*3 Star Play Under* It's Canada Day and we have an early start time for this one. Max Fried and Kevin Gausman are matched up against each other in this one.

Max Fried has had one bad start all season, and that was against the LA Dodgers loaded lineup. Fried has five starts since that start, and he has a 1.91 ERA and a 2.45 FIP in those starts. He has only 5 walks and 34 strikeouts in those five outings. Fried has great career numbers against the Blue Jays lineup as well.

Kevin Gausman has been a bit up and down, but he has elite swing and miss stuff. He can walk too many at times, but the home plate umpire here should help. 

Both bullpens are clearly above average.

Doug Eddings is the home plate umpire, and he has been the most consistent strike caller and under umpire in the majors for the last decade.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* The San Francisco Giants start Hayden Birdsong in this one. Birdsong is a youngster with plenty of promise, but he has proven streaky in his short career. He is up against a really tough lineup in a hitter friendly ballpark here. The Diamondbacks are second in the majors in runs per game at home. Chase Field is a top three hitter friendly park in the majors according to Baseball Savant's park factor ratings. 

The Arizona Diamondbacks start Zac Gallen here. Gallen has been in really bad form. Gallen has 7.04 ERA and a 6.59 FIP in his last eight starts. Gallen ranks in the bottom 13% of all pitchers in the majors in expected ERA. He has allowed 13 HR's in his last 46 innings pitched. Gallen has allowed 4 runs or more in seven of his last eight starts.

Chase Field should help out here and these two starters are in poor form.

Take the over in this one.

*3 Star Play on Marlins ML* The Miami Marlins have won 8 straight games for the first time since 2008. The Marlins have been an underdog in all eight games too. They are once again in the underdog role here. 

Simeon Woods Richardson ranks in the bottom 20% of all pitchers in expected ERA and his ERA on the road is well above 5. His chase rate is way down from a year ago. 

Janson Junk is throwing a whole lot more sliders of late, and it has helped his cause in a big way. Junk has a 3.73 ERA and a 2.03 FIP on the season thus far. 

The Twins are 3-7 in their last 10 games, and they are just 18-28 on the road this year. 

The Marlins have caught fire of late, and against a subpar starter in Woods Richardson, I'll back them in the underdog role here.

Take Miami.