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NCAA-F SUBSCRIPTIONS
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NCAA-B SUBSCRIPTIONS
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NBA SUBSCRIPTIONS
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BASKETBALL [NBA+NCAAB] SUBSCRIPTIONS
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FOOTBALL [NFL+NCAAF] SUBSCRIPTIONS
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NFL SUBSCRIPTIONS
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FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 17, 2019
UC Riverside vs. Pacific
Pacific
-6 -110
  at  BOVADA
in 19m

1* Free Pick on Pacific Tigers -6 -110

Great value with Pacific at home against the Highlanders. Both games the Tigers have dropped have come in the role of underdog. They easily covered as a 9-point favorite vs Florida A&M and come in off a 86-48 blowout win at home over Pacific Union. 

That last game puts Pacific in a very profitable spot, as home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are outscoring teams by 12+ points/game and led in their previous game by 20+ points at the half are a dominant 50-10 (83%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. 

UC-Riverside had that big upset win at Nebraska to open the season, but they have been overvalued in both games since. They only beat Idaho by 7 as a 12-point home favorite and then got steamrolled 62-49 at Sacramento State as a mere 3-point dog. 

Highlanders are just 4-11 ATS last 15 games dating back to last season and are 1-5 ATS last 6 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Take Pacific! 

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 16, 2019
Blazers vs Spurs
UNDER 228 -109 Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

3* NBA - Blazers/Spurs TOTAL WINNER on Blazers/Spurs under 228 -109

I just think the total here has been set way too high for this one. Portland was playing with some decent pace early on, but all the injuries have forced the Blazers to slow things down. Their pace of play rating was a respectable 105.1 in their first 8 games and is just 99.4 over their last 4. It's important to note the dip has come against teams that look to push the pace, which is a good sign the slow play will continue. 

Spurs defense hasn't been great, but their biggest weakness has been protecting the paint. Portland isn't really a team to take advantage of that, as they are 25th in the league in number of attempts per game within the restricted area. Look for this to stay well below the mark. Take the UNDER! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Nov 16, 2019
Blackhawks vs Predators
OVER 6½ -105 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

3* BEST BET on Blackhawks/Predators over 6½ -105

I look for Chicago and Nashville to easy eclipse the total of 6.5 in Saturday's NHL action. These are two offenses that can light up the scoreboard. The Blackhawks have scored 5 goals in 2 straight and 3 of their last 5 overall. 

They almost have to because their defense isn't great. Chicago has allowed 3 or more in 3 straight and 6 of 8 overall. Nashville should be able to take advantage of that soft defense, as they have scored 14 goals in their last 4 games and have seen a combined score of 7 or more in 3 of their last 4. 

OVER is 15-5 in Chicago's last 20 off a road game where both teams scored 3 or more and 8-1 in their last 9 after scoring 4 or more in 2 straight games. Take the OVER! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Nov 16, 2019
Red Wings vs Sharks
OVER 6½ +100 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

4* NHL - Red Wings/ Sharks TOTAL WINNER on Red Wings/Sharks over 6½ +100

I look for the Red Wings and Sharks to easily surpass the 6.5 total set by the books on Saturday. San Jose comes into this one on fire offensively. The Sharks have scored 4 or more goals in 4 of their last 5, twice putting up 6 goals. 

While the Red Wings aren't quite scoring at that clip, they are averaging over 3 goals per game in their last 4 and if they can get to 3 this thing easily reaches 7. OVER is 16-6 in the Sharks last 22 off a division road win, 16-7 in their last 23 when they come in having won 3 or more in a row and 15-5 in their last 20 off a win by 2 or more. Take the OVER! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 16, 2019
Eastern Michigan vs North Texas
Eastern Michigan
+9 -110 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

4* NCAAB - E Michigan/N Texas ATS WINNER on Eastern Michigan +9 -110

The Eagles are worth a look as a near double-digit dog on the road against the Mean Green. Eastern Michigan hasn't played the stiffest of competition over their 3-0 start, but they have dominated all 3 games and will be playing with a ton of confidence in this one. 

