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Jimmy Boyd Sports Picks

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  • Jimmy Boyd Jimmy Boyd
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    FREE PICKS
    Matchup Selection W/L
    NBA  |  Oct 19, 2017
    Clippers vs. Lakers
    Total
    219½ -108
      at  5DIMES
    started

    Free Pick on Lakers/Clippers UNDER

    I really like the value here with the UNDER in tonight's showdown between the Lakers and Clippers on TNT. This would have been a decent number last year, but these are two completely different teams. The Lakers are adjusting to life with rooking point guard Lonzo Ball. He's extremely talented, but his jump shot still needs a lot of work.

    I think Ball is going to have his hands full in this one, as he's up against one of the best defenders at the position in Patrick Beverley. He's going to do everything in his power to make life miserable for Ball and if he struggles the offensive output figures to take a hit.

    This Lakers team also has a new focus on the defensive end, as they really made it a point of emphasis to get better on that side of the ball. They showed some positive signs of being improved in the preseason and I think it carries over here against a Clippers team that figures to find life a lot more difficult offensively without Chris Paul at the point. Not to mention they lost their best 3-point shooter in J.J. Reddick and elite bench scorer Jamal Crawford.

    It doesn't hurt matters that the UNDER has cashed 9 times in the last 11 meetings. Take the UNDER!

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    YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
    Matchup Selection W/L
    NBA  |  Oct 18, 2017
    76ers vs Wizards
    OVER 215 -115 Won
    $100
    Play Type: Premium

    3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on 76ers/Wizards OVER

    I think we are going to see a ton off offense and very little defense in the first of ESPN's double-header on Wednesday. The Wizards were 5th in the league last year at 109.2 ppg and should be every bit as explosive with their core back. Washington's defense wasn't great, giving up 107.4 ppg and I look for them to have their hands full against what many believe will be one of the most improved teams in the league.

    The 76ers not only have a healthy Embiid, but they get last year's No. 1 pick Ben Simmons after he didn't play at all last season, plus add in this year's No. 1 pick in Markelle Fultz. Not to mention a sneaky good free agent signing in sharpshooter J.J. Redick from the Clippers. When healthy, this is one of the deeper teams in the league and I expect them to look to push the pace with Simmons and Fultz.

    While they could develop into a decent defensive team, that's going to take some time and probably won't be for a season or two, as they are so young and don't have a lot of chemistry together. Both teams should score well over a 100 points in this one. Take the OVER!

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NBA  |  Oct 18, 2017
    Hornets vs Pistons
    UNDER 204 -110 Won
    $100
    Play Type: Premium

    4* NBA Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Pistons UNDER

    Both the Pistons and Hornets figure to be in the thick of the Eastern Conference playoff race and I think both teams are going to rely heavily on the defense this season. Charlotte went out an added Dwight Howard, who needs the game to be played at a slow pace to be a serious factor. The projected starting 5 lacks scoring outside of point guard Kemba Walker.

    Detroit's not much different, as they are built around big man Andre Drummond. The Pistons also added one of the premier perimeter defenders in Avery Bradley, who I'm sure will be matched up with Walker. Detroit ranked 26th in scoring last year and I don't see any reason to expect them to be much better. Both were Top 15 in scoring defense and while today's NBA features a lot more high-scoring games, I think we see a defensive battle here in the opener, which is also the first game in Detroit's new arena. Take the UNDER!

    Matchup Selection W/L
    MLB  |  Oct 18, 2017
    Astros vs Yankees
    Yankees
    +1½ -145 at 5Dimes
    Won
    $100
    Play Type: Premium

    4* Astros/Yankees Game 5 HEAVY HITTER on Yankees +1.5 -

    Much like they did in the ALDS the Yankees have rallied from an 0-2 deficit to tie up the series 2-2 with Houston. The most recent win coming in dramatic fashion, as New York turned a 0-4 deficit into a 6-4 win by scoring 6 runs in the 7th and 8th. I like the Yankees to keep the momentum going, but I'm going to play the +1.5 run line for some added insurance.

    All signs point to Game 5 being a low-scoring game, which only increases the likelihood of this one being decided by just 1 run. Houston sends out ace Dallas Keuchel, while the Yankees counter with the red-hot Masahiro Tanaka, who has a 0.90 ERA and 0.600 WHIP in his last 3 starts, with a 1.38 ERA and 0.692 WHIP in his 2 playoff appearances. Tanaka was also 10-5 with a 3.00 ERA and 0.980 WHIP in 16 home starts this season.

    Houston is just 4-14 against the run line in road games after a contest where the bullpen allowed 5 or more earned runs and 5-18 in Keuchel's last 23 starts after a loss. Take New York +1.5!

