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Larry Ness Larry Ness
Larry's off a four-year, +$24,326 at $100/unit NFL run (preseason through the Super Bowl). He jump starts NFL 2022 on Friday. Stay tuned. Three-game MLB card on Tuesday. See ALL promos.
Larry's Las Vegas Insider (16-9 s/June 21)

Larry's off a 1-2 hard-luck Monday but looks to rebound with Tuesday's three-game card. Most think NFL with Larry's Las Vegas Insiders but his MLB Insiders are 18-9, 67% since June 21 and going back into 2021, are on a 60-31 66% run. "It pays to be on the inside with Larry." You in?

*This package includes 1 MLB Money Line pick

Larry's NL Pitching Mismatch of the Week

Larry continues to remain frustrated on the diamond. He was 1-2 Monday, with a 3-0 win and two late-inning losses (his two losers both allowed four runs in the 8th inning of their respective games). It's "head down and keeping working" on Tuesday with a three-game card including his latest NL Pitching Mismatch of the Week!

*This package includes 1 MLB Money Line pick

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Get all of Larry's plays for today for just $49.95! Ness is a 33-year handicapping veteran and he's ready to get the job done each and every day throughout the Calendar year. *EXTREME VALUE!*

*This subscription includes 2 MLB picks

7 Days All Sports GUARANTEED FROM RED HOT LARRY NESS!

Get 7 days of plays from 32-year handicapping veteran Larry Ness! Ness is expecting a massive profit haul throughout the calendar year, make sure you're on board, get EVERY play, EVERY day for an entire week!

*This subscription includes 2 MLB picks

1 MONTH ALL PICKS FROM RED HOT LARRY NESS!

TAKE FULL ADVANTAGE! Larry is widely regarded as one of the World's leading handicappers. He's been nothing short of electric since coming on this site. Big things are expected in 2018 Wagering Season!

*This subscription includes 2 MLB picks

1 YEAR ALL INCLUSIVE LARRY NESS

You'd be hard pressed to find a more experienced handicapper than 34 year legend Larry Ness! Larry has put up some impressive numbers on this site since coming over almost two years ago and he's ready to offer up all of the next year for one LOW LOW FLASH SALE PRICE!

Larry has set several records in many sports since coming here, but his MLB program is what has set him apart. Make sure you're there for the first pitch of the season, all the way until the final out of the World Series! 

 

*This subscription includes 2 MLB picks

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NFL SUBSCRIPTIONS
Larry's 2022/23 EARLY BIRD NFL Season (ALL THE WAY TO THE SUPER BOWL!)

Get Larry's FULL 2022/23 NFL season in this package and prepare to watch your "ROI" go through the roof!

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 15, 2022
Mets vs Braves
Mets
+141 at Ace
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Free

My free play is on the NY Mets at 7:20 ET.

The Braves were 51-53 in late-July of 2021 but went 37-20 the rest of the way and won the NL East (for the FOURTH straight season) before capturing the franchise's first World Series title since 1995. In stark contrast, the Mets went 22-38 down the stretch to finish in third place at 77-85, 11 1/2 games out of first place. The Mets made the 2015 World Series (lost 4-1 to KC) and made a one-game wild card appearance in 2016, but they've been playoff-less the last five years, The Mets got off to a great start this season and were 34-17 through the end of May. As for the Braves, Atlanta was just 23-27, 10 1/2-games behind New York at that time. However, the Braves opened June by winning their first 14 games and ended the month 21-6. The 'battle' for the NL East was "ON!"

A week ago, the Mets won four-of-five against the Braves to expand their division lead. However, the Braves followed the poor showing against the Mets by winning SIX in a row and as the two rivals open a four-game series in Atlanta, the 75-40 Mets lead the 70-46 Braves by 5 1/2-games (Atlanta is the NL's No. 1 wild card team, 5 1/2-games up on San Diego). The starting pitchers for the series opener will be New York veteran Carlos Carrasco (13-4, 3.76 ERA) against Atlanta rookie Spencer Strider (6-4, 3.11 ERA).

