FREE PICK - Chicago Cubs +208
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 957

This is just too good a price to not throw a little on the Cubs in Thursday's series opener against the Dodgers. Yes LA's Walker Buehler is better than Chicago's Zach Davies, but not to the point the Cubs are more than a +200 dog. 

One thing to keep in mind here is LA could be a little flat here after just finishing up a 6-game road trip on Wednesday, with the last 3 against the Padres. While Buehler is not to blame, it's worth noting that the Dodgers have lost each of his 3 career starts against the Cubs, including a start back in early May. 

Also, with Davies, he's actually been pretty good outside of a few starts. In his last 10 starts, he's given up 2 or fewer runs in 7 of those outings. Give me the Cubs +208! 

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40* (MLB) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Astros -1.5, -125) 

I'll take my chances with the Astros on the -1.5 run line (-125) in Thursday's road game against the Tigers. All signs point to Houston not just winning the game, but winning going away. Houston has a massive edge on the mound in this one with Luis Garcia going up against Jose Urena. 

Garcia is just 5-3, but has a sensational 2.80 ERA and 1.073 WHIP with 73 K's in 64 1/3 innings of work. Last time out, Garcia gave up just 1 run in 7 innings with 8 K's in a win over the White Sox. He should own the Tigers in his first ever start against Detroit. 

As for Urena, guy has been awful. He's got a 5.79 ERA and 1.592 WHIP in 13 starts. It's only been getting worse. In his last two starts, he's given up 14 ER on 12 hits (4 HR) and 6 walks in just 6 innings of work. With the way Houston is swinging the bat, they should put up a big number. Give me the Astros -1.5 (-125)! 

40* (MLB) Situational Run Line MASSACRE (Twins -1.5, +115) 

I will take my chances with the Twins on the -1.5 run line at home against the Indians on Thursday. Minnesota lost last time out, but had won 5 straight prior to the setback. They also stayed hot offensively in defeat, scoring 7 runs. The 4th time in their last 6 they hit the 7 mark. 

This is also a huge fade of Cleveland starter Jean Carlos Mejia. The guy has made 4 starts and has a 8.52 ERA and 1.500 WHIP. His only halfway decent outing came at home, as he's given up 10 runs over just 8 2/3 innings in 3 road starts. 

Minnesota will have Jose Berrios on the mound and he's quietly having a strong season. Berrios is 7-2 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.092 WHIP in 14 starts. He's been really strong in his last two outings, giving up just 2 runs in 7 innings at home to the Astros and 3 runs in 6 innings at Texas. Give me the Twins -1.5 (+115)! 

50* (NBA) Suns/Clippers MAX UNIT Top Play (Suns -1) 

I will gladly take my chances with the Suns at -1 in Game 3. I took the Clippers in both Game 1 and 2, just missing out on a cash in Game 1 and easily winning in Game 2. I just thought the Suns were being a bit overpriced with Chris Paul out. 

I don't know if it's cause the Clippers have been down 0-2 in each of their first two series and came back to make a series of it, but LA should be a be a bigger dog with Paul expected to return. Especially with Kawhi still out for the Clippers. 

You also can't overlook the way that Phoenix was able to steal Game 2. Not only Ayton's last second dunk for the win, but Paul George's two critical missed free throws right before that. Losing like that is brutal and can be really hard to bounce back from. 

Phoenix has also shown the want and the ability to finish off teams when they get up in a series. I'm confident there is zero overlooking this game for the Suns. Give me Phoenix -1!