From a College football against the spread perspective the Big Ten betting value leans have been pretty accurate for what i have been tracking. If I simply followed the leans I wrote about back on October 4th. I would have gone 14-3 ATS. Oh well some things you simply can’t predict like Michigan State falling apart, and Penn State being a #12 ranked team, but we are towards the end of the season and things become easier to predict for me. The week #10 game of the week is Penn State vs. Iowa.
WINNING TEAM SCENARIOS:
Winning Teams following a win of 7+ ATS now at home were just 10-18 ATS since the beginning of the 2015 season. That includes a 6-8 ATS mark in 2016. Week #10 leans – Fade Penn State off a win ATS of 24 points now at home vs. Iowa as a 7.5 poitn favorite. Fade Minnesota who is a off a misleading win ATS, now at home as a 17 point favorite. Fade Northwestern who is off a win ATS against Ohio State now at home as a 7 poitn dog agaisnt Wisconsin. We have 3 games to look at this week based on this trend.
Winning teams following a loss of 7+ ATS now on the road are 9-4-1 ATS since the beginning of the 2015 season. There are no leans for week #10.
LOSING TEAM SCENARIOS
Losing teams following a win of 7+ ATS now at home are 3-9 ATS since the beginning of the 2015 season. Teams to look at for week #10 are fading Rutgers off a win ATS now at home as a +14 dog agaisnt Indiana.
Losing teams following a win 7+ ATS now on the road are 9-6 ATS since the beginning of the 2015 season. Nothing to track here for week #10
Losing teams following a loss 7+ ATS now at home are 7-15 ATS since the 2015 season. Week #10 would tell us to fade Illinois who is following an ATS loss and now at home against Michigan State, who actually looked a lot better last week against Michigan. We will look at this game when a line comes out at this point nothing has been released.