Carrasco went 60-36 for Cleveland from 2015-2018, but the previous three seasons was just 10-16 with a 4.69 ERA. He was hardly a 'shut down' starter to open 2022 with a 4.85 ERA through the end of June, but he was 8-4 (team was 8-7). However, Carrsaco has been terrific in his last seven starts, going 5-0 (Mets are 7-0) with a 1.69 ERA.

Strider has made 24 appearances (13 starts) in 2022, posting a 3.11 ERA and 1.05 WHIP, while holding opponents to a BAA of .185. Overall, he's been impressive, although he was roughed up by the Mets in his last start on August 7, lasting only 2.2 innings, allowing FOUR runs on six hits and two walks. 

With deGrom and Scherzer BOTH back (and pitching great), the Mets are determined to NOT replicate last season's collapse. This is a big series for both teams, with New York having won eight of 12 games against Atlanta this season. The teams won't meet again until the penultimate series of the year. The Mets are 'stealing' the limelight in New York these days with the Yankees going 8-15 since the break, but the real 'enemy' is the Braves. At this price, I won't pass up taking Carrasco over the rookie.

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 15, 2022
Mariners vs Angels
Angels
-104 at circa
Lost
$104.0
Play Type: Top Premium

My 9* West Coast Crusher is on the LA Angels at 9:38 ET.

Seattle finished second in the American League West in 2021 with a 90-72 record, just two games out of a wild-card berth. That extended Seattle's postseason drought to 20 years, as the Mariners last made the playoffs back in 2001. Ironically, that team won 116 games, tying a MLB record for most wins in a single season. The LA Angels were 77-85 in 2021 and the franchise's only World Series title came back in 2002. I'm sure it seems like even more than two decades ago to Angel fans, as the team has missed the postseason 11 times in the last 12 years. The Mariners were headed 'nowhere' with a 29-39 record through June 19 but then went 22-3 to close the first half to reach 51-29. The Mariners' 14-game winning streak was the longest ever winning streak heading into the All-Star break. However, the Mariners have gone only 11-12 in the second half. Los Angeles came out strong to open the current season and through May 24th, was 27-17. That left them just ONE game behind the Astros in the AL West. However, the Angels began a 14-game losing streak on May 25 that lasted through June 8. The Angels have never really recovered and at 51-64, are well on their way to missing the postseason for the 12th time in the last 13 years.

Seattle opens a three-game series tonight in Anaheim. sending Luis Castillo (5-4, 2.71) to face LA's two-way sensation Shohei Ohtani (10-7, 2.68 ERA). Castillo was 15-8 in 2019 but is coming off a 2021 season in which he was 8-16 in 33 starts. The Reds were 11-22 in those starts, giving Castillo the worst moneyline mark of ANY starter (-$1,265). Castillo missed spring training and the first 28 games of the 2022 season with a right shoulder strain and didn't make his 2022 debut until May 9. He was on quite a role with the Reds, going 2-0 with a 1.64 ERA in five starts (Reds were 5-), before being traded to the Mariners just before the deadline. This marks his third start with Seattle (1-0 with a 2.95 ERA in the first two / Mariners are 2-0) and just the second time in his career facing the Angels.

Castillo's "opposite number" is Ohtani. He won 5-1 last Tuesday against Oakland, while also becoming the first player since Babe Ruth (1918) with at least 10 wins and 10 HRs in the same season (not bad company). Getting back to his pitching, the reigning American League MVP is 7-3 with a 1.70 ERA and 92 strikeouts over his last 10 starts, covering 63.2 innings (that includes him allowing six ERs in six innings back on July 22). He is 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in four career starts against Seattle (Angels are 3-1).

As noted, Seattle is just 11-12 since the break and let me note that after winning back-to-back series over Oakland and Minnesota (5-1 in games), the Angels are actually 12-11 since the break. Castillo looks good but I'm taking the 2020s version of Babe Ruth.