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NBA  |  Oct 18, 2017
    Nuggets vs Jazz
    UNDER 206 -110 Won
    $100
    Play Type: Free

    Free pick on Jazz/Nuggets UNDER

    These two Northwest Division rivals will both be out to prove something in the season opener. The Jazz want to show everyone that they are still a factor in the West after losing Gordon Hayward and the Nuggets are a team that wants to show last year's 2nd half surge was just a sign of things to come.

    I'm expecting a much lower-scoring game than the books are calling for with this total. Utah was a defensive first team with Hayward and will be even more so now that they lost their leading scorer. Not to mention they also lost their second leading scorer in George Hill. Denver's not perceived as a great defensive team, but should be much improved with the addition of Paul Milsap to pair with the emerging star at center in Nikola Jokic.

    I also think Utah is going to try to slow the pace way down here at home, as they aren't built to run up and down the floor and try to win games in a shootout.

    UNDER is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in the series with a 5-1 mark in the last 6 games played in Utah. Take the UNDER!

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    Matchup Selection W/L
    NBA  |  Oct 18, 2017
    Nets vs Pacers
    Nets
    +3½ -110 at BMaker
    Lost
    $110.0
    Play Type: Premium

    3* NBA Undervalued UNDERDOG on Nets +

    The Nets were an NBA-worst 20-62 last year and have been one of the public's favorite teams to fade for the past few seasons. The public isn't going to hesitate laying the points here with the Pacers, as they will just go off what they remember from last year.

    The thing is, these are two drastically different teams. Indiana is in rebuilding mode after losing Paul George. The Nets on the other hand are improved, brining in the likes of D'Angelo Russell, DeMarre Carroll and Allen Crabbe, plus several others who figure to contribute. They also have a healthy Jeremy Lin at the point and when he was on the floor this team was a lot more competitive a season ago.

    I'll take the points as some added insurance, but I full expect the Nets to win this game outright. Take Brooklyn!

    PICKS IN PROGRESS
    Matchup Selection W/L
    NBA  |  Oct 19, 2017
    Knicks vs Thunder
    Thunder
    -12 -107 at 5Dimes
    Won
    $100
    Play Type: Premium

    4* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Thunder -

    I see no reason why OKC won't turn this into a blowout against the Knicks tonight, as they open the season at home in a nationally televised game on TNT. This team built around the all-star trio of Westbrook, Anthony and George aren't going to be as good right now as they will be in December, but they don't need to be great to dismantle this Knicks team.

    New York is in full on rebuilding mode and simply don't have the offensive playmakers to keep this close. Rookie point guard Frank Ntilikina will be wondering what he got himself into when he tries to guard Westbrook. At the same time, Westbrook is going to make his life miserable when he has the ball. The Knicks didn't even average 100 points/game in the preseason and I don't see them coming close to the century mark in this one.

    There's also a little extra incentive here for the Thunder players to make sure Carmelo gets a win against his former team. It might not be pretty at times, but OKC should pull away and win this by at least 15 points. Take Oklahoma City!

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NBA  |  Oct 19, 2017
    Knicks vs Thunder
    UNDER 215 -110 Won
    $100
    Play Type: Top Premium

    5* Knicks/Thunder NO LIMIT Top Play on Thunder/Knicks UNDER

    This is just too many points for this matchup. I believe we are seeing a high total here because of the fact that the Thunder now have 3 superstars in Russell Westbrook, Paul George and Carmelo Anthony. As good as those 3 are, it's going to take some time for these guys to form a chemistry on offense. George and Anthony are accustomed to being "the guy," but will have to learn to take a back seat to Westbrook.

    I think it takes as much as the first 20 games before this team really gels. The other thing is the depth isn't what it use to be. The Thunder are going struggle to get a whole lot out of their bench.

    There's also a decent chance the starters don't play the entire game here, as the Knicks have the makings of one of the worst teams in the league. New York just doesn't have the offensive fire-power and in today's game where everyone is lighting up the scoreboard, they didn't even average 100 ppg in the preseason when no one is playing defense. I don't see the offense doing much here on the road in what's going to be electric atmosphere inside Chesapeake Energy Arena. Take the UNDER!

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NBA  |  Oct 19, 2017
    Bulls vs Raptors
    Bulls
    +13 -108 at 5Dimes
    Lost
    $108.0
    Play Type: Premium

    4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Bulls +

    I think we are seeing a big overreaction here with this line. It's well known the Bulls are going to be one of the worst teams in the league and they were just in the news for the wrong reasons with a couple teammates getting into it at practice. No one is giving this team a shot and while I don't see them winning this game, I think they surprise here and keep it much closer than expected.

    As good as the Raptors are it's not going to be easy to get excited about playing a team like Chicago, who has a bunch of nobody's on the roster. The one thing to keep in mind is that with the loss of Rondo, Butler and Wade, they can incorporate more of head coach Fred Hoiberg's offensive scheme, which is floor spacing and attacking with the 3-point shot.

    Toronto also has a history of not being able to cash against this team. The Bulls are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 trips to Toronto. They make it 8-0 tonight. Take Chicago!

