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Ben Burns |
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| Longterm 10* Records (Current Sports) Top Rated Hoops = $82K Top Rated Bases = $77K |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Jun 24, 2021 Golden Knights vs Canadiens |
Golden Knights -140 at linepros |
Lost $140.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on VEGAS. While I'm surprised that the Knights are down 3-2, I'm not writing them off quite yet. The Knights are 4-1 their last five, when trailing in a series. They're 10-4 after allowing four or more goals, 48-28 in that situation the past few seasons. During that span, they're also 35-21 (+9.8) after a loss by two or more. Over that period, Montreal is only 27-37 (-16.6) after a win by two or more goals. Look for the Knights to bounce back and extend the series, improving to 30-15 their last 45, after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jun 24, 2021 Indians vs Twins |
Twins -176 at pinnacle |
Lost $176.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on MINNESOTA. Twins with a big edge on the mound for this evening's series opener vs. the Twins. Minnesota has won seven straight with Berrios on the mound. I've been riding that streak and have pointed out several times already how consistent he's been. Here's what I said prior to his last start: I backed Minnesota the last time that Berrios was on the mound. That was a fairly tough matchup as he was against Garcia and the Astros. Here's an excerpt of what I said: "To his credit, Garcia has been pitching well. That said, the Astros are still just 2-3 when he starts on the road and he's up against one of the most consistent starters in baseball. Berrios is 6-2 with a 3.58 ERA on the season. The Twins are 8-4 when he's on the mound. Note that four of those games, including each of the past two, were decided by a single run. Also, note that he allowed four earned runs or less in all 12 of those starts. In fact, since last season, he's allowed four or fewer earned runs in 23 straight ... " Sure enough, Berrios went out and allowed two runs in seven innings, recording eight K's. Minnesota won 5-2. That's 24 straight starts with four earned runs or less allowed. He should get decent support tonight, as Foltynewicz is 0-3 with a 9.45 ERA his last three. The Rangers lost 11-6 and 12-1 the last two times he was on the mound..." ... Sure enough, Minnesota won again. Berrios made it 25 straight starts with four earned runs or less. He allowed three, through six innings. Last time out, Berrios was fortunate to face a struggling pitcher. Fortune is again in his favor as Mejia is 0-2 (team 0-3) in three road starts with a 10.38 ERA. Twins roll. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jun 24, 2021 Pirates vs Cardinals |
Cardinals -145 at linepros |
Lost $145.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. The trip to Detroit didn't go as planned. A return home to host the Pirates will be exactly what the doctor ordered. Martinez hasn't had a good year. However, he's showing signs of coming around. Two starts ago, he was very sharp. He'll be happy to see the Pirates; the Cards are 4-0 his last four starts against them. While the Cards may only be 19-15 at home, the Pirates are a terrible 10-25 on the road. Kuhl hasn't helped matters. He's 0-3 with a 7.45 ERA and 1.655 WHIP in five starts away from Pittsburgh. Pirate relievers have a combined road ERA which is above five on the road. The Pirates also score the fewest number of runs (3.5 per game) of any team in baseball. Bad combination. In the competitive NL Central, these are games which the Cards, currently 5.5 back of division leader Milwaukee with the Cubs and Reds in between, must take advantage of. The Cards won 7-2 the last time they saw Kuhl. I say they bounce back and finish on top, once again. |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Age: 45 Background In "Outliers," Malcolm Gladwell asks the question: "What makes high achievers different?" Gladwell suggests that those at the top of their field have a number of similarities - that their upbringing (culture, family, what generation they came from, experiences) had much to do with their success. As a professional sports handicapper, Ben Burns is widely recognized as being "at the top of his field." A look at Ben's upbringing shows that he fits Gladwell's model to a tee. Exposed to the world of point spreads early and often as a child, Burns reached adulthood as the Internet was first beginning to explode, just as the first offshore sportsbooks were springing up. By that time he'd already spent thousands of hours learning and studying stats. From an early age it became apparent to family and friends that Ben wasn't a "typical" fan. At age 11, he was mentioned in a major newspaper (Toronto Star) for correctly predicting a high profile trade before the Major League Baseball trading deadline. (Winner of the contest got tickets to the All Star game.) Ben's father and uncles were always involved in a weekly NFL (ATS) pool. Some of Ben's earliest memories included that pool and his fascination with it. As soon as he was allowed to play, Ben demonstrated an uncanny ability to surprise the adults. Around this time, one of his uncles