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 15, 2022
Padres vs Marlins
Marlins
+124 at SC Consensus
Won
$124
Play Type: Top Premium

My 9* PERFECT STORM is on the Mia Marlins at 6:40 ET.

The San Diego Padres ended a 13-year playoff drought in 2020's 60-game season and were expected to contend for the NL West title in 2021. However, the Padres would finish 79-83, 20 games behind the first-place Giants. The Marlins overcame all sorts of team COVID issues to end a 16-year postseason drought in 2020 but the 2021 team finished 67-95. The Padres initially stayed close to the Dodgers but the Dodgers now own MLB's best record (79-34) and have opened a 16-game lead over the 65-52 Padres. However, Padres do own the NL's No. 2 wild card spot. Miami was actually 43-45 through July 14 (sniffing a wild card spot) but has gone just 7-20 since, to fall to 50-65 (now 13 1/2-games games back of the final wild card spot).

Tonight's pitching matchup features San Diego's (8-5, 2.91 ERA) going up against Miami's Sandy Alcantara (10-5, 2.01 ERA). Musgrove threw the first no-hitter in Padres history a year ago and his 11 wins, 3.18 ERA and 31 starts were San Diego's best marks in what was a disappointing 2021 season for the team. However, let me note that 2021 was the first winning year he's had in his six MLB seasons. Musgrove leads Padres starters in ERA and has 15 quality starts out of his 20 appearances, but we need to look CLOSER. Musgrove was 8-0 and the Padres were 11-1 in his first 12 starts, with his 1.59 ERA and 0.92 WHIP showing marked improvement from his career numbers (3.85 ERA and 1.16 WHIP). However, Musgrove was sidelined because of COVID-19 protocols and when he returned, he was a different pitcher. He's gone 0-5 (SD is 2-7) over his last nine starts with a 5.06 ERA.

Sandy Alcantara is the current favorite to win the National League Cy Young Award. He is having a special season. He allowed just three ERs in a six-start stretch (May 11 through June 8). It was the first time a pitcher had allowed three ERs or less over a six-start stretch spanning at least 48 innings since Jake Arrieta did so for the Chicago Cubs during his NL Cy Young Award-winning season in 2015. Talk about CONSISTENCY! Here are his ERA numbers month-by-month. 1.78 in April, 2.13 in May, 1.89 in June, 2.12 in July and 2.10 in two August starts.

Maybe I'm 'spitting into the win' here, as the Marlins have scored three runs or less over their last 15 games but that said, 'In Alcanara I trust!'

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 15, 2022
Astros vs White Sox
Astros
-123 at linepros
Lost
$123.0
Play Type: Top Premium

My 10* Weekly Wipeout is on the Hou Astros at 8:10 ET.

Houston entered the season having won the NL West in FOUR of the previous five seasons (three WS appearances in that span) and were preseason favorites to repeat as AL West champs. The Chicago White Sox ended an 11-year postseason drought in 2020 with a wild card appearance. They then ran away with the American League Central title last season with a 93-69 record, winning the division by 13 games over Cleveland. Chicago was a heavy favorite to win the division in 2022 but that hasn't been the case. The 75-41 Astros are running away with the AL West, as they have caught and passed the Yankees for the AL's best record and own a 13-game lead over Seattle. Meanwhile, the White Sox have hovered around the .500 mark for the better part of this season and will welcome Houston to Chicago for a four-game series at 59-56 (in a virtual tie with the 58-55 Twins), 2 1/2-games back Cleveland in the AL Central.

Jose Urquidy (11-4, 3.85 ERA) will take the mound in Monday's opener for the Astros, while the White Sox counter with Johnny Cueto (4-5, 2.91 ERA). Urquidy had a nice 2021 season for Houston, going 8-3 with a 3.62 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 20 starts (team was 14-6). His ERA is up slightly this season, but the Astros are 15-6 in his 21 starts. He enters this game having not allowed more than three ERs in 10 of his last 12 starts. Cueto's All Star years are behind him (last notable season was 2016 when he was 18-5 with 2.79 ERA for the Giants) but he signed a minor league contract with the Chicago White Sox in April. The White Sox promoted Cueto to the major leagues on May 16 and he's been a pleasant surprise. He allowed five ERs in his third start of 2022 but has not allowed more than three ERs in ANY of his other 14 starts this season.

