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Stephen Nover |
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I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst. |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Nov 11, 2019 Coyotes vs Capitals |
OVER 6 -105 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
| The Capitals are 10-0-1 in their last 11 games. They also have gone Over in 10 of their last 11 games. Rather than lay heavy juice backing the Capitals, I'd rather ride their Over trend especially now that it is confirmed both teams will be starting backup goalies. The Capitals have scored at least three goals in 15 straight games and in 12 of those matchups they have produced four or more goals. John Carlson has become a monster offensive defenseman. Arizona has surrendered 11 goals in its last three games and have been shorthanded on the blue line due to injuries. The Coyotes, though, have scored three or more goals in six of their last eight games. | ||
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NFL | Nov 11, 2019 Seahawks vs 49ers |
Seahawks +6 -109 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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Russell Wilson is the best QB in the NFL right now. I want Wilson going for me with this many points on the Monday Night Football center stage. Seattle has covered the last eight times it has been an underdog, including both times this season. The 49ers are the most improved team in the league. But now they have the bullseye and pressure on them to only win, but cover margins, too. They lack Seattle's prime time big-game experience and record. The Seahawks are well-balanced with a respectable ground attack and now three dangerous wide receiving targets for Wilson with Josh Gordon joining Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf. San Francisco suffered an unsung defensive injury with linebacker Kwon Alexander out for the year with a torn pec muscle. Alexander was the 49ers' second-leading tackler. The 49ers also have been missing their starting offensive tackles and star tight end George Kittle is doubtful. Seattle has dominated this series winning 10 of the past 11 meetings going 7-3-1 ATS. |
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| PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Nov 12, 2019 Lakers vs Suns |
Lakers -135 at 5Dimes |
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| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Kudos to the Suns on their unexpected 6-3 start. The Suns have been winning, too, despite Deandre Ayton being suspended. But the Lakers also have been winning with LeBron James putting up triple/double numbers. I like LA off a 113-104 home loss to the Raptors on Sunday. That ended LA's seven-game win streak. There's a chance Anthony Davis doesn't play because of a sore shoulder. There's also a possibility that point guard Rajon Rondo makes his season debut. I like the Lakers regardless of either player's status. The key for me is the Lakers' third-ranked defense and No. 3 ranking in 3-point defense. The Suns have been beating opponents with their 3-point marksmanship. I anticipate they are going to have problems hitting their perimeter shots against the Lakers, which they need to do without Ayton in the middle. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Nov 12, 2019 Red Wings vs Ducks |
UNDER 6 -115 | |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The Red Wings head to the west coast after stunning home victories against the Bruins and Golden Knights during the weekend. These wins can't hide the fact that Detroit ranks last in the NHL in scoring. The Red Wings have scored three or fewer goals in six of their last seven games. The Ducks won't be taking the Red Wings lightly. The Ducks, in fact, need this game to halt a three-game losing streak. They are off an embarrassing 6-2 loss to Edmonton on Sunday. If Anaheim is going to win it needs to do that through defense. The Ducks rank 25th in scoring with an ineffective power play unit, but are sixth defensively. They have produced no more than two goals in five of their last six games. So I see a tight-checking, low-scoring contest. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Nov 12, 2019 Miami-FL vs UCF |
Miami-FL -1 -115 at jazz |
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| Play Type: Premium | ||
| Sharp money has come on Miami and I agree. The Hurricanes should be ready for their first road game having already faced Louisville. The Hurricanes have the talent and ballhandlers to limit their mistakes. Central Florida was very good - last season. The Knights lost most of their team from a year ago retaining just three players. They didn't look good in their opening game, a 73-69 victory against Prairie View. The Knights didn't come close to covering as 16 1/2-point home favorites. Miami is catching Central Florida at a good time, very early in the season. | ||
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-F | Nov 12, 2019 Eastern Michigan vs Akron |
UNDER 49½ -112 |
Lost $112.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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If the Mid-American Conference wants to show off their brand of football on a Tuesday - of all nights - they sure picked a wrong team with Akron. The Zips have a cool nickname, but there is nothing exciting about their offense. They are last in the nation in scoring averaging 10.2 points a game. The Zips haven't scored a TD during their last four games putting up the grand total of nine points during this span. Akron ranks 94th in passing and last in rushing. (Update: This total has gone done considerably since I released the play on Monday. I would still recommend the Under, but not for a Max Unit play.) |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons. |
