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SEC Betting Value Week 10 Update

November 1, 2016 | Posted By Freddy Wills

Overall the college football odds for the SEC Conference have been pretty tight and it’s one of the more difficult conferences to handicap.  You have Alabama continuing to just cover big road chalk no matter what and we will see that again this week against LSU!

SEC Conference:

Winning teams following a win of 7+ ATS, returning home are just 12-12 ATS overall, and 3-5 ATS following a 21+ point victory ATS.

Week #10 Tracking – Kentucky won ATS by 21.5 ATS now at home vs. Georgia (fade Kentucky) – I have heard a few sharps already on Kentucky, but if Kentucky can’t run the ball they truly struggle to win games this is a step up even if Georgia is coming off a rivalry game.

LSU won ATS now hosting Alabama as an 8 point dog – I like leaning towards LSU here with a teaser given that the total is in the low 40’s.

Winning teams following a win of 7+ ATS, going back on the road are 15-5 ATS overall, including 4-0 ATS following a 21+ point victory ATS.  No winning SEC teams are following a win and are back on the road this week. 

Winning teams following a loss of 7+ ATS, going back on the road are 1-6 ATS since the start of the 2015 season.  Tennessee is coming off a loss and are now on the road to face TN Tech, and I haven’t seen a spread on this yet.

Losing teams following a win of 7+ ATS, are 5-11 ATS overall since the start of the 2015 season which includes 2-7 ATS mark if they were going back home.

South Carolina won ATS by 17.5 last week against a Tennessee team that is flat out reeling.  They will host Missouri as a 7 point favorite.  Missouri of course lost two of their best defensive players last week and haven’t covered a spread in well over a month.