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Ben Burns |
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| NFL PLAYOFF GAME OF YEAR GOES SUNDAY! Ben Burns was 2-1 in the Wildcard Rd AND he was also 2-1 in the Div. Rd. Overall, he's 1-1 with totals, 1-1 with 1st half plays & a PERFECT 2-0/100% with his full game sides. |
| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| NCAA-B | Jan 17, 2020 Fairfield vs. Iona |
Iona -5 -115 at BMAKER |
in 4h |
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After 10 WINNERS IN A ROW, Ben Burns finally lost his free play yesterday. Today, he starts a new streak with the winning call from the Fairfield/Iona game. The home team won and covered both last season's meetings and I expect homecourt to prove significant again this evening. The Stags have indeed had a nice run as underdogs this season. However, they're still just 3-6-1 ATS the past 10 times that they were road underdogs in the 3.5 to 6 range and 7-12-1 ATS their last 20, as road underdogs of six or fewer points overall. During the same span, the Gaels are 7-5 ATS as home favorites of six or less. The Gaels are 6-2 SU their last eight off a home loss. I expect them to improve on those stats this evening, covering the relatively small number along the way. Consider laying the points. TOP RATED COLLEGE PLAY GOES FRIDAY! Ben Burns is 8-4 the past two days and that includes a PERFECT 3-0 mark on the college hardwood. Yesterday's "PERSONAL FAVORITE" saw Washington take care of business against Oregon St. With that win, Ben's top-rated college basketball plays are on a long-term heater which has produced more than $67K IN PROFIT. All top hoops are up MORE THAN $111K. Jump on board today and build your bankroll for Ben's NFL PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR! |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Jan 16, 2020 Cincinnati vs Memphis |
Cincinnati +5 -110 at sportsbook |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Free | ||
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Did you know that Ben Burns' free plays are a PERFECT 10-0 since Christmas, 9-0 in 2020? Here, Ben takes a look at tonight's Cincy/Memphis contest, on ESPN: The Tigers may be the favorites but the Bearcats have dominated this rivalry of late. Beating them will not be easy. If the Tigers do manage the victory, its likely going to be close. Both 2019 games (both Cincy wins) were decided by five points or less; the most recent finishing with a 71-69 score. The Bearcats are playing well; they're now 18-2 SU and 13-7 ATS their last 20 January games. While Memphis is indeed stingy, Cincy is 10-4 SU/ATS its last 14 against teams which allow 64 or fewer points per game. The Tigers are just 1-2 to start 2020 and the lone victory came by just four. Consider grabbing the points. Ben Burns was 5-1 with yesterday's basketball, 2-0 with top rated plays. While those were all "sides," since November, Ben's top-rated NBA totals are hitting at a SWEET 67% CLIP, going 16-8. Longterm? Top rated hoops have produced $111K IN PROFIT! If you liked cashing his GAME OF THE MONTH, you're absolutely going to LOVE his #1 TOTAL OF THE MONTH! Burns was 2-1 in the Wildcard Rd AND he was also 2-1 in the Div. Rd. Overall, he's 1-1 with totals, 1-1 with 1st half plays & a PERFECT 2-0/100% with his full game sides. While he came up short with his Playoff "T.O.Y." a tough loss with Tenn/Balt 'over,' there will be NO DENYING him on his NFL PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR. If you liked his reg season G.O.Y. WINNER, you'll LOVE the playoff version. It goes Sunday & you do NOT want to miss it. Nor, do you want to wait. Hurry. Hit it right N-O-W! |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Jan 16, 2020 Kings vs Panthers |
Panthers -179 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on FLORIDA. We're getting the Panthers at a slightly discounted price due to the fact that they'll have their "backup" goalie in net. However, the reality is that Driedger has been better than Bobrovsky. While Bobrovsky has a huge salary and is a former 2-time Vezina Trophy winner, he's also got a 3.29 GAA and a .896 save percentage. Thats the fourth worst GAA in the league and the sixth worst save percentage amongst goalies that have faced a minimum of 500 shots. Driedger, meanwhile, is 5-2 with a 2.40 GAA and a .931 save percentage. Last time out, he made 43 saves against the Leafs. Coach Quenneville noted: "That was a surprise start for him. I thought he handled it real well." The Kings aren't nearly as dangerous as the Leafs and I expect Driedger to continue his strong play. Indeed, LA is just 7-19 on the road, getting outscored by a 90-61 margin. The Panthers, on the other hand, have outscored visiting teams by a 99-79 count. The last time that the Kings visited, Florida won 6-1. Including that result, which came last February, the Panthers are 23-9 (+8.5) when facing a sub-500 team in the second half of the season. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Jan 16, 2020 Hurricanes vs Blue Jackets |
Hurricanes -131 at betonline |