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NCAA-F  |  Oct 19, 2017
    UL-Lafayette vs Arkansas State
    UNDER 65½ -110 Won
    $100
    Play Type: Premium

    3* Lafayette/Arkansas St Sun Belt DESTROYER on Lafayette UNDER

    These weekday Sun Belt games are much lower-scoring than the overall numbers would suggest. So while we have two defenses that are near the bottom of the country in yards allowed, I expect this to go under the high total that's been set here. One of the reasons the defensive numbers are so bad for these teams is the big programs they play in non-conference. Lafayette played both Tulsa and Texas A&M and Arkansas State had to face both Nebraska and SMU.

    A prime example of how much lower-scoring these games can be is last week's contest with Lafayette against Texas State. The total was 55 and getting pounded by the public, yet the game finished with a final score of 24-7. The previous week the Ragin' Cajuns scored just 21 against Idaho. Arkansas State has allowed just 25 and 17 points in their two conference games.

    UNDER is 10-2-1 in Lafayette's last 13 conference games and 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. UNDER is also 11-4-1 in Arkansas State's last 16 overall, and 4-0 in their last 4 off a SU win by more than 20 points. Take the UNDER!

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NFL  |  Oct 19, 2017
    Chiefs vs Raiders
    Raiders
    +3 -110 at Bovada
    Play Type: Top Premium

    5* Chiefs/Raiders AFC West GAME OF THE MONTH on Raiders +

    I really like the value here with Oakland catching points at home in a prime time Thursday night matchup. It can't be underestimated how tough it is on the road team in these Thursday game and this a long trip out West for the Chiefs.

    Kansas City has been praised as the league's best team, but looked nothing like it in last week's home loss to the Steelers, where they couldn't even get a first down in the 1st half. It has them overvalued here by the books.

    Oakland has lost 4 straight and are now just 2-4 on the season. A loss here and there hopes of making the playoffs take a huge hit. This is every bit a "must-win" game for the home team

    Expect to see the Raiders lay everything on the line and you can count on a rowdy and loud crowd here, as these two fan bases hate the opposing team. The home team has a big edge in these rivalry games and I look for the Raiders to save their season here and pull out the win. Take Oakland!

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NCAA-F  |  Oct 19, 2017
    Memphis vs Houston
    Memphis
    +3 -110 at BMaker
    Play Type: Premium

    3* Memphis/Houston Thurs Night ATS NO BRAINER on Memphis +

    I like the value here with the Tigers catching points against the Cougars. I really think Memphis is the much better team and should be favored in this contest.

    I had hight hopes for this Houston team coming into the season, even after losing Herman. A big reason for that was they added in Texas A&M transfer Kyle Allen, who was the number recruit in his class at QB out of high school. Allen was a complete bust and quickly lost his job. Backup Kyle Postma hasn't been a whole lot better, as he's thrown 5 picks.

    Clearly there's something wrong with the offense if they are only scoring 17 points against Tulsa, who they lost to 17-45. The same Tulsa team that had started 1-5 and just lost 28-62 to Navy. Overall the Cougars are averaging just 25.5 ppg, which more than 10 points less than last year's average of 35.8.

    Memphis' offense ranks 14th in the country behind one the nation's most potent passing attacks that's headlined by quarterback Riley Ferguson (1,814 yards, 19-5 TD-INT ratio) and wide out Anthony Miller (45 catches, 606 yards, 9 TDs). The Tigers defense is also much better than the numbers, as their opponents in 2017 are averaging 472 ypg. They have simply faced some dynamic offenses. I'll take the team that's going to have the much easier time moving the ball in this one. Take Memphis!

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    Heavy Hitter: Jimmys Heavy Hitter plays are backed by a wealth of statistical analysis and fit into one or more of his many winning systems. This is the well-rounded gem of Jimmys top plays, and it covers games from every angle.

    Vegas Insider: Nobody spots a winning system like Jimmy Boyd. His Vegas Insider label is reserved for plays backed by the strongest systems and trends on the board.

    Bailout Blowout: There is no better way to end the day than picking up a big win on the final game of the evening. Jimmys Bailout Blowouts come on late games and they have built a strong reputation as being a consistent winner.

    All of Jimmys picks get monitored around the web. Jimmy is one of the very few handicappers that have actually earned the stripes to be regarded as a top Industry player. There are not many handicappers in the industry that can match his long term success rates. Take a look at some of his prior accomplishments:

    #1 2007 MLB

    #1 2008-09 BASKETBALL

    #2 2008-09 CBB

    #3 2008-09 NBA

    #4 -- 2013-14 CBB

    #6 2011-12 NBA

    #7 2009 ALL SPORTS

    #9 2009-10 NBA

    #10 2011 MLB

    #10 2011-12 BASKETBALL

    #10 2010-11 NBA

    #10 2012-13 CBB

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