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BIG TEN MOV ATS IMPACT & VEGAS MISTAKES -In week 3 we broke down the SEC, and our leans went 5-1 ATS. Week 4 we broke down the ACC, and again the leans we gave out went 5-1 ATS. Today we break down the Big Ten conference in terms of margin of victory against the spread. We take a look at all teams in the Big Ten and see what kind of mistakes Vegas makes the week following a big win ATS. I personally did not have any College football against the spread in week #4 on any Big Ten teams which is typically one of the better conferences for me. WINNING TEAM SCENARIOS: Winning Teams following a win of 7+ ATS now at home were just 7-13 ATS since the beginning of the 2015 season. That includes a 3-3 ATS mark in 2016. Week #5 leans – Fade Michigan -11.5 off a huge win ATS last week and are home for the 5th game in a row hosing Wisconsin, A team still flying a bit under the radar. Also fade Ohio State-38.5. I mean I would not be psyched to fade Urban Meyer off a bye especially with only Indiana on deck for the Buckeyes. It’s a no play for […]
SEC College Football Betting Value Update & Week 5 Leans -In week 3 we broke down the SEC, and our leans went 5-1 ATS. This week we give you a full recap around the SEC as far as betting value is considered. I think there were several misleading finals including our POD pick on Arkansas and Tennessee looked a hell of a lot better in their game as we backed them in our teaser. We are now 24-5 since 2014 on teasers and all 6 of our recommended selections have actually won from a college football against the spread perspective. SEC Conference: Winning teams following a win of 7+ ATS, returning home are just 6-12 ATS overall, and 1-5 ATS following a 21+ point victory ATS. Week #5 Lean – Fade Ole Miss and take a look at Memphis +14. Ole Miss got a huge victory last week against Georgia as a 7 point favorite winning 45-14. That final was a bit misleading and the idea is that Ole Miss line would be inflated this week. If you look at the box score this game was not as lopsided as the final score indicates. I probably won’t play this considering Memphis also off a huge victory of 77-3 over Bowling Green. […]
ACC College Football Betting Value Update & Week 5 Leans -In week 3 we broke down the SEC, and our leans went 5-1 ATS for college football picks. Week 4 we broke down the ACC, and again the leans we gave out went 5-1 ATS. We will continue to update you on how we do from conference to conference. I would say the biggest stories out of the ACC for week #4 was Florida State’s offense looking so good. Clemson looking like Clemson and Louisville dominating again in a crazy line move of over 14 points from where it opened at 17. Here is a look at some of the value propositions we are keeping track of as well as leans for week #5 for college football bettors. ACC Conference: As I mentioned we broke down this conference a week ago and gave out leans on our podcast. The leans went 5-1 ATS and we have more for you in week #5. Winning teams following a win of 21+ ATS, now on the road are 4-1 ATS. Louisville was a win last week at Marshall. Week #5 leans – Miami -7 at Georgia Tech as Miami comes off a win of 21+ and is now on the road also following a bye […]
WEEK 4 COLLEGE FOOTBALL WINNERS -Get This weekend’s play for Just $26.97 GUARANTEED OR $$ BACK + WEEK 5 FREE ***WHAT’S ON DECK FOR WEEK #4 FOR #1 CAREER LEADER FOR CFB!*** MAX Rated POD – 79-46 ATS (63.2%) on my TOP RATED PLAYS! – 15-7 ATS Career Backing This Team! TEASER OF THE WEEK – 2-0 THIS YEAR & 23-5 SINCE 2014! TOTAL OF THE WEEK – 57% ATS CAREER 71% CAREER BACKING 1 TEAM! 42-28 ATS Career in Week 4 *Games involved: Florida State / South Florida , Florida / Tennessee, Oklahoma State / Baylor, Arkon /App State, VAnderbilt / Western Kentucky / Arkansas / Texas A&M, LSU/Auburn! Contact me – fw@freddywills.com / Twitter @freddywills / Subscribe on ITUNES / www.freddywills.com / Freddy’s College Football ROI Tool Other Links: Free College Football Picks – From 100+ handicapper / Buy Premium Sports Picks Tonight / Check our handicapper leaderboard
