The LA Rams will play in Baltimore vs. the Ravens. Baltimore has long had a great defense as it has been one of the long term trademarks of the team. This season has been nothing like that as the Ravens have allowed 119 points in their last 3 games combined. It puts them in a group of NFL teams that over the years has seen a team allow 115 or more points over their last 3 games and playing to a total of less than 52. They are 23-51 OU over a 36 year period. Make the play under the total.

The Green Bay Packers had a bye last week, and will take on the Cincinnati Bengals at Lambeau Field. The Bengals apparently had seen enough out of Jake Browning and have traded for Joe Flacco. Flacco will get the start, but not likely using a full playbook. Perhaps worse than that is the Bengals have the worst offensive line in football. Looks like Gary and Parsons are going to be in the Bengal backfield a lot. A team off their bye week that is a favorite of -3 or more points are 84-44-2 ATS if they scored28 or more points before their bye. The Packers are 8-2 ATS in this spot. I like Green Bay.

Seattle will make the long trip to Jacksonville this week to take on the surging Jaguars who enter the game at 4-1. Seattle has the better offense and defense in this game, and are playing as a slim 1.5 point favorite. They are off their biggest win of the season a 31-28 win vs. Kansas City. The Jaguars were out-gained by the Chiefs by over 150 yards, marking the 2nd week in a row they have been out-gained. Seattle has out-gained each of their last 4 opponents, and clearly has the statistical edge here, as well as the betting situations which also highly favor the Seahawks. They are backed in this game by one that is 120-67-5 ATS. Make the play on Seattle.

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The Pittsburgh Steelers have been very lucky through 4 games. They have a 3-1 record, but have been out-gained by all 4 opponents and not by just a little. The Steelers have been out-gained by over 100 yards per game! The reason why they are winning is they have a net turnover differential of +7. Despite being 3-1 they have been out-scored by their 4 opponents 96-94. Winning is unsustainable. The Cleveland Browns have the #2 defense in the league, and are certainly capable of shutting down a mediocre Pittsburgh offense. I think having Dillon Gabriel will ultimately help the Browns poor offense improve. This game fits a situation that has been 137-93-5 ATS (59.6%), and I'm making the call on the Browns.