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Jimmy Boyd |
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| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| NFLX | Aug 26, 2023 Dolphins vs. Jaguars |
Total 41 -110 at HERITAGE |
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1* Free Pick on Dolphins/Jaguars over All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models. |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 21, 2026 Montana vs Weber State |
Montana +2½ -105 at betus |
Lost $105.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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3* HEAVY HITTER on Montana +2 google:search{queries:[ The Wildcats are coming off an emotional overtime victory against Montana State just 48 hours ago. That was a high-intensity battle that drained their energy and likely left their legs heavy for this quick turnaround. The Grizzlies have the defensive advantage in this contest. They allow only 73 points per game, while Weber States defense has been leaky, giving up 77 per outing this season. Money Williams is the most dangerous scorer on the court tonight. He is averaging nearly 20 points per game and has the ability to take over when the shot clock runs low or the offense stalls. Weber State struggles to get consistent stops when they aren't shooting the lights out from the perimeter. Their defensive efficiency has been a major liability, especially when forced to defend for the full thirty seconds. Montana does a great job of protecting the basketball and limiting transition opportunities for their opponents. They will keep this game at a controlled pace, which significantly favors the road underdog. The Wildcats have been a poor investment at the betting window lately. They are just 4-6 against the spread in their last ten games and have struggled to cover as home favorites. Look for the Grizzlies to exploit a tired Weber State perimeter defense that just chased shooters for 45 minutes on Thursday. Montana has the veteran presence to keep this game tight or win it outright in Ogden. I like the Montana +2.5 (-105) |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 21, 2026 South Dakota vs Oral Roberts |
South Dakota +100 at betus |
Lost $100.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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4* VEGAS INSIDER on South Dakota +100 South Dakota is the better team in this spot despite being on the road. The Coyotes have been much more consistent on the defensive end over the last three weeks. Oral Roberts is struggling to find any kind of rhythm right now. They have dropped four of their last five games and the offense has gone cold. The Golden Eagles are giving up too many easy looks at the rim. They rank near the bottom of the Summit League in effective field goal percentage defense. South Dakota thrives on taking care of the basketball. They are one of the best teams in the conference at limiting turnovers and maximizing possessions. Extra shots will be the deciding factor in this matchup. Oral Roberts does not force enough mistakes to keep the Coyotes out of their offensive sets. The Coyotes are also the superior team at the free-throw line. In a game with a short line, hitting shots at the stripe is critical for a road underdog. Oral Roberts is coming off a very physical game on Thursday night. They looked tired down the stretch and have not had enough time to recover their legs. South Dakota won the first meeting this year by double digits. They have the size inside to dominate the rebounding battle and limit second-chance points. The market is still giving Oral Roberts too much credit for their historical home-court advantage. The reality is this current roster is not performing at that elite level. South Dakota is 6-2 against the spread in their last eight road games. They are comfortable playing away from home and usually start games with high intensity. Take the team that plays better defense and shoots a higher percentage from the floor. I like the South Dakota ML (+100). |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 21, 2026 Western Kentucky vs Liberty |
Liberty -8 -110 at Bovada |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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4* VEGAS INSIDER on Liberty -8 Liberty is playing at a level right now that most mid-majors simply cannot match. They rank among the national leaders in effective field goal percentage and rarely beat themselves with mental mistakes. Western Kentucky wants to push the pace, but they do not have the defensive discipline to stop Libertys half-court execution. Injuries are also starting to catch up with the Western Kentucky frontcourt at the worst possible time. Liberty is going to exploit that lack of size and depth with constant movement and high-percentage looks near the rim. Fatigue is rarely an issue for a team that shoots this well and executes this efficiently in its own arena. Western Kentucky is a miserable 2-7 against the spread in their last nine road contests and lacks the bench depth to keep up for 40 minutes. Back in Lynchburg, this margin should be in the double digits by the middle of the second half. I like the Liberty -8 (-110). |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 21, 2026 Monmouth vs College of Charleston |
Monmouth +170 at Ace |
