over 128.5

Two trends favor the over in this low total when these two ACC teams meet on Saturday:

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ASA PLAY ON Clemson -11.5 over Georgia Tech, Saturday at 3:00 PM ET

We think this is a fantastic spot to grab Clemson at home off 3 straight losses.  The Tigers have had a tough stretch losing @ Florida State in OT, losing at home to Duke and then getting beat @ Virginia Tech earlier this week.  All very tough games and the most recent two played without one of their better players, Shelton Mitchell, who is dealing with concussion issues.  Mitchell practiced the last few days and is expected to be back in the lineup for the Tigers which is a big boost as he averages 12 PPG.  This is a huge home game for Clemson as they are 9-6 in league play tied for 4th with NC State and Va Tech a game in the loss column behind UNC for 3rd.  Georgia Tech is just 4-11 in ACC play and the Jackets have been terrible on the road with a 1-9 record.  Their only road win came at last place Pitt.  All of GT’s road losses have come by at least 9 points so it’s not as if this team is playing games tough and to the wire away from home.  This will be their 3rd road game in their last 4 and they are off a physical battle with Virginia a few nights ago.  They actually played the Cavs tough for most of the night and still lost by 11.  Off that game on the road again, we have a feeling the Jackets will have a rough time here.  They are a very poor offensive team (14th in ACC offensive efficiency & 15th and dead last in eFG%) and they are facing a defense ranked 6th nationally in defensive efficiency.  We don’t expect Tech to get into the 60’s in this game.  Tech gave their top effort a few nights ago in Virginia and in a meaningless game here with two home games on deck, we like a motivated Clemson team to roll.