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Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything!
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FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 01, 2025
Astros vs. Rockies
Total
11½ -108
  at  HERITAGE
started

Colton Gordon (3-1, 3.98 ERA) will go to the hill for Houston while the Rockies will fire back  with Chase Dollander (2-8, 6.06) in a matchup of rookies on Tuesday night in the Mile High City. Both hurlers according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest this could be a negative outcome game for both pitchers.

Colorado home games vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better are 8-0 OVER with a combined average of 15.1 rpg scored. Colorado home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse are 5-0 OVER L/5 with a combined average of 12.5 rpg scored.

warm temps tonight in Denver with game time temp hovering around 81°F at Coors Field, which will benefit hitters greatly! Winds will be blowing out to center at 9.4 mph, which will bol ball flight performance. Humidity at 30.5% makes sure hits are crips and dangerous.

Play over

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 30, 2025
Cardinals vs Pirates
Pirates
-107 at Heritage
Won
$100
Play Type: Free

The Pirates enter this tilt against the Cardinals  with hot bats, hitting .303 over their last ten games and deserve respect here in the underdog role. The Mets just cashed as dogs yesterday winning 12-1 vs the Mets and with momentum on their sides get the nod. 

Play on the Pirates to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 30, 2025
Yankees vs Blue Jays
Yankees
-134 at Heritage
Lost
$134.0
Play Type: Premium

Scherzer (0-0, 5.63 ERA) is scheduled to start the opener of a four-game series vs the Yankees. The 40-year-old right-hander no longer looks like the all star pitcher he was during most of his career and is fade material here in this spot play. Scherzer is 4-5 with a 4.25 ERA in 12 career starts against the Yankees. Meanwhile, his is opposed by Carlos Rodon (9-5, 2.92) who is off 6 scoreless inning outing last time out against the Reds and has momentum entering this tilt.

Im betting the Yanks bats, take advantage of Jays  bullpen  that is overworked . In the past two games starter Chris Bassitt went two-plus innings in his start on Saturday and Eric Lauer went 4 1/3 innings in his Sunday start.

NY Yankees in road games on the money line after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs are. perfect 6-0 L/6 overall.

Play on the Yankees to win

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 01, 2025
Royals vs Mariners
Mariners
-134 at Heritage
Play Type: Premium

KCs starter Lorenzen recorded a 6.31 ERA in five June starts and is  2-5 with a 5.68 ERA on the road this season. He is fade material here vs a Seattle side, that sits as  -130 plus favs. Note: Home chalk -130 to -150 playing an opponent who made thepost season in  the previous campaign are 50-27  with a 12% ROI this season. 

Play on the KC Royals to win

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 01, 2025
Giants vs Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks
-129 at Heritage
Play Type: Premium

Dbacks righty starter Gallen goes against another righty, Hayden Birdsong (3-2, 4.13), who is winless in his past four starts. . He has struggled  in his past three trips to the hill , where he has allowed 14 earned runs in 14 1/3 innings of sub par work. I know Gallen has not looked like a top tier hurler this season, but he is still a strong pitcher who can easily take on a up and down SF batting order. 

San Francisco in road games on the money line after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 2-10 this season.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or more ) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 3 starts are 33-9 since 1997 with a 79% conversion rate.

Play on Arizona to win

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 22 years.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigious event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.    

I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit).  

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