Michael Alexander |
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | Oct 12, 2024 Devils vs Capitals |
Capitals +130 at Ace |
Lost $100.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Rating: 2 Units Dylan Strome is the best center on this squad. The 27-year-old enjoyed the best season of his career last year, collecting 67 points. Strome was a big threat against the Devils last season, amassing three goals and two assists in four meetings. Alex Ovechkin managed to net 31 goals and 34 assists last season and is striving to reach Wayne Gretzky’s record. The Capitals have a solid goalie in Charlie Lindgren who was a big reason they made the playoffs. The 30-year-old net minder generated a 2.67 GAA and a sharp .911 save % accompanied by a 25-16-7 record last season. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-F | Oct 12, 2024 Texas vs Oklahoma |
Oklahoma +14½ -109 at SC Consensus |
Lost $109.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Rating: 2 Units Sooners are 18-9 ATS as a dog if they were a dog in their previous game, including 6-0 SUATS the last six games, and 8-0 ATS if they won their last game outright as a dog. Also consider that stingy 5-0 or greater favorites who allow 7.0 or fewer points per game are 8-18 ATS when facing foes coming off a win of six or more points. We look for OU to improve on its 8-3 ATS record as dogs of 15 or fewer points. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-F | Oct 12, 2024 Ole Miss vs LSU |
LSU +3½ -109 at SC Consensus |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Rating: 3 Units LSU was toppled in a wild 55-49 loss in Oxford last season, and they take the field backed by some strong revenge trends. The Bengals are 5-0 ATS with revenge when the Rebels arrive off a SUATS win, 5-1 ATS as a series dog with revenge, and 10-2 ATS in their last twelve with single SEC revenge. It’s also a bad price range for the Rebs, who are just 4-10 ATS as a conference favorite or dog of 4 or less points. The series host currently on a red-hot 6-0 ATS run. Finally, Bengals head coach Brian Kelly is 19-4 SU and 17-4-2 ATS with revenge versus a foe coming off a win, including 14-1-2 ATS when Kelly’s crew is coming off an ATS win of eight or more points. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-F | Oct 12, 2024 Arizona vs BYU |
Arizona +4 -110 at YouWager |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
CFB Dog of the Month Rating: 5 Units The visitor in this series has covered the number three straight times. In addition, Zona is 4-1 ATS versus an undefeated conference opponent, and they are 4-1 ATS as conference dogs of less than 8 points. The Cougars have opened with five straight wins. However, BYU is just 3-12 ATS with rest and 3-9 versus the number as home chalk of less than 8 points. Finally, Arizona head coach Brent Brennan is 4-0 ATS in his career as a dog versus undefeated foes when his team allows fewer than 24.5 PPG. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-F | Oct 12, 2024 Georgia Tech vs North Carolina |
North Carolina +5½ -110 at YouWager |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
ACC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units The Ramblin’ Wreck is just 3-9 SU and 2-10 ATS as road chalk over the last ten years, including 0-7 ATS versus .500-or-greater opponents. Tech is also 4-8 SU and 2-9-1 ATS as a favorite against opponents seeking revenge (they beat UNC, 46-42, as a 12-point dog last season). Meanwhile, North Carolina is 3-3 this season, after a 3-0 start, however head coach Mack Brown is 9-3 ATS at home with a .500 exact record, including 6-0 ATS in conference games against .666 or greater opponents. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-F | Oct 12, 2024 Cincinnati vs Central Florida |
Cincinnati +3 -105 at Mirage |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Rating: 3 Units Cincinnati is 7-2-2 ATS as a road dog coming off a road game. Meanwhile, the Knights limp in off consecutive outright losses as a favorite, both by double-digits. Now they are just 3-3 SU in their last six home games; Gus Malzahn is only 1-5 ATS as a favorite when coming off consecutive losses. Cincinnati HC, Satterfield is 10-4 ATS with revenge when coming off a loss, including 5-1 ATS as a dog. Finally, teams that are 3-2 or better that take to the conference road when playing off one loss are 25-10-1 ATS when taking on opponents who allows 24 or more PPG, including 17-2 ATS if they are facing a foe with a winning record. |
PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NFL | Oct 13, 2024 Falcons vs Panthers |
Panthers +6 -108 at SC Consensus |
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Play Type: Premium | ||
Rating: 2 Units Carolina has out-yarded two of its last three opponents – a sign that it has not tossed in the towel. In addition, Dalton is 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS at home in his career when his team is coming off back-to-back SUATS losses, including 10-0 ATS in the last ten contests! Throw in the Dirty Birds’ 1-5 ATS mark in its last six road games as division chalk and Carolina’s 4-2 SU and 4-1-1 ATS mark in its last six games as a division home dog and you have a live dog! |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NFL | Oct 13, 2024 Bucs vs Saints |
Saints +3½ -115 at Ace |
Lost $115.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Rating: 2 Units The Bucs are hoping to be back here in February. However, Tampa has to be sick to their stomach after letting that one get away in Atlanta on Thursday. Seemingly had the game winning pick 1:44 to go. However, a holding penalty moved them out of FG range, and they couldn't stop Atlanta from forcing OT. They never touched the ball after that. Let's not forget they were held to 6 points in the 2nd half. Mike Evans w/ his 100th career TD (99 rec, 1 fumble recovery). Saints on a 9-3 run vs the Bucs |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NFL | Oct 13, 2024 Lions vs Cowboys |
Cowboys +3½ -115 at Ace |
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Play Type: Top Premium | ||
NFL Upset of the Month Rating: 5 Units Sitting on the home side of the field is a two-loss team that was not only the preseason favorite to win its division but is also 13-3-1 ATS as a home dog in non-division games with an inferior record since 2001. Head coach Mike McCarthy is 103-43-2 SU and 81-62-5 ATS at home in his NFL career, including 31-11-2 ATS against NFC North opponents. The newly minted Lions are just 6-9 outright in their last fifteen games against the NFC East and 6-14-1 ATS as road favorites of seven or fewer points against opponents coming off consecutive wins. Additionally, Detroit is 10-19-1 ATS as a favorite in games before taking on division rival Minnesota. Finally, Dallas is 10-1 ATS as a home dog when coming off a SU underdog win. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NFL | Oct 13, 2024 Commanders vs Ravens |
Commanders +6½ -108 at SC Consensus |
Lost $108.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
Inter-Conference Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units The Black Birds have struggled against the NFC East, just 4-8-1 ATS, including 0-4 SUATS against those coming off a win. In addition, Baltimore brings a weak 12-20 ATS ledger into this contest as a home favorite when coming off three wins. Coming off a nail-biting win over division rival Cincinnati, with a Monday Night game on deck, should find them less focused today. Washington is the first team since the 1970 AFL-NFL merger to average 30 points through five games while starting a rookie quarterback (Jayden Daniels). They are also 10-3 ATS as non-division road dogs. Finally, Washington head coach Dan Quinn is 14-5 SU and 15-4 ATS as a dog when his team is coming off a win, including 5-0 ATS as a dog of six or more points. |
SERVICE BIO |
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Michael Alexander is the Founder and Head Handicapper of Alexander Sports. Mr. Alexander has been handicapping sports (NFL Football Picks, College Football Picks, NBA Basketball Picks, College Basketball Picks, NHL Hockey Picks, and MLB Baseball Picks) for over 20 years and holds numerous top 10 handicapping rankings and is the 2004 Overall Champion as documented at Procappers! His approach to this craft is truly unique in the industry. With a background in statistics and prior experience in finance, Michael combines in depth statistical analysis with a financial risk/reward formula. It is this method that allows Mr. Alexander to properly weigh the risk of investment vs. the possible reward of investment for each game he analyzes. |