Lost $131.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Canes haven't forgotten that the Jackets beat them twice back in October. They're coming in angry and I expect them to get some payback. While they lost 2-0 last time out, note that Carolina had blanked its previous two opponents, winning 3-0 and 2-0. The Canes are 10-4 (+5.2) when playing with two day's rest and they're 5-1 (+2.6) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Jan 16, 2020 Jazz vs Pelicans |
UNDER 227 -110 |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing on Utah/NO UNDER the total. The big news for tonight's game was supposed to be that Zion Williamson would finallly make his debut. However, thats been pushed back; he's now expected to return to the court on Jan. 22nd. As both teams have been involved in some high-scoring games of late, including one against each other here a little over a week ago, we're working with a generously high O/U number. I believe it'll prove to be too high. Consider that the game here on Jan 6th had an O/U line of 221.5. While the Pelicans did put up a big number in that one, the Jazz are still a very capable defensive team. They allow 105.8 ppg, the seventh stingiest mark in the league. Opposing teams connect on just 44.3% of their field goals against Utah, the sixth best mark in the league. They're 8th best at defending the three. They've won 10 straight and seven of their last nine opponents have scored 107 or less. Four of those didn't even hit the 100 mark. Note that the UNDER is 15-7 over the years when the Jazz had won 10 straight, 2-0 the past couple of seasons. While one can't call the Pelicans "stingy," they have seen the UNDER go 6-3 when listed as home underdogs. Even factoring in the high-scoring game against the Jazz here recently, the UNDER is 7-3 when they faced a Northwest division opponent. Also, the UNDER is 8-5 when they played with "same season revenge." There was some controversy with the way the last game ended and that should lead to a little extra defensive intensity in this one. Look for the final combined score to fall beneath the generously high number. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Jan 16, 2020 Oregon State vs Washington |
Washington -4 -108 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing on WASHINGTON. The Beavers are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off back-to-back losses, the Huskies are going to be in an angry mood. Note that both losses came on the road. The last time that the Huskies lost two in a row? Laying -4 points, they bounced back and crushed USC by a 72-40 score. Including that result, they're 5-1 (4-1 ATS) the past six times that they were off b2b losses. While they did upset Arizona last time out, the Beavers have dropped two of their last three on the road. They're just 7-14 ATS the past 2+ seasons, when playing a game with an O/U line in the 130s. Going back further reveals that they're also 7-14 ATS when off a double-digit win as an underdog. The Huskies took both meetings last season. Look for them to bounce back and improve to 15-5 their last 20 games in January, covering the small number along the way. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Jan 16, 2020 Penguins vs Bruins |
Bruins -135 at betonline |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing on BOSTON. Off back-to-back losses and knowing that they'll face these same Penguins, at Pittsburgh, in a few days, I expect a highly motivated performance from the Bruins. Last time out, the Bruins were blanked 3-0, at Columbus. Therefore, it's worth noting that they're a profitable 22-9 (+9.5) the past 2+ seasons, when off a game where they scored one goal or less. During that span, the Bruins are 35-20 when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. The Pens, meanwhile, are a money-burning 40-45 (-14.9) when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or greater. Over the same period, Pittsburgh is 16-18 (-10) when off three or more consec. victories. The Bruins beat the Pens here earlier and I look for them to do so again on Thursday night. |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Age: 45 Background In "Outliers," Malcolm Gladwell asks the question: "What makes high achievers different?" Gladwell suggests that those at the top of their field have a number of similarities - that their upbringing (culture, family, what generation they came from, experiences) had much to do with their success. As a professional sports handicapper, Ben Burns is widely recognized as being "at the top of his field." A look at Ben's upbringing shows that he fits Gladwell's model to a tee. Exposed to the world of point spreads early and often as a child, Burns reached adulthood as the Internet was first beginning to explode, just as the first offshore sportsbooks were springing up. By that time he'd already spent thousands of hours learning and studying stats. From an early age it became apparent to family and friends that Ben wasn't a "typical" fan. At age 11, he was mentioned in a major newspaper (Toronto Star) for correctly predicting a high profile trade before the Major League Baseball trading deadline. (Winner of the contest got tickets to the All Star game.) Ben's father and uncles were always involved in a weekly NFL (ATS) pool. Some of Ben's earliest memories included that pool and his fascination with it. As soon as he was allowed to play, Ben demonstrated an uncanny ability to surprise the adults. Around this