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Will Rogers Will Rogers
My NBA season continues to produce EYE-POPPING results. I'm up $27,762 YTD, including 86-61 L147 overall and 7-1 L8 playoff totals! Also heating up in the NHL Playoffs with a 12-4-1 run on the ice!
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  May 20, 2022
Oilers vs Flames
OVER 6½ -111 Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

Game one was quite a ride, with a total of 15 goals scored.  I expected the Flames to step out on offense, but 9 goals was a surprise.  Markstrom allowing 6 was a second shock.  Cooler heads will prevail today but considering the firepower here, a high total is still likely.  The Oilers goal-tending had some very large question marks throughout the season, and those issues appear to be unresolved.  I expect a much better performance from Markstrom and the Flames' defense today, but McDavid will likely still do some damage.  The Flames have a balanced and potent offense, and likely will prevail, but the total is the better bet today.  Take this game to go over.

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  May 20, 2022
Rangers vs Hurricanes
UNDER 5½ -111 Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

Shesterkin re-found his form and Raanta was excellent in game one, as he has often been in the playoffs.  While the Rangers dominated play for much of the game, the Hurricanes, 1st in defense in the regular season, do not give up many goals.  They are also unbeaten at home in the play offs.  The Rangers were gifted the first series, scoring well against a third string goalie.  Goals may be scarce today.  Carolina has played a very disciplined style in their last two outings, staying out of the penalty box, but will struggle to put the puck in the net against Shesterkin.  I like the Canes' chances, but prefer the total today.  Take the New York and Carolina to go under the total.

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 20, 2022
Mariners vs Red Sox
Red Sox
-110 at SC Consensus
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

The Mariners have cooled off, winning just 1 of their last 4 games, and were roughed up by the Red Sox last night. Their big acquisition, Robbie Ray (4.62 ERA) has been a disappointment this year. He still gets a ton of strikeouts but is giving up too many walks and home runs to be really effective.

His mound opponent is Michael Wacha, who has missed a couple of starts due to injury, but has been unexpectedly sensational, giving up just 2 runs in 5 starts. The big question will be today if he can return to to same early season form. The Red Sox have the edge on relief pitching lately; the Mariners’ bullpen has an inflated 5.62 ERA over their last 10 games.

The Red Sox have been the hottest team in the league in hitting over the last week. Now 3-1 in their last 4 games, they appear to be recovering from their abysmal start. It is hard to say how Ray will pitch, but Wacha has been dominant, and the Sox have an edge in hitting and bullpen. I am on the Red Sox to continue their winning way.  Take the Red Sox to win.

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 20, 2022
Tigers vs Guardians
Tigers
-112 at BetVegas
Lost
$112.0
Play Type: Top Premium

Here is a turn around. The offense-starved Tigers are out-hitting the Guardians in their last 7games. Not that the Tigers have been great, but the Guardians are hitting just 180, with an OPS of .574.

Civale starts for the Guardians, and unlike last year when he was unbeatable early, the season could hardly have gone worse for him. He has a 9.85 ERA, very short starts, with opposing batters hitting well over .300 against him.

His mound opponent, lefty Tariq Skubal has been very good, with a couple of sub-par starts compared to 5 quality appearances including 3 shut outs. He has pitched into the 6th and 7th, and is also getting some run support.

Detroit is not gifted on offense. They have produced 4 or more runs in just 3 of 10 games, but they will get an opportunity against Civale. They also have a very good bullpen this year. The Guardians have not excelled vs left-handed pitching, and their relievers have been unimpressive lately. Civale’s lengthy struggles do not suggest an immediate turn-around. Mark my words,I am wagering on the Tigers to win on Friday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  May 20, 2022
Mavs vs Warriors
Mavs
+6½ -110 at Mirage
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

I like Dallas to rebound here from its embarrassing Game 1 defeat. The Mavericks scored only 18 points in the first quarter and when you do that against a team like the Warriors, it’s pretty much “all over but the shouting.” The Mavs ended up shooting just 36% for the game, including 23% from three. 

