too high. Buffalo has a stingy defense and are a run-first team, which has led to the UNDER cashing in 4 of their 5 games and the lone matchup that eclipsed the total had just 42 points with a total of 40.

That defense leads the league allowing just 14.8 ppg and figures to be at it's best here with the Bills coming off a bye and facing a banged up Jameis Winston, who is dealing with a shoulder injury but is expected to play. 

Tampa Bay's defense has struggle at times this year, but that's was more of a result of guys getting injured than the talent on the field. The Bucs are as healthy as they have been on that side of the ball and should have no problem here limiting a below-average Buffalo offense that ranks 31st in total offense (271.6 ypg) and 27th in scoring (17.8 ppg). Take the UNDER! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Jaguars vs Colts
UNDER 44 -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

4* NFL Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Jags/Colts UNDER

The books have set the bar too high for Sunday's AFC East matchup between the Colts and Jaguars. It's no secret the Colts aren't an explosive offensive team. Indy ranks just 28th in the NFL at 301.2 ypg. I don't see them getting it going against a good Jaguars defense. 

At the same time, I think the Colts defense will be able to hold their own here against the Jaguars. Jacksonville has no trust in Blake Bortles and are relying solely on their running game this season. It's a big reason they aren't lighting up the scoreboard. After scoring just 17 at home last week against the Rams, they have scored 20 or less 3 times this season. Their style of play also keeps the clock moving, which limits the possessions for both teams and favors a lower-scoring game. 

Division games often are also a lot more lower-scoring than you would expect. It's certainly been the case when these two face off. The UNDER is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in the series with a perfect 6-0 mark in Indianapolis. Take the UNDER! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Jaguars vs Colts
Colts
+3 +106 at BMaker
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

4* NFL Public ATS ANNIHILATOR on Colts +

This one is begging for you to take the Jaguars laying only a field goal on the road against the Colts. Indy isn't a team the public wants nothing to do with and certainly aren't going to want to back them only catching 3-points. That has me backing Indianapolis in this one. 

The Colts are just 2-4 with their only wins coming against the Browns and 49ers, but have been competitive in every game outside of the opening week loss to the Rams. They lost 18-46 to Seattle, but that was a 1-score game with less than 2 minutes to play in the 3rd quarter. They also lost by 14 last week at Tennessee in a game they led by double-digits in the 2nd half. 

People are getting excited about Jacksonville. While they aren't as bad as they have been, they still are a serious threat in the AFC. The defense has it's moments, but the offense has been really bad. Blake Bortles is doing just enough to not get benched. The rushing attack is great, but you have to be able to throw the ball with success to be taken seriously in this league, especially on the road. 

Colts have gone 9-2 ATS in their last 11 off a SU loss and are 8-1 in their last 9 after a game where they were outgained by 100+ yards. Take Indianapolis! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Seahawks vs Giants
Seahawks
-5 -105 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

4* NFL Big Money ATS NO BRAINER on Seahawks -

I'll gladly back Seattle laying less than a touchdown on the road against the Giants. Prior to New York's surprising win at Denver last week on Monday Night Football they were expected to be more than a touchdown underdog in this game. I just didn't see enough from the Giants offense to think this team is going to be able transform into a better team after losing their top two wide outs in Beckham Jr and Marshall. 

It was the Broncos mistakes on offense that won them that game, as Denver turned it over 3 times, including an interception that the Giants defense returned for a score. They also had drives of 30 yards or less for two of their three field goals. Broncos basically handed them 13 points and they only scored 23. They had just 266 total yards and 12 first downs. 

This is the time of year where Seattle turns it up a notch and that defense should have no problem keeping NY in check, as the Seahawks have only allowed more than 18 points once this season. Russell Wilson and the offense should be able to provide enough fire-power coming off a bye to win this by double-digits. Take Seattle! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Falcons vs Patriots
Patriots
-3 -120 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

5* NFL Sunday Night Football GAME OF THE MONTH on Pats -

I'll gladly take the Patriots laying just a field goal at home against a Falcons team that looks nothing like the team that cruised to last year's Super Bowl. Atlanta just lost at home off their bye 17-20 to the Dolphins and were up 17-0 at the half. The previous week they lost at home to the Bills and were lucky to come away with wins at both Chicago and Detroit. 

If it wasn't for what the Falcons accomplished last year, which means nothing, this line would be closer to a TD. Keep in mind that the Patriots have been an 8 or more points favorite in each of their previous 3 home games against playoff caliber teams in the Chiefs, Texans and Panthers. Sure Atlanta wants revenge, but Belichick and Brady won't let that happen. 

