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| ASA through 11/11/25: CFB Totals 16-10 (62%). NFL Sides 15-11. NFL Tops +$20,310. NHL Totals 7-4 (64%). NHL +$30,920. NBA Tops +$39,890. CBB O/U 7-1 (88%). All CBB picks 4-0 (100%) this season. Soccer 14-5 (74%)! |
| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| NCAA-F | Nov 15, 2025 Wisconsin vs. Indiana |
Indiana -28½ -112 at DRAFTKINGS |
in 11h |
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#344 ASA FREE PLAY ON Indiana -28.5 over Wisconsin, Saturday at 12 PM ET - It’s not often we lay a huge number but this one is warranted. Indiana has played only 3 Big 10 home games and they’ve won those by 53 points (vs Illinois), by 50 points (vs UCLA), and by 25 points (vs MSU). IU head coach Cignetti is not afraid to bury teams and he’s done just that at home. The Hoosiers are undefeated at home since Cignetti took over at the beginning of last season and their average margin of victory in those games is +36 points. They are in the top 10 nationally in both total offense and total defense. This offense has put up at least 30 points in 17 of their 23 games under Cignetti. The problem for Wisconsin is they can’t score. They have only 4 total TD’s in their 6 Big 10 games and they haven’t topped 300 total yards in a conference game this season. Last week they beat Washington at home 13-10 with 205 total yards and 48 yards passing, of which 24 came from their punter on a fake punt. It looks like true freshman Carter Smith will get his first ever collegiate start here. That’s a rough spot for an inexperienced QB. If Wisconsin can’t run the ball, they are in huge trouble. The IU defense allows just 83 YPG on the ground so Smith will have to somehow create some plays through the air. The Badger defense has been very solid over the last few games but they are running into a juggernaut here as Indiana averages 548 YPG on 7.7 YPP at home this season. This one looks like another Hoosier home blow out. |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Nov 14, 2025 Nets vs Magic |
OVER 222½ -110 |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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ASAwins NBA play on OVER 222.5 Brooklyn Nets vs Orlando Magic, 7:30pm ET - Brooklyn is the NBA's worst defense (by a wide margin) (126.5 dEFF, 59.6% opp eFG%, 59.1 pts in paint allowed) and faces an Orlando attack that just dropped 124 points with 6 double-digit scorers vs NYK. Even without Banchero, the Magic's balance + average oEFF (115.3) should push 125–130 in this spot. The Magic should get big games from Franz Wagner (22.5ppg) and Desmond Bane (15.5ppg). Nets play slow but only need ~100 to clear — their 111.3 oEFF is enough against Orlando's middling dEFF. This series has seen the OVER cash in 4 of the last five meetings. OVER 222.5 is the call. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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Soccer | Nov 14, 2025 Malta vs Finland |
OVER 2½ -102 |
Lost $102.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
| World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage - #225269/225270 ASA PLAY ON OVER 2.5 goals (-105) Malta at Finland, Friday at Noon ET - Finland is a big favorite here as they are favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line. We look for them to dictate the flow of this match and Malta might make the net ripple too but will not be able to stop a club that outclasses them. Finland has had 4 straight (and 5 of last 6) competitive matches total at least 3 goals. They were hammered by Netherlands in most recent match so now look for Finland to take out their frustration on an outclassed Malta side. We do expect Malta to score however. They have scored 5 goals in last 4 matches - including two in friendly action - but their problem is they can stop no one. They have allowed 18 goals in their last 5 matches. Getting to at least 2-1 or 3-0 at a minimum shows high probability per our computer math modeling simulations. Over gets the call in this one! | ||
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PREMIUM PICK STREAKS |
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SERVICE BIO |
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The owners of American Sports Analysts (ASAwins), Lee Kostroski & Mike Merlet, have a combined 50+ years in the sports betting industry. Both started with Doc’s Enterprises, Lee in the late 80’s and Mike in the early 90’s. After learning the handicapping trade from one of the oldest in the business, they started ASA Inc in 1997 and have been going strong ever since. They have been known throughout the industry for their success on BIG GAMES including their 10* Midwest Game of the Year. ASA is located in Madison, WI and a foundation of their handicapping prowess revolves around the heart of the country – especially the Big Ten. ASAwins has appeared on numerous radio shows throughout the country as special expert football guests including Tampa, New Orleans, Madison, Milwaukee, Memphis, Las Vegas, and Denver just to name a few. They were also featured on the ESPN website with gaming writer Chad Millman during the 2011 season. ASAwins handicapping methods have evolved through years of with hard work and research being the anchor of their success. Rather than implementing one specific strategy as many handicappers do, they intertwine many different philosophies when it comes to making football, basketball, hockey, and baseball selections. They utilize their massive database that goes back over 30 years and can give them in depth information on any situation you can think of when it comes to handicapping. That’s not where they stop, however. They also research stats and film each week to evaluate the upcoming match ups on the field along with speaking with their personal contacts throughout the country (especially in the Midwest). On top of that, they analyze each point spread (and their movements) comparing them with their own power ratings to find where an edge might be found. Lastly, their predictive analytics or math models predict the outcomes of games based solely on numbers and statistics that aren’t swayed by the human element. So, as you can see, just because a game may fall into a successful system or the scheduling looks good to go against or with a certain team, that doesn’t mean that ASA automatically uses it as a selection. It must go through their in-depth process with all things considered before they give it the ASA stamp of approval. Looking at games from all these angles gives ASA the best of all worlds when it comes to handicapping. Their handicapping theories have proven successful over the years which has them as one of the more tenured experts in the industry. Lee & Mike at ASAwins have stood the test of time in an industry that makes it very tough to do so. Their 50+ years of experience will give you the WINNING EDGE you need. Sports wagering is an investment and it’s time you invest in the known commodity of ASAwins! |
