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Alex Smart |
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Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything! |
PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Jul 18, 2025 Giants vs Blue Jays |
OVER 8½ -108 | |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Toronto will start Chris Bassitt (9-4, 4.12 ERA) in the opener here vs the Giants. The right-hander is 3-2 with a 4.54 ERA in 39 2/3 innings over seven career starts against the Giants. Meanwhile,San Francisco turns to starter Justin Verlander (0-7, 4.70), . Verlander is 4-7 with a 4.13 in 16 starts vs the Jays in his career. My projections estimate a combined score of 9 or more runs which gives credence to my over recommendation. SF has gone over 11 of 12 times this season, in road games against strong opp with win % of .540-to .620. They have averaged 6.2 rpg in these games, while allowing 5 runs per games for a 11.2 rpg Totals average. The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 64 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI) Play over |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Jul 18, 2025 White Sox vs Pirates |
Pirates -153 at betonline |
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Play Type: Premium | ||
Pirates starter BAILEY FALTER in home starts on the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season has seen his team win his L/7 starts. Chi White Sox on the money line off 2 straight home losses against division rivals are 0-15 L/15 opportunities which is the case here . (They lost their L/2 before the all star break to Cleveland) The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+11.35 Units / 36% ROI) Play on the Pirates to win |
SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |