I think Bronco Mendenhall was a good hire for Virginia, but after his 2-10 season in his first year at the helm. Mendenhall himself admitted the scope of the rebuilding process is a lot greater than he thought. Virginia has had 1 winning season in their last 8 years, and despite what looked like a great game last week, beating Uconn 38-18, the Huskies are among the worst teams in the country, and have been for several years. The Cavs lost their prevoius game at home by 17 to Indiana to gain some perspective. I think that win has held the line down here, and playing at Boise St. is far from a walk in the park. Boise St. has a very strong defense, and while Washington St. scored 47 points, it was a triple overtime game, and the Cougars managed less than 5 yards a play. QB Brett Ripien will be back under center for Boise St. and while the offense does not have the level of playmakers it did a year ago, I think the Broncos dominate the line of scrimmage on both sides. The Broncos own a 119-20 SU mark at home, and amazingly, 86 of those wins have come by 13 points or more. Broncos 20-10 ATS as a home favorite of 13 or less, and 89-57 ATS following a win vs a conference opponent. Make the play on Boise St.

Arizona coach Rich Rodriquez is under scrutiny, and his shallow recruiting has left a lot of holes on this Arizona team. His buyout is over 5 million, but he is treading on tender ground right now. Last year the Wildcats finished 3-9, their fewest wins since 2003, and things don't look very promising. The Cats lost 8 games in the Pac-12 a year ago allowing 44.8ppg in the losses, and have a defensive line with a pair o players under 250lbs. so they are getting pushed around. The QB position is held down by Brandon Dawkins, who has no WR's to throw to, and they are suited for the ground. problem is, the Utes allow less than 50ypg on the ground, and I don't see the Cats generating much. Utah attack improved with OC change, have a duel threat QB, and off to a 3-0 start. Utes have won 9 games in each of the last 3 years, and looks like they will likely get their again. Road teams in competitive games (+3.5 to -3.5), after a pair of ATS wins, and prior to week 8 are a blistering 70-23 ATS over the last 7 years, and the Utes qualify here. Make the play on Utah.

One team that I projected as a potential National Championship team this year is Oklahoma St. Their 1st 3 games has done nothing to change that. They have an offense that is absolutely loaded, and Heisman candidate Mason Rudolph continues to improve. he threw for 28 TD's a year ago, to just 4 INT's, so add 11 more TD's and 1 NT, and he is the best in college right now. he also has the top receiver in James Washington, and a now sophomore RB in Justice Hill (1,142 yds last year), and so much more. This is by far the best offense in football. The question for this team is the defense, but they are improved and can potentially be very good. TCU is not the same team on either side of the ball, and lost 31-6 last year to the Pokes at home. TCU allowed 30+ points against them last year 7 times. They will be hampered on offense with Kyle Hicks likely out. QB Kenny Hill threw 13 INT's a year ago, and any improvement on offense is going to up to him. While TCU addressed their issue of size on the OL, it lacks experience especially against an offense of this magnitude. They stumbled too often last year against the better teams combining to score 22 total points vs W. Virginia, Oklahoma St., and Kansas St. Oklahoma has great special teams, and led the nation a year ago in opponent's starting field position. Last but not least, the Cowboys fit a super strong 104-42 ATS situation for this one. All Cowboys here, make the play on Oklahoma St.

The Virginia Tech Hokies are going to be back in the national spotlight this season. They have passed their first test vs W. Virginia in their opener, and have started 3-0, out-scoring the 3 opponents 122-41. The Hokies like to run the ball and have done so 45 times a game, passing just 30. The ability to run has allowed QB Josh Jackson to throw in good spots and he has completed 65% of his passes at just shy of 10 yards per attempt and a strong 15.1 yards per completion. Hokies as usual will enjoy a strong special team's advantage here also. Old Dominion is 2-1 but wins over Umass, and Albany were not impressive, and allowed 53 points to North Carolina at home, completing just 14 of 32 passes. tech has the ability to put up 50+ here as well, but a difference from the NC game is, the Hokies can defend much better, and I don't see the Monarchs scoring 23 here as they did vs Carolina. This game fits a situation that has been 278-196 ATS, and has been even better of late. Make the play on Virginia Tech.