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Jimmy Boyd |
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| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| NFLX | Aug 26, 2023 Dolphins vs. Jaguars |
Total 41 -110 at HERITAGE |
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1* Free Pick on Dolphins/Jaguars over All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models. |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 03, 2026 Southern Illinois vs Illinois State |
Southern Illinois +9 -110 at Bovada |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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4* VEGAS INSIDER on Southern Illinois +9 Southern Illinois is catching way too many points in this Missouri Valley showdown. The spread is inflated based on home-court bias and doesn't reflect how these two teams actually match up. The Salukis play at one of the slowest tempos in the entire country. They force opponents into long possessions and deep shot clocks on every single trip. When you limit the total number of possessions in a game, every point becomes much more valuable for the underdog. Illinois State does not have the offensive firepower to pull away and hide in a game like this. The Redbirds struggle with shooting consistency and generally fail to thrive in a grind-it-out environment. Southern Illinois brings a top-tier defensive unit that ranks high in effective field goal percentage allowed. They excel at contesting the three-point line and forcing teams into mid-range jumpers. The Salukis also do a great job of taking care of the basketball and avoiding live-ball turnovers. Illinois State does not play an aggressive enough style of defense to disrupt the Salukis' offensive sets. This should be a low-possession, low-scoring affair where neither team gets much breathing room. Nine points is a massive cushion in a game that will likely be played in the low 60s. The Salukis have a long history of keeping these rivalry games tight regardless of where they are played. They have covered the spread in four of their last five trips to this arena. Expect a physical battle that comes down to the final few possessions. Take the points with the live underdog in a classic conference defensive struggle. I like the Southern Illinois +9 (-110). |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 03, 2026 Canisius vs Niagara |
Canisius +3 -110 at Ace |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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4* VEGAS INSIDER on Canisius +3 Canisius and Niagara meet for another "Battle of the Bridge" and the wrong team is favored in this rivalry spot. Niagara is laying three points at home, but they haven't shown the consistency to justify being a favorite against their biggest rival. The Golden Griffins have the clear advantage on the offensive glass in this matchup. They are one of the best teams in the MAAC at creating second-chance points and Niagara has been soft in the paint all season. Canisius plays a physical brand of basketball that tends to frustrate the Purple Eagles' backcourt. Niagara is prone to turnovers when pressured and Canisius thrives on turning those mistakes into easy transition buckets. The Purple Eagles are also struggling with their perimeter defense lately. They are giving up way too many open looks from three-point range and the Griffs have the shooters to capitalize. In a rivalry game like this, the intensity usually leads to a lower-scoring, grind-it-out affair. Points are at a premium and getting a full possession of cushion is a gift for bettors. Canisius has covered the spread in four of their last five road games. They are not intimidated by the atmosphere at the Gallagher Center and have historically played well in this building. Niagaras offense relies too heavily on individual playmaking. When their shots are not falling, they do not have a reliable secondary option to keep them in games. The Griffs are the more disciplined team and they shoot a higher percentage from the free-throw line. That efficiency will be the difference in the final two minutes of a tight contest. I expect this game to come down to the final shot. I like the Canisius +3. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 03, 2026 Indiana State vs Evansville |
Indiana State -125 at Draft Kings |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Free | ||
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1* Free Pick on Indiana State -125 Indiana State has the clear edge tonight because their offensive efficiency is simply too much for Evansville to handle. The Sycamores are one of the top shooting teams in the Missouri Valley and they move the ball better than almost anyone in the country. Evansville struggles to close out on shooters and that is a recipe for disaster against this Indiana State lineup. The Aces give up way too many open looks from beyond the arc and rank near the bottom of the conference in defensive eFG%. Indiana State enters this game with a clean bill of health and no major injuries to their starting rotation. They have had two full days of rest since their last game on Saturday and should be fresh for this road trip. Evansville relies heavily on forcing turnovers to stay competitive in conference play. However, Indiana State is extremely disciplined with the ball and rarely gives away cheap possessions. The Sycamores also dominate the defensive glass and limit teams to one shot per trip. Evansville lacks the size and athleticism to create the second-chance points they need to keep pace. The line is short because of the home-court factor, but the talent gap here is much wider than the price suggests. Indiana State has the better shooters, better ball handlers, and a more consistent defensive identity. Expect the Sycamores to control the tempo and use their floor spacing to pull Evansville's bigs out of the paint. This creates easy lanes for their guards and will likely lead to a comfortable lead by the second half. I like the Indiana State ML (-125)
I have five premium selections available today across the NBA, NCAA-B, and NFL slates. These releases represent my strongest positions and are backed by the same professional analysis used to identify value throughout the season. You can find my full premium card available on my profile page.
