Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Seattle Mariners -133

The Seattle Mariners (53-48) are fighting for a Wild Card spot in the American League this season.  They have been one of the most underrated teams in baseball, and the same can be said for tonight's starting pitcher, who doesn't get the credit he deserves season after season.

Hisashi Iwakuma has been nothing short of dominant over the last three seasons.  He went 9-5 with a 3.16 ERA in 2012, and 14-6 with a 2.66 ERA in 2013.  Iwakuma is 8-4 with a 2.95 ERA and 0.994 WHIP over 15 starts in 2014, including 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 0.662 WHIP in his last three.

Wei-Yin Chen is no more than an average starter for Baltimore.  The left-hander has posted a 4.21 ERA and 1.303 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including a 4.68 ERA and 1.323 WHIP in eight road starts.  Chen is 0-2 with a 4.56 ERA in four career starts against Seattle.

Iwakuma is 14-4 (+15.4 Units) against the money line after two or more consecutive losses over the last three seasons.  The Orioles are 0-4 in their last four games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.  The Mariners are 20-9 in their last 29 vs. a team with a winning record.  Seattle is 16-5 in Iwakuma's last 21 starts after scoring two runs or less in their previous game.  Bet the Mariners Thursday.

No. 4 Ranked Overall Handicapper in 2014! Jack Jones and his $1,000/game players have cashed in $35,690 this year in all sports! He struck again Wednesday with the Rays +104 in a 3-0 victory over the Cardinals! He sends you to bed a winner Thursday with his 20* Tigers/Angels AL Late-Night BAILOUT! This is one of the final games on the board tonight with the first pitch scheduled for 10:05 EST! Jack's selection is backed by MIND-BLOWING 13-1 & 11-1 Systems in his analysis that cannot miss! GUARANTEED or Friday MLB is ON JACK!

Baltimore was two innings away from sweeping the Angels but it allowed two runs in the bottom of the eighth inning to lose by a run. Still, the Orioles were glad to take two of the three games to square back to even on the current roadtrip before starting a four-game series in Seattle. Baltimore is still a solid 29-22 on the road this season and holds onto a three-game lead over the Yankees and Blue Jays in the American League East. The Orioles are 14-2 in their last 16 games following a loss. Seattle lost two of three against the Mets to open the week and is now 9.5 games out in the American League West but it still sitting in the second Wild Card spot in the American League. The Mariners could be a lot better but have not been able to get the job done at home where they are just 25-28 on the season. They send Hisashi Iwakuma to the hill and he is having a solid season with a 2.95 ERA and 0.99 WHIP over 15 starts but while Seattle is 5-1 in his six road starts, it is just 4-5 in his nine home starts despite his numbers being even better at Safeco Field. The issue is run support as the Mariners are averaging just 2.8 rpg in those nine home outings. Additionally, the Mariners are 0-4 in Iwakuma's last four starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Baltimore turns to Wei-Yin Chen and while he has been average, he is winning. He is 10-3 on the season including 5-1 on the road thanks to a ton of run support as he is getting 6.4 rpg through eight road games. He struggled the first couple months but he has a 3.88 ERA in June and July while allowing three runs or less in eight of those nine starts. The Orioles are 8-3 in Chen's last 11 road starts against teams with a winning record. Play (971) Baltimore Orioles

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