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ACC Betting Value Following MOV ATS -We broke down Betting Value: SEC Conference Following Big Losses or Wins ATS last week and teams we mentioned were leans by fading or backing them actually went 5-1 ATS in week #3! Stay tuned for more SEC betting value in future podcasts. Today we are breaking down the ACC in the same way. Teams with a winning record following a WIN ATS of 7+ points At HOME these teams have had success the last 2 seasons and early in 2016. 2014 -11-5 ATS (5-0 ATS – following a win ATS of 21+) 2015 – 4-7 ATS (2-2 ATS – following a win ATS of 21+) 2016 – 2-1 ATS Takeaway: 17-13 ATS total with 7-2 ATS record following a 21+ ATS victory. Teams falling into this situation for week 4 – Georgia Teach & Virginia Tech both had wins of 21+ ATS last week. On the ROAD these teams have been .500, but following a win ATS of 21+ they have gone 3-1 ATS. 2014 – 5-4 ATS (1-0 ATS – following a win ATS of 21+) 2015 – 5-6 ATS (2-1 ATS – following a win ATS of 21+) 2016 – 1-1 ATS Teams falling into this situation for week 4 – Louisville & Miami both had wins […]
College Football Betting Podcast – Week 3 Recap & Week 4 Outlook -Follow up to last week’s show on the SEC, and betting value. If you didn’t get a chance to listen go back, because you can use it for future weeks ahead. So we said fade: Tennessee – WIN Arkansas – LOSS AUBURN – WIN GEORGIA – WIN VANDERBILT – WIN KENTUCKY – WIN Stay tune to our show later this week as we tell you who to look at fading or backing for week #4! We will also be looking at the ACC Conference for this very SAME SYSTEM for betting value and College football picks against the spread Now let’s get into how I did on my actual plays given out to clients. Many of you were on these and aside from my teaser of the week and my big play of the day it was a very unfortunate week going 5-5 -2.5 units. My first losing week 3 in my history. The good news is we had some bad luck, and that always tends to turn itself around and I have also dominated week #4. 5 of 7 winning weeks for week #4 with a combined 42-27 ATS record good for 60.8% ATS winners and a profit of $44,558 […]
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Betting Value: SEC Conference Following Big Losses or Wins ATS -The SEC in 2015 following an ATS win or LOSS ATS by more than 7 points. I look at this to see what kind of adjustments the oddsmaker’s will make in the college football odds the following week. Are they under valuing teams or inflating numbers for teams based on public perception? Why opinion is they have and always have done this and it may not be more true than in the SEC, a conference that the media loves to hype up. Let’s get right to it. Following a Win of 7+ points ATS (Winning Teams) I think it’s important to look at winning vs. losing teams to narrow down our advantage. Teams with a winning record who won the week before ATS by more than 7 points and were returning home to play were just 4-10 ATS on the year, and 1-5 ATS when they won ATS by 21 or more points the week before. Week 3 Teams: Here are a few teams to consider based on this statistic. Fade Florida Gators -36 (vs. North Texas), Fade Tennessee -27.5 (vs. Ohio), Fade Arkansas -31 (vs. Texas State), Teams with a winning record who won the week before ATS by […]
College Football Betting Podcast – Misleading Final Scores Week 2 & Public Perception -Make sure you REGISTER to enjoy free picks on our website! SPECIAL DEAL – www.sportsbetcapping.com/promo – All my picks for week 3 – $34.99 – money back guarantee + week 4 free. I have a 5 to 1 under dog ready for you! Today we are breaking down some misleading scores from week 2 and how they impact public perception for week 3 and where you can find some value. Yesterday’s podcast we did a recap of my week 2 betting which did not go as plan, but overall we had some bad luck, and I am really confident we are going to rebound nicely in week 3. Today we are breaking down some misleading scores from week 2 and how they impact public perception for week 3 and where you can find some value. Yesterday’s podcast we did a recap of my week 2 betting which did not go as plan, but overall we had some bad luck, and I am really confident we are going to rebound nicely in week 3. As I mentioned I have bounced back 25 out of 41 times following a losing week in my career. Overall we have had 59 winning weeks in college football. […]
College Football Expert Leaderboard – Sportscapping Network -Here is the leaderboard of some of the top college football handicappers for career profit led by Freddy Wills which actually does not take into consideration Freddy’s confidence ratings or his teasers! You can click on any handicapper’s name for their full handicapping page. Please make sure you REGISTER HERE to gain access to free picks.
College Football Betting Podcast – Week 2 Recap – 11-7 ATS +$9500 -SPECIAL DEAL – www.sportsbetcapping.com/promo – All my picks for week 2 – $34.99 – money back guarantee + week 3 free. I have a 5 to 1 under dog ready for you! Today we are going to break down some of my plays from week 2. We went 3-5 ATS and lost 3.8 units, but it was not all bad as we had a winning Saturday and hit on our max rated POD (now 78-46ATS carer), and teaser of the week (22-5 last 2 season) Contact me – fw@freddywills.com / Twitter @freddywills / Subscribe on ITUNES / www.freddywills.com / Freddy’s College Football ROI Tool Other Links: Free College Football Picks – From 100+ handicapper / Buy Premium Sports Picks Tonight / Check our handicapper leaderboard
Week 2 College Football Betting Recap -Not a strong start to week 2, but we certainly finished strong. SYRACUSE +14.5 vs. LOUISVILLE (LOSS): Wow, the final score and box score are not really indicative of what this game looked like. There are several takeaways, and I’m sure I will touch on this later in the week on my podcast about line value for week 3. Lamar Jackson was insane in this game, throwing for more than 400 yards, and rushing for 199 with 5 total TD’s. What’s hidden in this game is his poor accuracy as he completed just 20 of his 39 passes. Louisville gave Syracuse so many opportunities to take the momentum and run with it, and I was very disappointing in Syracuse offense. They ran a ton of plays, but there were many 3 and outs along the way. This was 35-21 at the half, and 42-28 to start the 4th quarter before Louisville scored 20 straight to close the game. There were plenty of opportunities for Syracuse to cover this game, but they just could not establish that rhythm that this offense needs to. I do think the hype train for Lamar Jackson will end this week against Florida State. I think […]
Freddy Wills – WEEK #1 College Football Special -SPECIAL DEAL FOR NEWSLETTER SUBSCRIBERS I wanted to let you know my discount packages are up and I had another good year last year. 7 of 8 winning college football seasons now in my career. Some things have changes since you last invested. I now only concentrate on football and the results of that change were amazing. 34-16 +$103,086 L50 Max Rated All Sports picks Here are some good to help with any research you’d like to make. www.sportsbetcapping.com/nflpod.pdf www.sportsbetcapping.com/ncaafpod.pdf www.sportsbetcapping.com/collegefootballroi.xlsx 764-645 +$384,296 L1409 NCAAF picks As you know you can get my picks via text/email or website – www.freddywills.com and all of my picks are released 1 minute after the game start and are time stamped and archived FOREVER! THURSDAY/FRIDAY/SATURDAY/SUNDAY/MONDAY $39.99 Get all my college football picks for WEEK #1 Guaranteed or Week #2 FREE $49.99 Guaranteed or $$ Back $79.99 Week 1 & Week 2 After purchase please visit www.sportsbetcapping.com/week1picks – you will be given a password to enter. All of our picks will be added there.
Louisville vs. Syracuse 1st Half – College Football Betting Recap -1st HALF RECAP: I mean this first half was just completely crazy. let me first make a consesion and say that I gave out Syracuse as a a top play tonight. Lamar Jackson is a stud accounting for 5 TD’s in the first half, but he also has an INT at the end of the half that was costly. Louisville got off to an extremely fast start with their offense and it seemed to take the life out of this Syracuse team. Louisville got it done with big plays to get the 21-0 lead in this game and it looked like it was going to get extremely ugly. Then Syracuse got into a groove on offense and scored behind their up tempo offense and it looked like they could get back in the game and the college football pick that I gave out to clients would still have a shot. It was 21-7, and another big play from Louisville and Syracuse just could not get a groove on offense despite forcing two turnovers and a punt since. Louisville was either getting cramps or faking injuries but it was enough to disrupt the offense. There were also plenty of drop passes […]
Top NFL Handicapping Leaderboard -NFL TOP 25 HANDICAPPERS: Below you will find the top NFL handicapping leaderboard. This is a career look back at our leaders and you can see what they have done over a long period of time! Feel free to click on their names to get their Premium NFL Betting Advice or check out our Free NFL Picks available. Do you want to see your name on this list? Become an Affilliate Handicapper Application Purchase Handicapper Website
