Free Pick on Steelers vs Jaguars OVER

I think we are getting some great value here on the OVER in Sunday's early NFL action that has the Jaguars visiting the Steelers. There's no denying that Jacksonville's offense is limited when Blake Bortles is asked to carry the offense, but when they can get the running game going it opens up a lot more chances for big plays. The Jags put up over 200 yards against the Steelers in the meeting between these two teams in the regular season and that was before they lost star linebacker Ryan Shazier. Pittsburgh's run defense hasn't been good at all since he went down. 

I look for the Jags to be able to move the ball here and keep pace with the high-powered offense of the Steelers. Jacksonville has a great defense, but this is an absolutely loaded Pittsburgh offense that simply has too many weapons to contain. The Steelers only scored 9 points in the first meeting, which is playing into this low total, but they were able to move the ball. Turnovers were the only reason they did score more. I think we could see both teams eclipse the 20-point mark, which will have them flying over this mark. 

OVER is 10-2 in the Jaguars last 12 vs teams who average 24 or more points/game and 30-15 in their last 45 after allowing 9 or fewer points in their previous game. Take the OVER!

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Jacksonville at Pittsburgh 1:00 ET

Jaguars/Steelers (OVER)- Most likely the first thing one of us would think is that this will be a defensive affair. In the first meeting Big Ben threw five interceptions as Pittsburgh was held to nine points and I expect a huge difference in offense out of the Steelers here. After the Jaguars offensive performance last week I expect vast improvement. Play OVER!

Play - Jaguars-Steelers UNDER (Game 305).

Edges - Jaguars-Steelers: 8-15-1 UNDER all-time in this series… With both teams ranked in the top-5 in both overall defense and scoring defense, we recommend a 1* play on the UNDER total this game.

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