Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Texas Tech -4.5

I really like this spot for the Texas Tech Red Raiders today. They are coming off two consecutive losses for the first time this season and will be highly motivated to get back on track.

The Red Raiders pulled off the 90-86 upset over Houston and simply had a letdown in their next game at UCF in a 88-80 road loss in Orlando, a tough place to play. Then they had G Christian Anderson (19.6 PPG, 7.3 APG) scratched with an illness just before tip in a 64-61 home loss to Kansas.

Anderson is back for this game, and the Red Raiders are rested and ready to go after last playing on Saturday, February 2nd. West Virginia doesn't have that same luxury just traveling to Cincinnati on Thursday, giving the Mountaineers just two days to get ready for Texas Tech.

The Mountaineers have not been impressive in their last two home games. They lost by 10 to Baylor as 2.5-point favorites and only beat Kansas State by 5 as 7.5-point favorites. That's a K-State team getting crushed by everyone right now. This will be WVU's toughest home test of the season to date. Bet Texas Tech Sunday.

No. 2 Ranked Football Capper All-Time!Jack Jones hasSEVEN Top-10 Football Finishes(#1 2024, #3 2018, #3 2017, #4 2009, #5 2014, #5 2012, #10 2008) to his credit! Jack has put together aMASSIVE 2164-1836 Football Runlong-term that has seen his $1,000/game playerscash in $142,600!That includes a1486-1230 Football Runover his last 2716 plays! He backed it up by finishing asNo. 1 Ranked Football Capper in 2024-25!

No. 1 Ranked NFL Capper All-Time!Jack hasSIX Top-10 NFL Finishes(#3 2009, #4 2023, #4 2017, #5 2024, #8 2019, #10 2008) to his credit! He is riding a649-524 NFL Runthat has his $1,000/game playerswinning $66,960!That includes a376-294 NFL Runsince November of 2021! He delivered an81-56 NFL Recordtwo seasons ago and finished as theNo. 4 Ranked NFL Capper in 2023-24as a result! He followed it up with an87-66 NFL Recordlast season to finish as theNo. 5 Ranked NFL Capper in 2024-25as well!

SIX Top-8 College Basketball Finishes L14 Years!Jack Jones finished ranked as the #1 CBB Capper in 2013-14, #2 in 2011-12, #5 in 2020-21, #5 in 2012-13, #7 in 2015-16 & #8 in 2024-25! He has put together a2220-2007 CBB Runlong-term! That includes a313-249 CBB Runsince February 2nd to finish as theNo. 8 Ranked CBB Capper in 2024-25this past season! He has delivered a189-148 CBB Runsince the NCAA Tournament!

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20* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on USC/Penn State OVER 154.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* Michigan/Ohio State CBS No-Brainer on Ohio State +10.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* Seahawks/Patriots Super Bowl No-Brainer on Seattle -4.5

FREE Super Bowl Props Below: I have my favorite Super Bowl Props listed below the analysis. I will likely be adding more leading up to the Super Bowl, so be sure to check back on the day of the big game to make sure you have all of my prop picks.

The Seattle Seahawks are the best team in the NFL and deserve to be in the Super Bowl. They won the toughest division in football in the NFC West and the toughest conference. They took advantage of the No. 1 seed and returned from their bye week to crush the 49ers 41-6 before getting by the 2nd-best team in football in the Los Angeles Rams, 31-27.

What makes the Seahawks the best team in the NFL is they have no weaknesses. They rank 3rd in scoring offense at 29.2 points per game, 8th in total offense at 350 yards per game and 7th at 6.0 yards per play. Seattle ranks 1st in scoring defense at 17.1 points per game, 6th in total defense at 293.4 yards per game and 2nd at 4.9 yards per play. They ranked 1st in the NFL with a +191 scoring differential in the regular season and have a +230 differential including the playoffs. All while playing the 9th-toughest schedule in the NFL.

The Patriots are complete frauds. They have gotten here thanks to playing the easiest schedule (32nd) in the league and arguably the easiest schedule of any team in NFL history to reach the Super Bowl. Give Mike Vrabel credit for getting them this far with smoke and mirrors, but they will get exposed here as they finally have to face a complete team.

Not only did the Patriots make the playoffs while facing the easiest regular season schedule, they have caught a ton more breaks in these playoffs with all three opponents hampered offensively. They beat the Chargers who had the worst offensive line in the NFL and were missing RB Omarion Hampton. They beat the Texans who had one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL and were missing WR Nico Collins. Both Justin Herbert and CJ Stroud completely imploded. And in the AFC Championship Game, they got to face a backup QB in Jarrett Stidham who was making his first NFL start in three years.

The Patriots had no business beating the Broncos. Stidham fumbled the ball deep in his own territory to set up New England's lone TD of the game on an 11-yard TD drive. They were able to protect a 10-7 lead thanks to the weather in the 2H. The Patriots have been awful offensively all playoffs.

Indeed, the Patriots have averaged 18.0 points per game in these playoffs, the fewest by any team to make the Super Bowl since the 1979 Rams. Drake Maye has been prone to fumbles and interceptions, and I don't trust him as much as I trust the veteran Sam Darnold, who looks primed to go all the way. Maye aggravated a shoulder injury against the Broncos that could still be an issue two weeks later. It helps explain why he was so bad against Denver, completing 10-of-21 passes for 86 yards.

Darnold had a monster game against the Rams in the NFC Championship Game to shoot down any questions about his oblique injury. Darnold went 25-of-36 passing for 346 yards and 3 TD without a turnover against the Rams. He seems to be all business, and now he gets the opportunity to put to rest the 'seeing ghosts' game against the Patriots early on in his career. His teammates love him and they are all business, too. They know they deserve to be here and it's their time, while the Patriots should be just happy to be here given all the breaks they've gotten along the way.

Darnold is 30-7 SU & 25-11-1 ATS over the past two seasons as a starting QB. Darnold is 15-1 SU & 11-5 ATS as a favorite of 4 points or more in his career. Head coach Mike McDonald has owned young QB's. Over the last two seasons, in 10 games against QB's under the age of 25, the Seahawks are 9-1 SU allowing just 7 TD passes with 12 INT's and a whopping 30 sacks. Brock Purdy in 2024 was the lone winner. Darnold and McDonald have combined to go 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in night games. It's Seattle's time. Bet the Seahawks in the Super Bowl.

Super Bowl Props (1* = 1 Unit)

1* Stevenson O 20.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

1* Stevenson Longest Reception O 11.5 (-110)

1* Walker O 20.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

1* Henderson O 0.5 Receptions (-140)

1* Shaheed O 3.5 Rushing Yards (-118)

1* Shaheed Longest Reception O 14.5 (-110)

1* Shaheed O 29.5 Rush + Receiving Yards (-110)

0.5* Holani O 9.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

0.5* Shaheed 40+ Alternate Receiving Yards (+240)

0.5* Stevenson 50+ Alternate Receiving Yards (+595)

0.25* Shaheed 25+ Alternate Rushing Yards (+670)

0.25* Shaheed Most Receiving Yards in Super Bowl (+2500)

0.25* Stevenson Most Receiving Yards in Super Bowl (+4500)