Matthew Stafford is having an incredible season, but out of nowhere Seattle QB Sam Darnold has the best numbers in the NFL. Darnold is averaging an ultra elite 9.9 yards per pass attempt on the season. The next best has been Drake Maye of New England at 8.9. Darnold is completing 71% of his passes, with 17 TDs. Seattle fits a huge situation that is 180-111-6 ATS. Make the play on Seattle.

The Kansas City Chiefs are just 5-4 on the season, while the Denver Broncos are a home dog to Kansas City, who just hasn't been the same Kansas City offense we have seen in recent years. Denver has a better run defense, pass defense, and total defense than Kansas City, by a good margin. The Broncos defense is allowing just 4.7 yards per play. Denver's two losses have come at Indianapolis by 1 point, and at the 7-3 LA Chargers by 3 points. Denver is 33-21-5 ATS as a home dog since 1989. Denver is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings, and playing at home during that same period they are 4-0 ATS. Make the play on Denver.

This game is going to be played in sustained winds, with gusts up to 45 MPH during the entire game. The winds will be blowing diagonally across the field, so no edge at either end of the field. Baltimore has Henry and Jackson, the best running combo that is meant for this kind of weather. Make the play on Baltimore.

This game is going to be played in sustained winds, with gusts up to 45 MPH during the entire game. The winds will be blowing diagonally across the field, so no edge at either end of the field. I like the under.

he Atlanta Falcons will host the Carolina Panthers this Sunday. The Falcons are just 3-6 on the season. I would think the Panthers run the ball a lot in this one.Carolina RB Rico Dowdle is likely to play and he has run for 788 yards at 5.3 yards a carry. The Falcons run defense is 29th in the league. The Panthers are a shocking 0-11 SU and ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite, but they are 16-9-1 ATS as a dog of 4 or fewer points. Make the play on Carolina.