Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Nebraska-Omaha -8.5

The Nebraska-Omaha Mavericks have really been covering machines since getting leading scorer Paul Djobet (19.5 PPG, 6.6 RPG, 44.1% 3-pointers) back. They have gone 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall including two wins over Denver and another over St. Thomas. Their last five losses have all come by single-digits with Djobet in the lineup, so they have been competitive in every game as well.

Now the Mavericks take on Oral Roberts, which has gone 3-21 SU & 9-15 ATS against Division 1 opponents this season. The Golden Eagles are 1-11 SU & 2-10 ATS in conference play as they have rarely been competitive. They are getting outscored by 12.4 points per game in Summit League play this season.

Djobet had 25 points in leading the Mavericks to a 73-62 road win at Oral Roberts in their first meeting this season on January 17th. It will be more of the same tonight as the Golden Eagles have suffered 11 losses by double-digits in their last 14 games overall. Bet Nebraska-Omaha Wednesday.

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20* MWC TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Boise State/Utah State OVER 152.5

Boise State has quietly gone a perfect 10-0 OVER in its last 10 games overall with 152 or more combined points in nine of those 10 games. The Broncos are an elite shooting team but a poor defensive team this season.

Utah State ranks 134th in adjusted tempo, 86th in average length of offensive possession, 21st in adjusted offense and 12th in effective FG percentage. We've seen the Aggies tack on points late to try and help their net rating in their last three games.

Indeed, Utah State is 3-0 OVER in its last three games combining for 168 points with Wyoming, 169 with Fresno State and 174 with Memphis. This total of 152.5 is too short for a game involving Boise State and Utah State right now.

Utah State beat Boise State 93-68 in their first meeting this season for 161 combined points. The Aggies will hang another big number on the Broncos today, who should have much more success offensively in the rematch after hitting just 36.8% from the field and 26.9% from 3 in that first meeting. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Marquette +9.5

It has been a tough luck season for the Marquette Golden Eagles as they rank 356th in KenPom's luck ranking. Close losses have been the culprit as the Golden Eagles have 10 losses by single-digits this season. They are much better than their 9-17 record would indicate.

Marquette has especially been 'game' at home going 9-5 SU in all home games. All five of those losses came by 9 points or fewer, so they haven't been beaten by double-digits at home all season. They won't start today as I fully expect them to give St. John's a run for their money. Bet Marquette Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on FAU/UTSA OVER 157

UTSA plays fast and plays no defense. The Roadrunners rank 116th in adjusted tempo and 336th in adjusted defense. They are 7-2 OVER in their last nine games overall with 156 or more combined points in six of those nine games. The only games that didn't reach that mark were against two slow, dead nuts UNDER teams in North Texas (twice) and Temple.

That's not Florida Atlantic, which also profiles as an OVER team. The Owls play even faster ranking 51st in adjusted tempo, 129th in adjusted offense and 127th in adjusted defense. After six consecutive losses overall, this is a chance for the Owls to let their hair down and hang a big number on this UTSA team to lead the way in us cashing this OVER ticket.

That already happened in the first meeting with FAU beating UTSA 110-70 at home for 180 combined points. With have a lot of room to spare here in the rematch with this total set at 157. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* AAC TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Charlotte/Tulsa OVER 150.5

Tulsa is a dead nuts OVER team going 16-8 OVER in all games this season including 7-3 OVER in home games. The Golden Hurricane rank 145th in adjusted tempo, 107th in average length of offensive possession, 32nd in adjusted offense and 168th in adjusted defense.

Charlotte is 14-10 OVER in all games this season. The 49ers are a solid offensive team ranking 112th in adjusted offense but a terrible defensive team ranking 296th in adjusted defense.

This is a rematch from a 86-74 road win by Tulsa on January 14th for 160 combined points. It should be more of the same in the rematch, and this total of 150.5 has been set too low. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on SIU/Drake OVER 149

Drake has quietly gone 12-1 OVER in its last 13 games overall. The Bulldogs and their opponents have combined for at least 149 points in 10 of those 13 games and 148 or more in 11 of them. This total of 149 is pretty short for a game involving the Bulldogs right now.

Southern Illinois ranks 74th in adjusted tempo and 55th in average length of offensive possession, so the Salukis like to play fast. That also will help us cash this OVER ticket in a rematch from a 76-73 (OT) win by Drake in their first meeting this season.

Drake shot just 23.5% from 3-point range in that first meeting while Southern Illinois shot 36% overall and 11.5% from 3-point range. It's safe to say both teams are due some positive shooting regression in the rematch after combining to go 9-of-60 from 3-point range in that first meeting. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Creighton +16

The UConn Huskies are very fortunate to have a 24-2 record this season. They have 10 wins by 8 points or fewer and have gone 10-1 in such games. They are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall and should not be laying 16 points to Creighton today.

The Huskies won't be all that motivated to beat Creighton again. The Bluejays shot 40.9% from the field and 23.8% from 3-point range in a 85-58 home loss to UConn in their first meeting this season. The Huskies shot 54.1% from the field and 51.6% from 3-point range. It's safe to say the Bluejays are due some positive shooting regression in their favor in the rematch.

Creighton goes from being a 6.5-point home dog to a 16-point road dog to UConn in the rematch. That's an overreaction from that first meeting. Bet Creighton Wednesday.

20* Big 12 TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Kansas/Oklahoma State OVER 158.5

Oklahoma State is a dead nuts OVER team. The Cowboys rank 13th in adjusted tempo, 59th in adjusted offense and 106th in adjusted defense. This total of 158.5 is too low for a game involving Oklahoma State, which will control the tempo playing at home tonight.

Kansas plays much faster and much more efficiently on offense with the best player in the country healthy. Darryn Peterson (19.8 PPG, 41.3% 3-pointers) is healthy and looking to make a statement after a season-low in points in a loss to Iowa State last time out. Oklahoma State will offer much less resistance, but the Cowboys can keep up in a shootout. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Sun Belt PLAY OF THE DAY on Troy/ULM OVER 154

UL-Monroe is a dead nuts OVER team going 18-7 OVER in all games this season. The Warhawks rank 35th in adjusted tempo and 358th in adjusted defense, so they play fast and play no defense. They have gone for 164 or more combined points in four of their last five games overall, so this total of 154 is pretty low for a game involving the Warhawks right now.

Troy ranks 132nd in adjusted offense and just 174th in adjusted defense. The Trojans are scoring 81.7 points per game this season and will hang a big number on the Warhawks. I like that this is the first meeting between these teams so they are unfamiliar with one another. Troy has gone under the total in six straight games which is keeping this total lower than it should be. The Trojans get a chance to let their hair down today against the worst defensive team in the conference. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.