Lost $100.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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4* VEGAS INSIDER on Monmouth +170 Monmouth is catching a massive price here against a Charleston team that is starting to show some cracks. The Cougars rely almost entirely on the three-point shot to generate their offense. When those shots do not fall, they do not have a reliable interior game to fall back on. Monmouth ranks in the top tier of the conference in three-point percentage defense this season. They run shooters off the line and force opponents into tough, contested mid-range jumpers. Charleston is also coming off a physical, high-stakes battle against UNCW this past Thursday night. That kind of emotional and physical drain usually leads to heavy legs in the second half of a Saturday afternoon matchup. Monmouth comes into this one with plenty of rest and a major revenge motive after losing the first meeting at the buzzer. The Hawks are one of the most efficient teams in the league at forcing turnovers and scoring in transition. Charleston struggles with ball security when they are pressured in the half-court. Monmouths backcourt is veteran-heavy and will not be rattled by the crowd noise in this environment. The market is overvaluing Charleston based on their name brand and home-court advantage. The Cougars' defensive efficiency has dropped significantly over their last five games. They are giving up way too many second-chance points because they fail to box out on the perimeter. Monmouth has the length to exploit that weakness and create extra possessions throughout the game. I am betting on the more desperate team with the better defensive matchup. The value on the moneyline is too high to pass up in a rivalry game that should be priced as a toss-up. Bet Monmouth ML (+170). |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 21, 2026 UC-Santa Barbara vs Hawaii |
Hawaii -170 at betus |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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4* VEGAS INSIDER on Hawaii -170 |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 21, 2026 Kentucky vs Auburn |
Auburn -165 at Bovada |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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4* VEGAS INSIDER on Auburn -165 Auburn at Neville Arena is the toughest out in the SEC. They are nearly impossible to beat at home because of the crowd noise and their high-pressure defensive scheme. The Tigers rank in the top 10 nationally in effective field goal percentage defense. They make every look difficult and consistently run opponents off the three-point line. Kentucky is a high-octane offensive team, but they struggle when they cannot get easy buckets in transition. Auburns transition defense is elite and will force the Wildcats into a slow half-court grind. The stats show Auburn is forcing turnovers on over 20% of defensive possessions when playing in "The Jungle." Kentucky has been sloppy with the ball on the road lately, particularly in loud environments. The Wildcats also have a major vulnerability regarding rim protection. Auburns frontcourt should dominate the offensive glass and earn frequent trips to the free-throw line. Auburn has had three full days to prepare for this Saturday night showdown. Kentucky is coming off a physical midweek battle and may lack the legs to keep up for forty minutes. In a high-stakes SEC game like this, the home team almost always dictates the tempo. Auburn will use their depth to wear down the Kentucky guards by the middle of the second half. The moneyline price is fair for a team that has won over 90% of its home games over the last two seasons. Auburn is the more balanced team and the venue provides a massive edge. I like the Auburn ML (-165). |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 21, 2026 Texas A&M vs Oklahoma |
Texas A&M -103 at Jazz |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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4* VEGAS INSIDER on Texas A&M -103 Texas A&M is the most physical team in the SEC and they prove it by dominating the glass every night. The Aggies currently rank in the top ten nationally in scoring and they live on second-chance opportunities. They just out-rebounded Ole Miss by 14 on Wednesday and snatched 16 offensive boards in that win. Oklahoma does not have the interior size or the toughness to stop that kind of pressure for a full 40 minutes. The Sooners have completely fallen apart in conference play with a dismal 3-10 record in the SEC. They have lost eight of their last ten games and are coming off a demoralizing 23-point blowout loss to Tennessee. Oklahomas defensive rating is one of the worst in the country and they allow nearly 78 points per game. Texas A&M won the first meeting this season by seven points and they have now won three straight in this head-to-head series. The Aggies play at the 14th-fastest pace in the country and will tire out an Oklahoma rotation that lacks defensive depth. Forward Rashaun Agee is coming off a massive double-double and should have his way against a soft Sooners frontcourt. While Oklahoma is 10-4 at home, they have lost four of their last five in Norman when facing top-tier competition. Texas A&M is a seasoned road team that has won 11 of their last 19 games away from home. The Aggies are simply more efficient at finding high-percentage looks at the rim while Oklahoma settles for contested jumpers. This line is essentially a pick'em but the talent gap and recent form point toward a clear Aggie victory. Bet Texas A&M ML (-103). |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 21, 2026 Stanford vs California |
Stanford +115 at Ace |
