Rating: 2 Units

Right-handed pitcher Davis Martin will be on the mound for Chicago tonight. He allowed one run on three hits while striking out five batters across six innings against Detroit last week, notching a quality start. Martin has allowed just one earned run across his last 11 innings, lowering his season ERA to 3.78.  Drew Hutchison is going to start for Detroit tonight. He allowed six runs on seven hits and two walks across 4.2 innings against the White Sox last Sunday. Hutchison has allowed at least two runs in five consecutive outings—he is 2-9 with a 4.59 ERA this season.

Rating: 2 Units

The Astros have won 10 of their last 11 games and seven of their last eight road games. They have been on fire offensively, scoring at least five runs in six of their last seven games. They won’t have trouble scoring in this game because they’ve done a good job against right-handers and Baumann has struggled on the mound and will have a hard time slowing down the Astros in this game. The Orioles have lost four of their last six games and four of their last five home games. With the exception of their game against the Tigers, they have struggled offensively, scoring only two runs in their previous three home games. Expect their struggles to continue in this game because Houston’s pitchers have been dominant in recent games, giving up four runs in their last four games. They pitched a shutout in three of their last six games.

Rating: 2 Units

Left-handed pitcher Kris Bubic is expected to start for Kansas City in this game. He allowed five runs on seven hits and three walks across just 2.2 innings against Boston on Sunday. Bubic allowed one run in each of the first two innings before giving up three runs in the third inning. He has gone 0-7 with a 7.83 ERA over his last seven starts, driving his season ERA up to 5.81.  Right-handed pitcher Logan Gilbert is going to start for Seattle today. He allowed one run on four hits and a walk across six innings against the Angels on Monday. Gilbert set season-highs in strikeouts (11) and whiffs (21), throwing five scoreless innings before allowing a sacrifice fly. He is 3-1 with a 0.78 ERA over his last four starts, and he holds a 3.13 ERA overall this season.

Rating: 2 Units

The Rebels have tied their win total from last year already and now get to try to take revenge after last year’s last minute loss. USU hasn’t shown the excellent pass attack that drove them to success in 2021 as they are 115th in passing yards and 119th in yards per play. QB Luke Bonner’s YPA has dropped from 8.4 to 6.4 and he has a 3-3 TD-INT ratio.That could be a big problem because if Utah State’s rushing defense continues to be as bad as it has been, he won’t be able to dig them out of a hole. They are 126th in rushing defense at 240.7 ypg allowed and 102nd in yards per play allowed. UNLV’s two top RBs each average over 6 YPC and have shown big play ability. Add in a QB completing over 70% of his passes at a 9.1 YPA clip and you have a tough mountain to climb for the Aggies.

Rating: 3 Units

Clemson head coach Dabo Swinney just signed a new contract extension worth big bucks, and he knows his team can overcome a slow start to get back in the CFB Playoff discussion. Swinney stands 48-5 SU and 34-18-1 ATS in conference games when coming off a win of 20-plus points and an ATS loss, including a 19-5 ATS record away. Consider that Wake has fallen asleep as a home dog against foes coming off consecutive wins, going just 3-34 SU and 10-27 ATS.

Rating: 3 Units

Auburn's first major test was a miserable failure last week, as the 41-12 loss to Penn State was the Tigers’ fifth straight to a Power Five team. Tigers have not had a single defensive takeaway this season through three games. Harsin is 6-11 ATS when favored and coming off a loss, including 2-7 ATS at home. Consider that home teams coming off their first loss of the season is 139-154-4 ATS since 1980. And if they allowed 35 or more points in their initial loss they fall to 45-69-2 ATS. When they are facing a conference opponent, they plummet to 20-39-1 ATS. And when these same teams are taking on conference foes and coming off a loss of more than 21 points, they bottom out at 10-26 SU and 10-25-1 ATS. 

Big-12 Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

K-State has covered the last three matchups in this series, and head coach Chris Kleiman is 7-2 ATS as a dog of 7 or more points, including 4-0 ATS when taking more than a dozen points. There is no question that the Wildcats have struggled offensively this season, but the loss to Tulane last week was truly an aberration for star RB Deuce Vaughn, as the diminutive junior failed to score a TD for the first time in 10 games. Kleiman’s defense, however, is very good. Consider , teams playing AWAY off their first loss of the season find point spread success, nearly reversing their home counterparts by going 139-106-7 ATS dating back to 1980. When these teams are also off an ATS loss (Kansas State), they improve to 121-78-4 ATS in these situations. And if these teams are coming off a SU favorite loss they ratchet up to 69-35-2 ATS, including 38-13-1 ATS as a dog, in addition to 31-10-1 ATS against a foe coming off a SUATS win – and a 20-6 ATS combo as a dog against foes coming off a SUATS win.

SEC Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Gators own a huge statistical edge in this series, going 5-1 SUATS the last six meetings, 11-1-1 ATS in Game 4, and a whopping: 16-1 ATS in the last 17 games against Tennessee. The Vols are 0-4 SUATS in Game 4’s, and 1-8 ATS as SEC home favorites of 10 or more points. Tennessee is also 6-8 SU and 4-10 ATS at Rocky Top coming off a home game, and a depressing 0-5 SUATS against SEC foes coming off a win. To cap it off Florida is 14-2 SU and 14-1-1 ATS in this series when Tennessee is coming off a win of 10 or more.