40* (NBA) - Late Night ATS KNOCKOUT (Kings PK) 

I will gladly take my chances with the Kings as a pick'em at home against the Clippers. Not only do I love that this line is begging the public to take LA, but we are also getting the Clippers in a great fade spot. 

This is a huge letdown spot for Los Angeles after last night's thrilling 119-115 win over the Lakers. There's not a team the Clippers want to beat more than their cross-town rivals and it meant that much more with James playing for the Lakers. 

I expect to see a very flat Clippers team on no rest against a very hungry Kings team that is trying to get their season on track. Sacramento just won 124-115 at the Clippers on Wednesday. LA is 0-3 ATS this season in the second game of a back-to-back and 1-6 ATS when revenging a loss this season. Give me the Kings PK! 

40* (NBA) - Prime Time ATS SLAUGHTER (Bulls +3.5) 

Got to take a shot with the Bulls in this one. As good as Chicago has been, the betting public can't help themselves when they see Brooklyn as a short favorite, especially at home. I know we are just outside the parameters, but I think it speaks to the play. Nets are 3-5 ATS this season with a line of +3.5 to -3.5 and 0-3 ATS at home in this spot. 

What the public overlooks with Brooklyn in this spot is the fact that they are playing this game on no rest after a hard fought 110-105 win at home against the Timberwolves last night. Chicago was off Friday and are playing just their second game in the last 5 days. Also, while the Bulls are playing their second straight on the road, there's basically no travel involved with New York to Brooklyn. 

I just think with the poor bench that the Nets have to work with, it's going to be hard for them to match the intensity of this Bulls team, who feels like they got something to prove every time they face one of the perceived top teams in the league. Give me Chicago +3.5! 

40* (CBB) - Early Bird ATS BLOWOUT (Ole Miss +1) 

This line is screaming to the public to take No. 18 Memphis as a mere 1-point road favorite against an unranked Ole Miss team. I'll gladly go the other way and back this Rebels team at home. 

This is a good Rebels team under head coach Kermit Davis. They are off to a 6-2 to start with their only two losses coming on the road against Marquette and Boise State, who are two teams ranked inside the Top 80. 

Memphis came into the season with a lot of hype, but they have lost their last two, falling 59-78 to ISU and 79-82 to Georgia. The Tigers like to play fast, but they also play sloppy. They rank 349th in TO%. Ole Miss in comparison ranks 48th. Hard to win on the road when you lose the turnover battle. 

The other big thing is the Rebels have a great interior defense, as they are 24th in the country in 2P% defense. Memphis isn't a big 3-pt shooting team. If the Rebels can get back and not let the Tigers run, they should make it really tough on Memphis to score. Give me Ole Miss +1! 

40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Colorado +5.5) 

I will gladly take my chances with Colorado as a 5.5-point home dog against the Vols today. I just think we are getting great line value with Buffalo because of the fact that Tennessee comes in ranked #13 and the Buffaloes are not in the Top 25. 

I think Colorado has a very underrated team this year and we saw some flashes of that in their last game when they went on the road and only lost by 12 to a really good UCLA team.

The big difference with this game, is they get a good Tennessee at home. Colorado has one of the best home court advantages in the country and this will be the Vols first true road game of the season. Would not surprise me at all if the Buffaloes won this game outright. Give me Colorado +5.5! 

40* (CBB) - Sharp Money ATS MASSACRE (Wash St -1) 

What more do you need to know that the Cougars are the smart bet here than the books have an unranked Washington State team listed as the favorite against undefeated No. 20 USC.

Winning on the road is not easy in CBB and the Pac-12 always seems to have a strong home court edge. I also like what I've seen out of this Washington team, who has went from starting out the season ranked No. 63 at KenPom to currently sitting at No. 48. The Cougars are a great defensive team that can really make it tough to score inside. While they don't shoot it great all the time, they are Top 15 in the country in offensive rebounding and are very good at getting to the free throw line. 

USC has a lot of strengths, but they are one of the worst in the country at forcing turnovers and dreadful at free throws. As a team they are shooting 56.4%! Cougars in comparison shot 75% from the charity line. Give me Washington State -1! 

40* (CBB) - Late Night ATS ANNIHILATOR (Creighton -4.5)

Not a lot to think about with this one. Iowa State comes into this game 7-0 and ranked No. 19 in the country and are a 4.5-point dog on the road against an unranked Creighton team. You got to lay it with the Bluejays in this spot. 

It's been an impressive start to the season for the Cyclones, who caught everyone's attention in the NIT Tip-Off with their two big upset wins over Xavier and Memphis. Clearly this team is better than expected, but I wonder if some of that wasn't those teams overlooking the Cyclones. 