North Texas is coming off two really tough road games, as they were at VCU last Friday (lost a heartbreaker 59-56) and at Arkansas on Tuesday (lost by 23). Both games the offense really struggled, as they shot just 40% against the Rams and 33% against the Razorbacks. 

Mean Green are just 19-35 ATS last 54 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points, 18-36 last 54 in non-conference home games and 5-16 ATS last 21 at home off a loss by 20 or more. Take Eastern Michigan! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 16, 2019
Austin Peay vs Tulsa
Austin Peay
+9 -109 at GTBets
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

3* NCAAB - Austin Peay/Tulsa ATS WINNER on Austin Peay +9 -109

This is just too good a price to pass up with the Governors against the Golden Hurricane. Austin Peay comes in off a 22-point loss at Western Kentucky, but that's a really good Hilltoppers team who lost just 1 starter from a 20-win team and is expected to win C-USA this year. 

Tulsa has started out 2-1, but there two wins have come by single-digits against the likes of Houston Baptist and Oral Roberts. They also lost by 14 on the road to Texas Arlington. Golden Hurricanes have a history of exceeding expectations under Frank Haith, but I don't think that's going to be the case this year. Take Austin Peay! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 16, 2019
Bucks vs Pacers
Bucks
-6½ -110 at Mirage
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

3* NBA - Bucks/Pacers ATS WINNER on Bucks -6½ -110

I like Milwaukee to cash in a win and cover at Indiana on Saturday. I just feel like we are getting a decent price here with the Bucks coming in off 4 straight non-covers. Especially given that Milwaukee will be playing just their second game in 6 days, while the Pacers are in the second game of a back-to-back set after playing last night at Houston. 

Another thing to note with the Pacers is that while they are 7-2 in their last 9 games, a lot of those wins came against bad teams. In fact, Indiana has played the softest schedule of any team in the NBA so far. 

Bucks are 30-16 ATS last 46 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points and a dominant 17-4 ATS last 21 vs a division opponent with an average margin of victory of 13.6 ppg. Take Milwaukee! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 16, 2019
Temple vs La Salle
Temple
-4½ -110 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

4* NCAAB - Temple/LaSalle ATS WINNER on Temple -4½ -110

I like the Owls to cash in a win and cover over LaSalle in Saturday's Big Five matchup. Temple has had a whole week to prepare for this one, as they haven't played since last Saturday's 18-point win over Morgan State. 

While Temple has had ample time to prepare for this rivalry matchup, the Explorers just played a Big 5 rival in Penn on Wednesday. That didn't go well, as they lost by 16 as a 8.5-point dog. 

Not real concerned with home court edge in this one. These two schools are a mere 3-miles apart on Broad Street. Expect plenty of Owls' fans in attendance. 

I also think turnovers will be a big factor here. Temple has forced 36 turnovers in their first two games, while LaSalle has coughed up the rock 34 times in their first two games. Take Temple! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 16, 2019
Belmont vs Boston College
Belmont
+1½ -110 at YouWager
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

3* NCAAB - Belmont/Boston College ATS WINNER on Belmont +1½ -110

The Bruins are worth a look here at basically a pick'em on the road against the Eagles. Boston College is getting a lot of love here after starting out 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS, but I think they are going down on Saturday. 

One key matchup here that I think really favors Belmont is big man Nick Muszynski going up against the Eagles Nic Popvic. Muszynski is averaging 17.5 ppg and 3 bpg. He's not only going to get his, but he should be able to contain Popvic, BC's second leading scorer. 

Bruins were red-hot from 3 last time out, going 16 of 38 (42%) against Samford. Belmont is 15-4 ATS last 19 after a game where they made 13 or more 3-pointers. Bruins are also a perfect 9-0 ATS as a dog the last 3 seasons. Eagles just 1-8 ATS last 9 at home off a home game. Take Belmont! 