Vegas Mistakes Week 1 to Week 2 Value – College Football Betting -SPECIAL DEAL for my listeners – www.sportsbetcapping.com/promo – All my picks for week 2 – $34.99 – money back guarantee + week 3 free. I have a 5 to 1 under dog ready for you! Tonight we are talking about Vegas mistakes in week 1, and how public perception plays a role into week 2 lines and how we can take advantage. We will wrap up the show with a premium play and a 5 to 1 under dog recommendation that I give out in my weekly newsletter! Contact me – fw@freddywills.com / Twitter @freddywills / Subscribe on ITUNES / www.freddywills.com / Freddy’s College Football ROI Tool Other Links: Free College Football Picks – From 100+ handicapper / Buy Premium Sports Picks Tonight / Check our handicapper leaderboard
College Football Week 1 – Vegas Mistakes -Week 1 of the college football season is wrapping up. I have to say week one is just as tough for the books, because they are pretty far off on many of these games. I was lucky enough to have a very profitable week 1. Check it out over at www.freddywills.com Let’s take a look at some of the biggest mistakes Vegas made in week 1. Tons of tips from me on what all this means and what we can expect to see value on in week 2. I touched a little bit on this in my last podcast and article, “MAC Conference Margin of Victory ATS Analysis.” Essentially we can find value in games based on public perception. I believe this is more true of games below featuring big brand names like Alabama. Alabama covered the spread against another big brand name team in USC. Thus, we should have some value fading Alabama in coming weeks. Alabama is a perfect example of inflated lines to come, because the oddsmakers know they are a public favorite bet and will only be more of a favorite after their performance in week 1. USC vs. Alabama – Covered by 32.5 points. This […]
Freddy Wills – College Football Betting Podcast Week 1 Recap -Tonight I am recapping week 1’s betting recommendations that we gave out to clients. A lot of you will be annoyed with me today, and I promise I’m not arrogant and very humble. I wouldn’t be where I am today if I wasn’t. It just so happens I had a great week for myself and clients. We went 8-2-1 ATS. Speaking of making money – make sure you check out my article comparing sports betting against the stock market. I have also linked a few other useful links below. Contact me – fw@freddywills.com / Twitter @freddywills / Subscribe on ITUNES / www.freddywills.com / Freddy’s College Football ROI Tool Other Links: Free College Football Picks – From 100+ handicapper / Buy Premium Sports Picks Tonight / Check our handicapper leaderboard
Freddy Wills College Football Handicapping Recap Week 1 -Week one is in the books and we went 7-2-1 ATS, 8-2-1 on the season when you count the Hawaii opener. Honestly, I could have gone 11-0 which I will get to in a bit as we look at each bet and go over the games we gave out to clients. In case their are ever any doubts. All of the picks that appear on my records table are released their 1-2 minutes after a game starts. All of my College Football Picks Against The Spread are archived with a time stamp in two different places, one being my released picks forum. Four out of our 8 wins were under dogs winning outright. Let’s start out with the pick I gave in my premium newsletter. Which you can subscribe to on the website. Auburn +8 over Clemson 4.4% play Perhaps we got a little lucky in this game, but I loved the value with Auburn at home, and I took them because of that defense. That defensive line has 5 guys on the two deep front line that are 5 start guys. They held Clemson under 400 total yards and forced 2 turnovers. Watson and Clemson may get some value here […]
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Penn State’s Offense – What To Expect 2016 -Penn State made a significant change in their offense by bringing in offensive coordinator Joe Moorehead who is bringing in a completely new system that he ran at Fordham. Penn State’s offensive line brings back 4 of 5 of their offensive starters and believe it or not the unit dramatically improved from 2014 to 2014 improving from 111th in adjusted line yards all the way up to 44th. Trace McSorley sounds like he’s going to be the starting QB, and should be excited to run this offense that should average around 80-85 plays according to Moorehead which will put Penn State in the top 20, they were 115th a year ago. The skill position is absolutely loaded with talent and the potential is there for this offense if they can find a QB to be one of the best in the Big Ten. In Moorhead’s four seasons in charge of the Rams, he took a 1-10 program and turned it into an FCS playoff team for three consecutive years. He posted a 38-13 record in his time with the Rams. Moorhead turned a struggling unit into one of the most prolific offenses in the FCS. The two years before he took […]
