Wednesday's Free NCAAB Pick

PLAY ON FLORIDA GATORS +5.5: I'll take my chances with the Gators as a 5.5-point home dog against the Vols. The betting public is going to be all over No. 2 ranked Tennessee at this price. Anytime I see a line like this, I'm almost always going to look to take the other side. The more I looked into this, the more I liked Florida. 

This is a bit of a letdown spot for the Vols, who are coming off a huge home win over No. 10 ranked Texas. On the flip side of this, I think it's a bit of a buy-low spot on Florida after Saturday's 14-point loss at K-State. Gators are 3-1 at home in SEC play with the only loss coming by just 3-points to Texas A&M. 

Florida should be able to hold their own defensively in this game. Gators are No. 10 in the country in defensive efficiency and No. 9 in effective FG% defense. They are 13th in 2P% defense and 13th in Block%. Yes, Vols defensive numbers are even better, but we should see an uptick of shots made by the Gators at home and not quite as good of D by Tennessee on the road, especially after laying it all out there against the Longhorns. Give me Florida +5.5! 

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PLAY ON OKLAHOMA SOONERS -3.5: I'll take my chances with the Sooners as a slim 3.5-point home favorite against in-state rival Oklahoma State. These two teams played just a couple of weeks ago in Stillwater, with the Cowboys securing an impressive 72-56 win. It was a dreadful 2nd half for Oklahoma in that game, as they led 30-24 at the half. I'm not too concerned about the margin of victory in that one. It really just comes down to home court for me. 

Oklahoma State has really struggled away from home. They are 0-4 in Big 12 road games and 3 of the 4 losses have come by 8 or more points. Oklahoma is just 2-3 at home in Big 12 play, but their losses have come against 3 of the better teams in the league in Texas, Baylor and Iowa State by a combined 6 points. On Saturday they showed just how good they can be at home in a 93-69 thrashing of then No. 2 Alabama. I think there would be some concern of a letdown off a big win like that it if wasn't Oklahoma State as their opponent, especially having already lost to them earlier this season. I think they come out on fire tonight and that letdown probably comes on Saturday in a game at West Virginia. Give me the Sooners -3.5! 

9* NBA No Doubt Doubt ATS BLOWOUT

PLAY ON SACRAMENTO KINGS -7.5: I got no problem laying the big number on the road with Sacramento, as visit the Spurs on Wednesday night. Kings snapped a 2-game skid with a hard fought 118-111 OT win at Minnesota on Monday. I don't see them having any problem here winning by double-digits. 

San Antonio has completely fallen flat on their face over the last month. The Spurs have lost 6 straight 2-14 SU over their last 17 games. They have really struggled to keep games close of late. Their last 5 losses have all come by at least 9 points. Most recently losing 106-127 at home to the Wizards as a 5.5-point favorite on Monday. These two teams played in San Antonio on Jan. 15 and the Kings won that game 132-119, despite trailing 63-64 at the half. They were only a 7-point favorite that time around, so the line has barely been adjusted. Books just aren't adjusting enough with San Antonio and it shows with the Spurs failing to cover in each of their last 5. Give me the Kings -7.5!