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AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE
WINNING TEAMS FOLLOWING A WIN ATS OF 10 OR MORE POINTS
RETURNING HOME
Those teams are 15-6 ATS overall coming off a win of 10+ ATS now at home and we have a few teams in that situation for week 8. Including Navy, and Tulsa. All three of those teams fall into a situation where you may want to lean towards taking them. In the past oddsmakers have not taken their big wins too seriously however they may want to.
GOING ON THE ROAD
This spot also very profitable with a 14-9 record which includes a 5-1 ATS record when a team wins the previous week by 21+ ATS.
LOSING TEAMS FOLLOWING A WIN ATS OF 10 OR MORE POINTS
RETURNING HOME
These teams have struggled going 2-6 ATS, and this week we will look to fade Uconn, I’ll actually be at that game as they are 3.5 point under dogs against Central Florida.
GOING ON THE ROAD
These teams following a win of 10+ ATS have a 6-3 ATS record when their next game is on the road. Vegas seems to expect them to struggle and has posted an inflated line.
WINNING TEAMS FOLLOWING A LOSS ATS OF 10+ ATS
RETURNING HOME
After a loss ATS from a winning team in the AAC now they return home wanting to rebound. Those teams are 6-2 ATS and there are no teams falling into this situation.
GOING ON THE ROAD
After a loss ATS from a winning team of 10+ now they are on the road with plenty of doubters. Houston for instance falls into this situation which has gone 5-1 ATS when backing that winning team. Houston of course is a 21 point road favorite this week at SMU. They failed to cover against Tulsa last week by 14 points ATS. They failed to cover against Navy by 21.5 points so we are definitely getting line value here in my opinion.
LOSING TEAMS FOLLOWING A LOSS ATS OF 10+
RETURNING HOME
These teams are 4-8 ATS since the 2015 season. We would look to fade Cincinati in this spot as they lost ATS by 14 last week now at home against East Carolina and are a 1.5 point favorite. Looking at Cinci’s schedule it looks very difficult for them to finish with a winning record so I am putting them in the losing team category.
GOING ON THE ROAD
These teams also struggle with a 5-8 ATS record following a loss ATS now on the road.
To Summarize – Leans
Fade Cinci, and Uconn. Back Navy, Houston, and Tulsa.
Overall if you are confident AAC team is a winning team they have done very well the following week after a big win or loss ATS. It’s almost as if Vegas is taking losses much more seriously than wins. Because they are a combined 40-18 ATS following a win or loss ATS by double digits which includes 14-7 ATS reocrd following a big win or loss ATS by 3 TD’s or more!
Losing team showever are a combined 2-8 ATS when winning or losing ATS by 3TD’s or more.
A lot of great information there and gives you a couple of leans with that said lets move onto one of my premium plays for week #8 which will be on Navy!
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