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Jimmy Boyd |
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| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| NFLX | Aug 26, 2023 Dolphins vs. Jaguars |
Total 41 -110 at HERITAGE |
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1* Free Pick on Dolphins/Jaguars over All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models. |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 08, 2026 Charlotte vs Memphis |
Charlotte +9½ -112 at Draft Kings |
Lost $112.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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5* NO BRAINER on Charlotte +9 Charlotte is catching way too many points in a matchup where they have the schematic advantage to keep things tight. The 49ers are 7-3 in American Conference play and currently sit tied for second in the league standings. Memphis has been the definition of mediocre this season with an 11-11 record and major issues sustaining momentum. The Tigers are coming off an emotional win over UAB, but that game saw Sincere Parker explode for a 40-point outlier performance that is unlikely to repeat today. Charlotte plays at one of the slowest paces in the entire country and excels at grinding games down to a halt. This deliberate style limits the number of possessions and makes it incredibly difficult for a favorite like Memphis to pull away by double digits. The 49ers shoot 36 percent from three-point range in conference play and have the perimeter shooters to exploit a Memphis defense that can be undisciplined. Dezayne Mingo and Ben Bradford lead a backcourt that is comfortable operating in high-pressure environments on the road. Memphis is still dealing with depth issues as Ashton Hardaway and Hasan Abdul Hakim remain questionable with health concerns. Charlotte is also monitoring Frank Oguche and David Gomez, but the core of their rotation remains intact and ready for this spot. The Niners are coming off a loss to Wichita State, which provides plenty of motivation to get back on track against a big-name opponent. Expect a low-possession, defensive battle that stays competitive until the final whistle. The 9.5-point cushion is a massive gift for a team that has been far more reliable than Memphis all winter. I like the Charlotte +9.5 (-112) |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NFL | Feb 08, 2026 Seahawks vs Patriots |
Seahawks -4½ -105 at PlayMGM |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Free | ||
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1* Free Pick on Seahawks -4 Seattles defensive front is the clear difference in this matchup. They are winning the battle in the trenches and getting to the quarterback with just four rushers. The Patriots' offensive line is a major weak spot right now. They are dealing with multiple injuries in the middle of the line and it is killing their offensive success rate. New England is near the bottom of the league in pressure rate allowed over the last month. Seattles pass rush ranks top five in sacks during that same stretch. The Seahawks' offense is hitting its stride at the perfect time. Their EPA per play has climbed because they are staying out of third-and-long situations and staying ahead of the chains. Seattles receivers are elite at beating man coverage. New England plays a lot of man, but they do not have the speed in the secondary to shadow these deep threats for four quarters. The Patriots' run game has hit a wall lately. They are averaging under 3.6 yards per carry over their last four games and cannot stay balanced. When New England becomes one-dimensional, they struggle to move the ball. Seattles secondary is too disciplined to let a limited passing game beat them over the top. The Seahawks are 5-1 ATS in their last six games on the road. This team plays with a lot of confidence away from home and won't be bothered by the environment in Foxborough. New England is 2-7 ATS as a home underdog this season. They have failed to stay competitive when facing teams with a clear talent advantage like Seattle. The Seahawks also have a big edge in the kicking game and special teams. Expect them to win the field position battle and keep the Patriots pinned deep in their own territory. Seattle will control the clock and pull away in the second half. The Patriots' defense will wear down after being on the field for too many snaps. I like the Seahawks -4.5 (-105).
With 88 winners over the last 30 days, we continue to see consistent success across the board. I have two premium plays available today in the NFL and NCAA basketball. You can find my full analysis and top-rated selections on my premium page.
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NFL | Feb 08, 2026 Seahawks vs Patriots |
UNDER 46 -115 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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5* NO BRAINER on Seahawks/Patriots: under 46 This total is sitting way too high for a matchup between two units that want to grind the clock. The Seahawks have transformed into a defensive powerhouse that specializes in taking away the deep ball. They rank in the top five in defensive EPA and rarely give up explosive plays over the top. New England plays a similarly disciplined style that focuses on limiting possessions and winning the field position battle. The Patriots offense is built on a heavy rushing attack that keeps the clock moving and the opposing quarterback on the sideline. Expect a lot of three-yard runs and short completions that keep the chains moving but do not result in quick scores. Super Bowl Sunday often brings out a conservative approach from coaches who are terrified of an early turnover. The first quarter will likely be a feeling-out process with both teams settling for field goals rather than pushing the envelope. Seattles pass rush has been dominant over the final month of the season and will make life miserable in the pocket. The Patriots' secondary is healthy and excels at disguising coverages to bait quarterbacks into check-downs. When you get two teams this physical in the trenches, the game naturally trends toward a low-scoring slugfest. Both coaching staffs prefer a ball-control rhythm that limits the total number of snaps in the game. The pressure of the big stage usually leads to tighter execution and fewer risks taken down the field. The Under has been a consistent winner for both of these teams when facing elite defensive competition this year. Everything about this matchup points to a game played in the teens or low twenties. I like the Under 46. |
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PREMIUM PICK STREAKS |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Boyd is a former collegiate golfer and University of Iowa Law grad that ensures you success in every sport he covers. Jimmy's quality sports selections with game-breaking analysis make him a major force in the handicapping industry for years to come. No Brainer: This is one of Jimmys highest rated plays. After reading his write-up on the game you will see why this plays title is so fitting. These picks are reserved for major mismatch advantages and strong value plays. Heavy Hitter: Jimmys Heavy Hitter plays are backed by a wealth of statistical analysis and fit into one or more of his many winning systems. This is the well-rounded gem of Jimmys top plays, and it covers games from every angle. Vegas Insider: Nobody spots a winning system like Jimmy Boyd. His Vegas Insider label is reserved for plays backed by the strongest systems and trends on the board. Bailout Blowout: There is no better way to end the day than picking up a big win on the final game of the evening. Jimmys Bailout Blowouts come on late games and they have built a strong reputation as being a consistent winner. All of Jimmys picks get monitored around the web. Jimmy is one of the very few handicappers that have actually earned the stripes to be regarded as a top Industry player. There are not many handicappers in the industry that can match his long term success rates. |