You’ve got to expect better shooting here tonight from the road underdog. Over the previous three seasons, Dallas is 29-9 ATS after a game in which it was held under 100 points. They are 19-4 ATS in that situation this season. Also, the team is 12-4 ATS in 2021-22 when coming off a double digit defeat.

I can’t fathom Golden State shooting 56.1 percent again like they did in Game 1. Dallas has been an excellent defensive team all season long and held Phoenix under 100 points three times in that series. 

Dallas should shoot much better from long-range in Game 2 than they did in Game 1. Doncic, Brunson, Bertans and Bullock went a combined 6 of 29 from behind the arc. 

Even with Games 3 and 4 taking place at home, the Mavericks obviously want to avoid falling into the dreaded 0-2 hole. They fought their way out of it against Phoenix, but it would be much tougher to do that against Golden State. Take the points in Game 2. 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  May 21, 2022
Avalanche vs Blues
UNDER 6½ +104
Play Type: Top Premium

The Blues and Avalanche move to St Louis, with the series split. Binnington was solid again in game 2 as the Blues rebounded with a solid and deserving win. They shut down the Av’s dynamic offense, limiting them to just 31 shots-for after the 54 shots allowed in game one. The Blues are a good home team and the Av’s are much less dominating on the road. The Avs are still favored, and with that round two monkey on their back are expected to respond in a big way. Binnington seems to have found that “lights out” form, and the Blues’ size and structure make them a tough play-off match up. The Blues limited a very good Wild offense to just 5 goals in the last three games of the first round. Now with that critical Blues road win, this is a very different series.

Tonight’s game could be tighter than expected. I think St Louis can keep this game close but the odds on the puck line are very high.  Today's best bet is on the total.  Take the Blues and Avs to go under today.

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 21, 2022
Twins vs Royals
Twins
-139 at BetVegas
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

Off a win last night, he Twins meet the Royals for the second game of the KC series. The Twins are just over .500 on the road, but the Royals have struggled at home this season. Joe Ryan (4-2, 2.39 ERA), the Twins starter today, has been a bright light this season, and shutout the Royals in April. With just one sub-par start in 7 appearances, he has also been good on the road.

Royals’ starter Brad Keller was terrific in April, but things have gone somewhat south in his two recent starts. The Twins have had previous success vs. Keller.  Keller has seen opposing batters' average rise by 100 points in May, and given up 3 home runs in his last two starts.

The Twins have the edge in relief pitching for the season and in recent games. The Royals have shown a bit more offense recently, but the Twins are a better offensive team as well.

I am on Ryan and the Twins today. Watch the Royals continue to struggle at home and take the Twins to win again.

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 21, 2022
Reds vs Blue Jays
UNDER 8 +100 Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

The Jays bats have been a big disappointment lately. Thought to possess a formidable offense this year, they are hitting just .215 vs right-handers, and have sunk to 27th in the league in OPS. To put this in perspective, the lowly Reds have climbed from near worst to 7th, with a .755 OPS in their last two weeks. The Jays are getting good results from starting pitching but have squandered some very fine outings. Manoah (1.71 ERA), who has arguably been their best starter was the victim of a poor effort from the offense plus questionable play in the field last time out. He has not given up more than 2 runs in 7 starts to date.

The Reds have also getting good starting pitching, including rookie Hunter Greene’s first quality start of his career. Greene has monster stuff but has not been able to harness it until his last start. The result was a 7+inning no hit shutout. Just about anything is possible from Greene on Saturday, but the way the Jays have been hitting, another fine outing is a possibility.

The Jays are a huge favorite against the Reds, an unwarranted favorite considering the two teams’ recent action. Friday’s game ended in a 2-1 final score. Greene is just the kind of pitcher the Jays have struggled with in the past.  Take Saturday's total to go under.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  May 21, 2022
Heat vs Celtics
UNDER 207½ -110
Play Type: Top Premium

It’s been a surprisingly high-scoring first two games in the Eastern Conference Finals with 225 and 229 total points scored. Each team won once in Miami and neither game was all that close. With each game going Over by more than 20 points, I’ve got a feeling the public will look at this number being too low. I think it’s too high.

