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Jimmy Boyd |
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| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| NCAA-B | Feb 06, 2026 Connecticut vs. St. John's |
St. John's +2½ -110 at DRAFTKINGS |
in 5h |
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1* Free Pick on St. John's +2 St. John's is catching points at home in a massive Big East spot tonight. Rick Pitino has this program peaking at the right time as we hit the heart of February. The Red Storm are playing elite defense and forcing turnovers on over 20% of defensive possessions. UConn is a powerhouse but they have shown cracks in their ball security when playing in hostile road environments. The Huskies rely on high-level execution and half-court rhythm to win games. St. John's uses relentless full-court pressure to disrupt those sets and force teams into a track meet. This game is under the bright lights of Madison Square Garden. The environment will be electric for a St. John's team that has historically played its best basketball as a home underdog. St. John's is 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 home games. They have shown a consistent ability to protect their floor and play up to the level of top-tier competition. The Red Storm have the athleticism to match UConn in transition. They have been elite at defending the three-pointer at home and rank in the top tier of the conference in perimeter field goal percentage defense. St. John's has the bench depth to keep the intensity high for 40 minutes. They won't let UConn slow this game down to a crawl where the Huskies' size can take over. The Red Storm are also crashing the glass with purpose lately. They rank in the top 30 nationally in offensive rebounding percentage and will fight for every second-chance opportunity. UConn's defensive rating drops significantly when they play outside of their home arena. They allow more points in the paint on the road than they do in their own building. St. John's is shooting nearly 40% from behind the arc over their last four contests. If those shots fall early, they will dictate the flow and force UConn to play from behind. The public is heavy on the Huskies but the line is staying firm at 2.5. This indicates the sharp money is comfortable backing the home dog in a classic conference rivalry. I like the St. John's +2.5.
I have four premium selections ready for todays action across the NBA, NFL, and college basketball. These plays are backed by the same disciplined research and deep analysis I apply to all my handicapping. You can view my full board of premium picks on my handicapper profile.
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 05, 2026 Texas-Arlington vs Utah Tech |
Texas-Arlington +1½ -110 at Ace |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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3* HEAVY HITTER on Texas-Arlington +1 Texas-Arlington is simply the better team on both ends of the floor. They have a massive physical edge in the paint that Utah Tech cannot match. The Trailblazers are one of the weakest rebounding teams in the conference. They give up far too many second-chance points to teams that play with this much aggression. UTA comes into this matchup with four full days of rest. They won big last Saturday and had plenty of time to get their legs back for this trip to St. George. Utah Tech relies way too much on the three-point shot to keep games close. They have been cold lately and are shooting under 31% from deep over their last five games. The Mavericks have an elite perimeter defense that specializes in taking away the arc. They rank in the top 50 nationally in three-point percentage defense. Arlington also does a much better job of getting to the free-throw line. In a game with a spread this tight, free points at the stripe are usually the difference. Utah Tech has failed to cover the spread in four of their last five home games. The betting market is still giving them too much credit for home-court advantage. UTA is 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit win. They know how to carry momentum from one game to the next. The Mavericks are the more efficient team in transition. They force turnovers at a high rate and turn those mistakes into easy points. Utah Tech struggles to take care of the ball against heavy pressure. Arlington will speed them up and force them into bad decisions all night long. The wrong team is favored in this spot. Arlington has the defense and the rebounding to win this game comfortably on the road. I like the Texas-Arlington +1.5. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 05, 2026 Fairfield vs Sacred Heart |
Fairfield +105 at Buckeye |
Won $105 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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4* VEGAS INSIDER on Fairfield +105 Fairfield is catching a plus-money price tonight in a matchup where they have the clear talent advantage. Sacred Heart has momentum, but their overall record of 10-14 shows their true ceiling. The biggest edge in this game is on the glass. Sacred Heart lacks the interior size to keep him off the offensive boards. Anquan Hill is a solid scorer for the Pioneers, but he lacks support in the frontcourt. Braden Sparks is the best guard on the floor and will dictate the tempo. Fairfields backcourt is more experienced and less prone to turnovers in a hostile road environment. Sacred Heart swept the head-to-head meetings last season, so the revenge factor is massive for the Stags. The Pioneers have feasted on the bottom of the conference during this recent run. Take the better overall team while they are sitting at a plus-money price. I like the Fairfield ML (+105). |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 05, 2026 Memphis vs UAB |
UAB -2½ -108 at Draft Kings |
Lost $108.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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4* VEGAS INSIDER on UAB -2 UAB is the play here because they protect the rock better than almost anyone in the country. Memphis is the complete opposite when it comes to discipline on the offensive end. Bartow Arena is a house of horrors for visiting teams and will be rocking for this rivalry game. The Blazers own a significant edge on the glass where they rank 14th in the country in total rebounds. Memphis is currently shorthanded with Curtis Givens and Abdul Hakim dealing with recent injuries and illness. Even with Joo Das Chagas out for the season, UABs physical style and fast-break efficiency should wear down the Tigers. Penny Hardaways squad has high-end talent but they haven't shown the mental toughness to win these tough road spots lately. Expect the Blazers to control the pace and limit the extra possessions Memphis needs to pull the road upset. I like the UAB -2.5. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 05, 2026 UC-Santa Barbara vs UC-Davis |
UC-Santa Barbara -3½ -110 at Bovada |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Free | ||
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1* Free Pick on UC-Santa Barbara -3 UC-Santa Barbara is the much more efficient team in this matchup. They shoot the ball better and protect the rim at a much higher level. UC-Davis relies too heavily on their guards to create late in the shot clock. That doesn't work against a Gauchos defense that ranks near the top of the conference in effective field goal percentage. The Gauchos are coming into this game with significant momentum. They have covered the spread in four of their last five road games. UC-Davis has struggled to defend the paint all season. They lack the size to match up with the Santa Barbara frontcourt. The Gauchos will dominate the glass tonight. This creates second-chance points that a thin Davis rotation simply cannot handle. Santa Barbara is also the better team at the charity stripe. They hit their free throws when it counts to close out games on the road. The Aggies turn the ball over too often to keep pace. UCSB is disciplined and rarely beats themselves with sloppy play. This line is short because Davis is playing at home. However, the talent gap between these two rosters is much wider than three and a half points. Santa Barbara is the more rested team and has stayed focused during this road trip. They have a clear edge in offensive rating and overall shooting depth. Davis has lost three of their last four games straight up. They are struggling to find a rhythm on the offensive end right now. Expect the Gauchos to control the tempo from the opening tip. They will use their size advantage to wear down the Aggies over forty minutes. I like the UC-Santa Barbara -3.5.
