This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS for our Monday Free Play. The Twins have won four straight games following a 1-3 run and they now trail the Guardians by 4.5 games in the American League Central with another series on tap they should take care of business with prior to a big set coming up against Cleveland. Minnesota has had an elite offense all season as its .756 OPS is No. 5 in baseball and recent form is right up there as since July 1, the Twins are No. 4 in WAR at 7.0, No. 4 in wRC+ at 129 and No. 3 in wOBA at .350 and they could not have a better matchup tonight. The Cubs are back in the running in the National League Wild Card race as they have won four of their last five games and are currently six games back which may be too far and this is not the series they need before facing the White Sox. The offense has been pretty good since the break on the top line but they still are ranked in the bottom half of the league in most metric categories. Since the All Star Break, they have an 89 RC+ which is No. 23 and face a pitcher coming into form. David Festa is back in the rotation as after two horrible starts in late June and early July, he had a solid long relief performance where he went 4.1 innings and allowed just one run on four hits and then tossed five innings in his last start, allowing two runs. His underlying metrics are really good and comparable to his Minor League numbers, namely his strikeout performances, and is still the No. 4 prospect in the organization so he is here for a reason. Kyle Hendricks has been all over the place this season as he has a 6.86 ERA and 5.37 FIP and while they are comparable to Festa, his numbers are over many more innings. He has a bad K% as his velocity is way down and now faces a potent offense which he has seen similarly only once in his last 10 starts. Play (917) Minnesota Twins

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Monday's MLB Free Pick

PLAY ON: Twins/Cubs UNDER 8.5

I'm betting the UNDER 8.5 in Monday's series opener between the Twins and Cubs. I know there's a lot to be desired with today's starting pitching matchup. Minnesota's David Festa has a 6.98 ERA in 4 starts, while Hendricks owns a 6.86 ERA for the season. However, you have to keep in mind that Festa is a 24-year-old rookie. He was awful in his first starts, but has look much better in his last two. He held the Phillies to just 1 run on 4 hits in 4 1/3 innings. He then held the Mets to 2 ER on 3 hits in 5 innings. Hendricks is the wild card in this one, but it is important to note that the wind will be blowing in 15-20 mph from left-center. It's also not going to be extremely hot, with temps expected in the mid-70s. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

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