Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Cleveland Cavaliers -12

The spot really favors the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight. They are rested and ready to go after having the last two days off. They will be playing just their 2nd game in 6 days as well.

Cleveland has been dominant coming off a pair of blowout road wins over the Blazers by 19 and the Clippers by 33. They will make easy work of the Kings tonight, too.

The Kings will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 114-111 home loss to the short-handed Clippers last night. Sacramento is 0-11 SU & 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games overall with five losses by 13 points or more during this skid. Bet the Cavaliers Saturday.

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15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Washington/UCLA UNDER 145.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* NBA Saturday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Jazz/Magic OVER 237

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* Rockets/Thunder ABC ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 213

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* Houston/BYU ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on Houston ML -115

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* Big Sky PLAY OF THE DAY on Portland State/Sacramento State OVER 152.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas A&M +6.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* Duke/UNC ESPN No-Brainer on OVER 151

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* CBB Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Akron/Troy OVER 154.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Northern Kentucky -6.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Oklahoma State +20

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on DePaul/Providence OVER 155.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* Big West PLAY OF THE DAY on UC-Riverside/CS-Northridge OVER 159

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* MAAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Niagara/Quinnipiac UNDER 137.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* CAA PLAY OF THE DAY on Campbell/NC A&T OVER 158.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* Horizon League TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cleveland State/IU Indy OVER 169.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE WEEK on St. Joe's +8

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* Miami/Marshall CBB No-Brainer on OVER 161.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on USC/Penn State OVER 154.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* Michigan/Ohio State CBS No-Brainer on Ohio State +10.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* Seahawks/Patriots Super Bowl No-Brainer on Seattle -4.5

FREE Super Bowl Props Below: I have my favorite Super Bowl Props listed below the analysis. I will likely be adding more leading up to the Super Bowl, so be sure to check back on the day of the big game to make sure you have all of my prop picks.

The Seattle Seahawks are the best team in the NFL and deserve to be in the Super Bowl. They won the toughest division in football in the NFC West and the toughest conference. They took advantage of the No. 1 seed and returned from their bye week to crush the 49ers 41-6 before getting by the 2nd-best team in football in the Los Angeles Rams, 31-27.

What makes the Seahawks the best team in the NFL is they have no weaknesses. They rank 3rd in scoring offense at 29.2 points per game, 8th in total offense at 350 yards per game and 7th at 6.0 yards per play. Seattle ranks 1st in scoring defense at 17.1 points per game, 6th in total defense at 293.4 yards per game and 2nd at 4.9 yards per play. They ranked 1st in the NFL with a +191 scoring differential in the regular season and have a +230 differential including the playoffs. All while playing the 9th-toughest schedule in the NFL.

The Patriots are complete frauds. They have gotten here thanks to playing the easiest schedule (32nd) in the league and arguably the easiest schedule of any team in NFL history to reach the Super Bowl. Give Mike Vrabel credit for getting them this far with smoke and mirrors, but they will get exposed here as they finally have to face a complete team.

Not only did the Patriots make the playoffs while facing the easiest regular season schedule, they have caught a ton more breaks in these playoffs with all three opponents hampered offensively. They beat the Chargers who had the worst offensive line in the NFL and were missing RB Omarion Hampton. They beat the Texans who had one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL and were missing WR Nico Collins. Both Justin Herbert and CJ Stroud completely imploded. And in the AFC Championship Game, they got to face a backup QB in Jarrett Stidham who was making his first NFL start in three years.

The Patriots had no business beating the Broncos. Stidham fumbled the ball deep in his own territory to set up New England's lone TD of the game on an 11-yard TD drive. They were able to protect a 10-7 lead thanks to the weather in the 2H. The Patriots have been awful offensively all playoffs.

Indeed, the Patriots have averaged 18.0 points per game in these playoffs, the fewest by any team to make the Super Bowl since the 1979 Rams. Drake Maye has been prone to fumbles and interceptions, and I don't trust him as much as I trust the veteran Sam Darnold, who looks primed to go all the way. Maye aggravated a shoulder injury against the Broncos that could still be an issue two weeks later. It helps explain why he was so bad against Denver, completing 10-of-21 passes for 86 yards.

Darnold had a monster game against the Rams in the NFC Championship Game to shoot down any questions about his oblique injury. Darnold went 25-of-36 passing for 346 yards and 3 TD without a turnover against the Rams. He seems to be all business, and now he gets the opportunity to put to rest the 'seeing ghosts' game against the Patriots early on in his career. His teammates love him and they are all business, too. They know they deserve to be here and it's their time, while the Patriots should be just happy to be here given all the breaks they've gotten along the way.

Darnold is 30-7 SU & 25-11-1 ATS over the past two seasons as a starting QB. Darnold is 15-1 SU & 11-5 ATS as a favorite of 4 points or more in his career. Head coach Mike McDonald has owned young QB's. Over the last two seasons, in 10 games against QB's under the age of 25, the Seahawks are 9-1 SU allowing just 7 TD passes with 12 INT's and a whopping 30 sacks. Brock Purdy in 2024 was the lone winner. Darnold and McDonald have combined to go 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in night games. It's Seattle's time. Bet the Seahawks in the Super Bowl.

Super Bowl Props (1* = 1 Unit)

1* Stevenson O 20.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

1* Stevenson Longest Reception O 11.5 (-110)

1* Walker O 20.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

1* Henderson O 0.5 Receptions (-140)

1* Shaheed O 3.5 Rushing Yards (-118)

1* Shaheed Longest Reception O 14.5 (-110)

1* Shaheed O 29.5 Rush + Receiving Yards (-110)

0.5* Holani O 9.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

0.5* Shaheed 40+ Alternate Receiving Yards (+240)

0.5* Stevenson 50+ Alternate Receiving Yards (+595)

0.25* Shaheed 25+ Alternate Rushing Yards (+670)

0.25* Shaheed Most Receiving Yards in Super Bowl (+2500)

0.25* Stevenson Most Receiving Yards in Super Bowl (+4500)