In week 3 we broke down the SEC, and our leans went 5-1 ATS for college football picks. Week 4 we broke down the ACC, and again the leans we gave out went 5-1 ATS. We will continue to update you on how we do from conference to conference. I would say the biggest stories out of the ACC for week #4 was Florida State’s offense looking so good. Clemson looking like Clemson and Louisville dominating again in a crazy line move of over 14 points from where it opened at 17. Here is a look at some of the value propositions we are keeping track of as well as leans for week #5 for college football bettors.
ACC Conference:
As I mentioned we broke down this conference a week ago and gave out leans on our podcast. The leans went 5-1 ATS and we have more for you in week #5.
Winning teams following a win of 21+ ATS, now on the road are 4-1 ATS. Louisville was a win last week at Marshall. Week #5 leans – Miami -7 at Georgia Tech as Miami comes off a win of 21+ and is now on the road also following a bye week which is a good thing defending the triple option. Georgia Tech looked terrible a week ago against Clemson, but I’m wondering if Miami is getting too much respect here. Almost as much as Clemson. and we do not have any teams falling into this situation during week #5.
Winning teams following a win of 21+ ATS, now at home are 6-1 ATS. Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech fell under this situation a week ago and went 1-1 ATS. Week #5 leans – Duke -3.5 over Virginia as Duke comes off a huge win at Notre Dame. I gave out Duke last week as a free pick to cover and they won outright as a 3 TD under dog on the road at Notre Dame which makes Texas and Michigan State not look so good.
Winning teams following a loss of 7 + ATS, now back on the road are 13-3 ATS. Florida State fell into this situation a week ago after getting pummeled by Louisville in week #3. They easily got the win and cover! Week #5 has no leans with no teams falling into this situation.
Losing teams following a win of 7+ ATS, now back on the road are 7-12 ATS, and 0-3 following a 21+ ATS loss. Boston College fell into this situation a week ago. Week #5 leans – Fade Syracuse typically, but this game is on a neutral field against Notre Dame. Fade Wake Forest at NC State -11.5. I’m not sure there is a lot of value on NC State in this one, but it may be worth a deeper look.
Losing teams following a loss of 7+ ATS, now on the road are 4-1 ATS. No teams or leans for week #5.
