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Teddy Davis Teddy Davis
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 21, 2019
SMU vs TCU
SMU
+9½ -106 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

We have no choice but to be impressed with what SMU has done so far.  They beat a very solid Arkansas St program and destroyed a good North Texas team.  This game clearly means more to the Mustangs here than it does to TCU.  SMU has a high powered offense going right now averaging over 40 ppg.  TCU beat a down Purdue team last week, but covered in doing so giving us some value here.  SMU is a better team than Purdue.  I wouldn't be surprised at all if SMU pulled the upset

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 21, 2019
Colorado vs Arizona State
Colorado
+8½ -107 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Maybe this is a big time square play, but I simply can't back a team that just won a huge road over a ranked team but only scored 10 points in doing so.  Mind you, the Sun Devils were a 14 point dog in that game and now favored by over a TD against Colorado.  I also think another over reaction to that is since Colorado lost to Air Force last week.  ASU struggles on offense with the young QB.  I think the Buffs keep it close here

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 21, 2019
Georgia State vs Texas State
Texas State
-3 -110 at pinnacle
Tie
Play Type: Premium

So we are seeing a 2-1 team on the road as a dog to a 0-3 team.  I actually think we will see some sharp money here late on this game.  So, I think we can give a pass to the Texas St in two games losing to Texas AM and last week vs SMU.  Let's look at the one competitive game they lost which they lost Wyoming as a 7 point dog.  They actually out played Wyoming big time in that one and was a misleading final. I think people are still remembering the fact that Georgia St went on the road and won @ Tennessee.  That is creating some value with Texas St here

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 21, 2019
Utah State vs San Diego State
Utah State
-4 -107 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

I think SDSU is being a little over valued here since they beat an awful UCLA team and then followed that up with another road win and cover last week over a bad New Mexico St team.  This Utah St has the best QB in the Mountain West in Love.  Utah St nearly won @ Wake who is clearly a very good team as we saw them beat North Carolina last week.  Utah St will put up points here and I don't think SDSU can keep up.  This is a short number and the Aggies are off a bye as well

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 21, 2019
Notre Dame vs Georgia
Georgia
-14 -114 at pinnacle
Lost
$114.0
Play Type: Premium

Coming Later

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 21, 2019
Washington vs BYU
Washington
-6 -110 at Mirage
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Pretty simple handicap here for me in this game.  BYU is simply getting too much love for beating USC last week and I feel like that game was handed to them as BYU could barely escape in OT despite being +3 in turnovers.  Also looking back last week odds makers are saying that on a neutral field Washington and USC are nearly equal?  I'm not buying it at all.  I know this is the Huskies first game on the road, but last week their offense broke open and I think this is a very good spot for Washington who won't be over looking this game

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 21, 2019
Auburn vs Texas A&M
Texas A&M
-3½ -105 at BMaker
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Top Premium

Really like the Aggies here in this game.  I also think the betting public will be all over Auburn here.  The reason they will be is because they remember the week 1 gross come back win and cover over Oregon in a game they were completely outplayed.  The Aggies have a great home field advantage here in the 12th man and also this is will freshman QB Nix first true road game.  Texas AM for sure has this game circled with two losses to this Auburn team.  Aggies have the defense here and I think they cover this one fairly easily 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 22, 2019
Bengals vs Bills
Bengals
+6 -105 at YouWager
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

I think the Bills are simply getting way too much respect here because they are 2-0 against an 0-2 team.  The Bengals went on the road week 1 and should have Bearns Seattle, I think people are forgetting about that.  Bills beat the Jets and Giants so which is nothing to impressive.  I wouldn’t be surprised here if the Bengals won outright

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 22, 2019
Texans vs Chargers
Chargers
-3 -119 at GTBets
Play Type: Premium

So the betting public will most definitely be off the Chargers here.  The Chargers out played the Lions big time last week, but had some brutal mistakes like missing a couple field goals and a fumble at the 1 yard line that Detroit recovered.  Based on the result though I think we get a really focused SD team that the betting public won't want anything to do with.  The Texans are an overrated team and should have lost last week at home vs the Jags.  The Texans still struggle big time on the OL as they gave up 4 sacks last week and I think the Chargers will get after Watson again here.  

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 22, 2019
Ravens vs Chiefs
Chiefs
-6½ -110 at Mirage
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

I will take the Chiefs here in their home opener for the season.  Mahomes to me is the best QB in the league and just so dangerous with all the weapons around them.  They are able to score points in a hurry and we saw that last week @ Oakland down 10-0 and then rattle off 28 straight.  I'm also not sold on the Ravens at all here as they have played the Dolphins and Cardinals.  They actually looked very sloppy last week and Murray threw for over 300 yards against them.  I think everyone still remember Lamar lighting up the Dolphins in week 1 and see this @ 6.5 and instantly bet it.  I don't think the Ravens are a come from behind team here and I like the Chiefs to really pour it on

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 22, 2019
Steelers vs 49ers
Steelers
+7 -115 at Bovada
Play Type: Premium

We are seeing a big time over reaction here on this game.  last week the look ahead line was Pittsburgh -1.5 and now with Big Ben going out, the line has moved 8 points?  He isn't worth 8 points no way.  People are also forgetting that Mason Rudolph played 70% of the game last week and still almost beat Seattle and would have had a great chance but a bad call at the end cost him the chance.  San Fran goes from small dogs in both first two games to now TD favorites?  Huge over reaction and I think Pitt keeps this very close.

SERVICE BIO

Former collegiate golfer. Have been handicapping NCAAF NFL NCAAB & NBA for five years. Started my own sports blog to help friends and it was extremely successful.  My success from the sports blog has carried over to here.  I will easily end the season as the #1 NCAAB Handicapper and by far the #1 Overall Basketball Handicapper.  My approach is pretty simple when it comes to handicapping.  My ability to find the right spots on a day in and day out basis has proven to be a huge success!