The Leafs are on tired legs after playing  a hard fought game against the Habs last night and now go against a Ottawa team that is playing their first game of the season at home. Im betting on an emotional letdown by the Leafs and for a spirited effort from a Sens team that has played the Buds tough in the recent past. TORONTO is 3-13 ATS  off a close home win by 1 goal over the last 3 seasons with the average gpg diff clicking in at -1. 

Senators are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.Senators are 5-0 in their last 5 home games dating back to last season.

Home team is 5-1 L/6 meetings. 

Play on Ottawa to win 

GM Lou Lamoriello compiled a Long Island  group that is primed to make a run to a Stanley Cup this season, if they can stay healthy.

With the additions of veterans Zdeno Chara and Zach Parise  and a deep under rated group of forwards and highlight reel defenseman  they must be respected as underdogs . 

Play on the NYI 

Philadelphia D has ,held three of its five sides they have faced this season season-low yardage . Thats important against explosive  44 year old future HOF QB  Tom Brady and company. 

In a historical context is must be noted that the Eagles have gone 7-0 SU L/7 in  Thursday nighters while Tampa Bay  is just 1-7 ATS in these prime time affairs. 

Basically at this number we have real value and recommend we take the points here with the home dog. Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.

 Buccaneers are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games in October.

Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.

Play on Philadelphia Eagles to cover 

Starting pitcher WEBB is 10-0  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) WEBB is 13-0  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) WEBB is 16-2 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) WEBB is 13-0 against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record) Dodgers pitcher Urias is a strong hurler but my pitcher vs batting order rankings suggest Webb and his bullpen when needed have the edge. 

 Giants are 22-5 in their last 27 games following an off day.  Giants are 13-4 in their last 17 playoff home games.

LA DODGERS are 19-33  L/52 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better) in the second half of the season.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with a good SLG (.430 or more ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 43-16 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Dodgers are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings.

Play on the SF Giants to win 

 Georgia Southern under interim head coach Kevin Whitley have looked viable.  The Eagles have won all 7 previous meetings in this series  by an average score of 35.9-11.3  (24.6 ppg diff  average) and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this Thursday night and a definite cover according to my projections. 

S ALABAMA is 15-32 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games 

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S ALABAMA) - after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more, in October games are 11-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Georgia Southern to cover 

Marshall at .500 on the season  has not been able to get any kind of momentum this season and have continually been in close games as is evident by   four straight decisions  decided by 7 points or less.  Meanwhile, North Texas after giving Missouri all it could handle  in a 48-35 loss as a 20-point dog, and subsequent cover. In their previous tilt they also showed their ability compete in a 7 point loss to  Louisiana Tech as an 11.5-point underdog which resulted in a cover.  Im betting the Mean Green continue to conjure up the  spirits , and the gambling gods shine on their backers again here vs the Thundering Herd .MARSHALL is 0-9 ATS  L/9 after allowing 125 or less passing yards in 2 straight games.

Play on the N.Texas Mean Green 

 Clemson to me has been less than impressive this season with a 0-5 ATS mark, with their average margin ppg diff clicking in at just +6.4 ppg a far cry from recent seasons. Meanwhile, Coach Babers has the Orange playing some very disciplined defensive football, and they must respected on this Two TD line here at home. 

Orange are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.Orange are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.

SYRACUSE is 7-0 ATS L/7 in home games after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games .SYRACUSE is 18-3 ATS L/21 in home games after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game and  11-1 ATS in home games after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game. 

Babers is 7-0 ATS  vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game as the coach of SYRACUSE. Babers is 12-3 ATS ( versus good rushing defenses - allowing  3.25 or less rushing yards/carry in all games he has coached in his career. 

CFB home team vs. the money line (SYRACUSE) - with a good rushing D - allowing 125 or less rushing yards/game, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games is 46-7 L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. 

Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Play on Syracuse to cover