The SEC saw our play of the day cash from college football against the spread perspective. It was certainly not an easy win as we covered on our podcast Monday night. It was a game full of emotions, but overall it was a sign that our luck may be turning around.
Other highlights were LSU dominating in their first game after firing Les Miles. Overall the college football odds were pretty damn accurate in the SEC in week #5. Just 2 games were off by more than a TD against the spread.
SEC Conference:
Winning teams following a win of 7+ ATS, returning home are just 7-12 ATS overall, and 2-5 ATS following a 21+ point victory ATS. The lean a week ago was to fade Ole Miss. I actually backed Ole Miss in the scenario for various reasons check out my archived analysis. No leans for week #6.
Winning teams following a win of 7+ ATS, going back on the road are 12-5 ATS overall, including 3-0 ATS following a 21+ point victory ATS. There are 2 teams to back in week #6. Following big wins Auburn and LSU head onto the road as small favorites. LSU -2.5 against Florida who had their own issues against Vanderbilt last week. Auburn -3 going on the road to face Mississippi State whom I believe comes off a bye. I’m not sure I am in love with either one of these games as going on the road as a favorite in the SEC is a risky proposition.
Winning teams following a loss of 7+ ATS, going back on the road are 0-6 ATS since the start of the 2015 season. There are no teams to report this week falling into this situation.
Losing teams following a win of 7+ ATS, are 5-10 ATS overall since the start of the 2015 season which includes 2-6 ATS mark if they were going back home. This lean went 0-3 ATS last week and we will continue to track it.
Summary of leans – LSU -2.5, Auburn -3.