Not to mention the defense for the Patriots has looked a lot better the last two weeks and it was only a matter of time before Belichick glued the pieces back together on that side of the ball. With an offense that is scoring 28+ ppg, New England can easily turn this into a blowout if Ryan and Falcons continue to play like they have been on offense. I think it's pretty clear that Atlanta really misses offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan and likely won't get back to that elite form we saw from them a year ago. Take New England! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Jets vs Dolphins
Dolphins
-3 -115 at BMaker
Tie
Play Type: Premium

4* NFL Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Dolphins -

I believe now is the time to sell on the Jets after covering a big number at home against the Patriots, which was their 4th straight cover. New York might be 3-3, but they aren't a good team. They have a road win over the winless Browns and home wins over Miami and Jacksonville. They laid it on the Dolphins in Week 3, beating them 20-6. I think they are going to have a tough time getting up for this one. They are in a big letdown spot after facing New England, who is the one team they want to beat more than any other. 

Miami finally showed some life offensively in the 2nd half of last week's 20-17 win at Atlanta, scoring all 20 in the final two periods. If the offense gets going, this team is going to be one to watch out of. The Dolphins haven't allowed more than 20 points in a game this season and that includes their 20-0 loss to the Saints in London. I think that unit will take it personal here against the Jets at home. 

If Miami's offense shows up like I think it will, this could be over in a hurry. Either way they should be able to win here by at least a TD. Dolphins are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 revenging a road loss, while the Jets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games after playing a division opponent. Take Miami! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Cardinals vs Rams
UNDER 47½ -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Free

Free Pick on Rams/Cardinals UNDER

I think we get another defensive battle in London with the Rams and Cardinals. These two NFC West rivals combined for 50 in the final meeting last year, but that was all Arizona in a 44-6 win. The previous six meetings all finished with 46 or fewer points and I look for it to return to form here. 

The Rams got people excited about their offense early, but they put up big numbers against bad defenses. I know the Cardinals have allowed 30+ in each of their last two games, but they had the Bucs held to just 6 points last week before taking their foot off the gas in the 4th quarter. A mistake they won't make again after letting it get too close at the end. 

The other key here is the Rams are starting to play up to their potential on defense. It started in the 2nd half against Dallas when new DC Wade Phillips moved a couple rookies into the starting lineup. They have been lights out since and I think they make life miserable for the Cardinals in this one. 

UNDER is 9-3 in the Rams last 12 games against division opponents and 11-5 in their last 16 off a win. It's also 7-3 in the Cardinals east 10 against the NFC West and 4-1 in their last 5 after giving up 30+ points. Take the UNDER! 

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Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Bengals vs Steelers
Bengals
+6 -110 at BMaker
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

3* NFL Vegas ODDSMAKERS ERROR on Bengals +

Cincinnati is not getting near enough respect here against the Steelers. The Bengals got off to that miserable 0-3 start, where the offense couldn't get anything going in their first two games. I still think they are getting treated like that team, especially against a team the public loves to back in the Steelers. 

Cincinnati could have easily won Week 3 at Green Bay, as they had a 14-poitn lead at the half and were up a touchdown in the 4th quarter of a 24-27 defeat. They bounced back with a 24-point blowout win on the road against the Browns and followed it up with a 20-16 victory over the Bills. The Bengals defense is the real deal and come in 2nd in the league giving up just 16.6 ppg. Keep in mind they are the only defense so far to keep Texans rookie Deshaun Watson in check. They limited him to just 125 passing yards, which is his worst passing yards total by 100 yards. He also didn't throw a TD against them and has thrown at least 2 in every other start (15 total). 

I think that defense will make life miserable for the Steelers, as they will be able to keep Bell in check and force a struggling Ben Roethlisberger to beat them with his arm. Pittsburgh D will keep them in it, but this should come right down to the wire and wouldn't be shocked if the Bengals won outright. Take Cincinnati! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Panthers vs Bears
Bears
+3 +105 at BMaker
Won
$105
Play Type: Top Premium

5* NFL Vegas No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Bears +

The books are just begging for you to take Carolina laying only a field goal and the public is taking the bait. You have to take Chicago in this spot and there's plenty of reason to like the Bears. Chicago played the Falcons tough at home in Week 1 and then upset the Steelers at home in Week 3. Both of those came with Mike Glennon at quarterback and he was hurting the team more than he was helping it. 

I really like the decision to go to Trubisky and while he hasn't put up huge numbers, he's done a good job protecting the football. That's what the Bears need, as they got a very underrated defense and one of the league's best rushing attacks. Carolina strength is their defense, but it will be missing it's biggest piece on that side of the ball in linebacker Luke Kuechly. Not having him changes a lot and I think it's enough here for Chicago to win this game. 

The Bears are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 as a home dog of 7 points or less and a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games with a total set between 35.5 and 42 points. Take Chicago! 

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