Matchup Selection W/L
Tennis  |  Nov 16, 2019
Dominic Thiem vs Alexander Zverev
Dominic Thiem
-121 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

3* TENNIS - Nitto ATP Finals MONEYMAKER on Dominic Thiem -121

I'm taking Dominic Thiem over Alexander Zverev in Saturday's semifinal matchup in the Nitto ATP Finals. These two have played 7 times in the course of their careers and Thiem has won 5 of them. He's already won 5 titles in 2019, compared to just 1 for Zverev. Simply too good a price to pass up with the favorite. Take Thiem! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 16, 2019
St Bonaventure vs Rutgers
Rutgers
-7½ -105 at betonline
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

4* NCAAB - Saturday Night CASH COW on Rutgers -7½ -105

The Scarlet Knights have started out 3-0 and I look for them to have no problem covering the number in Saturday's neutral site showdown with St. Bonaventure. Rutgers is a program on the rise and many fans are calling for their first winning season in over a decade. 

The Bonnies are off to a 0-3 start having lost at home to Ohio and Vermont and most recently losing at Siena as a 1-point favorite. Offense has been a big problem for St. Bonaventure. They are averaging just 59.0 ppg and have yet to shoot better than 38% from the field in any game. 

Now they must face a Rutgers defense that is only giving up 55.7 ppg, holding teams almost 15 points under their season average. St Bonaventure is 1-9 ATS last 10 games when facing a team that's holding teams under 42% shooting and the Scarlet Knights are 13-3 ATS last 16 away from home against teams who are averaging 64 or fewer points/game. Take Rutgers! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 16, 2019
Louisiana Tech vs Creighton
Louisiana Tech
+10 -105 at Bovada
Tie
Play Type: Top Premium

5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Louisiana Tech +10 -105

This is just too many points for Louisiana Tech to be catching on the road against the Blue Jays. The Bulldogs have started out 2-0 with two blowout wins. They won at Texas A&M CC 82-49 as a mere 8-point favorite and followed that up with a 98-52 victory against Wiley College. Note that Texas A&M CC nearly went on the road an upset Vanderbilt, losing by a final score of 71-66. 

As for Creighton, they are coming off a 79-69 loss at Michigan, where they let the Wolverines shoot 57% from the field and now face a LA Tech team that has hit 50% from the field in each of their first two games. I just don't see the Blue Jays being able to pull away and winning by double-digit. In fact, I give the Bulldogs a legit shot at winning this game outright. Take Louisiana Tech! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 16, 2019
Central Michigan vs Ball State
OVER 59½ -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

4* NCAAF - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Central Michigan/Ball State over 59½ -110

Saturday's big MAC showdown between Ball State and Central Michigan has all the makings of a shootout. Both these teams can light up the scoreboard. The Chippewas are averaging 34.7 ppg in conference play and the Cardinals aren't far behind at 32 ppg. 

Central Michigan has scored 38 or more in 4 of their last 5 games, including 48 last time out against Northern Illinois. They got a shot of adding to that, as Ball State has allowed 35 to Western Michigan and 34 to Ohio in their last 2 games. 

OVER is 14-4 in the Chippewas last 18 road games when they are a dog of 7 points or less and 13-4 in their last 17 after going over in their last game. OVER is also 11-3 in the Cardinals last 14 in the 2nd half of the season and 4-0 in their last 4 at home against a team with a winning road record. Take the OVER! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 16, 2019
New Mexico vs Boise State
UNDER 60 -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

4* NCAAF - Late Night Total BLOWOUT on New Mexico/Boise State under 60 -110

I think we are getting some great value here with the UNDER in Saturday's MWC game between Boise State and New Mexico. The Lobos are a team that likes to try and run the ball and control the close. They come in averaging 200 yards/game 5 yards/carry on the ground.