I have nine premium selections available today across the NFL, NBA, NCAA-B, and the PGA Tour as I continue to build on a productive month of analysis. My focus remains on identifying high-value opportunities through a disciplined, professional approach to the board. You are invited to view my full card of top-rated plays on my premium picks page.
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 05, 2026 Tarleton State vs California Baptist |
California Baptist -10 -110 at Ace |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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5* NO BRAINER on California Baptist -10 California Baptist is unbeatable at the Fowler Events Center. They enter this matchup with a perfect 11-0 record on their home floor. Tarleton State is heading the opposite direction. The Texans have lost six straight games and look completely lost on the offensive end. They shot just 34 percent from the field in their last outing. You cannot expect to win on the road in the WAC with that kind of shooting. CBU has the most explosive player on the court in Dominique Daniels Jr. He leads a high-powered unit that just put up 87 points in their last win. The Lancers are on a six-game winning streak and playing their best basketball of the season. There is also a major revenge factor at play here. Tarleton stole an overtime win against the Lancers back in early January. CBU has been waiting for this rematch to prove that result was a fluke. The Lancers are a different beast at home where they have never lost to the Texans. Tarleton is just 3-7 on the road and recently got blown out by 28 points against Utah Valley. The Texans turn the ball over nearly 15 times per game. That is a recipe for disaster against a CBU team that excels at scoring in transition. Tarleton lacks the depth to keep up if this game turns into a track meet. CBU has more weapons and a much higher ceiling on the offensive end. The Lancers are winning by an average of nearly 10 points at home this year. This line is too low for a team with this much momentum and home-court dominance. I expect a double-digit victory as the Texans continue their late-season slide. I like the California Baptist -10 (-110) |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Feb 05, 2026 Bulls vs Raptors |
Bulls +9½ -115 at Draft Kings |
Lost $115.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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5* NO BRAINER on Bulls +9 Toronto is in a brutal scheduling spot for this Thursday night matchup. They just played a physically demanding game against the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday. Coming back less than 24 hours later to face a rested Chicago team is a massive hurdle for this rotation. The Raptors are already thin in the frontcourt with starting center Jakob Poeltl sidelined by a back injury. Without Poeltl, Toronto has no real answer for Nikola Vucevic in the paint. Vucevic has been a dominant force on the glass lately and should feast against a tired Raptors interior defense. The Bulls are dealing with some roster flux after trading Coby White and Mike Conley on Wednesday. While they might be short-handed, these "transition" games often produce high-energy efforts from hungry young players like Ayo Dosunmu and Isaac Okoro. Chicago has also dominated this head-to-head series recently. They have won and covered in their last four meetings against Toronto. Torontos defensive efficiency historically takes a massive hit on the second leg of back-to-backs. They simply don't have the legs to maintain a high-pressure scheme for 48 minutes right now. The 9.5-point spread is far too wide for a team that played last night and is missing its defensive anchor. Chicago has enough scoring punch with Vucevic and Collin Sexton to keep this game within a couple of possessions. I expect a sluggish start from the Raptors and a motivated effort from a Bulls team looking to prove they can win post-trade. Take the points with the rested underdog. I like the Bulls +9.5. |
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Boyd is a former collegiate golfer and University of Iowa Law grad that ensures you success in every sport he covers. Jimmy's quality sports selections with game-breaking analysis make him a major force in the handicapping industry for years to come. No Brainer: This is one of Jimmys highest rated plays. After reading his write-up on the game you will see why this plays title is so fitting. These picks are reserved for major mismatch advantages and strong value plays. Heavy Hitter: Jimmys Heavy Hitter plays are backed by a wealth of statistical analysis and fit into one or more of his many winning systems. This is the well-rounded gem of Jimmys top plays, and it covers games from every angle. Vegas Insider: Nobody spots a winning system like Jimmy Boyd. His Vegas Insider label is reserved for plays backed by the strongest systems and trends on the board. Bailout Blowout: There is no better way to end the day than picking up a big win on the final game of the evening. Jimmys Bailout Blowouts come on late games and they have built a strong reputation as being a consistent winner. All of Jimmys picks get monitored around the web. Jimmy is one of the very few handicappers that have actually earned the stripes to be regarded as a top Industry player. There are not many handicappers in the industry that can match his long term success rates. |
