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Stephen Nover Stephen Nover

I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.

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Picking his spots carefully, Stephen Nover has turned a profit in the Canadian Football League in five of his past six seasons. 

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  May 21, 2022
Lynx vs Wings
Lynx
+5 -110 at circa
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium
The Lynx are 1-5, but 1-1 since Kayla McBride made her season debut. Minnesota defeated the Sparks and hung in against the Aces during its current road trip going 2-0 ATS. Now they Lynx get the Wings, who are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games. Dallas is off a huge, 94-84, win against the Mercury from two days ago. So this is a potential letdown spot for Dallas. Minnesota has covered five of the past six in the series. 
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 21, 2022
Diamondbacks vs Cubs
Diamondbacks
+135 at SC Consensus
Won
$135
Play Type: Free

Guess what? The Diamondbacks aren't that bad. They are just one game below .500. If you discount a four-game series against the Dodgers, Arizona would be 10-4 in their last 14 games.

The Diamondbacks are better than the Cubs. They've won the first two games of this series and have the better starting pitcher going here with Madison Bumgarner facing Justin Steele.

So why are the Cubs, losers of three in a row, favored? Got me. I'm just happy to grab this plus price with Arizona.

The Diamondbacks have underrated pitchers and are getting contributions from young hitters. The Cubs are back to rebuilding, eight games below .500. They are 14-38 in their last 52 home games. Chicago has lost eight of the past 11 times when favored.

Bumgarner has a 2.29 ERA. Steele is 1-4 with a 4.50 ERA.

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 21, 2022
Reds vs Blue Jays
Blue Jays
-1½ -120 at Mirage
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

I really like Toronto starter Alex Manoah, who is 4-1 with a 1.71 ERA. Reds starter Hunter Greene has potential, but I don't think he's ready to be in a major league rotation yet. Even throwing 7 1/3 innings of no-hit ball against the Pirates last Sunday, Greene still is 1-6 with a 6.21 ERA.

The Reds are 6-18 on the road. That's the most away losses in the majors.

Toronto has won 25 of its last 36 home games.

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  May 21, 2022
Avalanche vs Blues
OVER 6½ -113 Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

Never mind that the Avalanche and Blues are each top-four scoring teams, averaging 3.8 goals per game. It doesn't matter that the Avalanche have fired 85 shots on goal during the first two games of this series, or that the Over is 22-10-1 in St. Louis' last 33 games. Who cares that the Over is 6-1-1 the past eight times these two teams have played in St. Louis.

What matters is that the first two games of this series both went Under with the Avalanche winning, 3-2 in overtime, in Game 1 and the Blues upsetting Colorado, 4-1, in Game 2 this past Thursday. The important takeaway from those two games from a totals perspective is that the expected goals were much higher than what actually transpired.

I'm expecting the floodgates to finally open here with each team getting at least three goals.

The Avalanche were off their game in Game 2. They played too slow. Colorado is going to pick up the pace. The Avalanche wants a fast-paced game. They are going to force the action. The Blues remain without two veteran defensemen with Marco Scandella and Torey Krug both out. So there is some vulnerability.

The Blues are dangerous with all of their lines. They had nine players score 20 or more goals during the regular season. The Blues have scored four or more goals in nine of their last 11 home games.

SERVICE BIO

Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons.