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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Sep 21, 2019
Giants vs Braves
Giants
+137 at YouWager
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

Giants starter Johnny Cueto (1-0, 0.00 ERA, 6 SO)gets his third start of the season for the Giants when he faces the Braves. He has not given up a run in 10 innings pitched, while opponents are batting .129 against him in two starts and gets my support here tonight vs the Braves. Meanwhile, The Braves nailed down their 19th division championship with a 6-0 win over the Giants on Friday, and now will be vulnerable in an emotional letdown spot. 

Note: Max Fried the Braves starter  has allowed five earned runs in three of his past five starts .

Giants are 6-2 in Cuetos last 8 road starts.Giants are 10-4 in Cuetos last 14 starts.Giants are 10-4 in Cuetos last 14 starts on grass.

Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Sep 21, 2019
Red Sox vs Rays
Red Sox
+195 at BMaker
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

Boston Red Sox starter Travis Lakins  will make his second career start as the Red Sox opt for a bullpen game against the Rays. The 25-year-old righty held the Yankees hitless over two frames during his first start on Sept. 7 and he  and his bullpen crew gets my support here today in the spoilers role . Note: Rays  starter Glasgow is 0-4 in his  last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Boston is 5-2 in Tampa Bay this season. 

The Red Sox are 6-0  L/6 on the ML as a road 170-plus dog off a road game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs.

Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 road games.Red Sox are 82-40 in their last 122 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Red Sox are 39-19 in their last 58 games on astroturf.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 57-29 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the BoSox to win on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Sep 21, 2019
#Nationals vs #Marlins
OVER 8 -105 P
Play Type: Premium

Marlins stater Jordan Yamamoto ( 4-5, 4.87 ERA, 69 SO)  is coming off the injured list (right forearm strain) and taking the spot that was lined up for Elieser Hernandez. Yamamoto does not have a lot of experience and is rusty which will hinder him against what is a sometimes explosive Nats batting order. In his past seven, he's 0-5 with a bloated 8.13 ERA. I wont be surprised if the Nationals eclipse this total all by themselves as I project they will tee off vs Yamamoto. Meanwhile, top tier hurler , Strasburg goes to the hill for the Nats. This game will be more of a stretch out for him, as he prepares for the play offs and a short leash might be attached. He beat the Marlins  and shut them out the last time he faced them, but it must be note that  the Marlins have gone over 13 straight times  at home when seeking same-season revenge vs their opponents starting pitcher with the average combined score clicking in at 13 rpg with no contest seeing less than 9 combined runs scored.

YAMAMOTO is 7-0 OVER in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 13 rpg scored. 

MIAMI is 23-9 OVER  in home games against division opponents this season with a combined average of 9.9 rpg scored.

MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 44-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the OVER

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 21, 2019
UL-Lafayette vs Ohio
UL-Lafayette
+3 +100 at YouWager
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

 Im impressed with UL Lafayette and their top tier running game and because Ohio continues to struggle against the run, Im betting their a live under appreciated dog . The Cajuns return five senior starting offensive linemen  and are a tough experienced group that can protect the three headed monster of  Raymond Calais, Trey Ragas and Elijah Mitchell  who combined   2900  plus yards on the ground last season averaging  6.7 ypc. This season already this explosive trio is   averaging 8.1 ypc. Im betting on more of the same dynamic action today vs an Ohio run D, that is allowing  5.2 yards per carry this season, ranking them a dismal 114th in the nation at not stopping the run.

LA LAFAYETTE is 15-3 ATS after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 game.

CFB home (OHIO U) - after allowing 6.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game against opponent after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games are 4-25  SU  L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UL Lafayette to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
CFL  |  Sep 21, 2019
BC vs Ottawa
Ottawa
+3 -102 at pinnacle
Lost
$102.0
Play Type: Premium

The Lions snapped their seven game losing streak last weekend against the Redblacks in Vancouver and now in desperation and pay back mode the Redblacks get their opportunity to end their own losing streak at 5 games. Im betting on Dominique Rhymes and Receiver Brad Sinopoli who is due to come off the one-game IR to spark this Ottawa team to a possible upset victory and more importantly a cover. 

BRITISH COLUMBIA is 2-12 ATS after outgaining opp by 70 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

OTTAWA is 31-16 L/47 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3.

CFL Home teams vs. the money line (OTTAWA) - after 5 or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15 are 30-13 L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

CFL team vs the money line (OTTAWA) - poor rushing team (70-95 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (95-125 RY/G) after 9+ games, after gaining 95 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 24-6 L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Ottawa RedBlacks to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 21, 2019
Oregon vs Stanford
Stanford
+10½ -105 at Bovada
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

Stanford was annihilated last week by UCF in a DD beatdown. The Cardinal were in an unfortunate letdown spot last week after a loss to USC the previous week. However, after their last embarrassing effort I expect a bounce back effort here at home where the Cardinal are 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS as a home underdog dating back 12 seasons, including 4-0 SUATS with head coach David Shaw. It must also be noted that Oregon has only cashed 4 of their L/21 away from Eugene .
 

OREGON is 1-8 ATS after a win by 21 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

STANFORD is 18-6 ATS L/24  versus excellent defensive teams - allowing 4.25 or less yards/play STANFORD is 28-13 ATS L/41 vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.75 or less passing yards/att.

CFB Road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (OREGON) - dominant team - outgaining their opponents by 125 or more yards/game, after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games are 19-50 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Stanford to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 21, 2019
Notre Dame vs Georgia
OVER 58 -109 Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

Needless to say that these teams Notre Dame and Georgia are explosive offensively with Notre Dame averaging 50.5 ppg so far this season and Georgia producing 49.3 ppg overall. The last time these teams played Notre Dame came away with a 20-19 victory, but both these teams dynamics have changed since then and Im projecting an all out head to head slugfest in the rematch. First team to 40 wins. 

GEORGIA is 9-1 OVER  after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 67.6 ppg scored.

Over is 3-1-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.Over is 8-3-2 in Bulldogs last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-2-1 in Bulldogs last 8 games following a ATS win.Over is 4-1-1 in Bulldogs last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Over is 5-2 in Fighting Irish last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 16-7 in Fighting Irish last 23 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.Over is 15-5 in Fighting Irish last 20 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

 Play on the OVER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 21, 2019
Louisville vs Florida State
Louisville
+7 -120 at Mirage
Lost
$120.0
Play Type: Free

Oh how the mighty have fallen, as Taggarts Florida States looks to be a undisciplined shambles. Taggart's team is one of the worst in all of college Football for incurring penalties and that indirectly becomes a situation that facilitates their down trending projections in my power rankings. I know that Louisville's QB Jawon Pass may not start because of a nagging foot injury, but Malik Cunningham his backup is more than capable of leading his team here as was the case in last weeks win vs Western Kentucky. 

FLORIDA ST is 3-12 ATS against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons and s 4-15 ATS L/19  as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points . 

CFB road team   (LOUISVILLE) - a good defensive team (16-21 PPG) against a horrible defensive team ( 34  or more PPG), after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game are 30-4 SU L/10 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. 

CFB home team (FLORIDA ST) - off 2 or more consecutive overs, with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 35 or more points/game are 57-112 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Louisville to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 21, 2019
Miami-OH vs Ohio State
Miami-OH
+39½ -110 at Bovada
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

RedHawks coach Chuck Martin is 26-14 ATS as an underdog and also owns a 6-1 ATS mark as a non-conference underdog of 21 or more points. Meanwhile, Ohio State is 2-6 ATS as favorites of 34 or more points against MAC opposition and fade material on this big a chalk line. I know Ohio State is the vastly superior side, but from a mathematical standpoint my projections make this a value underdog line. 

CFB Road underdogs of 21.5 or more points (MIAMI OHIO) - after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game against opponent after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 23-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

CFB Home favorites of 31.5 or more points (OHIO ST) - with a good offense - averaging 5.8 or more yards/play, after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 6-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami O to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 21, 2019
New Mexico State vs New Mexico
New Mexico State
+5 -110 at sportsbook
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

New Mexico does not have a culture of winning in place and have now lost 17 of their L/21  SU overall. Davies HC  Lobos  played their hearts out against Notre Dame last week despite of being pounded by a 66-14 count and won't have enough left in the tank to be near enough dominant to cover the number this week in this instate rivalry game. 

Davie is 2-9 ATS in home games after playing a non-conference game as the coach of NEW MEXICO.Davie is 6-18 ATS (as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points in all games he has coached since 1992.

CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NEW MEXICO ST) - in a game involving two teams with 1.25 or less turnovers/game forced, after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Mexico State to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 21, 2019
Oklahoma State vs Texas
Texas
-5 -111 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Oklahoma State Cowboys have beat up on 3 inferior programs to start their campaign, and Texas in their only real battle, vs LSU (45-38) showed they are still up-trending despite of regression worries from the pundits . I know Oklahoma State has won 4 straight close battles in this series, but   Texas according to my  power rankings is the superior side, in a tilt vs a Cowboys team has failed to cover its L/7 Big12 openers. At anything lower than -7 Im laying here. 

OKLAHOMA ST is 0-7 ATS  in road games after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games since 1992.

TEXAS is 13-4 ATS  as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

CFB Home favorites (TEXAS) - after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games, game between two teams with 5 or less defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season are 25-4 ATS L/27 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Texas to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 21, 2019
South Carolina vs Missouri
Missouri
-9 -110 at sportsbook
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Missouri has not beaten South Carolina since the 2016 season, but Im betting that comes to end here this week at home vs a side that was battered and beaten physically last week by Alabama . it must be noted that Carolina maybe getting too much respect out of the gate this season, as they have been outgunned and out-gained by their 2 FBS opponents this season. Last season the Tigers  lost 37-35 to the Gamecocks but  were the superior side in the stats battle outgaining the Birds by a  490-377 count . Im expecting those numbers to be replicated and or bettered this week, and for Missouri to get the cover in convincing fashion. 

Missouri have dominated their last two opponents outscoring them by a 88-7 count.MISSOURI is 16-5 ATS  in home games after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4 ppg.

CFB home team  (MISSOURI) - after allowing 9 points or less in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 37 points or more last game are 24-2 SU with the average point per game diff registering at +20.2 ppg. 

Play on Missouri to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 21, 2019
Western Michigan vs Syracuse
Western Michigan
+6 -105 at sportsbook
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

Syracuse after getting run over by Clemson last week in a much anticipated game will be ina letdown situation vs a under rated Western Michigan side  with 14 starters returning and that  put 352 yards against a stingy  Michigan State defense in their opener  and 7 TDs vs Georgia State last week .Considering  Dino Barbers team have been run over to the tune 675 yards in the last two tilts  things may not get much better today.

CFB road team (W MICHIGAN) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against a poor offensive team (280 to 330 YPG), after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 26-1 SU L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18 . 

Play on Western Michigan to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 21, 2019
Troy vs Akron
Troy
-17 -110 at sportsbook
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Akron s offence is practically non existent and has scored only 15.7 PPG, which is 124th in the country, and they won't be able to keep up with a team that just put up 42 points vs Mississippi State last week. This game has total annihilation written all over it. Note: CFB road team vs. the money line (TROY) - excellent offensive team (440  or moreYPG) against a poor offensive team (280 to 330 YPG), after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 26-1 SU L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18 ppg. 

Play on Troy to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 21, 2019
Notre Dame vs Georgia
Notre Dame
+14½ -110 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Georgia won 20-19 in 2017 at South Bend the last time these two football programs met. Now the rematch switches to Athens. The Dawgs are just 4-10 ATS L/14 at home with non conference revenge. 

This game is of ultra importance to the Fighting Irish as they have no conference championship game to play in, thus this becomes a must-win for Notre Dame and Im betting they come out here like a rabid dogs and metaphorically ready to fight to the death. Meanwhile  Georgia can afford to suffer a loss and still be a front runner come selection Sundayand may not play with the same tenacity they would in a SEC tilt. Note: Underdogs of more than 12 points who won 12 or more games the previous season are 11-0 ATS over the L/4 seasons ( Notre Dame fits the bill and gets my support)

Kelly is 7-0 ATS  after 2 consecutive games where they forced 3 or more turnovers in all games he has coached

CFB road team (NOTRE DAME) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more  YPP) against a team with an excellent defense (4.2 or less YPP), after gaining 575 or more total yards in their previous game are 26-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a81% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Road underdogs (NOTRE DAME) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgaining opponents by 100 or more YPG), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 46-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Notre Dame to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 21, 2019
Utah State vs San Diego State
San Diego State
+4½ -115 at BMaker
Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium

Rocky Longs San Diego State Aztecs have won two straight to begin their season, and look very much to be under rated here at home today vs a good but also over rated Utah State football program. This is a classic setup of offence vs defence. The Aggies are explosive, but the Aztecs D, is of the top tier variety as is evident by allowing just 248 yards and 8 points per game so far. 

SD St is a perfect 4-0 ATS L/4 as a home underdog.

Aztecs coach Rocky Long is 12-1 ATS in his career as a conference dog when coming off back to back  SU/ATS wins.

UTAH ST is 10-22 ATS in road games after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. Long is 11-2 ATS  after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games as the coach of SAN DIEGO ST.

CFB Road favorites (UTAH ST) - excellent rushing team (230 or more RY/G) against a team with an excellent rushing defense (100 or less RY/game), after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game are 10-33 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SAN DIEGO ST) - with an excellent rushing D - allowing 100 or less rushing yards/game, after allowing 1.5 or less rushing yards/attempt last game are 52-21 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Diego State Aztecs to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 21, 2019
Central Florida vs Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
+12½ -110 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

UCF is off a convincing full throttle beat down of Stanford last week, and could easily find themselves in a natural letdown spot here vs Pittsburgh this week. Meanwhile, the Panthers thanks to a hard nosed D, and athletic top tier secondary gave Penn State all they could handle last week in a 17-10 loss and Im betting will be  a handful for the Knights here in this spot.  

UCF is 0-13 SU in its school history in games against current FBS teams when the Knights are coming off a current FBS affiliated foe.

PITTSBURGH is 10-0 ATS L/10 after 2 consecutive games where they forced no turnovers since 1992. 

CFB Road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (UCF) - dominant team - outgaining their opponents by 125 or more yards/game, after gaining 475 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games are 33-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77%conversion rate.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 21, 2019
Coastal Carolina vs UMass
UMass
+17½ -105 at betonline
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

UMass is looking like a dismal football program right now but Coastal Carolina in only their 3rd season of FBS football should not be this big fav on the road , not even against this horrid group. It must be noted that Coastal has only one road win by 11 points or more, since joining  the FBS and with their Sunbelt opener coming next week vs App State they may not be fully focused here , making the ugly home dog a value selection on this line. 

UMass to cover 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Sep 22, 2019
Rockies vs Dodgers
OVER 9 +101
Play Type: Premium

Dodgers manager Roberts will pair rookie catcher Will Smith with their starter today. Ryu the Dodgers starter has a 5.81 ERA in 26 1/3 innings with Smith behind the plate, which projects well for us hitting the over here, especially with the Rockies  countering with right-hander Antonio Senzatela (10-10, 6.83), who has struggled  mightily of late   registering a  11.85 ERA over his last eight starts going back to July 5.

Over is 3-0-1 in Senzatelas last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 3-1-1 in Senzatelas last 5 road starts.

Over is 3-0-1 in Senzatelas last 4 starts vs. Dodgers.Over is 4-1 in Ryus last 5 starts vs. Rockies.

The Rockies have gone over 11 straight times  as a road dog in the last game of a series after a game in which they hit multiple home runs with the average combined score clicking in at 13.27 rpg. (Ryan McMahon and Josh Fuentes hit solo homers, and the Rockies defeated Los Angeles 4-2 Saturday night to snap a 12-game skid in the Dodgers' home park.)

Play OVER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 22, 2019
Ravens vs Chiefs
Ravens
+6 -110 at Mirage
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Public darlings KC enter this game as favourites vs the upstart Baltimore Ravens who have clobbered opponent after opponent all the way back into the preseason and are Im betting capable of hanging with the explosive KC Chiefs.The Ravens are outgunning their opposition by +267 net YPG while averaging a league-best 41 PPG. Both teams can score , but the difference maker will come on D, where the. Ravens despite of some short comings are still better than the Swiss cheese   D of the Chiefs that plays with very little emotion thanks to QB Patrick Mahomes ability to give them huge leads. 

I do believe the Ravens are putting alot miles on their bodies out of the gate this season with all out performances which could effect them later on in the campaign, but for this week Im expecting a full pedal to the metal performance. 

KANSAS CITY is 2-12 ATS after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games.

Baltimore has won and covered 3 of their L/4 visits to Arrowhead. KC won last year 27-24 here at home, but it must be noted that HC Haraugh is 7-0-1 ATS the last eight when seeking revenge for a loss.


 NFL teams like the KC  in  Week 3 home openers after starting the season with back-to-back road games are jus 11-27-2 ATS L/40 opportunities for go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Also home teams off back to back road games to start their season in their home opener have covered under 50% of their games dating back 16 seasons.

NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS CITY) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off a home win are 10-34 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Baltimore Ravens to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 22, 2019
Bengals vs Bills
Bengals
+6 -108 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Buffalo comes into this game off two straight road wins to start their season, and the city of Buffalo is now sky high. So as in their usual fashion, I won't be surprised of the Bills crap the bed here this week vs the Bengals, a team that has played Dr.Jekyll and Mr.Hyde football to begin their campaign, playing well on the road vs Seattle in week 1 and than falling asleep at the proverbial wheel  in game two and clobbered by DDs by non other than the 49ers. Now in a rebound mode I expect the Bengals to come out here, and really give the Bills a battle. Note: Buffalo is recently just 3-13 SU and 3-12-1 ATS when coming off consecutive SU/ATS victories. 

NFL teams like the Bills in  Week 3 home openers after starting the season with back-to-back road games are just 11-27-2 ATS L/40 opportunities for go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Also home teams off back to back road games to start their season in their home opener have covered under 50% of their games dating back 16 seasons.

NFLUnderdogs or pick (CINCINNATI) - pathetic defense from last season - allowed 385 or more total yards/game are 31-11 ATS L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cincinnati Bengals to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 22, 2019
Steelers vs 49ers
Steelers
+7 -115 at sportsbook
Play Type: Premium

The Steelers begin life without injured future HOF QB Ben Roethisberger, and instead will be forced to  start Mason Rudolph . Don't feel to sorry for the Steelers however, as there some talent still left, as well as a top tier coach in Tomlin who has proven he can guide his team to victory even when Big Ben is on the sidelines as is evident by winning 10 of 17 games su without their star QB. I know the Niners are getting alot of accolades and playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum than the Steelers, but in the past the 49ers are bad bets vs the following perimeters going  just 1-7 ATS when coming off back-to-back ATS wins, and an unperfected 0-7 ATS off non-division tilts when facing opposition coming off consecutive losses like the Steelers. 

NFL teams like the Niners in  Week 3 home openers after starting the season with back-to-back road games are jus 11-27-2 ATS L/40 opportunities for go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Also home teams off back to back road games to start their season in their home opener have covered under 50% of their games dating back 16 seasons.

PITTSBURGH in their L/103 games as a road underdog since 1992 have seen an average ppg diff of -1.8 ppg. 