You can bet those two wins and national ranking will have the attention of Creighton and I just think it's a tough spot for ISU. They play really hard defensively, but the offense is not great and this Bluejays team knows how to put the ball in the hoop. This is also the first true road game for the Cyclones, which is never easy. Give me Creighton -4.5! 

40* (CFB) - Big Ten Championship ATS SHOCKER (Michigan -10.5) 

I grew up in Iowa and a Hawkeyes fan, so I follow this team closely. As much as I would love for Iowa to stick it to Harbaugh and ruin Michigan's shot at making the 4-team playoff, I just don't see it happening. 

Iowa's only hope of keeping this game remotely close is by forcing turnovers and that's just not something you can bank on. Even with how good the Hawkeyes have been in that department. Michigan is also a team that takes great care of the ball. Wolverines haven't turned it over three times in any game this season and in 10 of their 12 games they had 1 or fewer turnovers. 

I also think that there's the perception that Michigan's offensive and defensive lines won't be near as dominant as they were against Ohio State against this Iowa team. Yes. Ferentz coached teams are always solid in the trenches, but the Hawks are not elite on either side of the ball. 

I just don't see how Iowa's offense is going to be able to do enough to keep this game close and if they get behind early, this could get ugly. Give me the Wolverines -10.5! 

50* (CFB) - Alabama/Georgia MAX UNIT Top Play (Georgia -6) 

I can't help myself but to lay less than a touchdown with Georgia in the SEC title game. I got nothing but respect for Alabama and what they have been able to accomplish under Saban, but much like the LSU team that had Joe Burrow, this Georgia team is just a step above the rest of college football. 

I just think if it didn't say Alabama on the jersey, this line would be pushing double-digits and I'm not sure that would be enough. It's just a nightmare matchup for the Crimson Tide, who are not anything close to what we have seen in the past on the defensive side of the ball and they got no ability to run the ball. 

Bryce Young is great, but he's going to have to throw it 50+ times for Alabama to even have a shot and I got big concerns with the Crimson Tide's pass protection after how bad the struggled against the blitz against Auburn. 

No one seems to be talking enough about how Alabama was being shutout through 3 quarters in a game they had to win if they wanted any shot at getting back to the college football playoff. I just think the Georgia defense is going to be too much to overcome. Give me the Bulldogs -6! 

FREE PICK: Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns +3 
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 312

I know the line here is screaming to take the Mountaineers. It makes no sense that No. 24 ranked Louisiana is a 3-point dog on their home field against an Appalachian State team they beat in the regular-season 41-13 with a 455 to 211 edge in total yards. 

I'm usually one to go against the obvious play, but I just think we are seeing the books simply not adjust their numbers enough. If you remember, the Mountaineers were a 4.5-point favorite at Louisiana earlier this year. 

I think some of the reason they only adjusted 1.5-points is there's some name inflation with a program like App State and I believe some people see this as a bad spot emotionally for the Ragin' Cajuns with head coach Billy Napier accepting the offer to become the new head coach at Florida. 

I actually think it's a positive, especially since Napier is sticking around to coach this game. The fans and players are going to be sad he's leaving, but they knew it was coming. They get it. This guy is loved and is responsible for taking this program to where it is. I believe the players are going to play their hearts out for him in his last game and keep them from overlooking this App State team given how lopsided the first meeting was. Give me the Ragin' Cajuns +3! 

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40* (CFB) - Big 12 Championship VEGAS INSIDER (Oklahoma St -5.5) 

I'm going to lay the 5.5 with Oklahoma State as they face off against Baylor in the Big 12 Championship. The game will be played on the Dallas Cowboys home field at AT&T Stadium. 

I'm a little bit surprised we aren't seeing a heavier influx of money coming in on the Cowboys, but that's a good thing in my opinion. I would be a lot more hesitant to back Oklahoma State if this was a big public play. 

It feels like to me that there's just a lack of trust and belief in this Cowboys team and a lot of people aren't wanting to back them off that huge win over rival Oklahoma last week. I just don't think this is the spot to fade a team in that scenario. There's just no way Oklahoma State is looking past this opportunity. Not with what's happened to them in the past. 

To me that's really what this handicap comes down to. Whether or not we get the best the Cowboys have to offer, because their best is more than enough to beat this Baylor team by at least a touchdown. 

These two teams played in the regular season and while it looks like it was a competitive game with Oklahoma State only winning 24-14 at home, it wasn't nearly that close. The Cowboys had a 401 to 280 edge in total yards, 24-10 advantage in first downs and had the ball nearly 10 minutes more in time of possession. The only reason it was close is because OK State was -3 in the turnover department. 

Not that I wouldn't be fine with the same score on Saturday, I do think there's a strong likelihood that the Cowboys offense plays better than they did in the first meeting. I can't say the same for the Baylor offense. Not with how good this Oklahoma State defense is against the run and how depended the Bears offense is on being able to run the ball. Give me Oklahoma State -5!