I had the Under in Game 1, which was a mistake. But banking on a Boston shooting resurgence for Game 2, I took the Over. That resurgence is exactly what took place Thursday night. The Celtics not only made 51.2 percent of all shots, they were also 20 of 40 from three. 

Even at home, they won’t match that kind of three-point output. The Celtics are only averaging 13 made threes per game for the year, same as Miami, who led the league in 3ptFG%. 

Boston started fast in the two games at Miami. They averaged 66 points in the first half. Look for Miami, who is allowing only 100.5 points per game in the playoffs, to slow them down. The Under is 5-1 the last six times the Heat have been coming off a game where they gave up 125 or more points.

The Celtics are of course also an elite defensive team. They led the league in scoring defense in the regular season. The Under was 3-1 in their home games in Round 2 vs. Milwaukee. All three Unders saw less than 200 total points scored. Take the Under here.

SERVICE BIO

Age: 59 

Will Rogers believes that there is always value somewhere, and he wants to help you find it. Rogers is here to serve as your personal guide through the world of sports investing. He will help you navigate through both opportunities and pitfalls with the one goal to help you make money. 

These are some of the many attributes Rogers brings to the table.

Success: A proven winner in every walk of life.

Vision: A laser-like ability to focus on relevant data.     

Resources: A team of proven handicappers.  A vast network of contacts. 

Background

Rogers has worked hard his entire life and he's achieved success at every level. Five years in university. Five years in research. quantitative analysis. Twenty five years in his second passion of running high-end kitchens. He's rubbed shoulders with the rich and big players. Royalty, sometimes. He's built and motivated kitchen brigades. He's taken the heat and he's delivered the product. 

Before committing to sports investing full-time Rogers was working as a trouble shooter.  He was analyzing and resolving issues in failing workplaces. Rogers' career was intense and pressure-filled but he never stopped loving or following sports. With the advent of the Internet, participating in fantasy pools and investing in sports was a natural progression. Success followed. 

Achievements In Handicapping

Rogers officially turned "pro" in 2013. Since then, he's found success in EVERY sport. Right off the bat, his 2013 NHL season was nothing short of phenomenal. He won 67% of ALL plays (for the season!), going 97-48-4 and finishing +$24,786 in net profit! But many consider his most impressive achievement to date to be his incredible performance in the 2014 NFL playoffs. He was 18-3 overall, showing profits of more than +$13,000, and of course he had the Seahawks in the Super Bowl. Not to be outdone, in 2015, Rogers put together an outstanding College Football regular season (+$13,944).Most recently, NBA was Rogers' biggest MONEY-MAKER! He just finished the (2016-17) season by going 116-67-6 with sides and on an overall 17-7 playoff run (4-1 Finals).For whatever reason, May has ALWAYS been Rogers "time of year." 2016 saw him turn a $25,358 profit for the month. Incredibly, May of '17 was EVEN MORE PROFITABLE at $27,960.But even though NBA is now over, don't expect the profits to stop ROLLING in. Rogers has been *ON FIRE* throughout the first half of the MLB season!

Money Management/Rating Of Games

Rogers takes a conservative long-term approach to investing on sports.  He has seen too many sharp handicappers done in by mismanaging their money. 

He's not interested in unnecessary risk and/or high volatility. He's confident in his abilities.  But, he keeps his wager sizes to a small percentage of his bankroll and consistent.  He's content in the knowledge that his long-term strategy will produce profits. 

A 10* rated play represents 0.5 percent of his bankroll. 

Systems Used For Handicapping Games

Rogers and his team take pride in their day-to-day knowledge about every team on the board. They have a wide variety of proven handicapping techniques in their arsenal. Knowing when to utilize and employ is key. Quite frankly, methods will vary from day-to-day, sport-to-sport and week-to-week. Nothing works forever. An ability to shift on the fly and to adjust to changing market conditions keeps the Rogers' group ahead of the curve. 

Quote: "Even if you are on the right track, you'll get run over if you just sit there."