It's hard to argue with Urquidy's success and I will point out that Cueto has looked shaky in his two August starts, allowing 21 hits over 14 innings. However, the opposition has only turned those 21 hits into five ERs. Don't expect the Houston bats to be that 'friendly!' Houston's run differential is plus-141, while Chicago's run differential is minus-14.

Good luck...Larry

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 16, 2022
Red Sox vs Pirates
Red Sox
-130 at BetVegas
Play Type: Top Premium

My 10* IL Game of the Month is on the Bos Red Sox at 7:05 ET.

The Red Sox will be in Pittsburgh tonight to face the Pirates in the opener of a three-game iL series. Both are last place teams, but Boston's 57-59 record is 11 1/2-games better than Pittsburgh's 45-70 mark. Boston surprised most by going 92-70 in 2021 and made it to the ALCS before losing 4-2 to the Astros. As for Pittsburgh, the Pirates finished 61-101, missing the playoffs for the SIXTH straight year. Boston's weekend series started a season-ending stretch during which 34 of its final 49 games are against divisional opponents. This is a rare break from playing an American League East Division opponent and the Pirates could just play the perfect foil.

Nick Pivetta (8-9, 4.51 ERA) takes the mound for Boston, while Pittsburgh counters with Mitch Keller (4-8, 4.25 ERA). Pivetta was acquired (along with prospect Connor Seabold) from the Philadelphia Phillies in 2020 in exchange for pitchers Brandon Workman and Heath Hembree. His 2022 season started off as a disaster, as he was 0-4 with a 6.08 ERA after six starts (team was 0-6) but from May 13 through the end of June, he allowed two ERs or less in EIGHT of his 10 starts going 8-1 with a 2.12 ERA (Boston was 9-1). However, Pivetta is winless since the start of July, going 0-4 with a 7.97 ERA in seven starts (Boston is 2-5). Pittsburgh's Keller went 7-17 with a 6.02 ERA and here in his fourth season, he's 4-8 with a 4.25 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 22 appearances (20 starts).

Boston opened June by going 19-4 (.826) but after reaching 42-31 through June 26, the Red Sox have won just 15 of 43 games. After taking two of three from the Yankees, the Red Sox are FIVE games back of the AL's final wild card spot, with THREE teams between them. Boston almost NEEDS a three-game sweep and that's not really a stretch. The Pirates have lost four straight games and EIGHT of 10 after being swept in San Francisco over the weekend. Boston starters have pitched at least five innings and allowed three or fewer runs in five consecutive games and note that Pivetta worked six innings of three-run ball last Wednesday against Atlanta in his 23rd start of the season. He leads the Red Sox in innings pitched (129.2) and strikeouts (124).

Expect Pivetta to help Boston to a win in this series opener against the sad-sack Pirates. Boston is just 15-30 (.333) against AL East opponents but 42-29 (.592) against the rest of MLB.

Good luck...Larry

SERVICE BIO

Age: 67 (turns 68 in November).

Years in handicapping: Larry entered his 38th year as a professional handicapper in September of 2021.

Achievements in handicapping: 1985 Castaway’s Pro Football Challenge Champion, then the most prestigious handicapping contest in Las Vegas; 1999 Stardust Invitational semi-finalist.

A member of the original cast of Proline (began in 1985), the nation’s longest running pre-game handicapping show on the USA-TV network (also hosted Sports Desk on the same network from 1996-98). In then joined the panel of The Winning Edge in the early 2000s. Although well-known on TV for his expert game analysis and no-nonsense handicapping style, Larry may be best known for his radio work. He hosted his own syndicated call-in radio show, Sports Central. It aired live from Bally's Casino in Las Vegas in the early to mid-90s and at one time was heard in more than 100 markets.

