10* Leafs (ASSASSIN)

"Revenge" is a powerful motivating factor for teams. Sometimes it can be overrated, other times though it plays a crucial role in the outcome. It can also be an important tool for handicappers to utilize when it comes to assessing the motivation levels of a team. This particular play is based primarily on the "revenge" factor, with Toronto falling 3-2 in a shootout in Boston back in early November. Off b2b wins, we're looking for the Leafs to exact some revenge here at home; great line value here on Toronto!

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10* OVER Blazers/Jazz (NORTHWEST DIV. TOY)

Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but the situation and the numbers/trends now all point finally to a higher-scoring affair in our opinion. Portland is 6-12 after back-to-back wins. It's seen the total go "under" in four straight. They beat the Jazz 121-105 as 3.5-point dogs back in November. Note that Utah has seen the total go "over" in five of its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. The Jazz are off back-to-back losses so will be pushing the pace, as they've now seen the total go "under" the number in six straight. Regardless, tonight's O/U line is now a few points TOO low, as we're anticipating this contest to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is indeed on the "over!"

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10* Milwaukee (HORIZON LEAGUE GOY)

The Panthers are 3-4 after a 90-84 setback to Southern Miss last time out. Note that Milwaukee though is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. They sit in sixth in the Horizon League, while the 3-4 Phoenix are in eighth. They're coming off a listless 75-71 loss to Purdue Fort Wayne. After four straight covers though, we feel the oddsmakers are giving the home side too much respect in this one. These teams played last February, and it was a nail-biter until the end, with Green Bay coming out on top 80-79. Now favored here because of their superior offense, look for the Panthers to exact a little revenge and lay the points with confidence!

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8* Furman (BLOOD-BATH)

The 4-3 Paladins come in under the radar here in our estimation. Furman is off the 86-78 win over South Carolina State. Overall the Paladins average 84.1 PPG so far, while allowing 80.1. Princeton is off an 85-71 win at Bucknell, the first time this year the that Tigers haven't covered the spread. And now here as well I believe they're overvalued, as the Paladins matchup well with this team and they're high-scoring and efficent offense will prove to be the difference-maker. We're not calling for the outright upset or anything, but all signs point to a comfortable cover; grab the points, the play is Furman!

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10* Burnley (EPL GOM)

Both teams are coming off home losses in their most recent EPL action. Sheffield United though has struggled with consistency away from from friendly confines this year and we can't understate how important we feel that the home field advantage will prove in this one. Burnely is just 1-11 and has yet to win at home. That's going to change here though against 1-2-10 Sheffield. The Blades are terrible and Burnely will be risking life and limb to snap this brutal slide; lay the price, the play is indeed on Burnley!

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10* Tulane (AAC GOM)

Tulane is 11-1 and SMU is 10-2. Tulane is looking to beceome the third program to repeat as AAC Champions. SMU stands in the way. When these teams played last year though, the Green Wave rolled to an immense 59-24 victory and we're expecting a similar blowout here. SMU has been playing some great football, winning eight in a row. But in the only two AAC teams they faced during that stretch, the Mustangs went 0-2 ATS. The fact that Tulane has been here and done this already really does matter; lay the points, the play is the Green Wave!

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10* OVER Toledo/Miami Ohio (MAC TOM)

Pretty low total here, and we think it is in fact MUCH too low. Miami Ohio is 10-2 and Toledo is 11-1. These teams played in Week 8 and Toledo won 21-17 as a 2.5-point favorite. Note though that the RedHawks have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. a conference opponent. Miami Ohio saw the total go "under" in three straight to end the regular season, which is also significant to note here, as the RedHawks have seen the total go "over" in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Toledo has scored a combined 144 points over its last four games and we're expecting that offensive momentum to get carried over here as well; this number is low, the play is the "over!"

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10* Saints (ASSASSIN)

New Orleans isn't out of the fight yet. The Saints though have lost two straight SU and three straight ATS after last week's 24-15 divisional loss to the Falcons. Detroit was last seen losing 29-22 to Green Bay on Thanksgiving. We'll point out though that the Saints have responded well in this spot for bettors, going a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more ATS losses in a row. In the loss to the Falcons, the Saints actually outgained Atlanta. Derek Carr was 24 for 38 for 304 passing yards. Despite some injuries, we're looking for the hungry home side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover; so grab the points, the play is New Orleans!

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