time, one of his uncles moved his casino business to the Caribbean. This was the environment which he came from. The caption underneath Ben's high-school graduation photo references Ben's love for betting on football. That's because he was famous throughout his school for annually winning the local football contest, along with the $1700 per year which was awarded to the champ. Coming of age right as the first sports books were coming online, Ben was fortunate to enjoy some success with his some of his early online sports betting endeavors. He did so well that the first shop he ever played at ended up refusing to take his hockey bets. Also, in the very early days of the Internet, Ben won an NBA playoff contest, put on by a company which was called NSS.net. The contest victory awarded him a trip for two to Las Vegas, $1000 cash, a limo at his disposal, free shows, hotel and live sports odds for a year. Not a bad prize for a kid in his early 20s. However, the bigger prize was that Ben was exposed to the world of "professional sports handicapping." Inspired by his personal success and encouraged by his peers, Ben first made his picks available to the public in 1998. Achievements in Handicapping/Sports Top Ranked NFL Handicapper From the years of 1998-2007, Ben's selections were independently documented at one of the Internet's earliest and most respected sports monitors, Big Guy Sports. During that time, Ben earned literally dozens of documented Top 3 finishes in football, basketball, baseball AND hockey, including numerous #1 titles. Competing against a field of 150 of the biggest names in the industry, he ranked as the #1 NFL handicapper in the existence of that sports monitor, in their All-Time rankings. No competing handicapping service ever came close to matching his NFL record. In fact, Ben also ranked as the #1 combined NFL/NCAA football handicapper. 10 Straight Super Bowl Winners A big part of the reason for Ben's #1 NFL titles was his annual success in the playoffs. He fared particularly well with his Super Bowl selections. In fact, from 1999-2007, he released 10 Super Bowl picks (3 Sides, 7 totals) and went a perfect 10-0. (All selections independently documented.) In the middle of that 10-0 streak, in the 2002-2003 season, Ben won with both the Bucs and the "over" the year that they beat the Raiders. That win was particularly sweet as he predicted that Tampa would win the Super Bowl in a number of national magazines, prior to the season even starting. Fantasy Legend Ben got pretty seriously into the DFS world in 2014 and 2015. Recently, he was featured as "The High Roller" in the 2015 documentary, "Living the Fantasy." A regular fixture at Fan Duel and Draft Kings live championship events, Burns has taken down 6-figure scores in football, basketball AND baseball. While many of the other prominent DFS players come from a poker background, two decades as a sports handicapper provide a unique perspective. Biggest Win of 2016 The year has just begun but Ben has already enjoyed some notable wins. His "Bowl Game of the Year," which happened to be a total (WVU/ASU "over") saw the teams combine for 85 points and 1196 total yards, all of them in regulation. Closing out the campaign with wins on Clemson AND the "over" in the championship game was also rewarding. Systems Used For Handicapping Bruce Lee noted: "Man, the living creature, the creating individual, is always more important than any established style of system." Lee was known to talk about being shapeless, formless (like water) and ready to adapt to any situation. Likewise, Burns doesn't rely on any one particular methodology. Rather, he combines fundamental, technical and situational techniques, making use of any and all data, which he deems relevant to the situation. Ben does tend to pay particular attention to the 'situational' side of things. Among numerous other factors, this includes trying to determine when (and why) a team will be extra motivated ("pumped up") to play its best and also when a team may be ripe for a "letdown." Burns has a contrarian nature and this trait is often revealed in his selections. Betting Philosophy Ever adapting, Burns is just as likely to take points as he is to lay them. Over the years, he's played more "unders" than "overs" but that doesn't mean that he won't pull the trigger on an "over" when the time is right to do so. While many handicappers shy away from playing MLB/NHL favorites on the money-line, Ben has proven that one can be highly successful by doing so. For him, it’s all about value. If he can get a team at -130 that he likes and that believes should be -160, than that's a play.
Rating and Titles of Plays Ben uses a scale of 5-10 to show his level of confidence with each play. Plays may include "titles" in order to give users a better idea of what to expect. Some of those titles include: Personal Favorite - Strongest favorite (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day. Best Bet - Strongest underdog (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day, occasionally can be a total. Blue Chip Total - Strongest rated total in that sport/category for the day. Main Event - Big play which is featured on national television. Game Of The Week/Month/Year - Top rated side or total for that particular week/month/year. |
