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Teddy Covers Teddy Covers
I moved to Las Vegas to bet on sports as a full time professional in 1998, and I’ve been doing it successfully here in Sin City ever since.
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Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 20, 2018
Indiana vs Nebraska
-3 -107 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

Take Nebraska (#528)

I understand Nebraska lost at Illinois on Sunday, snapping a truly remarkable ATS hot streak.  I also understand that my basic premise for supporting the Huskers during extended parts of that run hasn’t changed one iota; so I’m going to cut and paste from the same pro-Huskers write-up that I’ve been using of late, with the numbers adjusted to reflect current realities:

“It’s been a sin of omission not to have Nebraska every single time they’ve hit the court for the last month.  My clients and I have cashed a handful of tickets supporting the Cornhuskers, but quite frankly, this team has been as ‘bet-on’ as it gets since the start of Big 10 play; 14-2ATS in their 16 league games.

“And yet we’ve seen the ‘wiseguy’ steam pour in AGAINST Nebraska in early betting action. This isn’t new or different -- $$ has showed against Nebraska on a consistent basis for most of this ATS run.  The wiseguys keep fading this team and they keep losing…

“I love this quote from Huskers senior guard Anton Gill, especially in a ‘win and cover’ pointspread range like the Huskers are in tonight: “We’ve got to find a way to get it done…. And I’m not into moral victories. Those don’t get you into the tournament.”  This Husker program has only one trip to the Big Dance in the last 20 years (a first round loss to Baylor in 2014), and Tim Miles has them playing like a hungry, focused team.”

Junior guard James Palmer, coming off his worst game in February: "We've got to move on. We can't let one loss turn into two. You always want to play games, even if it's back-to-back. Your legs are tired, but you love basketball so you just want to play."

Tim Miles, talking about getting their momentum back following Sunday’s defeat: "You need to get back on the floor. You need to compete. You don't want to sit there and feel sorry for yourself or let any of those things fall in. While the wounds are still fresh, let's get out there and battle."  It’s surely worth noting that Nebraska is 7-0 this season when playing on just a single day’s rest this season, key for this quick turnaround game.

Indiana has won four straight for the first time since their 2016 non-conference slate.  But a closer look shows that the Hoosiers have been taking advantage of a break in their schedule – they’ve faced the bottom four teams in the Big 10 (Iowa, Illinois, Minnesota and Rutgers; a combined 12-52 in conference play) to earn this four game streak!   Coming off a ‘hot shooting’ game in a two point win at Iowa (55% from two point range and 58% from three point range), don’t expect those Hoosiers shots to fall at the same clip against the Huskers strong defense.  Cheap price to lay for the Huskers fourth consecutive home sellout crowd.  Take Nebraska.

For additional reading check out these links from local sources:

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 20, 2018
Ole Miss vs Missouri
-7½ -105 at BMaker
Play Type: Top Premium

Big Ticket: Take Missouri (#532)

The betting markets are making a remarkable assumption tonight, with the early $$ pouring in on Ole Miss as they travel to Missouri.  The markets are saying that Ole Miss is fixed now that head coach Andy Kennedy has officially resigned, leaving the program under interim head coach Tony Madlock.  I’m not buying that argument one iota. 

This Rebels team had won 20+ games nine times in the last eleven seasons, not a program that is used to ‘just playing out the string’ games in February.  They’ve completely lost contact in every recent road game, losing by 33 at Tennessee, by 16 at LSU and by 17 at Mississippi State in their last three tries.  Madlock is talking the talk: “It will be a tough game for us going on the road and of course with all the circumstances going on around the program, but I think our guys will rise to the occasion and go out and play hard.”

But talking the talk and walking the walk are two very separate things.  Quotes like this one from  sophomore guard Breein Tyree stand out as the type of attitudes that departed head coach Andy Kennedy couldn’t deal with: “Obviously, I’m keeping my options 100 percent open because, at the end of the day, I have to do what’s best for me. I came to Ole Miss to be a Rebel. I love the university. Depending on the coaches they bring in, I’ll definitely look in. I’m not saying I’m transferring, I’m not saying I'm staying. I’m just keeping my options open.”

Make no mistake about it – while Ole Miss is reeling, Missouri is coming to play tonight off their first loss in six games, at LSU on Saturday.  Leading scorer Kassius Robertson said the team played ‘selfish’ in that one point defeat.  Head coach Cuonzo Martin framed the loss in a positive light: “When there’s a level of comfort guys lose sight of what got you to the point of having success.  That’s what happens. I think the guys will be fine.”

And make no mistake about it – Missouri’s ‘A’ game is likely to be a mountain the Rebels cannot overcome.  The Tigers are elite defensively, ranked in the Top 25 in effective field goal percentage against from both two point range and three point range.   And with three different Tigers hitting better than 40% of their shots from three point range – Kassius Robertson, Jordan Barnett and Jordan Geist have 176 made 3’s between them – we can expect this margin to stretch as the game progresses.  Big Ticket: Take Missouri.

For additional reading check out these links from local sources:


Some ‘cappers need a detailed biography.  Teddy doesn’t – a quick google search shows quite clearly how big of an impact this longtime Las Vegas professional has had in the sportsbetting world since moving to Vegas to become a full time bettor back in 1998. You can watch Teddy on Netflix during the week of the Super Bowl in the sportsbetting documentary ‘Life on the Line’. You can read about Teddy in the New York Times. You can read Teddy’s college basketball analysis on Teddy talking NFL?  Check out Bloomberg TV!! Teddy talking March Madness?  How about on CBS! The list goes on and on.  Teddy gets the national publicity because he’s earned it; delivering a career filled with very satisfied clients…..