The problem is they struggle to score. New Mexico is only averaging 18.6 ppg in MWC play and 13.0 ppg on the road. Not a big surprise then that the UNDER is 4-1 in their 5 road games and 4-1 in their 5 conference games. 

Boise State's offense only put up 20 last week at home against a Wyoming team that likes to play ball control and just 25 a few weeks ago against BYU. Unless the Broncos put up 50 here, I don't see anyway this thing climbs past the number set by the books. 

UNDER is 16-4 in Boise State's last 20 as a home favorite of 21.5 to 28 points and 7-2 in their last 9 conference games. Take the UNDER! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 16, 2019
Kentucky vs Vanderbilt
UNDER 43½ -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

4* NCAAF - Over/Under Total HEAVY HITTER on Kentucky/Vanderbilt under 43½ -110

No need to overthink this one. You got two of the worst offenses the SEC has to offer facing off with Kentucky and Vanderbilt. The Wildcats are averaging just 15.3 ppg in SEC play and Vanderbilt is even worse at 13.0 ppg. 

I know the two aren't great defensively, but Kentucky is at least respectable on that side of the ball and Vanderbilt has the benefit of feeding off their home crowd. There was a similar total in last year's meeting at 44.5 and the game ended 14-7. 

UNDER is 13-2 in Kentucky's last 15 conference games and 7-2 in the Commodores last 9. UNDER is also 8-2 in the Wildcats last 10 road games and 6-1 in Vandy's last 7 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Take the UNDER! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 16, 2019
Wisconsin vs Nebraska
Nebraska
+14½ -109 at GTBets
Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

4* NCAAF - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Nebraska +14½ -109

Solid value here with the Cornhuskers getting two touchdowns plus the hook at home against the Badgers. To say this season has been a disappointment for Nebraska would be an understatement, but I expect the best they have to offer Saturday against the nationally ranked Badgers. 

If there wasn't already enough motivation for the Cornhuskers, they should get it from the comments made by Wisconsin linebacker Zack Baun, who had this to say about the rivalry. "I think it was a big rivalry back before they had the trophy, so they created the trophy, and now it hasn't left here. I don't know if it's much of a rivalry anymore."

Not only does that add a little fire for Nebraska, it tells me the Badgers aren't taking this game all that seriously. They were already in a big letdown spot coming off two big games against ranked teams in Ohio State and Iowa. 

Wisconsin is just 2-5 ATS last 7 on the road, 4-10 ATS last 14 off a win and 0-5 ATS last 5 vs a team with a losing record. Take Nebraska! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 16, 2019
Minnesota vs Iowa
Iowa
-3 -103 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

4* NCAAF - Iowa/Minn Big Ten PLAY OF THE WEEK on Iowa -3 -103

One of the more difficult things to do in college football is back bounce from a big win at home on the road against a top tier team. That's the spot we find the Gophers this Saturday, as they make the difficult trip down to Iowa City for a late afternoon kickoff at Kinnick. 

Those that bet against Minnesota last week are all over the Gophers as a slim 3-point dog against Iowa, but I feel the smart money is on the home team. Iowa is a few plays away from being 9-0 themselves. The Hawkeyes 3 losses have all come down to the wire, as they lost 10-3 at Michigan, 17-12 at home to Penn State and 24-22 at Wisconsin this past Saturday. All 3 of those teams are currently ranked in the Top 15 of CFP Rankings. 

I was actually impressed with how well Iowa played in Madison. Even though they gave up 300 on the ground to the Badgers, they still held Wisconsin to just 24 points. Iowa is giving up just 11.7 ppg and 289 ypg. I really think that defense is going to be the difference on Saturday. Hawkeyes are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 when facing a team that averages 37 or more points/game. 