Lost $100.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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4* VEGAS INSIDER on Stanford +115 Stanford is catching plus money in a massive revenge spot tonight. They lost the first meeting of the season on their own floor and have been circling this date ever since. The Cardinal have been extremely comfortable in Berkeley lately. They have covered the spread in four of their last five trips to Haas Pavilion and match up well against this Cal roster. Kyle Smith has this team playing efficient basketball despite a recent rough patch in the win-loss column. Freshman star Okorie is playing at an elite level and just broke the schools freshman scoring record. He is the most explosive athlete on the floor tonight and Cal does not have a single defender who can stay in front of him. The Bears are coming off a high-shooting performance against Boston College that feels like an outlier. Cal knocked down 48% of their threes in that win but they rank outside the top 100 nationally in season-long shooting efficiency. Stanfords perimeter defense is designed to run teams off the line and force tough mid-range looks. The Cardinal are also much better on the glass than they showed in the first meeting. Expect them to control the defensive boards and limit the second-chance points that fueled Cals victory in January. This rivalry game usually comes down to the final two minutes and I want the better coach and the better player on my side. Stanford has the higher ceiling when they are focused and the underdog price is a gift. The situational edge is heavy for the visitors who are looking to avoid the season sweep. Take the better value with the team that has the motivation and the historical edge in this building. Bet Stanford ML (+115). |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 21, 2026 Lindenwood vs Tennessee Tech |
Tennessee Tech +123 at Jazz |
Won $123 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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4* VEGAS INSIDER on Tennessee Tech +123 Tennessee Tech is catching a generous price as a home underdog tonight. Theyve picked up major steam lately with wins in five of their last seven games. The Golden Eagles are coming off a dominant defensive effort. They held SIU Edwardsville to just 52 points in their last outing on Thursday and look completely locked in on that end of the floor. This is a massive revenge spot for Tech. Lindenwood embarrassed them by 21 points back in January and the Golden Eagles have had this rematch circled ever since. Lindenwood is starting to show serious cracks away from home. They are coming off a road loss at Tennessee State where they coughed up 19 turnovers and struggled to find any rhythm. Techs defense is built to exploit those sloppy mistakes. If the Lions can't take care of the ball, the Golden Eagles will turn those errors into easy transition points and quick buckets. The Golden Eagles are much more comfortable in Cookeville. Theyve won two straight at the Eblen Center and the home-court advantage in the OVC is a massive factor this late in the season. Forward JaJuan Nichols is playing his best basketball of the year right now. He dropped 20 points in the win over SIUE and should have his way against a Lindenwood interior defense that gives up too many easy looks. Lindenwood relies heavily on their fast break to generate offense. Techs ability to control the tempo and limit transition opportunities will force the Lions into a half-court game they do not want to play. Getting plus money on a home team that is finally healthy and peaking is an overlay. The market is still looking at Tech's early-season struggles instead of their recent 5-2 surge. Expect the Golden Eagles to control the pace from the tip and outwork the Lions on the glass to secure the win. Bet Tennessee Tech ML (+123). |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 21, 2026 Providence vs DePaul |
DePaul -125 at Jazz |
Lost $125.0 |
| Play Type: Free | ||
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1* Free Pick on DePaul -125 DePaul is finally a program to respect again in the Big East. They have turned Wintrust Arena into a genuine fortress this season. The Blue Demons enter this matchup having won four of their last five games at home. They aren't just winning; they are dominating the glass. DePaul currently ranks near the top of the conference in offensive rebounding percentage. They should feast on second-chance opportunities tonight against a smaller Friars lineup. Providence is heading in the opposite direction when they travel. The Friars have struggled to find any consistent rhythm outside of Rhode Island. They are just 2-7 straight up in their last nine road contests. Their effective field goal percentage takes a massive dip when they leave their home floor. The Friars are also coming off a physical, emotional win over Villanova this past Wednesday. This is a classic letdown spot for a team that just emptied the tank. DePauls backcourt is playing its best basketball of the season right now. They have cut their turnover rate down significantly over the last two weeks. Providence relies heavily on forcing mistakes to get their transition game moving. If DePaul takes care of the ball, the Friars do not have the half-court offense to keep pace. The Blue Demons are fully healthy and have had extra time to prep for this specific defensive scheme. That rest advantage will be obvious in the final ten minutes. Expect DePaul to control the tempo and win the battle in the paint. The price is low because of the names on the jerseys, not the current form of these two teams. Bet DePaul ML (-125).
