ASA WNBA play on OVER 167 Atlanta Dream at Indiana Fever, 7:30pm ET - We should get plenty of possessions in this game and enough offense to push this game OVER the total of 167. Granted, we have lost some value in this O/U number as it opened much lower, but our model has this particular game resulting in at least 171 total points. Indiana is 4th in the league in Net rating and has an EFG% of 52.5%. Atlanta is better offensively with a Net rating of 106.4. The Dream don’t shoot it as well as the Fever but they do it with volume ranking 1st in field goal attempts. Atlanta is also one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the league. The Dream are putting up 84.4ppg on the season, Indiana is scoring 82.4ppg. Atlanta’s offense has really started to click with three of their last four games topping 90-points. Indiana is coming off a poor shooting game against the Valkyries, but Golden State is a top-tier defense, the Dream are not. There is some bad blood between these two teams and we expect both offenses to shine.

ASA CFL play on Saskatchewan -5 vs Calgary, Friday 9pm ET - The Saskatchewan Roughriders (4-0) face the Calgary Stampeders (3-1) on July 11, 2025, at Mosaic Stadium in a pivotal CFL Week 6 clash. Both teams boast elite rushing attacks, led by Saskatchewan’s AJ Ouellette (CFL’s top rusher) and Calgary’s Dedrick Mills (second in rushing). However, Saskatchewan’s rush defense is a major advantage, allowing a league-best 66.5 yards per game compared to Calgary’s porous 111.3 yards allowed. The Roughriders give up just 4.6 yards per rush while the Stampeders allow a league worst 5.9 yards per carry. Saskatchewan’s offense averages 33.8 points per game (1st in CFL), powered by Trevor Harris’s 72.5% completion rate and 10.1 yards per pass attempt. Calgary’s recent 37-16 win over Winnipeg was a bit deceiving as they benefited from two pick-sixes, an unlikely repeat against Saskatchewan’s disciplined offense. The Roughriders’ undefeated record, home-field advantage, and superior run defense have us making a wager on Saskatchewan minus the points.

#979/980 ASA PLAY ON Over 8.5 Runs (-120) – Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Angels, Saturday at 9:38 PM ET - Each club got to double digits in hits in yesterday's game and we expect more of the same today.  The Angels have now seen 8 straight home games total at least 10 runs and those games averaged 14.4 runs apiece!  Los Angeles starting Yusei Kikuchi here and he has been getting hit harder here in July.  Also, the Angels bullpen has one of the higher ERA numbers this season.  The Diamondbacks start Zac Gallen here and he is off a good road start but this followed him allowing multiple homers in 3 straight road starts!  Gallen allowed 16 earned runs in 17 innings in those 3 starts and he is facing an Angels team that is scoring an average of 6.4 runs in their last 13 home games!  The Diamondbacks. in their last dozen road games were shutout once but scored 6.3 runs per game in the other 11 games!  Like the Angels, the Arizona bullpen also has an ERA that ranks among the worst in the majors. Our computer math model projects a total of 11 to 12 runs here and even if it only gets to 9 or 10 that is still a winning ticket for us. We are going with the Over in this one.

Sweden Allsvenskan - #207465/207466 ASA PLAY ON Over 2.5 Goals (-120) – Elfsborg at Goteborg, Saturday at 9 AM ET - 4 of the last 6 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and 3 of the 4 reached at least 4 goals!  Though Elfsborg has been involved in low-scoring action of late and has been struggling to score goals, Goteborg is at home and should dictate the pace and style of play for this match here.  Goteborg has allowed an average of 2 goals over the last 4 matches (1 was a friendly during an international break) and also has scored 3 goals in 3 of those 4 matches!  That said, they should score well here at home but it is hard to trust their play on the defensive end per the above.  Look for 2-2 or at least 2-1 here as this one should cruise over the total. 

ASA CFL play on Hamilton -5 vs Ottawa – 7pm ET - The Tiger-Cats are coming off a strong 35-17 victory over the Montreal Alouettes, led by quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell and receiver Kenny Lawler. Ottawa, meanwhile, suffered a 39-33 loss to the Edmonton Elks, struggling defensively and missing key players. Hamilton's offense has been clicking, averaging 30.4 points per game in their last three outings. In their Week 5 win over Toronto, Mitchell threw five touchdown passes, three to Lawler, who has 15 receptions for 215 yards and four touchdowns this season. The Tiger-Cats' defense stepped up against Montreal, holding them to 17 points and scoring two touchdowns (one via rookie linebacker Devin Veresuk and another by veteran Julian Howsare). They forced multiple turnovers, which could exploit Ottawa’s struggling offense. The Redblacks’ defense is allowing a league-worst 30.0 points per game and has failed to cover the spread in all four losses this season (1-4 ATS). Their secondary is particularly vulnerable, which plays into Hamilton’s passing attack strengths. In their last meeting (Week 21, 2024), Ottawa edged Hamilton 37-31, but Hamilton’s running back Greg Bell ran for 151 yards in two games against Ottawa last season, indicating they can exploit Ottawa’s run defense. Hamilton benefits from two additional days of rest and preparation, having played on July 4, while Ottawa played on July 6. We like the Tiger-Cats by more than a TD.

ASA WNBA play on Chicago Sky +11.5 vs. Minnesota Lynx, 1pm ET - I’m not a fan of the Sky and it’s not easy to bet on them, but I’ll make an exception here and grab the points with Chicago. Minnesota is in a tough scheduling situation here as they just played two consecutive days on the West Coast Wednesday and Thursday and are now back in Chicago playing in a different time zone. The Lynx have the best overall Net differential in the W at +14.1 on the season but in their last 5 games that number dips to +9.2. Chicago is trending in a positive direction with a 3-3 SU record in their last six games. The three losses in that stretch were very competitive with 5-point losses at Golden State and Minnesota along with a 2-point defeat in Washington. In their last five games the Sky have a Net rating of +1.8 which is significantly better than their season Net differential of -10.9. These same two teams met in Minnesota earlier this week with the Lynx winning by 5-points as a -14.5-point chalk. We expect the Sky to keep this game within single-digits.