You also have to take into account this is by far the toughest road game of the season for Minnesota, who's played 6 of their first 9 at home and their 3 road games have been against Fresno, Purdue and Rutgers. They crushed Rutgers, but only won by 3 at Fresno and by 7 at Purdue. Take Iowa! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 16, 2019
Georgia vs Auburn
Georgia
-3 +100 at Mirage
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

4* NCAAF -Georgia/Auburn SEC PLAY OF THE WEEK on Georgia -3 +100

I really like Georgia to go into Auburn and easily cover the 3. The Bulldogs had that ugly showing in their lone loss to South Carolina and have been all business since. They rolled Kentucky at home 21-0, beat Florida in Jacksonville 24-17 (wasn't as close as the final score) and just beat Missouri 27-0. 

I have to believe there's a new sense of life with this team after being ranked No. 4 in the recent CFP poll. They know now that if they win out they are in and I just don't think Auburn will be as big a challenge as some think. Sure the Tigers have a great defense, but they have allowed 165+ rushing yards in their last two. If they aren't able to slow down Georgia's ground game they are in big trouble. 

I just don't see Bo Nix and that Auburn offense being able to do enough here for them to win this game, which is basically what they have to do for us to not cover. Bulldogs are a dominant 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games after the first month of the season and have covered 13 of their last 15 road games on Saturday. Auburn is also 0-6 ATS last 3 season off a home win. Take Georgia! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 16, 2019
LSU vs Ole Miss
Ole Miss
+21½ -105 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

3* NCAAF - Public Money ATS DESTROYER  on Ole Miss +21½ -105

While I don't think Ole Miss is going to pull off the massive upset against No. LSU, I do think there's a ton of value with the Rebels getting more than three touchdowns at home, especially with this being a prime time night game. 

This is Ole Miss's Super Bowl, while LSU is in about as big a letdown spot as they could be in off that upset win over Alabama last week. The Tigers have just not responded well off a big road win, as they are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 off an upset win as a road dog. They are also just 1-4 ATS last 5 vs a team with a losing record. 

Ole Miss is also a team that's been getting disrespected by the books consistently this year, especially in SEC play. Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their 6 conference games this season. Take Ole Miss! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 16, 2019
Florida vs Missouri
Missouri
+7 -110 at Bovada
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

3* NCAAF - Early Bird ATS ANNIHILATOR on Missouri +7 -110

The Tigers are worth a look as a touchdown dog at home against the Gators. This is the opportune time to buy low on Missouri, whose last 3 games have saw them lose at Vandy 21-14, at Kentucky 29-7 and most recently at Georgia 27-0. 

As bad as those results look, I'm confident we are going to get the best the Tigers have to offer at home against the No. 11 Gators. History is also on our side here. Missouri is 42-21 ATS last 63 off a loss by 1 or more, 34-16 in their last 50 at home off a road loss and 21-9 ATS last 30 when they come in off 3 straight losses. 

Florida is also a team that I think is a bit overvalued. They have been great against the spread of late, but elite teams (won more than 80% of their games) that have beat the spread by 49 or more in their last 5 games are just 35-73 (32%) ATS when facing a team with a winning record. Take Vanderbilt! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 16, 2019
Kentucky vs Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt
+10 -103 at pinnacle
Lost
$103.0
Play Type: Free

1* NCAAF - Free Pick on Vanderbilt Commodores +10 -103

I'm pretty confident there won't be a ton of people rushing to place a bet on Vanderbilt this week, but I actually see a ton of value here with the Commodores against the Wildcats. 

Kentucky is just not the kind of team that should be laying double-digits on the road, especially with the way this team struggles to score. When you are averaging a mere 15.3 ppg in conference play, it's asking a lot to win by more than 10. Last week the Wildcats managed just 13-points in a home loss to Tennessee. The also only beat Arkansas by 4 at home, who I think is by far the worst team in the league. 

One thing I'm confident on is that we are going to get a max effort from the Commodores at home coming off that embarrassing 56-0 loss at Florida last week. The offense should also get a big boost here with the expected return of quarterback Riley Neal, who missed the game against the Gators with a concussion. 