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 03, 2026 SIU-Edwardsville vs Lindenwood |
SIU-Edwardsville +170 at Draft Kings |
Won $170 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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5* NO BRAINER on SIU-Edwardsville +170 SIU-Edwardsville is being completely overlooked at +170 against a team they have dominated for years. The Cougars have won 14 of the last 15 meetings in this series, including a 66-62 victory just last month. This price implies Lindenwood is a heavy favorite, but both squads enter this game with identical 14-9 overall records. While Lindenwood sits slightly higher in the OVC standings, they haven't proven they can solve the SIUE defensive system. The Cougars rank 13th in the nation in scoring defense, allowing only 64.5 points per contest. They are elite at defending the perimeter, ranking 11th in the NCAA by holding opponents to just 29% from three-point range. Lindenwood features a high-powered offense that averages 80.2 points, but they struggle when forced into a half-court grind. SIUE has a massive physical edge in the paint with 7-foot-1 center Arnas Sakenis. Sakenis has averaged 12.3 points and 2.3 blocks over his last nine games. He is shooting an incredible 73.4% from the floor in that span and alters almost every shot at the rim. The Cougars have adjusted well to the season-ending losses of senior forwards Ring Malith and Myles Thompson. They have won four of their last five games and just held Southern Indiana to 28% shooting in their last victory on Saturday. Getting the better defensive team and the more successful head-to-head program at this price is a major value spot. Expect SIUE to control the tempo and frustrate a Lions team they already beat once this season. Bet SIU-Edwardsville ML (+170). |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Feb 03, 2026 Suns vs Blazers |
Blazers +150 at Draft Kings |
Lost $100.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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5* NO BRAINER on Blazers +150 Phoenix is walking into a trap at the Moda Center tonight. The Suns are playing their second game in as many nights after a physical battle with the Clippers yesterday. This is a brutal schedule spot for a veteran team that is already severely short-handed. The biggest issue for Phoenix is the absence of Devin Booker. Booker remains out with a right ankle sprain and the Suns' offensive rating has cratered without him. They lack a primary shot creator who can break down the defense when the game is on the line. Jalen Green is also struggling with a hip contusion and is far from 100 percent. If Green is limited or sits, the Suns will struggle to find consistent scoring punch. Phoenix relies heavily on three-point shooting, but their eFG% historically takes a massive dip on the second night of a back-to-back. Portland comes into this game with the rest advantage after having Monday off. The Blazers have been strong at home in this series, winning the last two meetings against Phoenix in Oregon. They have the fresh legs required to push the pace and tire out the Suns' perimeter defenders. Shaedon Sharpe is playing at an All-Star level and currently leads the active roster in scoring. He has the speed and athleticism to exploit a Phoenix defense that will be playing on heavy legs. Donovan Clingan is another massive factor in the middle for Portland. Clingan is a double-double machine who should dominate the glass against a Phoenix frontcourt that lacks depth. The Blazers rank in the top five in offensive rebounding percentage and will live on second-chance points tonight. Getting +150 on a rested home team against a depleted, tired opponent is an absolute gift. The value is clearly on the home dog to pull the outright upset. Bet Blazers ML (+150). |
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Boyd is a former collegiate golfer and University of Iowa Law grad that ensures you success in every sport he covers. Jimmy's quality sports selections with game-breaking analysis make him a major force in the handicapping industry for years to come. No Brainer: This is one of Jimmys highest rated plays. After reading his write-up on the game you will see why this plays title is so fitting. These picks are reserved for major mismatch advantages and strong value plays. Heavy Hitter: Jimmys Heavy Hitter plays are backed by a wealth of statistical analysis and fit into one or more of his many winning systems. This is the well-rounded gem of Jimmys top plays, and it covers games from every angle. Vegas Insider: Nobody spots a winning system like Jimmy Boyd. His Vegas Insider label is reserved for plays backed by the strongest systems and trends on the board. Bailout Blowout: There is no better way to end the day than picking up a big win on the final game of the evening. Jimmys Bailout Blowouts come on late games and they have built a strong reputation as being a consistent winner. All of Jimmys picks get monitored around the web. Jimmy is one of the very few handicappers that have actually earned the stripes to be regarded as a top Industry player. There are not many handicappers in the industry that can match his long term success rates. |
