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Teddy Covers Teddy Covers
I moved to Las Vegas to bet on sports as a full time professional in 1998, and I’ve been doing it successfully here in Sin City ever since.
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Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 24, 2017
Miami-FL vs. Pittsburgh
+13 -110
  at  BMAKER
in 15h

Take Pitt (#132)

Miami has risen up to #2 in the latest college football playoff rankings, yet the Canes are primed to be tested at Pitt in early start action on Friday.  Mark Richt’s squad is coming off three huge, marquee victories all at home.  In statement games against Virginia Tech and Notre Dame, Miami dominated, controlling the flow throughout.  Last week, against Virginia, Miami roared back from an early deficit with a furious fourth quarter rally.

A road trip to Pittsburgh in late November is no easy task for this warm weather squad in a normal season.  This year, given what Miami has already been through in recent weeks, it’s a MONSTER trouble spot, especially with the lookahead to the ACC title game against Clemson on deck.  Quote after quote from the Miami locker room is concerning to me – lots of lookahead, lots of talk about what they don’t want to do (which often leads to the exact opposite effect).

Let’s not forget that the Hurricanes have been living on turnover margin, forcing 19 turnovers in their last five games – that won’t last forever.  Nor should we forget the previous struggles this Hurricanes team has had on the highway – barely escaping past struggling Florida State (4-6, won by only four points) and North Carolina(3-8, won by only five points) in their only two road games since September.

Pitt has been hanging around as a moneywinning underdog against superior competition for most of the season.  We saw them cover wire-2-wire at +20 at Penn State, knock off Duke with an outright upset at +9 and hang tough with Virginia Tech just last week; throwing for more than 300 yards against that stout Hokies defense on the road in a spread covering loss.

In four meetings between these schools over the past four years, Miami has only one win by more than ten points; a competitive series.  All the pressure is on the road favorite here; a situation that this program hasn’t been in for many years.  Their defense just allowed a season high in passing yards and total yards last week.  Meanwhile Pitt has found their QB of the future in Kenny Pickett, a playmaking frosh with a big arm. 

At 4-7, this is Pitt’s bowl game.  Senior CB Avonte Maddox: “History is a great thing, but we live in the now. It’s time to create more history……I see it every day (in practice). You know when guys lose, they throw the towel in. This team hasn’t thrown the towel in yet … These guys (are) willing to lay it all on the line.”  Take Pitt

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Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 22, 2017
Raptors vs Knicks
+4 -103 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

Take the New York Knicks (#510)

For many years, the homecourt at Madison Square Garden hasn’t provided much of an edge for the New York Knicks.  That long term trend has been costing anti-Knicks bettors plenty so far this season.   Since losing to Detroit by 4 in their first home game of the season, the Knicks are 8-2 SU, 9-1 ATS on this floor.  That includes outright upsets over the Nuggets, Cavs, Pacers, Hornets and Clippers as well as a three point, spread-covering defeat to the Cavs.  Betting ON the Knicks in New York is a moneymaking strategy for a young team that plays MUCH better at home (five road games, four 20+ point losses).

One of those losses came to Toronto this past weekend, a non-competitive 23 point defeat.  Knicks head coach Jeff Hornacek, talking about the short turnaround rematch.  "They took it to us pretty good. It's an opportunity to come back and do the right things. We're working our game, trying to be consistent with our effort every night, trying to make proper rotations, and if we can duplicate (Monday's win over the Los Angeles Clippers) in terms of that focus, we'll have a chance."

The Raptors are living on hot shooting, just shy of 52% from the floor over their last five ballgames.  That won’t be easy to duplicate here against a Knicks team holding foes to 42% shooting over their last five contests, even better than that at home.  And Toronto is a ‘fat and happy’ squad off four straight wins, including a very satisfying victory over Eastern Conference rival Washington in their last game.  Look for the Knicks to get their revenge here….or at least come pretty darn close.  Take the Knicks.

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 23, 2017
Chargers vs Cowboys
PK -115 at betonline
Play Type: Premium

Take the LA Chargers (#109)

Whatever the Dallas Cowboys were a month ago, they aren’t that same team any more.  Sure, the suspension of Zeke Elliott matters.  But the injuries to pro bowl left tackle Tyron Smith and star linebacker Sean Lee are far more impactful when it comes to the Cowboys current form.

In the two games since Smith and Lee got hurt, the Cowboys lost 27-7 and 37-9.  Dak Prescott’s passer rating in those two games was a 55.4 – Deshone Kizer territory – and the Cowboys offense managed to put only a single TD on the scoreboard in eight quarters of football.  Meanwhile, the Dallas defense was gashed for 215 rushing yards at 6.5 ypc last week on the heels of 132 yards on the ground from the Falcons the week before.   Even worse, the Cowboys allowed seven touchdowns in nine red zone tries over that two week span. 

Tyron Smith isn’t likely to suit up here and even if he does, I’m not expecting ‘pro bowl’ form.  Sean Lee isn’t coming back from injury just yet, meaning that we can expect the Cowboys defensive struggles to continue.  All of Dallas’s season long stats are lying right now – this team has lost their collective mojo and I don’t trust Jason Garrett to fix it on a short week.

Right now, the Chargers are arguably the best team in the AFC West; playing far better than their 4-6 record would indicate.  In fact, since their 0-4 start, LA is 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS, the only SU losses coming in competitive games at New England and Jacksonville – no shame there.   San Diego’s pass rush has been devastating; a top notch defensive ballclub.  Philip Rivers continues to make plays downfield on a weekly basis while explosive RB Melvin Gordon has averaged better than five yards per carry over the last three weeks.  

The betting markets have adjusted the Cowboys down and the Chargers up off last week’s showings.  Frankly, they haven’t adjusted enough in a game where the SU win for LA equates to a pointspread cover.  Take the Chargers.


Some ‘cappers need a detailed biography.  Teddy doesn’t – a quick google search shows quite clearly how big of an impact this longtime Las Vegas professional has had in the sportsbetting world since moving to Vegas to become a full time bettor back in 1998. You can watch Teddy on Netflix during the week of the Super Bowl in the sportsbetting documentary ‘Life on the Line’. You can read about Teddy in the New York Times. You can read Teddy’s college basketball analysis on Teddy talking NFL?  Check out Bloomberg TV!! Teddy talking March Madness?  How about on CBS! The list goes on and on.  Teddy gets the national publicity because he’s earned it; delivering a career filled with very satisfied clients…..