NFL Home favorites (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 24 or more points/game, after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 5-34 ATS L/36 seasons for go go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pittsburgh Steelers to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 22, 2019
Saints vs Seahawks
Saints
+4½ -104 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium

While confirming that starting quarterback Drew Brees would have surgery  to repair a torn ligament in his right thumb, New Orleans Saints Coach Sean Payton said the offensive plan for Sunday’s game against Seattle will include both  the No.2 and No3  quarterbacks, Teddy Bridgewater and Taysom Hill. Seattle HC Carroll will have his hands full facing and strategizing against a two QB system . Do not count out the talented Saints ability compete here. 

Payton is 21-8 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. Payton is 27-13 ATS off a road loss as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.

NFL Home favorites (SEATTLE) - good offense from last season - averaged 5.4 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game are 11-34 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate.

Play on the Saints to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 22, 2019
Jets vs Patriots
Jets
+24 -115 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

 New England clobbered hapless Miami last week, and now with a 3rd string QB expected to start this week for the Jets another beatdown is expected. However im betting  QB Luke Falk  via star RB Levon Bell and some other trickery will be utilized this Sunday and that the Jets a team that has a history of hanging tough at Gillette Stadium will get us the cover.

Over the last 26 seasons seven NFL games have closed with a point spread of 20 points or higher and those teams are 7-0 straight up, but  are just 1-6 against the spread. Since the 2007 season, favorites of 20 or more points are 0-5 ATS , failing to, cover the spread by 11.4 points per game.

NFL team (NEW ENGLAND) - after 2 straight wins by 21 or more points against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 15-39 ATS L/36 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Jets to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 22, 2019
Dolphins vs Cowboys
Dolphins
+22 -110 at Bovada
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

Wow.Im not going to blame the public here for being brave enough to lay 3+ TDS with Dak Prescott and Co. as last week they watched squares and sharps cash on the New England Pats. in a 43-0 whitewash that saw bettors laying -19 . In two games the Dolphins have shown no pride or fight what so ever  while getting out scored 102-10. Now the pundits and even their dogs are laughing at the Fins, and this week Im expecting this group to come out in a nasty mood after being embarrassed. Remember these are not College kids and they dont like to be made to look like fools.  it must also be noted that Dak Prescott is no Tom Brady modus operandi usually  very precise and conservative  that does not pile up points via a fast all out attack. The Cowboys are more of a grinding side, which gives me credence in my choice to take 22 points here in what Im betting is a mathematical edge according to my projections.

NFL Underdogs or pick (MIAMI) - pathetic defense from last season - allowed 385 or more total yards/game are 33-11 ATS L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Dallas head coach Jason Garrett has covered just 7 of his L/22 against the spread as a favorite of a touchdown or greater.

NFL Home favorites (DALLAS) - good offense from last season - averaged 5.4 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game are 11-34 ATS L/10 seasons for go against 11-34 ATS record L/10 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate fir bettors. 

Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 22, 2019
Raiders vs Vikings
OVER 42 -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

 Both Minnesota and Oakland are off losses last week after notching victories in week 1.

This week I expect the Vikings to come out with all guns blazing after suffering a loss to the Packers last week by a 21-15 count. Cousins the Vikings QB did not have a great performance last week, but here at home vs a Raiders’ defense that has allowed a 120.5 passer rating and that will be without safety Jonathan Abram, Im betting Cousins flourishes and puts a load of points and production on the board via play action based on RB Dalvin Cooks ability to open up the field with the run. He leads the NFL with 265 rushing yards . Im also expecting Raiders QB Derek Carr to do just enough damage to see this combined score eclipse the total. 

Over is 4-0-1 in Raiders last 5 games on fieldturf. Over is 2-0-2 in the last 4 meetings.

NFL team against the total (MINNESOTA) - in non-conference games, off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division rival are 61-24 OVER L/10 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

NFL teams like Oakland are  28-0 OVER L/28 as a 5 or more  point underdog on artificial turf when they are off a home loss and facing a non-divisional opponent that is allowing fewer than 22.8 ppg season-to-date, but had fewer than 26 minutes of possession time in their last contest.

Play OVER

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.