We broke down Betting Value: SEC Conference Following Big Losses or Wins ATS last week and teams we mentioned were leans by fading or backing them actually went 5-1 ATS in week #3! Stay tuned for more SEC betting value in future podcasts. Today we are breaking down the ACC in the same way.
Teams with a winning record following a WIN ATS of 7+ points
At HOME these teams have had success the last 2 seasons and early in 2016.
2014 -11-5 ATS (5-0 ATS – following a win ATS of 21+)
2015 – 4-7 ATS (2-2 ATS – following a win ATS of 21+)
2016 – 2-1 ATS
Takeaway: 17-13 ATS total with 7-2 ATS record following a 21+ ATS victory.
Teams falling into this situation for week 4 – Georgia Teach & Virginia Tech both had wins of 21+ ATS last week.
On the ROAD these teams have been .500, but following a win ATS of 21+ they have gone 3-1 ATS.
2014 – 5-4 ATS (1-0 ATS – following a win ATS of 21+)
2015 – 5-6 ATS (2-1 ATS – following a win ATS of 21+)
2016 – 1-1 ATS
Teams falling into this situation for week 4 – Louisville & Miami both had wins of 21+ ATS last week and are on the road this week.
At NEUTRAL SITES
2014 – 3-1 ATS (1-0 ATS – following a win ATS of 21+)
2015 – 2-2 ATS (1-1 ATS – following 21+)
Teams with a losing record following a WIN ATS of 7+ points
At HOME
2014 -5-2 ATS (0-2 ATS – following a win ATS of 21+)
2015 – 0-2 ATS
2016 – 0-1 ATS
On the ROAD
2014 – 3-4 ATS (1-1 ATS – following a win ATS of 21+)
2015 – 3-6 ATS
2016 – 0-1 ATS
Teams who lost ATS by 7+ ATS going on the road the next week who are losing teams went 6-11 ATS the last two years. Teams to look at for 2016 are – Boston College, NC State, Syracuse, Virginia, Wake Forest. All expected to have losing records this year according to Vegas insider college football.
At NEUTRAL SITES
2014 – 0-1 ATS
Teams with a winning record following a LOSS ATS of 7+ points
At HOME
2014 – 6-9 ATS (2-5 ATS – following a LOSS ATS of 21+)
2015 – 8-6 ATS (1-1 ATS – following a LOSS ATS of 21+)
2016 – 2-1 ATS (1-0 ats – following a LOSS ATS of 21+)
On the ROAD
2014 – 10-1 ATS (1-0 ATS – following a LOSS ATS of 21+)
2015 – 2-2 ATS (1-1 ATS – following a LOSS ATS of 21+)
2016 – NOTHING YET
The only team falling into this 12-3 ATS system this week is Florida State who got blown out a week ago.
At NEUTRAL SITES
2014 – 0-2 ATS
2015 – 0-1 ATS
Teams with a losing record following a LOSS ATS of 7+ points
At HOME
2014 – 4-4 ATS (0-1 ATS – following a LOSS ATS of 21+)
2015 – 2-6 ATS (0-1 ATS – following a win ATS of 21+)
2016 – 1-1 ATS
This week – Boston College falls into this scenario.
On the ROAD
2014 – 3-5 ATS (1-1 ATS – following a LOSS ATS of 21+)
2015 – 2-4 ATS (1-0 ATS – following a LOSS ATS of 21+)
2016 – 1-0 ATS (1-0 ATS – following a LOSS ATS of 21+)
Teams falling into this situation for week 4 is Syracuse who LOSS ATS by 21+.
At NEUTRAL SITES
2014 – 0-2 ATS
2015 – 1-0 ATS
