Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: New York Mets +116

Blake Snell got off to a rough start last season for the Padres as well.  He signed late with the Giants and is behind the eight ball again this season.  Snell is 0-3 with an 11.57 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in three starts, allowing 15 earned runs and 23 base runners in 11 2/3 innings.

I've been impressed with Sean Manaea this season.  He had one bad start against the Royals, but the other three were brilliant. He shut out the Tigers in 6 innings, allowed one run in 5 innings to the Reds and 2 runs in 5 innings to the Dodgers.  Manaea is 3-3 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 11 career starts against the Giants.

I like the spot for the Mets coming off three consecutive losses and looking to avoid the sweep after dropping the first two to the Giants.  They had won six straight prior to this skid.  Snell's teams are 0-7 (-8.4 Units) in his last seven April starts.  Bet the Mets Wednesday.

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20* AL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Orioles -124

The Baltimore Orioles have a big advantage on the mound and at the plate today over the Los Angeles Angels.  The Orioles have scored at least 4 runs in 10 consecutive games behind one of the best offenses in baseball.  The Angels have scored 2 runs or fewer in four of their last six games, and they are 1-5 in their last six games overall.

Dean Kremer is 0-2 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in four starts this season.  Kremer is 2-0 with a 1.76 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in three career starts against the Angels, and the Orioles are 3-0 in those three starts.

Tyler Anderson is very fortunate to have a 1.42 ERA in his four starts this season.  He is getting hit hard, but balls are going right at defenders.  He has just 14 K's in 25 1/3 innings and pitches to contact.  His luck will run out today against the hard-hitting Orioles.  Bet the Orioles Wednesday.

20* NL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-120)

The Miami Marlins are now 6-19 this season after getting shut out in consecutive games by the Braves to open this series.  They have scored 3 runs or fewer in six of their last seven games and are averaging just 2.3 runs per game during this stretch.

It won't get any easier for them against Reynaldo Lopez, who has been brilliant for the Braves this season.  Lopez is 2-0 with a 0.50 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in three starts, allowing just one earned run in 18 innings with 18 K's.

Sixto Sanchez sat out from 2021-23 and he is just getting a spot start here.  Sanchez is 0-1 with a 6.14 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 7 1/3 innings out of the bullpen this season, allowing 5 earned runs and 11 hits.  Sanchez is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in three career starts against Atlanta.

The Braves are 4-1 in their last five meetings with the Marlins with all four wins coming by 2 runs or more.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-115)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a big advantage at the plate today over the Washington Nationals.  They are scoring 5.6 runs per game against right-handed starters this season while the Nationals are scoring just 3.4 runs per game.  The Nationals just lost one of their best hitters in RF Lane Thomas to a knee injury yesterday as well.

Landon Knack was solid in his first start this season holding the Nationals to 2 runs in 5 innings.  He has posted a 4.02 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 15 2/3 innings at AAA this season for the Dodgers with 16 K's and only one homer allowed.

Jake Irvin went 3-7 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 24 starts for the Nationals last season, allowing 62 earned runs and 20 homers in 121 innings as a rookie.  He is off to a better start this season, but it's unsustainable.  Look for Irvin to get rocked tonight.

The Dodgers are 36-13 in their last 49 games against a NL starting pitcher with a 3.20 ERA or better.  They are outscoring opponents by 2.7 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Wednesday. 

20* Pelicans/Thunder TNT No-Brainer on New Orleans +8

The Oklahoma City Thunder are a young team getting their first taste of the playoffs.  They played like it in Game 1 being very fortunate to come away with a 94-92 victory over the New Orleans Pelicans.  I don't expect Game 2 to be a walk in the park for them, either.

The Pelicans are a veteran team with playoff experience and know the importance of trying to get one in Oklahoma City.  They shot just 38.5% as a team and 11-of-39 (28.2%) from 3-point range in Game 1 and still only lost by 2.  They dominated on the boards including 18 offensive rebounds, and the Thunder don't have an answer for Jonas Valanciunas in this series.  Dominating the board is sustainable, shooting that poorly again is not.

Home-court advantage has meant nothing in this series.  In fact, the road team is 7-1 SU & 8-0 ATS in the last eight meetings.  Neither team has been favored by more than 5.5 points in any of the last 12 meetings with the exception of the 8.5-point spread in Game 1.  This 8-point spread in Game 2 is too high as well.  Bet the Pelicans Wednesday.