The Minnesota Vikings have done a free fall off last year's highly successful team, and the main target is the QB position. JJ McCarthy, Carson Wentz, and last week's Max Brosmar's shit show have contributed heavily to the 4-8 record. JJ McCarthy will be at QB, but his 5.4 ypa is very poor. McCarthy has 6 TDs 5 INT's and 3 Fumbles. Washington came within 1 point in Denver on Monday Night. They fit a situation that plqys on certain teams off a 1 point loss which is 42-26 ATS. Make the play on Washington.

The Buffalo Bills, Indianapolis Colts, and LA Chargers are all 8-4 and currently represent the 3 AFC wild card teams. The Bills are almost a full yard better from the line of scrimmage than the Cincinnati Bengals. Joe Burrow has missed a lot of time this season with injuries. He is completing just 55% of his passes, and his Qb rating is lower than Joe Flacco. Regardless that he is back, he isn't the same QB yet. He also can't play defense. The Bengals are allowing 31ppg. The Bengals are also up against this. Play against a team that won their last game as a dog of 6 or more points, and are a 6 or more point dog again. These teams are 92-141-4 ATS, covering just 39.5% of the time. Make the play on Buffalo.

The Rams are in a situation that has been exceedingly predictive, so I'll just leave it at that as far as this writeup goes. The Rams from game 5 on and faces a team that averages running the ball 24.5 or fewer times a game during the regular season are 29-2-3 to the under. Make the play under the total.

The Chicago Bears lead the NFC North at 9-s followed by the 8-3-1 Packers, Things are very tight in the NFC, and we will probably see a real good team that doesn't make the playoffs. The Bears have made a living this season. They are currently the #1 seed in the NFC, despite averaging 26 points and allowing 26 points. There has never been a #1 seed that has a scoring margin of 0. The Packers have one of the best defenses in the NFL, and have an offense that does not turn the ball over (just 7 turnovers this season). The Bears have had the ball bounce their way as their opponents have committed 25 turnovers in their last 10 games. That is unsustainable, and when you pair that with a huge situation on Green Bay based on turnovers which is as follows. Play on any team that has not turned the ball over in at least 3 straight games, facing a team that has turned the ball over more than twice in their last 3 games. These turnover free teams are 104-57-3 ATS! Make the play on Green Bay.

This has been one of the biggest rivalries in the NFL, and one that usually doesn't disappoint. Since the start of the 1999 season these teams have played 26 games that ended with a 3 or less point margin. Baltimore is listed as a -6 point favorite, which for this series that 6 points is like gold. What makes it even better is I have a situation on Pittsburgh that is 23-1 SU and 23-1 ATS. Make the play on Pittsburgh.