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Alex Smart |
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Alex Smart Sports- NFL/CFB/CBB/NBA action now on board. Get the info the books do not want you to have. |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Jan 22, 2021 Nuggets vs Suns |
Suns -2 -104 at pinnacle |
Lost $104.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Nuggets Malone said he would like to give Murray and Jokic some time off, but with the upcoming schedule and the importance of the games it is difficult to find time. QUOTE: "Five games in (eight) days, it's really hard to do that," Malone said. END QUOTE: The key duo are tired. Advantage Phoenix . DENVER is 7-21 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Malone is 0-8 ATS in road games after a cover as a double digit favorite as the coach of DENVER. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Jan 22, 2021 Rockets vs Pistons |
UNDER 215½ -110 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Free | ||
Houston has taken part in some fairly low scoring affairs of last going under in 9 of their L/10 trips to the hardwood. Meanwhile, Pistons HC Casey has not been happy with his teams defense of late, and is mobilizing for a more conservative effort that pays attention to the opponents transition game. Back to basics for the Pistons has me leaning on this being a grinding affair that stays on the low side of the total. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Jan 22, 2021 Celtics vs 76ers |
OVER 222 +101 |
Won $101 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
HC Nurse said his team's defense was at its worst of the season "times three" in the game and Im betting things dont get better here tonight in a game that is more wide open than the pundits might expect.
Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 overall.
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | Jan 22, 2021 Avalanche vs Ducks |
Ducks +175 at Draft Kings |
Lost $100.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
After arriving in Southern California following an 8-0 victory over the St. Louis Blues on Jan. 15, the Avalanche had two consecutive games at Los Angeles in which they were outplayed late and on closer magnification and looking over espn replay tape they looked gassed and not well conditioned, which makes them vulnerable here again tonight in Anaheim especially after playing last night. Underdog is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings, |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Jan 22, 2021 Celtics vs 76ers |
Celtics +5 -106 at pinnacle |
Lost $106.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Sixers were swept by the Celtics in the first round of last season's playoffs in the Orlando bubble. Embiid hasn't forgotten the feeling or so the media story spin is putting it. Now Embiid thanks to off season conditioning is now a god among men according to the media, and will slice through a group that dominated them last season. Im not buying. it, and now instead will take a contrarian stance, and take the points with Boston. BOSTON is 20-8 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 22, 2021 North Dakota vs South Dakota State |
UNDER 143½ -105 |
Lost $105.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
No comment |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Jan 22, 2021 Mavs vs Spurs |
UNDER 222½ -110 |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Mavs enter this game ranked 6th in ppg allowed defence, and 22nd in offensive output, behind the 22nd ranked pace. Needless to say they are playing a deliberate conservative style of hoops, that has coincidently resulted in unders cashing for bettors in 9 of their L/12 trips to the hardwood, including going Under is 10-4 in Mavericks last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Meanwhile, San Antonio is ranked. middle of the pack, ranking 17th in offensive output and 11th in defensive rating . Note:Defensive Rating (available since the 1973-74 season in the NBA); for players and teams it is points allowed per 100 possessions. The Spurs have also been in a under groove going 5-1 to the low side of the number L/6 trips to the court. Considering both teams current form, Ill bet and recommend we take a lower scoring stance here.Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Jan 22, 2021 Thunder vs Clippers |
Thunder +13 -110 at Draft Kings |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Thunder have been in a funk lately and desperate to get back into a winning groove. I know that wont come easily vs the Clippers, but with this being the home sides 4th game in 4 nights and on tired legs the Thunder have an edge on this line . There are positives with supporting the Thunder as a bettor as they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games, 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on two days rest. OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-11 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-3 ATS in road games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-7 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, with a losing record are 115-67 ATS L/5 years for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 22, 2021 Southern Miss vs Texas-San Antonio |
Texas-San Antonio -5 -109 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
No comment |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 22, 2021 Arkansas State vs UL - Lafayette |
Arkansas State +10½ -105 at all |
Lost $105.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
No comment |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 22, 2021 Denver vs North Dakota State |
Denver +14½ -108 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
No comment |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 22, 2021 #Fresno State vs #Boise State |
#Fresno State +14½ -110 at linepros |
P |
Play Type: Premium | ||
No comment |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 22, 2021 Cal Poly vs Cal-Irvine |
Cal Poly +16½ -109 at pinnacle |
Lost $109.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
No comment |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 22, 2021 Illinois-Chicago vs Youngstown State |
Youngstown State +1½ -115 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
No comment |
PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Jan 23, 2021 76ers vs Pistons |
Pistons +6½ -104 at pinnacle |
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Play Type: Premium | ||
Detroit has for the most part been competitive this season despite of their ugly record. QUOTE: "We're finding ways to get back into it, to get ourselves in a position to win," Casey said. "We're due. We're due to have some good luck." END QUOTE Im betting Philadelphia may overlook this opponent giving us value on the line. PHILADELPHIA is 2-12 ATS in road games after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.NBA Road favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 82-57 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home underdogs (DETROIT) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, playing on back-to-back days are 65-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate.Play on Detroit to cover |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Jan 23, 2021 Heat vs Nets |
UNDER 232 -110 | |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Nets are having some defensive issues and I expect them to ficus on correcting some of their issues Saturday night when they host the shorthanded Miami Heat. The Heat will be effected by a lack of cohesiveness because of their lack of a full compliment of players, This Im betting effect the score of this tilt to the low side of the number. Spoelstra is 135-103 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of MIAMI with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 201.1 ppg . |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Jan 23, 2021 Pelicans vs Wolves |
Pelicans -8 -105 at pinnacle |
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Play Type: Premium | ||
With Karl-Anthony Towns out of the Minnesota lineup they just dont have much flow, and the chemistry looks bad as well , as is evident by 11 losses in 12 games including 4 straight defeats with 3 coming by DDs. I know New Orleans is not playing alot better, but they are a viable option vs this type of lower tier competition. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 23, 2021 Southern Miss vs Texas-San Antonio |
Texas-San Antonio -5½ -110 at SC Consensus |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 23, 2021 Dayton vs VCU |
VCU -5 -110 at Mirage |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 23, 2021 Cal Poly vs Cal-Irvine |
Cal Poly +16½ -110 at linepros |
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Play Type: Premium | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 23, 2021 Illinois-Chicago vs Youngstown State |
Youngstown State +1 -110 at linepros |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 23, 2021 Akron vs Western Michigan |
Western Michigan +8½ -114 at pinnacle |
Lost $114.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 23, 2021 St Bonaventure vs Duquesne |
Duquesne +5½ -115 at linepros |
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Play Type: Premium | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 23, 2021 Arkansas State vs UL - Lafayette |
Arkansas State +10 -110 at linepros |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 23, 2021 Miami-OH vs Eastern Michigan |
Eastern Michigan +1½ -110 at all |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 23, 2021 Colorado vs Washington State |
Washington State +10 -110 at SC Consensus |
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Play Type: Premium | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 23, 2021 Western Carolina vs Wofford |
Western Carolina +8½ -110 at Mirage |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 23, 2021 Tenn-Martin vs Morehead State |
Tenn-Martin +12½ -110 at Draft Kings |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 23, 2021 Baylor vs Oklahoma State |
Baylor -8½ -110 at Mirage |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 23, 2021 Delaware vs NC-Wilmington |
NC-Wilmington -4½ -105 at all |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 23, 2021 Montana vs CS Sacramento |
Montana -2½ -100 at pinnacle |
Lost $100.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
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SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 20 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes. My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%! I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections. |