Last year a really good Kentucky team only won by a score of 14-7 as a 10.5-point home favorite against the Commodores. It marked the 4th time in the last 5 meetings in the series where the game was decided by 10 or less. 

Wildcats are a team that tends to play down to their competition, as they are just 3-10 ATS last 13 vs a team with a losing record. They also are a team to fade late in the season, as they have gone just 7-20 ATS last 27 in the month of November. Take Vanderbilt! 

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Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 16, 2019
Oklahoma vs Baylor
Oklahoma
-10 -110 at Mirage
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

5* NCAAF - Oklahoma/Baylor Big 12 PLAY OF THE YEAR on Oklahoma -10 -110

There's plenty of people talking about how Baylor deserves to be ranked higher than No. 12 with their perfect record, but I'm with the playoff committee. I just don't think the Bears are anywhere close to as good as their record and I think it could get ugly on Saturday in Waco. 

Oklahoma is hands down the most talented team in the Big 12. They had a slip up at Kansas State, but I think more of that was them just not giving the Wildcats the respect they deserve. They won't make that mistake against the Bears. 

The biggest thing for more me is I don't think Baylor's defense can contain Jalen Hurts and this high-powered Oklahoma offense. That's a big problem, as I don't think the Bears have the goods offensively to go keep this close if the Sooners put 30+ on the board. 

Bears are just 5-15 ATS in their last 20 home games when listed as an underdog of 7.5 to 14 points. Oklahoma has failed to cover their last two in large part because of turnovers. They posted a -2 turnover margin in both ATS losses to K-State and Iowa State. Sooners are 7-0 ATS last 7 times they have posted back-to-back games with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. Take Oklahoma! 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 17, 2019
UCF vs Illinois State
Illinois State
-1½ -110 at Bovada
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Illinois State -1½ -110

I got no problem laying the short number at home with the RedBirds in Sunday's game against UCF. I just think the Knights are in some trouble this season. UCF had a dream season last year, winning 24-games and coming up just short of upsetting Duke and advancing to the Sweet 16. 

The Knights lost every key player from that team and it's going to be a struggle for them to come anywhere close to what they were. They just lost at home by 9 to Miami as a 3-point dog and I look for them to struggle in their first true road game of the season. 

Redbirds have thrived in this spot, going 26-13 ATS in their last 39 as a home favorite of 3-points or less. Take Illinois State! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 17, 2019
Marquette vs Wisconsin
Wisconsin
-1 -105 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

3* NCAAB - Early Bird ATS DESTROYER on Wisconsin -1 -105

The Badgers are definitely worth a look here at basically a pick'em at home against the Golden Eagles. Just feel like like Marquette is getting a little too much love here off a 10-point home win against Purdue. 

Golden Eagles had a chance to be special this year until Sam and Joey Hauser decided to transfer. Now it's just the Markus Howard show and while he's great, it's hard to be a one-man show and win on the road against a team like Wisconsin that really gets after you defensively. You can bet the Badgers are going to really focus on Howard and make the other guys beat them. 

Wisconsin comes in off a 83-63 blowout win at home over McNeese State and are 32-16 ATS last 48 at home off a home win by 20 or more points. Marquette on the other hand is just 1-6 ATS last 7 vs a team with a winning record. Take Wisconsin! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 17, 2019
76ers vs Cavs
Cavs
+7 -105 at Bovada
Play Type: Top Premium

5* NBA - Heavy Hitter PLAY OF THE MONTH on Cavs +7 -105

Love the value here with the Cavs as a big home dog against the 76ers. Philadelphia is just 2-5 SU in their last 7 and have failed to cover 4 straight. 76ers are not a good road team and are playing their 3rd straight away from home. 

Cavs might be one of the least talented teams in the league, but they are playing hard under first year head coach John Beilein. This team has been routinely undervalued by the books and that's evident by Cleveland's 6-3-2 ATS record. 

