Jack's Free Pick Monday: Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+120)

The Cleveland Indians were just swept at home in a 3-game series with the Minnesota Twins. It's safe to say that they'll be highly motivated for a win today in Game 1 of this series against the Texas Rangers, who are in line for a letdown after winning their series at the New York Yankees over the weekend.

Carlos Carrasco has been the ace of the Indians' staff this season, going 8-3 with a 2.99 ERA and 1.019 WHIP in 14 starts. He has gone 3-0 with a 1.53 ERA in his last three starts, and the Indians have won all three of those games by two runs or more.

Cole Hamels will be on a pitch count in his first start back from the DL. He has been out since April 26th with a strained right oblique. Hamels is 1-2 with a 4.94 ERA in five career starts against Cleveland.

Cleveland is a perfect 10-0 after three or more consecutive losses over the last two seasons. It is winning by 4.7 runs per game in this spot. Carrasco is 17-3 as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last two seasons. The Indians are winning these starts by 2.1 runs per game on average. Bet the Indians on the Run Line Monday.

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20* NL Monday No-Doubt Rout on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-110)

The Arizona Diamondbacks should win by multiple runs today over the lowly Philadelphia Phillies. The Diamondbacks are 28-10 at home this season, hitting .289 and scoring 6.3 runs per game. The Phillies are 10-30 on the road, hitting .236 and scoring 3.5 runs per game.

Zack Greinke is back to being Zack Greinke this season. He has gone 8-4 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.048 WHIP In 15 starts, including a perfect 6-0 with a 2.77 ERA and 0.923 WHIP in eight home starts. Greinke is also 6-1 with a 2.78 ERA and 0.909 WHIP in nine career starts against Philadelphia.

Nick Pivetta has had a rough go of it since being called up. He is 1-3 with a 4.46 ERA and 1.488 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 1-2 with a 5.18 ERA and 1.767 WHIP in five road starts.

Philly is 1-11 after scoring one run or less this season, losing by 2.6 runs per game. Greinke is 40-10 as a home favorite of -175 to -250 in his career, and his teams are winning by 2.1 runs per game. Greinke is 23-4 in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse in his career. Bet the Diamondbacks on the Run Line Monday.