moved his casino business to the Caribbean. This was the environment which he came from. The caption underneath Ben's high-school graduation photo references Ben's love for betting on football. That's because he was famous throughout his school for annually winning the local football contest, along with the $1700 per year which was awarded to the champ. Coming of age right as the first sports books were coming online, Ben was fortunate to enjoy some success with his some of his early online sports betting endeavors. He did so well that the first shop he ever played at ended up refusing to take his hockey bets. Also, in the very early days of the Internet, Ben won an NBA playoff contest, put on by a company which was called NSS.net. The contest victory awarded him a trip for two to Las Vegas, $1000 cash, a limo at his disposal, free shows, hotel and live sports odds for a year. Not a bad prize for a kid in his early 20s. However, the bigger prize was that Ben was exposed to the world of "professional sports handicapping." Inspired by his personal success and encouraged by his peers, Ben first made his picks available to the public in 1998. Achievements in Handicapping/Sports Top Ranked NFL Handicapper From the years of 1998-2007, Ben's selections were independently documented at one of the Internet's earliest and most respected sports monitors, Big Guy Sports. During that time, Ben earned literally dozens of documented Top 3 finishes in football, basketball, baseball AND hockey, including numerous #1 titles. Competing against a field of 150 of the biggest names in the industry, he ranked as the #1 NFL handicapper in the existence of that sports monitor, in their All-Time rankings. No competing handicapping service ever came close to matching his NFL record. In fact, Ben also ranked as the #1 combined NFL/NCAA football handicapper. 10 Straight Super Bowl Winners A big part of the reason for Ben's #1 NFL titles was his annual success in the playoffs. He fared particularly well with his Super Bowl selections. In fact, from 1999-2007, he released 10 Super Bowl picks (3 Sides, 7 totals) and went a perfect 10-0. (All selections independently documented.) In the middle of that 10-0 streak, in the 2002-2003 season, Ben won with both the Bucs and the "over" the year that they beat the Raiders. That win was particularly sweet as he predicted that Tampa would win the Super Bowl in a number of national magazines, prior to the season even starting. Fantasy Legend Ben got pretty seriously into the DFS world in 2014 and 2015. Recently, he was featured as "The High Roller" in the 2015 documentary, "Living the Fantasy." A regular fixture at Fan Duel and Draft Kings live championship events, Burns has taken down 6-figure scores in football, basketball AND baseball. While many of the other prominent DFS players come from a poker background, two decades as a sports handicapper provide a unique perspective. Biggest Win of 2016 The year has just begun but Ben has already enjoyed some notable wins. His "Bowl Game of the Year," which happened to be a total (WVU/ASU "over") saw the teams combine for 85 points and 1196 total yards, all of them in regulation. Closing out the campaign with wins on Clemson AND the "over" in the championship game was also rewarding. Systems Used For Handicapping Bruce Lee noted: "Man, the living creature, the creating individual, is always more important than any established style of system." Lee was known to talk about being shapeless, formless (like water) and ready to adapt to any situation. Likewise, Burns doesn't rely on any one particular methodology. Rather, he combines fundamental, technical and situational techniques, making use of any and all data, which he deems relevant to the situation. Ben does tend to pay particular attention to the 'situational' side of things. Among numerous other factors, this includes trying to determine when (and why) a team will be extra motivated ("pumped up") to play its best and also when a team may be ripe for a "letdown." Burns has a contrarian nature and this trait is often revealed in his selections. Betting Philosophy Ever adapting, Burns is just as likely to take points as he is to lay them. Over the years, he's played more "unders" than "overs" but that doesn't mean that he won't pull the trigger on an "over" when the time is right to do so. While many handicappers shy away from playing MLB/NHL favorites on the money-line, Ben has proven that one can be highly successful by doing so. For him, it’s all about value. If he can get a team at -130 that he likes and that believes should be -160, than that's a play.
Rating and Titles of Plays Ben uses a scale of 5-10 to show his level of confidence with each play. Plays may include "titles" in order to give users a better idea of what to expect. Some of those titles include: Personal Favorite - Strongest favorite (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day. Best Bet - Strongest underdog (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day, occasionally can be a total. Blue Chip Total - Strongest rated total in that sport/category for the day. Main Event - Big play which is featured on national television. Game Of The Week/Month/Year - Top rated side or total for that particular week/month/year. |