76ers are 1-9 ATS last 10 on the road against a bad team that's won 25% to 40% of their games. Cavs are 5-1-1 ATS last 7 off a double-digit loss at home and 5-1 ATS last 6 on 2 days of rest. Take Cleveland! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 17, 2019
Jets vs Redskins
UNDER 38½ -102 Lost
$102.0
Play Type: Premium

3* NFL - Over/Under Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Jets/Redskins under 38½ -102

Don't be scared away of the low total here. In fact, I think we are getting some decent value here with the UNDER at this price. The Jets 34-point outburst last week was simply a result of playing an awful Giants defense. The Redskins might be a bad team, but the defense has been more than respectable, especially given how much they are on the field. 

Washington's defense should also have one of it's better performances coming off of their bye and playing at home. Prior to going off against the other New York team, the Jets had topped 20 points just once in their first 8 games. 

Speaking of offenses that can't score. The Redskins have gone 7 straight games with 17 or fewer points and have failed to top 10 points in 5 of those games. It's not going to get any better with Dwayne Haskins at quarterback. He's just not ready, but at this point Washington really has nothing to lose throwing him out there. 

UNDER is 13-3 in the Redskins last 16 home games in the 2nd half of the season vs bad teams that are getting outscored by 6+ points/game. UNDER is also 20-8 in the Jets last 28 on the road in the 2nd half vs team that allow 350+ yards/game. Take the UNDER! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 17, 2019
Patriots vs Eagles
UNDER 45 -101
Play Type: Premium

4* NFL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Patriots/Eagles under 45 -101

I like the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's Super Bowl rematch from two years ago, as the Eagles host the Patriots. I just think this is going to be a defensive struggle. I know New England's defense didn't look great in their last game against the Ravens. Some will say that's because they finally played a legit quarterback. Part of that is true. Lamar Jackson is an absolute nightmare to defend. He's the one guy that can still beat a defense even when they do everything right. 

Not to take anything away from Carson Wentz, but he just doesn't pose the same threat. Add in how motivated New England is going to be coming off that poor showing and that they have had two weeks to prepare off their bye, I expect them to return to that elite form we saw in their first 8 games.

As for the Patriots offense, I think some of the struggles we saw against the Ravens could linger on, especially on the road against a talented defense like the Eagles, which feels like it's getting better as the season progresses. 

Under is 16-5 in New England's last 21 road games when listed as a favorite and a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 off an upset loss as a road favorite. Eagles are also off a bye and the UNDER is 23-10 in their last 33 off a bye. It's also 9-2 in their last 11 at home vs a team with a winning road record. Take the UNDER! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 17, 2019
Jaguars vs Colts
Jaguars
+3 -120 at Bovada
Lost
$120.0
Play Type: Top Premium

5* NFL - AFC South PLAY OF THE MONTH on Jaguars +3 -120

Sure the Colts were without starting quarterback Jacoby Brissett in last week's ugly loss to the Dolphins, but they were still a 10-point favorite and lost outright. Even with Brissett back I see Indy struggling here against a rested and highly motivated Jaguars team coming off their bye. 

Jacksonville got embarrassed by the Texans in their last game and with that came the end of Minshew mania. Lucky for the Jags is they get back their starting QB in Nick Foles and I think he gives this team a big boost as they try to make a push for the playoffs. 

Another thing that I think gets overlooked with Indy's recent struggles is they haven't had TY Hilton. Colts are 5-1 in games Hilton plays with the only loss coming in OT. They are 0-3 without him and a big reason for that is defenses can creep up a little more and focus on not letting Indy get the running game going. 

Colts are just 9-21 ATS last 30 at home off a loss by 6 or less and 0-6-1 ATS last 7 vs a team with a losing record. Jags have gone 3-0-1 last 4 years off their bye and are 5-1 ATS last 6 vs another team from the AFC. Take Jacksonville! 

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