Todays premium card features 11 total plays across the NBA and college basketball board. You can view my full list of professional selections and detailed analysis by visiting my premium picks page.
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 21, 2026 Old Dominion vs Southern Miss |
Southern Miss -165 at Ace |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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5* NO BRAINER on Southern Miss -165 Southern Miss is back at home where they play their best basketball. Reed Green Coliseum has become a house of horrors for Sun Belt visitors lately. Old Dominion has struggled to find any rhythm on the offensive end this season. They rank near the bottom of the conference in effective field goal percentage. The Monarchs are especially vulnerable when they have to travel long distances for conference play. They have failed to cover in six of their last eight road games. Southern Miss relies on an aggressive defense that creates easy transition points. They are forcing nearly 15 turnovers per game when playing on their home floor. Old Dominion does not have the backcourt depth to handle 40 minutes of constant pressure. They tend to cough up the ball in bunches once the game speeds up. The Golden Eagles also have a massive edge on the glass in this matchup. They are limiting opponents to one shot and winning the second-chance point battle. Southern Miss is 12-3 straight up in their last 15 games at home. They know how to close out tight games in the final four minutes of the second half. Old Dominion played a physical game on Thursday night and now faces a tough turnaround. The fatigue will likely show in their shooting legs during the closing minutes. Southern Miss is the more balanced team and features a much higher ceiling on the defensive end. They will not let this one slip away in front of a rowdy home crowd. The price is short enough that we do not need to worry about the point spread. Take the better team to protect their home court and get the win. Bet Southern Miss ML (-165). |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Feb 21, 2026 Grizzlies vs Heat |
Heat -8½ -110 at Draft Kings |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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5* NO BRAINER on Heat -8 Miami has a massive talent advantage in this spot that the line isn't fully reflecting. Both teams are playing their second game in as many nights, but the Heat are returning home while the Grizzlies have to travel. The injury report for Memphis is a total disaster right now. They are missing Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Zach Edey, which strips away their scoring, rim protection, and size. Memphis is also down to their third-string options in the backcourt with Scotty Pippen Jr. and Ty Jerome sidelined. They are asking G-League level players to log heavy minutes against a veteran Miami rotation that just got healthier. Tyler Herro and Norman Powell are back in the lineup for the Heat, giving them two high-level floor spacers that Memphis simply can't match. Miami's offense looks completely different with those weapons available to support Bam Adebayo. Adebayo should have a field day in the paint against a depleted Grizzlies frontcourt. Without Jaren Jackson Jr. to contest shots or Edey to provide bulk, Memphis has no way to stop Bam from controlling the glass and scoring at will. The Grizzlies have struggled mightily on the road this season with a 9-18 record and a bottom-tier offensive rating. Theyve lost four straight games coming into this weekend and are failing to cover numbers even as heavy underdogs. Miami has already shown they can bury this team, having beat them by 32 points earlier in the season. With the Heat fighting for playoff positioning and Memphis looking toward the lottery, the motivation gap is wide. Expect Miami to use their defensive pressure to force turnovers and turn this into a transition game early. This spread looks high, but the reality is that Memphis doesn't have enough NBA-caliber bodies to keep this competitive for four quarters. Bet Heat -8.5 (-110). |
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PREMIUM PICK STREAKS |
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Boyd is a former collegiate golfer and University of Iowa Law grad that ensures you success in every sport he covers. Jimmy's quality sports selections with game-breaking analysis make him a major force in the handicapping industry for years to come. No Brainer: This is one of Jimmys highest rated plays. After reading his write-up on the game you will see why this plays title is so fitting. These picks are reserved for major mismatch advantages and strong value plays. Heavy Hitter: Jimmys Heavy Hitter plays are backed by a wealth of statistical analysis and fit into one or more of his many winning systems. This is the well-rounded gem of Jimmys top plays, and it covers games from every angle. Vegas Insider: Nobody spots a winning system like Jimmy Boyd. His Vegas Insider label is reserved for plays backed by the strongest systems and trends on the board. Bailout Blowout: There is no better way to end the day than picking up a big win on the final game of the evening. Jimmys Bailout Blowouts come on late games and they have built a strong reputation as being a consistent winner. All of Jimmys picks get monitored around the web. Jimmy is one of the very few handicappers that have actually earned the stripes to be regarded as a top Industry player. There are not many handicappers in the industry that can match his long term success rates. |





