NCAA FOOTBALL GAME OF THE WEEK 5* AT 12:00 Saturday. 3-1 on

[Pick Bot]

Michigan St -1 for 5 units

This to me is a true sucker bet as everyone is buying into what Michigan has done and gone 4-0 to start season but have not beat anyone really as Notre Dame handed them the game. The line opened at a pick with the majority backing Michigan but has rose to 1 and I believe you will see 3 by game time with Michigan St being the slight favorite. 3 doesnt scare me but I love 1 as that is just a win. Michigan St is 7-1 ats their last 8 following against the spread loss the week while Michigan is 1-4 ats their last 5 on the road. Michigan St defense will carry them as their 1-3 record is not relevant to how good they are. They lost a heart breaker to CMU, who is a very good team with a great qb. They lost another heartbreaker at Notre Dame and didnt show up against Wisky, while Michigan only decent win is Notre Dame at home. Michigan has been out gained in the passing yards in all four games and in the rushing only against Indiana. Michigan's defense is one of the worst in the country and Cousins should be able to have a 300 game against this soft defense. Michigan St must sustain a good ground game to make their pass effective and Mark Dantonio is a master mind at great game plans. Even though Michigan St pass defense is suspect, I dont see Michigan qbs beating them through the air as their run defense is respectable at allowing a little above a 100 yards a game. Look for Michigan first road test to not be a good one as Michigan St jumps out early and cruises to a 10+ point victory.