ASA free play on OVER 227.5 Houston Rockets @ Cleveland Cavaliers, 6 PM ET - This number has been bet up from the opener of 222.5, but there is still value on an Over wager. The Rockets are one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA allowing 1.111-points per possession which is 29th in the NBA. On average they give up more than 118PPG (29th), allowing opponents to make 37.6% of their 3-point attempts and 48% of their overall FG attempts. Houston is coming off a pair of games in which they gave up 151 and 130 in consecutive games versus Memphis. Cleveland has the 9th most efficient offense in the NBA at 1.162PPP. They shoot 36.5% from beyond the arc which is 13th best and 48.8% overall which is 6th best. The Cavaliers are getting to the mid-to-high 120’s in this game meaning we just need the Rockets to score 100. Houston allows 122.7PPG on the road this season and averages 111PPG. Cleveland is a great defensive team but how motivated will they be to defend against this struggling Rockets team? The Rockets are on a 5-0 Over run on the road, the Cavs have played Over in 6 of their last seven. Bet OVER!

ASA top play on 10* Orlando Magic -2 vs Brooklyn Nets, 6:10 PM ET - The Orlando Magic catch the Nets in a favorable scheduling situation as Brooklyn is playing the 2nd night of a back to back and 3rd game in 4 days. Meanwhile the Magic have been off since the 23rd. Orlando likes to play fast and will dictate tempo here as the rested home team. The Magic are averaging 100.1 possessions per game over their last five games which is 6th fastest in the NBA. Brooklyn has faced a gauntlet of playoff caliber teams in Miami, the Cavaliers twice, Denver and Sacramento so the mental and physical fatigue will catch up to them here. Orlando clearly hasn’t quit on the season as they’ve won 3 of their last four games and also played the Suns and Lakers well in 6-point and 3-point road losses. Orlando has covered 5 straight games overall.

#657/658 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 134.5 Points – San Diego State vs Creighton, Sunday at 2:20 PM ET - Creighton’s offense has been rolling in the NCAA tourney scoring 72, 85, and 86 points. Their last 2 games they averaged 1.21 PPP and 1.24 PPP vs Baylor and Princeton reaching 161 total points in each of those wins. Since March 1st the Blue Jays have averaged 82 PPG on 1.20 PPP which ranks them 16th nationally during that time period. The Aztecs averaged 73 PPG on the season and they just put up 71 points on Alabama who has the 3rd most efficient defense in the nation. Bama only had 64 points but had a brutal night from beyond the arc making just 3 of 27 (11%) and that game and they put up only 0.86 PPP. The 2 teams combined to shoot only 35% in the game and it still reached 135 total points despite that brutal offensive effort. We expect the Aztecs offense to play much better here vs a Creighton defense that allowed 75 points to Princeton on Friday and has given up at least 70 points in 7 of their last 9 games. Creighton games have totaled at least 135 points in 11 straight games. The Jays will want to play fast and while San Diego State is a slower paced team, when they fast an up tempo team on Friday (Bama) the 2 teams combined for 140 shot attempts and 42 FT attempts. This total is set too low in our opinion and we’ll take the Over.