Systems used for handicapping a game: Fundamental and statistical analysis. "I'm not typically a trend and system kind of guy," Ness says. "I look at team strengths and weaknesses and compare them. It’s an all-encompassing thing and over 35-plus years, you get good at it."

Star Ratings: 9 and 10*s are considered "Best Bets." All other plays are rated between 6 and 8*s, depending on strength and/or price.

Release Times: Larry releases "daily sports" (MLB, NBA, NCAAB and NHL) on the day of the game. His full card is almost always available by 10:00 ET (save Late-Breaking games). In the FB season, Larry begins releasing plays as early as Tuesday. His full CFB card is typically complete by Thursday (on Friday, at the latest) and his full NFL card will be mostly complete by Friday (definitely by Saturday at 3:00 ET).

38-Club Play: It represents Larry's 38 years in the business and gets his highest star rating (10*s). Expect no more than one of these plays per month, per sport during the regular season.

LEGEND Play: Larry's often been referred to as a Las Vegas legend and he's 'borrowed' the title for his other "signature play.". Larry's LEGEND Plays were previously available to only a select group of private clients but they are now available to all, via the internet. Like his 36-Club plays, expect no more than one play per month, per sport (rated 10*s).

Game of the Month and Game of the Year Plays: Always rated 10*s. Las Vegas Insider: Throughout his 36 years "in the business," Larry has become known as "the ultimate Las Vegas insider." The contacts he's developed over more than three decades (on both sides of the 'counter'), are arguably "unmatched!" He confers daily with 'his 'friends' and when "all the stars align on the same game," Larry releases an exclusive Las Vegas Insider (rated between 7 and 10*s).

Oddsmaker's Error Plays: Larry uses this term with "great respect" (and not very often), as he counts among his very closest friends many of Las Vegas' most famous and respected Sport Book directors (past and present). However, when Larry feels "the line is significantly off," he'll release one of these "not to be missed" plays (rated 9 or 10*s).

Situational Stunners: Larry's a fundamental handicapper at heart but he does pay attention to team and situational trends (especially in MLB). When his fundamental handicapping and a strong trend or situation match up, he releases a Situational Stunner. He began releasing these plays in MLB '09 and he's expanded them since,to all sports (rated from 7-10*s, based on strength and/or price for moneyline sports).

PERFECT STORM: Larry just added these plays the last few years and his accompanying expert analysis makes these popular plays self-explanatory (typically rated 9 or 10*s but moneyline sports may be rated 7 or 8*s due to price).

Weekly and Weekend Wipeout Winners: Larry added this self-explanatory moniker just a few years ago. They've become immensely popular and why not? Who wouldn't want a game that has "blowout written all over it," supported by Larry's expert analysis (rated between 7 and 10*s, depending on strength and price).

Superstar Triple Play: Over the years, many of Larry's regular clients have clamored for more three-game reports. You asked for it and Larry's responded. Back in the late 1980s and into the mid 1990s, 900-numbers became "the rage." While a panel member of Proline (see above), Larry created the Superstar Triple Play. One call got you three Superstar Triple Plays (in a particular sport). For almost a decade, anywhere from 1,500 to 3,500 callers responded each weekend, when Larry offered his famous "Superstar Triple Play" pitch on Proline. Starting in 2009, Larry began going "Back to the Future!" Look for 3-game reports this FB season on Saturday (college) and Sunday (NFL). Get three plays on a single report from Larry (many will be TV games), the originator of the "Superstar Triple Play!".

Late-Breaking Plays: Larry will always go back and take a "second look" at each day's card, after posting all his games. When he finds something he missed the first time around, he'll release a Late-Breaking Play. These plays are more prevalent in sports like baseball and basketball than football (typically rated at 8 or 9*s).

Quote: "No one works any harder and my work-product speaks for itself," Ness says. "I have a no-nonsense style and my logic is easy to follow. Anyone buying my plays will know exactly what I was thinking when I made the selection. After 34 years, the Larry Ness brand is instantly recognizable and my analysis ranks with the best in the industry."